Topic: The impact of war on global economy. - page 4. (Read 2948 times)

War has a big effect but it depends on what country are involved, if the country who is involved is the number one source of fuel the it is possible that the effect on it to the country who imported a fuel to them is very big, all goods or daily needs products will rise because fuel is very important specially in transportation goods from one place to another,so even if there are only two countries involved every country around them will be affected.

the war in Ukraine vs Russia alone already brought the gas and oil prices to the roof. if we are to see a higher price i guess its all up to NATO as to what they are to do to poke the bear. it's not worth it to go into a war when your country is not going to get richer after the war. whether you win, it will still be devastating and the trauma to the kids.

if China is going to be drag into a war, the whole world will be affected. not just ten involved countries.

War is a destructive force and in the current age it shows great weakness, at least when you do it in a way that Russia has done - attacking a direct neighbor, but not being able to punch a decisive throw and now deteriorating their own economy every single day it continues. You could say it was inevitable, as Putin  becomes a weaker old man every day, he wanted this one last flex to try and claw back something for Russia, but we he falls - and he will - it will all go back to Ukraine and this whole affair will have been a colossal waste for both sides - plus Russia has made an enemy for a very long time that will never want to trade with them again in future and will do everything to undermine them

The war is a very difficult situation and everyone will surely become affected specially when the country who engaged the war is the main supplier of fuel, gasoline, oil, etc.,there is a big possiblity that their product price will rise and leads to a very high implation and make everyone suffer a financial crisis, so we need to pray that all the war will end and we may have a one united world under god to avoid this war for good.

Oddly enough, it is the war in Ukraine that has dragged on into its third year and failures on the Ukrainian front that can force Putin’s Russia to attack the Baltic countries as well. Russia has long shown that its leadership is completely inadequate and its actions are not particularly amenable to rational logic. These NATO countries are very vulnerable from a geographical point of view to Russia. It will be very difficult for NATO countries to deploy their forces and it will take a very long time. Russia may take such a reckless step to force Europe to negotiate peace with it in Ukraine on its terms.

On the other hand, Russia is very interested in the Suwalki corridor, which is located between Poland and Lithuania and connects Belarus with the Kaliningrad region of Russia. This became very relevant when Sweden and Finland recently became new NATO members and the Baltic Sea effectively became an internal sea of NATO countries. Therefore, the seizure of the Suwalki corridor recently became the subject of conversation between Putin and Lukashenko at their last meeting in Moscow.

1.Generally true. Wars often lead to destruction of infrastructure, disruption of trade, and loss of human capital. While there can be short-term boosts from defense spending, sustained economic growth is unlikely during a prolonged war.

2.This is largely accurate. Oil fuels military vehicles, ships, and aircraft. Disruptions to oil supplies can severely hinder military operations, making it a vital strategic resource.

3.True, but it's a simplification. Wars introduce uncertainty and instability, leading investors to become risk-averse. However, specific industries like defense and oil may see their stocks rise due to increased demand.

Overall, your statements reflect common effects of war on the economy, but it's essential to remember that  the economic impact of war is always complex and depends on the specific conflict, its duration, and the nations involved.

The other two ideas aren't as straightforward as true or false. Statement number two is true: while war often causes a drop in the value of stocks, this is frequently not the case. during the seasons of conflict, commodities may rise because buyers believe industries that give services and products to military personnel are more secure. Finally, while war usually results in price increases, it is not a given conclusion. It relies on a number of circumstances, including the seriousness of the war and the country's general financial situation.

No, you are definitely a Russian, if not by nationality, then by the great imperial Russian ideology. Finland and Sweden submitted their applications to join NATO after Russia carried out a large-scale military invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Isn't this a sufficient justification for joining this alliance, when they saw how Russia is trying to brazenly and brutally destroy a neighboring state? On the other hand, only the people of Finland and Sweden, as well as the government they elected, can determine their foreign policy course, and no Russia has the right to tell them here.
Russia has already attacked the borders of Finland with refugees from third countries, as it previously tried to do on the Belarusian-Polish border. Therefore, Finland was forced to completely close the border with Russia since last fall.

As for Russia’s preparations for an attack on NATO countries, in particular the Baltic countries, in this matter each country relies on its own sources, including its intelligence data, and publishes only its conclusions, and not the facts about such preparations. From the point of view of Kremlin propaganda, of course, all countries that have not fallen under Russian influence are puppets of the United States.

Until the very last day before the attack on Ukraine, Putin and his circle denied at all official levels the possibility of an attack on it. Therefore, European countries already know that the Putin regime cannot be taken at its word. And since the Kremlin’s mouthpieces periodically continue to threaten a good half of European countries with various methods of military attack, even this is enough for these countries to consider such a threat real. Partly because of this, Europe is now increasing the size and armament of its army, increasing the production of the defense industry and continues to provide all possible assistance to Ukraine to protect it from Russian occupiers.

This is so messed up everyone seems to have no conscience at all towards other innocent people. The effects of prolonged war have caused great setbacks throughout the world, all crises have occurred and will always have a bad impact. Just imagine how greedy those with iron fists are who make people have to evacuate and delay eating every time the time comes, how children have lost their hope of life. How tragic! So who can make it end quickly? United Nations leaders must take this seriously and quickly so that the world can recover.

War leads to forced migration causing potentially large displacements of population,and the war has thus pushed 7.1 million more people into poverty,hindering so many years of growth and progress.

The impacts of war increasingly lead to further harm by making food insecurity and leading poverty to a more dangerous levels.It has promoted food shortages in so many stages.War creates room for so many difficulties and cumbersome frustrations at large.People literally undergo delay,slowdown in economic performances and extreme food insecurity at large.

There's a general global instability and wreckage caused by the emergence of war on the society and individuals by reducing the standard of living.

Today's war, unleashed by the terrorist Kremlin regime, is especially dangerous because they are not simply waging a war of conquest in the “scorched earth” concept in Ukraine, they are also destabilizing the whole world, feeding and provoking their “lap dogs” all over the world. The world of terror and violence, maddened by impunity, has a big trump card - to destroy and destroy is always incomparably easier and cheaper than to create and build. By investing 1 dollar in terror, you can destroy thousands of dollars worth of simple material assets, destroy lives... Corrupt politicians, “on a leash” from the Kremlin, easily sabotage the work of entire governments and unions. Total lies are another weapon of terrorist countries - they are in many information channels...
I hope the modern world will draw conclusions that it did not do after the Second World War - we must not flirt with and give the opportunity to develop to bastard regimes. Otherwise, the whole world will plunge into chaos, carnage, and today’s time will seem “very nice” to us.

Nobody cares what that US sockpuppet has to say. Estonia is de-facto governed by the US. These poor Estonian guys just literally receive their press-releases and speeches from the US embassy. The Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service = CIA. They keep whining about Russia attacking them for like last 20-25 years or so already.

How can these reforms be a proof of Russia preparing an attack on the Baltics?

This is Russia's response to a further unreasonable NATO expansion (Finland + Sweden).

Don't mix reality with these hypothetical scenarios of the military. 

We are not considering what happens to people's lives, on the other hand, it affects the standard of living because commodities will be scarce because a lot of people's shops will be destroyed and only a few people will have access to them.  except for the aid that is coming from the government and not everyone will be able to collect most of the aid and talk about health. and have been wondering about some countries that have poor health care, and how or what they will do during war. So there are more serious issues than just the economy of the country at war. and the prices of oil and energy might not be that important compared to food and health. and also were to hide to avoid being hit by missiles, gunshots, or anything. because a lot of people will lose their houses and it would even lead to a high standard of living and also cost the country more to restore normalcy in that country.

War is an endless circle that can have profound consequences for the global economy, including interruptions to supply chains, price increases, higher borrowing costs, and instability in politics.

One of the most troubling consequences is the rise in energy and food prices. Violence in important industries can have an impact on both food and energy manufacturing, resulting in less availability and higher prices for these essential goods. This can have serious consequences for persons and companies, particularly for nations that depend largely on exports.

Political instability is a further problem, as war can result in government changes, and currency is a big concern during wartime.

The problem of the modern world is that unreasonableness in the choice of partners, as well as greed and cowardice of the world elites, led to the fact that such cancerous tumors of the world as Russia, Iran, North Korea and the like were able to gain strength and arm themselves. As a result, we got what we are seeing now. It should also be understood that it is easier for these "cancerous tumor" countries, they have no values and aim only at destruction and chaos. The developed world has to spend an order of magnitude more money and effort. Therefore, either the modern developed world will make the right lesson and simply destroy such "centers of fatal disease", or these tumors will destroy the modern world. I hope for reason, and a systematic fight against what is trying to kill the world.

The Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service said the Kremlin is preparing for a possible conflict with NATO that could arise in the next decade, in particular by moving to a mass army model. As the intelligence report explains, Russia's intentions are evidenced by army reforms initiated by Russian Defense Minister Shoigu. In particular, the Russians decided to eliminate the joint strategic commands and return to the model of command and control by types of forces and special forces. Thus, in the northwestern part of the Russian Federation, the Baltic and Northern Fleet will be transferred to the direct subordination of the Russian Navy, and the air defense will be subordinated to the Aerospace Forces. Military districts will begin to function as territorial military commands.

Another change: on February 26, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree “On military-administrative separation.” Now in Russia the Western Military District (WMD) will be disbanded, and in its place the Leningrad (LPO) and Moscow (MPO) military districts will be formed, as was the case before 2010. The decree, according to analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), is a sign that Russia is preparing for war against NATO. This is due to the fact that the LPO will now cover the area along the northeastern border of NATO, and the MVO will border the northeastern part of Ukraine and Poland. This does not stretch the strategic focus, as in the case of the Western Military District, and will allow the Russian Federation to simultaneously field troops against NATO countries, optimize command and control over troops for waging war in Ukraine.

The third important management change in the Russian Army is the addition of a corps command level to the command structure of the ground forces. It is planned to switch to a four-level management scheme: military district - army - corps - division. Previously, army corps were already part of the structure of the Russian ground forces, but they were only located in geographically isolated regions, such as the Kaliningrad region, Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands or the Kola Peninsula.

Shoigu's reform also envisages increasing the number of troops to 1.5 million by 2026, reorganizing 12 ground and naval brigades into divisions and creating dozens of new units larger than a regiment in the ground forces, air force, navy and airborne forces.
https://hromadske.ua/ru/posts/razvedka-estonii-rossiya-gotovitsya-k-vojne-s-nato-v-sleduyushie-10-let-i-uzhe-narashivaet-nastupatelnye-vozmozhnosti

  Last year, Russia deployed Kalibr missile-carrying ships to Lake Ladoga near St. Petersburg for the first time. Already, the Russians are actively using electronic warfare systems, communications suppression, and GPS signals in the Baltic region.
https://24tv.ua/ru/rossija-gotovitsja-k-vojne-nato-k-kakim-provokacijam-protiv-evropy_n2504436

Germany has already developed a secret plan in the event of a “dramatic scenario of a hybrid large-scale Russian attack on NATO’s eastern flank” in the summer of 2025.

The first stage, according to the German military, will begin this spring with the additional mobilization of 200 thousand military personnel in Russia and the successful spring offensive of the Russian army in Ukraine until June this year. In July, Russia will begin, first covertly, and then increasingly overtly, an attack on Western countries using cyber sabotage and other hybrid methods of warfare - mainly against the Baltic countries.

In September, Russia begins large-scale Zapad 2024 exercises in western Russia and Belarus, in October it deploys medium-range missiles and builds up its troops in the Kaliningrad region, ostensibly to preempt an impending NATO attack. In fact, Russia plans to seize the narrow Suwalki corridor on the border between Poland and Lithuania and stage a border conflict there in December 2024 with numerous casualties. In May 2025, NATO decides on deterrence measures to prevent Russia from attacking the Suwalki corridor from the Kaliningrad region and from Belarus.

And then, in conditions of temporary anarchy in the United States after the presidential elections, Russia repeats the Eastern Ukrainian scenario of 2014, but on NATO territory. On “Day X,” the NATO commander-in-chief orders the transfer of 300 thousand alliance troops, including 30 thousand Bundeswehr soldiers to NATO’s eastern flank. It is not clear how the escalation ends: on the 30th day after “Day X”, half a million heavily armed Russian and NATO soldiers will confront each other in the area of the Suwalki corridor.
https://www.dw.com/ru/ataka-rossii-na-nato-eksperty-o-publikacii-v-bild/a-67985738

Yes, war creates so much difficulties for any country, nation, government, etc. You know when any country gets attacked neighboring country must spend more than its normal budget cause they have many economic interconnections. This makes the situation when the cost of everything will be increased. Which is not good for any country or nation. It makes normal life abnormal.



It affects transportation and logistics because the price of oil, petrol, octane everything will be increased. When people lost their lives, and work their purchasing power significantly dropped, economy was ruined in a sudden, I don't only talk about the affected country but also the entire world economy hampered because of war. so it is not expected for any country, that's why we have to be patient. We should not lose our temper and start fighting, we should do everything thinking about future generations.

Indeed, war conditions can make the economy not normal because wars like now are too sophisticated and more destructive. For an economy to recover from war it may take years due to the destruction caused by war. In the economic recovery phase resulting from the impact of war, industry will grow and emerge to rebuild the aftermath of the war, some businesses will even survive and some will not be able to recover.

I totally agree with you, actually war is a curse for any country or nation. It brings negative consequences on infrastructure, public health provision, and social order.

As you mentioned about oil and energy price, it destroys the country's economy actually. Everyday activities of a community or country are disrupted and property may be damaged.

Yes metals, aluminum and palladium price goes up, with this, some companies also take profit from war. you know, because of war, weapon manufacturers company and medicine companies can make profits. Because of war many people are injured, and die so at that point medicines are essential. So medicine companies make good profits.


Agreed, fiat value of affected country dropped significantly, neighbor country also dont want to take their fiat. The economy collapses in a way that takes years to recover. for example Ukraine's economy has now collapsed, Palestine's economy is left with nothing.

What makes you think so? Have you got any proof? Any source to support your claim? Russia does not need the Baltic States. These countries are tiny, have no valuable resources and are protected by NATO as member states. Russia is not ready to take on NATO now and won't be in foreseeable future.