The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 18.

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Quote from: l99l on October 21, 2024, 10:35:30 AM

Holloway turns on immortality mode when it comes to standing combat. Holloway has a bad record with Volkonovski, so bettors are very likely to turn to Topuria.
I liked this risk, it's clearly a bit high odds and it sounds good because it's Max.
I also like to follow İbo Aslan progress in the UFC, I will bet on him separately, I hope he continues his winning streak.

Holloway is used to fighting tough guys and has never been KO'd but he can also KO Topuria. I think it's also worth taking that 3.15 bet on Holloway. Although Topuria is tough, Holloway could absorb his strikes just as he did with Volk. The odds are still not available, but it must be worth the wait. Holloway by KO might be 5.00.

If bettors leaning on Ilia, him winning by KO would be 2.20. These two are exchanging bible verses, an exciting fight to see.

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Holloway turns on immortality mode when it comes to standing combat. Holloway has a bad record with Volkonovski, so bettors are very likely to turn to Topuria.
I liked this risk, it's clearly a bit high odds and it sounds good because it's Max.
I also like to follow İbo Aslan progress in the UFC, I will bet on him separately, I hope he continues his winning streak.

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^ The bookies are giving nice odds for Holloway which is very tempting. If Holloway could keep his distance from Topuria same as Volk did in R1 of their match then Holloway could win with the volume upside. But dunno... I was more confident with my Royval call than this one.

UFC 308: Countdown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfrUF74cDQc

Quote from: Hirose UK on October 19, 2024, 09:56:31 PM

Quote from: tokeweed on October 19, 2024, 06:16:26 AM

~snip~

Previously Michel Pereira had pretty good 8-win streak but on the other hand Anthony Hernandez also had 5-win streak, Michel Pereira advantage lies in his experience and his strong kicks and locks.
Hernandez who has background in Muay Thai and wrestling can have longer endurance with more guaranteed power performance, but I predict Michel Pereira can win by KO even though in the end it all ended with an unexpected surprise where Hernandez got the win by KO.
This was really unexpected and Michel Pereira had to accept defeat after series of wins that he had achieved.

But was it all 'unexpected' tho..? If you watched the match, it ended in one of the possibilities we discussed. That if Hernandez could take Pereira down then Pereira will be in all kinds of trouble. Hernandez could win via SUB or ground and pound him to oblivion... And he did and won via ground and pound. The guy is no joke.

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UFC 308

Date: October 26, 2024

Preliminary Card: SAT, OCT 26 / 5:00 PM GMT+3
Main Card: SAT, OCT 26 / 9:00 PM GMT+3

Venue: Etihad Arena

Main card (ESPN)
Featherweight: Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway
Middleweight: Robert Whittaker vs. Khamzat Chimaev
Featherweight: Lerone Murphy vs. Dan Ige
Light Heavyweight: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Aleksandar Rakić
Middleweight: Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Armen Petrosyan

Preliminary card (ESPN)
Welterweight: Geoff Neal vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Lightweight: Mateusz Rębecki vs. Myktybek Orolbai
Bantamweight: Said Nurmagomedov vs. Daniel Santos
Middleweight: Abusupiyan Magomedov vs. Brunno Ferreira
Bantamweight: Farid Basharat vs. Victor Hugo
Middleweight: Ismail Naurdiev vs. Bruno Silva
Welterweight: Rinat Fakhretdinov vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
Light Heavyweight: Ibo Aslan vs. Raffael Cerqueira

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_308

Hirose UK

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Quote from: tokeweed on October 19, 2024, 06:16:26 AM

~snip~

Previously Michel Pereira had pretty good 8-win streak but on the other hand Anthony Hernandez also had 5-win streak, Michel Pereira advantage lies in his experience and his strong kicks and locks.
Hernandez who has background in Muay Thai and wrestling can have longer endurance with more guaranteed power performance, but I predict Michel Pereira can win by KO even though in the end it all ended with an unexpected surprise where Hernandez got the win by KO.
This was really unexpected and Michel Pereira had to accept defeat after series of wins that he had achieved.

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Quote from: danherbias07 on October 18, 2024, 11:45:58 AM

Quote from: tokeweed on October 18, 2024, 06:36:11 AM

Quote from: TopTort777 on October 17, 2024, 08:43:17 AM

But imagine what hysteria would be, if Belal would finish Shavkhat by KO Cheesy

I think that will shut lots of mouths Cheesy

UFC is full for surprises. Nobody before believed that this guy show name people hardly remember, will beat Edwards. Edwards fought on his homeland, was on a hype after beating Usman twice. And still lost to Belal. However I would still go with Shavkhat.

P.S. This weekends Ngannou fights in PFL against a guy who is even bigger than Ngannou Cheesy

Yeah we can't deny something like that not happening but I think as a comparison between Muhammad vs Rakhmonov and Usman vs Edwards, there's a higher possibility that Edwards would KO Usman than Muhammad KO'ing Rakhmonov. Edwards is a good striker while Muhammad is a wrestler. And Usman was showing some signs that he's low key chinny after that match up with Burns... Burns knocked Usman down at the first round.

Weigh ins in 4 hours folks...

UFC Fight Night 245: Hernandez vs Pereira Official Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkQoVAUu5r4

Who are you betting for?
I think this is like a match that will just add to Michel Pereira's winning streak. Well, both have a good winning streak in their last fights but the experience will be the difference. 31-11 for Pereira at 31 years of age and Hernandez at the same age as Pereira but with a low amount of battles.

I wish Hernandez hadn't partyed last night because it's his birthday. He will be energized without a doubt but the alcohol could also change your mentality and condition.
I am putting my money on Pereira on this match.

Mmm, I like Pereira but Hernandez is no joke. If Hernandez could take Pereira down then he'll be in a whole lot of sht on the ground. I know some guys would bring up Pereira's TD defense stat which is around 90% or something... But really check the last 8 guys that he fought. Just one grappler and that guy he KO'd in R1 so it doesn't really matter.

So yeah, I might be leaning on Pereira now but will be bet money on it..? Prolly not. Maybe 10 bucks for the lulz. But again it'd be a waste of money. If I wanna bet on an underdog, I'd rather wait for 308 and gamble on Holloway.

Here are the weigh in results.

Anthony Hernandez (185.5) vs Michel Pereira (185.5)
Rob Font (135.5) vs Kyler Phillips (135.5)
Charles Johnson (126) vs Su Mudaerji (126)
Jake Hadley (135.5) vs Cameron Smotherman (135.5)
Darren Elkins (144.5) vs Daniel Pineda (145.5)
Asu Almabayev (125.5) vs Matheus Nicolau (125.5)
Brad Katona (135.5) vs Jean Matsumoto (135.5)
Joselyne Edwards (139)* vs Tamires Vidal (135.5)
Jessica Penne (115.5) vs Elise Reed (115)
Alice Ardelean (115) vs Melissa Martinez (115.5)
Robelis Despaigne (264) vs Austen Lane (251)

*Missed weight

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I saw Paddy the Baddy on BeardMeatsFood’s YouTube channel yesterday. Beard was taking on Paddy’s wings record at his local pub. Obviously Beard set a new record but it was a funny video to watch for several reasons. We also got to see another side of Paddy. Check it out. BeardMeatsFood is great to enjoy while eating a big meal.

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Quote from: Synchronice on October 18, 2024, 05:18:01 AM

It will be interesting to see him fighting against Islam but I think he has no chance against Islam. Islam is getting better every day. There is a huge difference between Islam when he fought Volkanovski at first and the last time. Islam is also high and his reach is much higher than Topuria's. I wouldn't say that Topuria has 0 chance against him but I would say that there is a high chance Islam wins but (again but), Topuria is unpredictable in a good way.

I think Topuria would still take it. If he beats Max, he would want to go for whatever fight pays the most, and that would likely be Islam. He's got not much to lose, if he suffers a defeat, he could just say he lost to a bigger guy from a higher weight class and return to the featherweight.

Meanwhile, the UFC 312 is confirmed to take place in Sydney in February. The cards are not yet known but Alex Volkanovski said he will likely be there and that he was promised a title shot, or even an interim title fight if the winner of Topuria/Holloway decides to move up.

https://bloodyelbow.com/2024/10/17/alexander-volkanovski-confirms-plan-to-fight-on-newly-announced-ufc-312-card-in-australia-suggests-interim-title-clash-with-diego-lopes/

We might also see Whittaker going against Du Plessis again, provided he wins with Khamzat, which he won't.

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Quote from: tokeweed on October 18, 2024, 06:36:11 AM

Quote from: TopTort777 on October 17, 2024, 08:43:17 AM

But imagine what hysteria would be, if Belal would finish Shavkhat by KO Cheesy

I think that will shut lots of mouths Cheesy

UFC is full for surprises. Nobody before believed that this guy show name people hardly remember, will beat Edwards. Edwards fought on his homeland, was on a hype after beating Usman twice. And still lost to Belal. However I would still go with Shavkhat.

P.S. This weekends Ngannou fights in PFL against a guy who is even bigger than Ngannou Cheesy

Yeah we can't deny something like that not happening but I think as a comparison between Muhammad vs Rakhmonov and Usman vs Edwards, there's a higher possibility that Edwards would KO Usman than Muhammad KO'ing Rakhmonov. Edwards is a good striker while Muhammad is a wrestler. And Usman was showing some signs that he's low key chinny after that match up with Burns... Burns knocked Usman down at the first round.

Weigh ins in 4 hours folks...

UFC Fight Night 245: Hernandez vs Pereira Official Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkQoVAUu5r4

Who are you betting for?
I think this is like a match that will just add to Michel Pereira's winning streak. Well, both have a good winning streak in their last fights but the experience will be the difference. 31-11 for Pereira at 31 years of age and Hernandez at the same age as Pereira but with a low amount of battles.

I wish Hernandez hadn't partyed last night because it's his birthday. He will be energized without a doubt but the alcohol could also change your mentality and condition.
I am putting my money on Pereira on this match.

tokeweed

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Quote from: TopTort777 on October 17, 2024, 08:43:17 AM

But imagine what hysteria would be, if Belal would finish Shavkhat by KO Cheesy

I think that will shut lots of mouths Cheesy

UFC is full for surprises. Nobody before believed that this guy show name people hardly remember, will beat Edwards. Edwards fought on his homeland, was on a hype after beating Usman twice. And still lost to Belal. However I would still go with Shavkhat.

P.S. This weekends Ngannou fights in PFL against a guy who is even bigger than Ngannou Cheesy

Yeah we can't deny something like that not happening but I think as a comparison between Muhammad vs Rakhmonov and Usman vs Edwards, there's a higher possibility that Edwards would KO Usman than Muhammad KO'ing Rakhmonov. Edwards is a good striker while Muhammad is a wrestler. And Usman was showing some signs that he's low key chinny after that match up with Burns... Burns knocked Usman down at the first round.

Weigh ins in 4 hours folks...

UFC Fight Night 245: Hernandez vs Pereira Official Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkQoVAUu5r4

Synchronice

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Quote from: pawel7777 on October 17, 2024, 06:44:58 AM

I don't use TikTok, but was getting some news/video feeds about Topuria, mainly about him announcing his willingness to move up to the lightweight to fight Islam after he defeats Holloway. But yeah, he has been very active recently by appearing on podcasts, giving interviews and trying to stir things up for publicity.
On one hand, you can't blame him, he has his 15 minutes and trying to squeeze as much out of it as possible. that includes doing his part in increasing PPV sales, for which he surely will receive his cut. On the other hand, there's that thing called decency and being a good human being. Doing anything for the money is a whorish behaviour.

It will be interesting to see him fighting against Islam but I think he has no chance against Islam. Islam is getting better every day. There is a huge difference between Islam when he fought Volkanovski at first and the last time. Islam is also high and his reach is much higher than Topuria's. I wouldn't say that Topuria has 0 chance against him but I would say that there is a high chance Islam wins but (again but), Topuria is unpredictable in a good way.

What I don't like about Topuria is that he copy/pastes Conor McGregor but is doing like Conor ordered from Temu. He isn't a trash talker and can't fake it, it's so obvious when he tries to trash talk.
By the way, I would really love to see Topuria vs Paddy Pimblett. Their last trash talk was great, Paddy got into Topuria's skin and made him insane.

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After Dvalishvili became a champ, social media started forcing his fight against Umar Nurmagomedov. While being under pressure, Dvalishvili agreed to fight him and commented something like "I am not running from nobody, if this what you want, I will fight him". But, it is said that Umar Nurmagomedov will be fighting Song Ya Dong on UFC on ESPN 63 this December.

What do you think about it? Fake? Or we might have Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 ?

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But imagine what hysteria would be, if Belal would finish Shavkhat by KO Cheesy

I think that will shut lots of mouths Cheesy

UFC is full for surprises. Nobody before believed that this guy show name people hardly remember, will beat Edwards. Edwards fought on his homeland, was on a hype after beating Usman twice. And still lost to Belal. However I would still go with Shavkhat.

P.S. This weekends Ngannou fights in PFL against a guy who is even bigger than Ngannou Cheesy

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Quote from: cabron on October 16, 2024, 11:52:16 AM

^ Belal winning against Shavkat? It's highly unlikely because Belal also couldn't finish anyone. This is why his record is just full of Unanimous Decisions; he is a UD artist.

Curious to see what Kai Asakura can do. He is given a shot to Pantoja being his UFC debut. UFC 310 should be worth your PPV. It's still a jam-packed event, despite Anthony Smith vs. Dominick Reyes being in the prelims.

It's not even just about Muhammad couldn't finish most of his opponents, he prolly will have a hard time taking down Shavkat Rakhmonov imho. Muhammad will prolly get caught with a guillotine. And on the feet, Rakhmonov is just waaay better than most of the guys at the top of 170. And the guy looks kinda huge for the division. Dunno, but I could see him move up to 185 in a couple of years.

As for Kai Asakura... It's weird that he got a title shot right off the bat. Just shows that 125 in the UFC is drying up. And mmmm... I don't think Asakura could win tho. But we'll see. He's prolly very good.

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Quote from: Synchronice on October 16, 2024, 02:23:21 PM

Does anyone watches Tuporia's recent videos? I don't know why but my TikTok is full of his videos despite the fact that I don't type him in my search. By the way, he is copying Conor McGregor. If I were him, I would be very ashamed. He has a tatoo similar to McGregor, he even copy/pastes what McGregor has said in his career. Recently, he said that he is more black from the belly button down than Francis Ngannou. Conor said the same thing when he was fighting Floyd Mayweather.
I think he wants to make this fight similar To Jose Aldo Vs McGregor.

I don't use TikTok, but was getting some news/video feeds about Topuria, mainly about him announcing his willingness to move up to the lightweight to fight Islam after he defeats Holloway. But yeah, he has been very active recently by appearing on podcasts, giving interviews and trying to stir things up for publicity.
On one hand, you can't blame him, he has his 15 minutes and trying to squeeze as much out of it as possible. that includes doing his part in increasing PPV sales, for which he surely will receive his cut. On the other hand, there's that thing called decency and being a good human being. Doing anything for the money is a whorish behaviour.

Speaking about McGregor, he allegedly announced his return on 1 Feb 2025 naming Dan Hooker as his rival, but Dan denies that saying he's not available to fight in February, due to his wife expecting to give birth around that time. So it looks like Conor is just making stuff up just to slow the pace his hype is dying out.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/31119580/conor-mcgregor-next-fight-date-dan-hooker-ufc-news/

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Quote from: tokeweed on October 16, 2024, 06:55:35 AM

I'm not talking about a big win either as if you want a really big win for your 3 bucks, I'd suggest a full leg degen parlay... I'm talking more about making a fair bet for your money if you're gonna bet on one guy. Lol. But yeah, it is what it is. Taira could have also won that match too if only he could strike a little better. Royval was just a tad too fast for Taira on the feet.

I have placed that bet only to get more fun watching the event Cheesy

It was good anyway, but with a super-duper 3 bucks bet, with combination of beer and snacks it was waaaay better to watch it Cheesy

Quote from: pawel7777 on October 16, 2024, 03:41:06 PM

Quote from: TopTort777 on October 16, 2024, 02:28:13 AM

Having several fights per night indeed sounds found. Fighters used to have 3 full fights per night during Pride times. But I doubt that anyone today will be ready for two fights per night Cheesy

Dont think that anyone would kill himself to be ready to face two opponents just to get a BMF belt, as its value is questionable Cheesy

Is it even profitable for UFC? They will have to pay for two fights, when fighter who fights second time, wont show 100% performance, and might enter octagon just to lose and take money (if this is his last fight).

Personally, I would like to see it happening, even only as a one-time thing.
If Pride could make it work, then I can't see what would stop the UFC from doing the same. If the money is right, the fighters would take it, and if any of them doesn't - they will find a replacement easily.
Remember that only 2 of them would be fighting twice in one night, so it's just one extra fight. They could give the finalists a longer time to rest by doing some extra fights in between or just by making a break, but from the fighters' perspective, maybe they'd prefer a shorter break, so that adrenaline from the first fight doesn't wear off.

Do you happen to know if there are 2-3 fights per night mma tournaments nowadays? Not a kind of backyard-school-amateur-jungle-bare-knuckle-mma-fight-championship promotion, but some good one. Btw I am really curious why they have stopped such tournaments? Why mma fighters arent able to have (or maybe they can, but promotion dont let it happen) multiple fights per night? Because they have to pay each fighter for each fight, and making a grand prix (winner takes everything) isnt fair towards those who lost and earned zero?

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Quote from: cabron on October 13, 2024, 02:10:35 PM

Quote from: Hirose UK on October 12, 2024, 10:52:14 PM

Quote from: tokeweed on October 12, 2024, 07:07:19 AM

~snip~

For today UFC Fight Night fights, there really aren't any fights that look interesting enough overall, but there is one fight that I think is better than the others and that is the fight between Royval vs Taira at flyweight.
Brandon Royval himself is flyweight fighter who has quite a lot of experience in this division and he is fighter who is challenger for the number 1 flyweight ranking and Tatsuro Taira here is an undefeated fighter in the 16 fights he has played, this will be fight that gives Taira an advantage and he is also the favorite.
For this fight I took the Double Chance betting option by choosing Taira to win by Submission or Points and gives odds @1.58, but unfortunately Royval fought very well and he dominated more so that victory was his, this was also the first defeat for Taira.

Unfortunately, Taira is unsuccessful in trying to submit Royval. He doesn't have much ground-striking, I think it would have changed the situation if he didn't rely on his grappling. He slowed down in the 3rd round too. If it weren't for the takedowns, Ropyval could have won the fight by KO.

The fight didn't turn out the way we see it, but I can see the fight deserves a rematch.

If look at the numbers obtained from each fighter, Royval is actually superior with fairly thin number, if Taira can focus more on fighting by continuing to press, he will likely win.
Royval gets more additional points in the 5th round because it is the best round for him and shows that he is getting harder in trying to bring down Taira and continues to put pressure on him which makes Taira unable to do much to match him.
But everything is over even though the results are not the same as expected, what is clear is that this victory will make it easier for Royval to really get fight that can give him the title, it is reported that Royval wants to fight Alexandre Pantoja.

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Quote from: TopTort777 on October 16, 2024, 02:28:13 AM

Having several fights per night indeed sounds found. Fighters used to have 3 full fights per night during Pride times. But I doubt that anyone today will be ready for two fights per night Cheesy

Dont think that anyone would kill himself to be ready to face two opponents just to get a BMF belt, as its value is questionable Cheesy

Is it even profitable for UFC? They will have to pay for two fights, when fighter who fights second time, wont show 100% performance, and might enter octagon just to lose and take money (if this is his last fight).

Personally, I would like to see it happening, even only as a one-time thing.
If Pride could make it work, then I can't see what would stop the UFC from doing the same. If the money is right, the fighters would take it, and if any of them doesn't - they will find a replacement easily.
Remember that only 2 of them would be fighting twice in one night, so it's just one extra fight. They could give the finalists a longer time to rest by doing some extra fights in between or just by making a break, but from the fighters' perspective, maybe they'd prefer a shorter break, so that adrenaline from the first fight doesn't wear off.

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Does anyone watches Tuporia's recent videos? I don't know why but my TikTok is full of his videos despite the fact that I don't type him in my search. By the way, he is copying Conor McGregor. If I were him, I would be very ashamed. He has a tatoo similar to McGregor, he even copy/pastes what McGregor has said in his career. Recently, he said that he is more black from the belly button down than Francis Ngannou. Conor said the same thing when he was fighting Floyd Mayweather.
I think he wants to make this fight similar To Jose Aldo Vs McGregor.

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^ Belal winning against Shavkat? It's highly unlikely because Belal also couldn't finish anyone. This is why his record is just full of Unanimous Decisions; he is a UD artist.

Curious to see what Kai Asakura can do. He is given a shot to Pantoja being his UFC debut. UFC 310 should be worth your PPV. It's still a jam-packed event, despite Anthony Smith vs. Dominick Reyes being in the prelims.

Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 18. (Read 99368 times)