Edit: btw it is recommended to always click on an Otoh fish for your allie as they will bring you much luckks & also will leave you in peace rather than possibly attempt to martingale you
Hehe. I was watching your battle with MPEx earlier. MPEx got up to 50+ BTC, and you re-deposited up to 28 BTC or something, but then someone suggested you think again about risking so much, and it seemed you took his advice.
Now I see MPEx is back down to 20 BTC. I can't tell whether he withdrew, stashed a lot in the chest, or was bitten successfully.
As for martingaling, I'm not sure it works in this game.
Long boring exploration of how the biting works:
Suppose there's a 32 BTC fish and I want to use martingale betting to eat it.
I load up 32 BTC too (if I'm not allowed to bite an equal, load up with 31.999 instead, but assume I can bite an equal).
If I lose, I'm 16 BTC down, and the 32 fish now has 48 BTC (let's ignore the 10% that doesn't go to the winner for simplicity's sake).
So I deposit another 32, to match the 48 fish and lose again. I lose 24 BTC
Now I have 24, the big fish has 72, I need to deposit another 48 to match him, and I've lost 16+24 = 40 BTC in total
Now if I bite him and win, I don't get back the 40 BTC I'm down - I only get 36, so I don't even break even.
If I lose this 3rd attack as well, I lose a further 36, making my total losses 40+36 = 76, and after redepositing, both fishes are now 108 BTC.
If I win the 4th attack, I win 54 BTC but I'm already 76 down. So it looks like the longer I go without winning, the further and further I fall behind, with no chance of getting my losses back.
Does that look about right?
I think MPEx got up to 30.883, I deposited up to 28 odd but heeded the advice not to bite again, then I added the exact amount to equal MPEx's 30.883 so that we were 50/50 chance of win lose again, then I sacrificed many virgins & bit to win 13.898 on my attack fish plus 1.389 on my own other referral fish, so 99% of half the total MPEx weight was 15.287 btc the other 1% of it going to the house 0.1544 btc
Yep you can exactly equal someone's else's weight to attack/defend for 50/50 chance, re martingaling one would use another fish of one's own as allie to referral the 9% of any wins to, so effectively you get 99% overall of any wins (& the house gets 1%) & on losses you lose the normal 50% - whether your opponent is collecting 90% of that or 99% is up to them, it will be on a different fish anyways.
In your example: Suppose there's a 32 BTC fish and I want to use martingale betting to eat it.
I load up 32 BTC too (if I'm not allowed to bite an equal, load up with 31.999 instead, but assume I can bite an equal).
Yep you can np.If I lose, I'm 16 BTC down, and the 32 fish now has 48 BTC (let's ignore the 10% that doesn't go to the winner for simplicity's sake).
Just taking a look at it with the actual figures to see, so opponent fish now has 46.4 BTCSo I deposit another 32, to match the 48 fish and lose again. I lose 24 BTC
So I deposit 30.4 to match the 46.4 fish and lose again. I lose 23.2 BTCNow I have 24, the big fish has 72, I need to deposit another 48 to match him, and I've lost 16+24 = 40 BTC in total
I have 23.2, the big fish has 67.28, I need to deposit 44.08 to match him, and I've lost 16+23.2 = 39.2 BTC in totalNow if I bite him and win, I don't get back the 40 BTC I'm down - I only get 36, so I don't even break even.
Now if I bite him and win, I don't get back the 39.2 BTC I'm down - I only get 33.3036, so I don't even break even. CorrectIf I lose this 3rd attack as well, I lose a further 36, making my total losses 40+36 = 76, and after redepositing, both fishes are now 108 BTC.
If I lose this 3rd attack as well, I lose a further 33.64, making my total losses 39.2+33.64 = 72.84, and after redepositing, both fishes are now 97.556 BTC.If I win the 4th attack, I win 54 BTC but I'm already 76 down. So it looks like the longer I go without winning, the further and further I fall behind, with no chance of getting my losses back.
If I win the 4th attack, I win 48.29022 BTC but I'm already 72.84 down. So it looks like the longer I go without winning, the further and further I fall behind, with no chance of getting my losses back. Yep so it seems. One would need 2 consecutive wins to come out ahead.I guess the cause of this is the house's 1% cumulative fee & the fact that 10% of the opponents wins is not left on the same fish (9% to an allie & 1% to the house).
Edit: I corrected my numbers.