Topic: The impact of war on global economy. (Read 2983 times)

Large and especially developed states have a large margin of safety in the economy and therefore the application of only economic sanctions to such states can have an effective impact only in the medium and long term. We can see this in the example of Russia, which was subjected to all kinds of economic sanctions for unleashing military aggression against Ukraine. In the third year of their application, these sanctions begin to have a disastrous effect on Russia, but only a few states are able to withstand the military power of the aggressor state for years.

Here it is necessary to take into account that with any aggression there will always be states that will support the aggressor to varying degrees, and there will also be various ways to circumvent sanctions, and eliminating them will take some additional time. Therefore, we need a new international body that would have the right to quickly deploy international rapid reaction troops into the aggressor country, since the UN has not been able to cope with its functions for a long time. Now, for example, the UN Security Council is chaired by the aggressor country of the Russian Federation, which can always veto any UN decision directed against it. It is necessary that the new international body has equal rights for states and that the aggressor state does not have the right to vote.

The war in Ukraine began and has been supported by Russia for three years now, trying to seize the territory of Ukraine. The paradox is that the Russian Federation currently presides over the UN Security Council, while at the same time continuously and grossly violating the fundamental principles of this international organization, the creation of which was Ukraine. The double paradox is that no one has ever accepted the Russian Federation into the UN, and it is in the UN absolutely illegally, and even more so illegally occupies a seat on the UN Security Council. Ukraine has repeatedly drawn attention to this at the UN.

The Head of the UN General Assembly, Dennis Francis, recently drew attention to this. He stated that he had not seen a single document confirming that the Russian Federation legally occupies the seat of a permanent member of the UN Security Council with the right of veto.

He also noted that the organization constantly demands that Russia withdraw its troops from the territory of Ukraine, but it still ignores this legal demand.

https://inforesist.org/glava-genassamblei-oon-postavil-pod-somnenie-zakonnoe-chlenstvo-rossii-v-sovbeze/

https://24tv.ua/ru/vyvod-rossijskih-vojsk-iz-ukrainy-glava-genassamblei-oon-sdelal_n2590944

When a war takes place between two countries, the impact of that war can be felt all over the world, even if the two countries are very powerful and rich in natural resources. Russia supplies most of the world's nuclear power plants with fuel, and most of the fuel, oil, and coal, along with other essential commodities, are supplied by Russia to various countries. When the war broke out between Russia and Ukraine, all the world's communication with Russia was cut off, which had a bad effect on the economy of all the countries. So war can never bring anything good for both countries including other countries of the world.

The impact of the war has a negative impact not only on oil but on all exportable and importable products, due to which many important stocks have decreased in the world market due to which the prices of daily necessities have increased at a huge rate.
Currently, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the war between Israel and Palestine has a huge impact on the world, and in my country, the prices of all imported goods from Ukraine, Russia, Israel and Palestine have a huge impact.

Economiy is more important of the country and country people. Economiy will not gowth. Country not will be growth. If need to growth economy in country Frist people growth important. So improve the people growth. Then easy to improve the country and cuntery people.

Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces almost daily strikes at Russian military targets on the territory of the temporarily occupied Crimean peninsula. First of all, expensive Russian air defense systems, command posts, communications facilities, military airfields and everything else that support the war in Ukraine are being actively destroyed. Strikes are also carried out with various fire weapons on Russian territory, up to a thousand kilometers deep into Russia. And where then is the promised nuclear strike?

Russia was very worried that Ukraine would become a member of NATO and that US military bases would  be located on its territory. The attack on Ukraine led to Sweden and Finland quickly becoming members of NATO and Russia gaining a border of more than 1,200 kilometers with NATO member Finland.

Moreover, on July 1, the Finnish Parliament unanimously approved the Defense Cooperation Agreement between Finland and the United States. Under the treaty, which sets the stage for U.S. activities and a more permanent presence in Finland, the country will open 15 military bases for potential use by U.S. troops. The United States will also receive permission to import defense equipment, equipment, materials and soldiers into Finland. In addition, the agreement provides for the creation of certain military zones, which will include facilities to which only American personnel will have access.
https://focus.ua/voennye-novosti/655424-parlament-finlyandii-odobril-oboronnoe-soglashenie-s-ssha-postroyat-15-voennyh-baz-na-granice-s-rf

Russia had also previously threatened Finland with consequences if it became a NATO member. So what's the result? Now the units of Russian troops near the border with Finland have decreased by about 80 percent, and accordingly, military equipment has disappeared. Everything is thrown into Ukraine, where Russia is suffering colossal losses. And US military bases near the border with Russia have ceased to be a threat to Russia. Everything goes according to plan.

Forget the GDP even and just a take good look at Palestine for example and to be specific @Gaza, the whole city has been leveled to the ground and there is absolutely nothing you can take out of that place and that is what we call the full effect of war. The whole Gaza is facing infrastructure and human decline just because of the toll of Israeli war on that zone and that's why no matter the cause war is never the answer or solution.

I explained the legal aspects of the presence of Russian citizens in the occupied territories of Ukraine and do not at all justify their murder. But Russia should think about this first of all, calling on its citizens to go on vacation to the occupied Crimea, where the fighting is taking place. The Kremlin understands this very well. Therefore, Putin has not yet commented on the death of Russian civilians in the occupied territories, including in Crimea, precisely because he realizes that their death lies entirely with the political leadership of Russia, which started the war.

And regarding the fact that even Russian Z-patriots admit that Russian air defense was to blame for the incident on the beach of Sevastopol, which shot down a missile over the beach of Sevastopol, even former State Duma deputy Viktor Alksnis said in an interview with the propaganda resource “Stalingrad”.
https://www.dialog.ua/war/297622_1719746229

If Russia has not officially declared war on Ukraine, abandoning its armies to capture Ukraine, this does not mean that there is no war. The very fact of a massive military invasion and the start of hostilities already means war and does not require any additional acts. UN documents do not contain the term “declaration of war” at all.

Ukraine does not declare war on Russia for the reason that, from the point of view of international law, a state that declares war is an aggressor, even if it is the victim of an attack. That is, if Ukraine declares war on Russia, it will turn out that Ukraine will become an aggressor.
https://24tv.ua/ru/pochemu-ukraina-do-sih-por-ne-objavila-vojnu-objasnil-pervyj-genprokuror-24-kanal_n2475427

Aren’t you at all concerned that the Russian occupiers fire every day from all types of weapons at the front-line settlements of Ukraine, including every day striking with spotting bombs weighing from half a ton to three tons, and at the same time killing civilians in Ukraine every day? Are you not at all concerned that every day Russia is now striking the same bombs and missiles at the city of one million Kharkov, which happens to be closest to the Russian border and which Putin’s Russia is now trying to turn into ruins and a ghost town? For some reason, Russia actually screamed when four civilians were killed on the beach due to the negligence of Russian air defense and even initiated consideration of this issue at the UN.

What a fucking nazi pig you are! I hope you understand you're trying to justify the killing of civilians including kids?

You are mentioning some laws and conventions but is there any war going on de jure? Did Russia declare war on Ukraine? No. Did Ukraine declare war on Russia? Again no. So why do you mention these conventions which are only effective during war?

Many people who live in Crimea are actually Ukrainian citizens or ex-Ukrainian citizens who decided to accept Russian citizenship only recently. Which makes this merciless attack even more horrific.

By the way, why are you still here? Your compatriots are dying in trenches and you're shitposting from the safety of your home? 

In the case of the death of civilians on the beach of Sevastopol, one more important point should be taken into account. International law, it turns out, does not protect Russian civilians if they are in the occupied territory of Ukraine - in Crimea, Donbass or in other Russian-occupied territories of Ukraine.

The only document protecting the rights of citizens during war is the Geneva Convention of 1949, which also regulates the protection of citizens in occupied territories. According to this convention, citizens of all countries except the aggressor country are protected. That is, Russian citizens are not protected by international conventions while in Crimea.

This is why the Ukrainian army has the right to destroy Russian civilians in Crimea without taking into account their interests. For example, if there are 100 Russian citizens and one military man on the beach, the Ukrainian military has the right to launch missile attacks there.

Ukraine has long warned Russian citizens not to come to the occupied territory of Ukraine, because fighting is taking place almost everywhere there. If Russia encourages their arrival, then it is Russia that is responsible for their safety and their death from hostilities.

In the old days basically it was farming, that was their means for survival they do not rely on industrial products they have all it takes to survive in hard times the only negative impact it has on them is restriction from reaching out to your farm.
But in this modern days life, we can see that there are no wars but the economy is still not functioning well talk more of of when wars are fought regularly it won't be a nice one because it's just hunger that would kill most people most people who have their own businesses would witness shortage, goods would get damaged, while some as a result of the war may lose their business places.

Then another factor to consider is why the war was fought? If the war was fought for the betterment of the economy and at last victorious yes things would be damaged but at last the economy will get better.
So war has to be classified in this two ways to label if the economy will be bad or good that's my contribution thank you.

It is not Ukraine that violates the rights of civilians living on the Russian-occupied Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea, but Russia.

On Tuesday, June 25, the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) announced a decision on the merits in the first interstate case in the ECHR “Ukraine v. Russia” regarding Crimea, recognizing the existence of systematic violations of human rights in the occupied peninsula by the aggressor country since 2014.

The ECtHR unanimously found that Ukraine proved the existence of administrative practices on the part of Russia:

- Disappearances and the lack of an effective investigation in this regard under Article 2 of the Convention;
- ill-treatment and unlawful detention under articles 3 and 5 of the Convention;
- Illegal dissemination of Russian legislation, as a result of which the courts in Crimea cannot be considered established in accordance with the law, under Article 6;
- Forced change of Ukrainian citizenship to Russian under Article 8 of the Convention;
- Systematic mass searches in violation of Article 8;
- Forced transfer of convicts to the territory of the Russian Federation in violation of Article 8;
- Attacks and persecution of religious leaders who did not belong to the Russian Orthodox Church, searches and confiscation of property in this regard, in violation of Article 9;
- Closure of non-Russian media, including Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar television stations, constant harassment and attacks on journalists in violation of Article 10;
Prohibition of peaceful assemblies and protests and attacks and persecution of their organizers in violation of Article 11 of the Convention;
- Expropriation of private property in violation of Article 1 of the First Protocol;
- Closure of Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar classes contrary to Article 2 of the First Protocol;
- Violation of the right to freedom of movement between the occupied territory of Crimea and the mainland of Ukraine;
- Discrimination against Crimean Tatars;
- Violation of the rights of political prisoners, the impossibility of their return to Ukraine and cruel treatment of them in the occupied Crimea and the territory of the Russian Federation.
https://nv.ua/world/geopolitics/razgromnoe-reshenie-dlya-rf-espch-vynes-verdikt-po-delu-ukraina-protiv-rossii-po-krymu-50429951.html

In addition, on June 25, the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for ex-Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and the head of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov in connection with attacks on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine and harm to civilians and relate to events that took place from October 10, 2022 to at least March 9, 2023, as well as for war crimes of causing excessive incidental harm to the civilian population or damage to civilian objects. In addition, they are suspected of a crime against humanity “in the form of inhumane acts.”
https://www.bbc.com/russian/articles/cy008y2nny1o

https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/derzhdepi-ssha-vidreaguvali-vidachu-mks-orderiv-1719368764.html

Ukraine is documenting the war crimes of the Putin regime in Ukraine and the perpetrators will eventually receive the punishment they deserve.

Weapons factories also need oil when making any production for war needs and this is clearly felt by all countries that have weapons factories so that petroleum is not only used for transportation. Apart from that, electric transportation manufacturers also need more oil as their energy source because without oil, they cannot produce electric transportation equipment such as motorbikes and cars. Meanwhile, in the war sector, oil is also used for jet aircraft and warships, so the impact on the price of oil itself also has very unstable fluctuations in the market.

Poor attempt to justify your below par performance on the frontline. The morale of your troops is low, your command is giving illogical, suicidal orders but who is to blame? The US and allies! Pretty convenient, isn't it? 

And perhaps you could provide some non-Ukrainian sources regarding the super successful Ukrainian counter-offensive that you mentioned?  Which towns have been recaptured? 

I told you already and I'll say it again: all the weapons of the world won't stop Russia from defeating Ukraine eventually. If I were the president of Ukraine, I'd sign a peace agreement on virtually any terms, because it's the only way to keep Ukraine's liberty, sovereignty and nation intact.

Muahaha, what a deja vu! Some pages above, you were whining about Russians targeting civilian targets and I was trying to prove that's Ukrainian anti-missile defence working poorly. So, now you're in my shoes trying to prove it's not bloodthirsty Zelensky killing children but rather Russian anti-missile defence mishap. Isn't that ironic, troll?     

Perhaps you could share these "videos and photos" with us? From reputable international sources of course, not some Ukrainian propaganda media shitholes. 

In fact they can! How about not attacking peaceful cities which pose no threat to AFU? 

That's what I'm saying. And I'm taking about economic pressure, not even military. Firstly, ban all trading with Russia. Secondly, imply harsh sanctions on those countries who helps Russia to circumvent the ban. Will it be easy for the civilized world? No. But war is never easy, and I propose although economic but still a war. There will be much less goods on your shelves, there will be less tools that you might need, but you have to fight evil. You have to.

The Russian occupiers slowly moved deeper into the territory of Ukraine, when the Ukrainian Armed Forces had acute problems with weapons and ammunition due to the fact that the United States suspended military assistance to Ukraine for more than six months due to internal squabbles in connection with the upcoming US presidential elections. At the same time, Russia received enough drones from Iran and several million ammunition from North Korea, and Ukraine was unable to receive even half of the one million ammunition promised by the West. But now the situation at the front has already changed and parity in ammunition has been restored. In some cases, the occupiers have already howled because the Ukrainian Armed Forces are now putting up a worthy rebuff. Thus, the Russian offensive in the Kharkov direction since May 10 has not only stalled, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have successfully counterattacked and liberated the occupied territories, and the battle for the border city of Volchansk has turned into an unsuccessful attempt by the Russians to liberate part of the occupiers who were surrounded at the Volchansk Aggregate Plant.

As for the incident with four dead and about 150 wounded civilians relaxing on the beach of Sevastopol on June 23, this occurred as a result of the work of Russian air defense, and not a targeted shelling of the territory of this beach. One of the missiles, aimed at a military airfield, was shot down over the beach.

So, half an hour later, the Russian head of Sevastopol, Mikhail Razvozhaev, reported in his Telegram channel that the repulsion of the missile attack had ended: “According to preliminary information, 5 air targets were destroyed in the sky above the water area. But fragments of the downed targets fell in the coastal zone.”

The Russian Ministry of Defense also admitted that civilian casualties occurred as a result of the work of Russian air defense. “During the repulsion of a terrorist attack by air defense forces on duty, four American ATACMS missiles were shot down. Another missile, as a result of the impact of air defense systems, deviated from the flight path at the final stage and detonated the warhead in the air over the city territory,” the department said.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2024/06/23/7462166/

https://ru.krymr.com/a/sevastopol-uchkuevka-pvo-smert-plyag/33006880.html

Videos and photos show Russian troops placing military equipment near civilian targets in Crimea. In this case, Russian air defense systems were located on a hill just two kilometers from the beach. There were no means of warning about the air raid, nor any shelters. But the Russian authorities are encouraging the tourist season to Crimea from all over Russia, despite the fact that the occupied Crimean peninsula has already turned into a war zone. The civilian population is accustomed to the fact that Ukraine uses high-precision weapons to destroy only Russian military targets - airfields, air defense systems, command posts and ammunition depots, and therefore do not pay much attention to missile attacks and drone attacks. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces cannot in any way influence the situation of Russian air defense operations over beaches and other concentrations of civilians.



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Your parallel world is missing:

Russia too is loosing troops daily, and if Russia gains territory why is Russia not knocking on the doorsteps of Kiew? 
I missed actually the outcry when Russia hit the hospitals or kindergartens.

https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2024-04-06/russian-missile-strikes-in-ukraine-kill-8-and-wound-12

Yes, in your parallel universe, Russia is using it's innovative, rare, expensive weapons to target civilian targets. For some reason, I believe you (NOT!).  

Meanwhile in the real world:

* Ukraine is losing territories and troops daily. Russia is reporting about capturing new towns and villages almost every day. The number of POWs is enormous.
* Ukraine has hit a beach in Sevastopol killing and injuring hundreds, including many kids.
* Global corporations like Coca-Cola are returning to Russia (who would have thought?).

I feel we all have failed in our duty because I feel like their should be agencies that will stop the governments from going or starting war be, the war between Ukraine and Russia started long ago and both the governments have refused to back down for one another just because they both feel they have the resources to go to war with anyone. Then don’t value the conditions that they will put their people, even the money they spend because every operation during war costs money, but they still go ahead with it their plan of going to war and that is very bad of them. And Russia was having issue then with their market supply just because of the war, their is no way war will not affect a countries economy.

And I don’t know why the united nation are always finding it difficult to maintain peace I feel their should be serious penalties for going against them because even with warnings they will still want to flex muscles on one another, we just hope this whole thing will end very soon and the people that need war to be waged against is the government for their maltreatment to their citizens and not making the economy work well and embezzlement of public funds so they need war.

I'm not sure the United Nations has a mission to maintain peace because after all, in this world it's not just about war, but it's also about genocide. But after all, the United Nations is not really able to stop genocide and war. Maybe the war can still be resolved with a ceasefire, of course to create peace on this earth. But regarding genocide, basically they didn't fight but carried out massacres, but the United Nations was unable to achieve independence in the modern era like this. But indeed,  the existence of war will clearly have an bad impact on the global economy, so of course peace will be very important to implement so that the world economy remains good.