Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 19. (Read 99368 times)

True, it's not a very special card, especially when compared to the previous cards. There are still interesting matches for me.
The main match of the main card interests me, Shavkat and Belal, maybe that's why I've risen so much.
Can Shavkat finish Belal, who has a 100% finish rate, actually deep down I want him to finish him.
He's one of the few fighters who can dominate wrestling, so it seems like he can stop Belal, but of course I'm not sure. As for Ciryl Gane, if he wins this fight, he'll be heading towards a belt match again, it's a good opportunity for him.

In my personal opinion this is honestly not a big fight but UFC 310 is still very interesting. Shavkat will be making his title debut. He is not a controversial fighter outside the octagon but his 100% finishing record is absolutely crazy. I favor Shavkat to win that fight. But it looks like he will lose his 100% finishing record. Belal is a cardio fighter and he has a chance to win with his cardio and wrestling.

The other fights are also very interesting. Ciryl Gane has kind of faded from the spotlight after his losses to Ngannou and Jones. Reyes is also a fighter who has had bad luck after losing to Blachowiz. I really want to see how these two fighters perform after a long time away from fighting.

I'm not talking about a big win either as if you want a really big win for your 3 bucks, I'd suggest a full leg degen parlay...  I'm talking more about making a fair bet for your money if you're gonna bet on one guy.  Lol.  But yeah, it is what it is.  Taira could have also won that match too if only he could strike a little better.  Royval was just a tad too fast for Taira on the feet.

Here's a replay of Hernandez...  The guy going against Pereira this weekend.  I had Kopylov for this one but Hernandez is just too good.  But will fade him again. 

UFC Free Fight:  Hernandez vs Kopylov
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onfl1dNVFc8

I wasnt aiming for a big win, just noticed that I had some bucks left I wasnt even planning to bet, as I though I would better save for Whittaker


Having several fights per night indeed sounds found. Fighters used to have 3 full fights per night during Pride times. But I doubt that anyone today will be ready for two fights per night Dont think that anyone would kill himself to be ready to face two opponents just to get a BMF belt, as its value is questionable Is it even profitable for UFC? They will have to pay for two fights, when fighter who fights second time, wont show 100% performance, and might enter octagon just to lose and take money (if this is his last fight).

This looks to me like another meh event in UFC coming this weekend, and I am not interested in watching most of the fights.
It is time to switch to PFL and watch MMA comeback of Francis NGannou against Renan Ferreira, and other legends like Cris Cyborg, AJ McKee Jr and others.
Maybe Dana intentionally arranged weaker card because he knew PFL Battle of the Giants is in the same time.

OK guys, are we seriously not going to talk about the proposed 4-man BMF tournament? I don't think so.
Long story short, Dustin Poirier, who is looking for something spectacular before announcing his retirement, suggested a 4-man tournament for the BMF belt on the line, consisting of himself, Justn Gaethje, Max Holloway and Dan Hooker. That means the winner will have to fight 2 fights in one night.
When asked by a reporter, Dana said the idea "sounds fun". Whether he actually will go with it - I don't know, but I think there's a chance as people are craving for something new and exciting.

The concept of fighting tournaments where fighters fight multiple times in one night is not new, it was a popular format used e.g. by K1/Pride FC back in the day.

https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2024/10/dana-white-reacts-dustin-poirier-bmf-tournament-idea

Thoughts? Is this something you would like to see?

I am very excited about UFC 310, the matches are very good.
Will a cardio machine like Belal Muhammed take Shavkat to the ground or control him, oh I am very curious and can't wait to see it.
Just look at the fight on the rest of the card, Ciryl Gane Vs. Alexander Volkov is a card that deserves attention.
It is also good to see Nick Diaz. 

Mmm...  For just 3 bucks and knowing how the fight was gonna play out, just gamble and put the money with the underdog imho.  At least your 3 bucks would be 10 bucks if you won.  Betting for Taira with just 3 bucks at 1.30 would win you just .90 cents...  But yeah, never mind betting a hundred to win just 30 bucks on the guy.  Not against Royval at least.

Anyway, I wonder who Taira gets next...  I'm thinking Taira should get Brandon Moreno next as they both lost vs Royval.  Lol.  I think the books might line it closer this time. 

As much as I don't want Jinx Topuria, he is indeed one of the best boxers in the UFC and he does have a strong chin to last a toe to toe fight in the middle with Max. This is going to be a show-off of counter-puncher skills.

Some people started to like Topuria already for provoking those fighters who had done nothing to get their status. I think gonna root for him.
Belal replied to him the funniest crotch sniffer https://x.com/bullyb170/status/1845557677830611187 

And an embarrassing loss for me, as I placed a bet on him But I did not feel bad for lost money, because the fight worth every 3 bucks I've bet on it lol Now its time to save some $ for UFC 308. Havent checked odds, but I feel like Topuria is going to finish Max. I cant recall any (or many) fighters, who have regained belts. Max is "old" for such division and 12+ years in UFC. Was champ. Goes against current undefeated champ on hype or peak, with perfect record. Seems to be obvious who to bet on.

It was more than decent imho...  It was pretty fcking good!  We all knew it was gonna be somewhat close but I was really surprised at how Taira fought his heart out.  It's a loss for him but it isn't an embarrassing loss.  Between Taira and Royval, I think Taira gained more in intangibles after this fight.  He now knows he def belongs in the top of the weight class and given a little more time, he's def go for the belt and win.  I'm thinking if he had fought Pantoja, he prolly would've won at the later rounds as Pantoja doesn't have a good gas tank as Royval.  But then again...  Dunno tho.  Lol.

Here's a replay of Michel Pereira...  I lean him this weekend but Hernandez is no slouch on the mat if he could take Pereira down.

UFC Free Fight:  Pereira vs Potieria
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qfIK4LwLKdE

Accidentally came across video about Sumit "The Indian kid" Kumar. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZFevKGFgqE8) the video is about the guy who has faked his record to get into UFC. I knew there are some guys who are dishonest about the record, but never knew that some might that far. Never though that in India (the video was about India, but I guess that might happen in any country) fighters consider sparring as a pro fight if they win, they use fake ID to save record and to fight in rigged fights, amount of rigged fights is shocking, fighters often cherry pick opponents (fight against debutants). Fun fact about that Sumit Kumar - he had Olympic Games tattoo, but he never participated Such a scam.

That's hard to say but I can say for sure that this will be a very interesting fight. Topuria is no joke. I am not his fan because he tries to be a Conor McGregor but in reality he is Conor McGregor ordered from Temu or Alibaba, I can feel that his trash talking is forced from inner side. He is not a trash talker, he forces himself to trash talk and tries to copy McGregor. Anyway, as a fighter, he is amazing. I wasn't watching his fights a lot but before the Topuria Vs Volkanovski fight, I watched his fights and I was amazed by his skills and fighting IQ. He is amazing in boxing, wrestling, grappling, anything... I think he will KO Max or at least he will win, I'm 100% confident in his win.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira



Date: October 19, 2024

Preliminary Card: Sat, Oct 19 / 11:00 PM GMT+3
Main Card: Sun, Oct 20 / 2:00 AM GMT+3

Venue: UFC Apex

Main card (ESPN)
Middleweight: Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira            
Bantamweight: Rob Font vs. Kyler Phillips            
Flyweight: Charles Johnson vs. Su Mudaerji            
Bantamweight: Brady Hiestand vs. Jake Hadley            
Featherweight: Darren Elkins vs. Daniel Pineda            
Flyweight: Matheus Nicolau vs. Asu Almabayev   

Preliminary card (ESPN)
Bantamweight: Brad Katona vs. Jean Matsumoto            
Women's Bantamweight: Joselyne Edwards vs. Tamires Vidal            
Women's Strawweight: Jessica Penne vs. Elise Reed            
Women's Strawweight: Melissa Martinez vs. Alice Ardelean            
Heavyweight: Austen Lane vs. Robelis Despaigne   

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Hernandez_vs._Pereira

The UFC 310 has been announced and it's looking good:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianmazique/2024/10/12/dana-white-announces-huge-ufc-310-ppv-card-with-2-championship-fights/

Main event: Belal Muhammad Vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov
Co-main: Alexandre Pantoja Vs. Kai Asakura (this will be his UFC debut)
The rest of the main card:

Ciryl Gane   Vs. Alexander Volkov            
Movsar Evloev Vs. Aljamain Sterling            
Anthony Smith Vs. Dominick Reyes
Nick Diaz Vs. Vicente Luque

So looks like Shavkat is finally getting his title shot and won't be fighting Leon Edwards as some expected. The odds are not yet in but I'm sure he'll be the favourite.

Unfortunately, Taira is unsuccessful in trying to submit Royval. He doesn't have much ground-striking, I think it would have changed the situation if he didn't rely on his grappling. He slowed down in the 3rd round too.  If it weren't for the takedowns, Ropyval could have won the fight by KO.

The fight didn't turn out the way we see it,  but I can see the fight deserves a rematch.

Full set of result from last night:

Main card:
Flyweight: Brandon Royval def. Tatsuro Taira, Decision (split), Round 5, Time 5:00
Middleweight: Park Jun-yong def. Brad Tavares, Decision (split), Round 3, Time 5:00
Catchweight (172.5 lb): Chidi Njokuani def. Jared Gooden, Decision (unanimous), Round 3, Time 5:00
Lightweight: Grant Dawson def. Rafa García, TKO (elbows and punches), Round 2, Time 1:42
Welterweight: Daniel Rodriguez def. Alex Morono, Decision (split), Round 3, Time 5:00

Preliminary card:
Flyweight: Ramazan Temirov def. C.J. Vergara, TKO (punches), Round 1, Time 2:50
Featherweight: Pat Sabatini def. Jonathan Pearce, Submission (rear-naked choke), Round 1, Time 4:06
Welterweight: Themba Gorimbo def. Niko Price, Decision (unanimous), Round 3, Time 5:00
Heavyweight: Junior Tafa def. Sean Sharaf, TKO (punches), Round 2, Time 2:15
Women's Strawweight: Julia Polastri def. Cory McKenna, Decision (split), Round 3, Time 5:00
Catchweight (138.5 lb): Cody Haddon def. Daniel Argueta, Decision (unanimous), Round 3, Time 5:00
Flyweight: Clayton Carpenter def. Lucas Rocha, Technical Submission (rear-naked choke), Round 2, Time 2:12

The main event was a decent fight, both of them had their moments but the judges decided in Royval's favour with a split decision. That's a first loss in Taira's record, but it shouldn't impact his position in the ranking.

For today UFC Fight Night fights, there really aren't any fights that look interesting enough overall, but there is one fight that I think is better than the others and that is the fight between Royval vs Taira at flyweight.
Brandon Royval himself is flyweight fighter who has quite a lot of experience in this division and he is fighter who is challenger for the number 1 flyweight ranking and Tatsuro Taira here is an undefeated fighter in the 16 fights he has played, this will be fight that gives Taira an advantage and he is also the favorite.
For this fight I took the Double Chance betting option by choosing Taira to win by Submission or Points and gives odds @1.58, but unfortunately Royval fought very well and he dominated more so that victory was his, this was also the first defeat for Taira.

^  Yeah same...  There are some guys I haven't seen fight and I'm just judging from that the bookies think and from their Tapology page.   

But my leans would be Carpenter, Argueta, Tafa, Mckenna, Gorimbo, Pearce, Vergara, Rodriguez, Dawson, Njokuani, Park and Royval.

Here are the face offs.  Nice to watch to get a little bit excited for the event.

UFC Fight Night:  Royval vs. Taira Face Off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_u7AhwalVU

As for Royval, the only worry is his TD defense.  It ain't that good.

Odds for all fights of tonight's event (from DuelBits):

Clayton Carpenter x1.44 Vs Lucas Rocha x2.80
Daniel Argueta x2.42 Vs Cody Haddon x1.57
Junior Tafa x1.30 Vs Sean Sharaf x3.60
Julia Polastri x1.77 Vs Cory Mckenna x2.05
Themba Gorimbo x1.27 Vs Niko Price x3.75
Jonathan Pearce x1.53 Vs Pat Sabatini x2.50
Carlos Vergara x3.60 Vs Ramazan Temirov x1.30
Daniel Rodriguez x1.46 Vs Alex Morono x2.75
Grant Dawson x1.25 Vs Rafa Garcia x4.00
Chidi Njokuani x1.58 Vs Jared Gooden x2.37
Brad Tavares x2.60 Vs Jung Yong Park x1.50
Brandon Royval x3.33 Vs Tatsuro Taira x1.33

Not going to lie, I don't have a clue who most of those guys are.
Odds for Royval looked kind of attractive, Taira is very young (only 24) and is 16-0 with most wins by submission, but he hasn't fought that many guys from the top yet, and Royval won't be easy to submit. In fact, Royval has a similar submission rate and overall, has more submission wins than Taira (9 Vs 7).