Topic: UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 50. (Read 17627 times)

The next UFC 293 event as you know is going to be massive when they are hyping it up by posting the new promotional video right after the last even ended:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TBRJ854aLus

Israel Adesanya has been training intensely and not sleeping on the fact that Sean Strickland is dangerous and definitely a menace of the UFC:
Israel Adesanya & City Kickboxings INTENSE Final Training Session Before UFC 293

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WCLLGCzapg

Thug Rose surely can not make use of her speed for this fight that has caused her the loss Sure the Weight difference was Manon Fiorot's advantage and she kept on capitalizing on that advantage in defending the takedowns and had heavy striking even though the Speed is not for her I think Rose Namajunas shouldn't brawl so much against Fiorot and uses the boring way against Manon Fiorot just to be safe because Rose Namajunas can surely not compete with power for me she should have stayed in the Strawweight because that is where she builds not for the Flyweight division but even though she has beaten Zhang Weili 2 times Namajunas can not underestimate Weili now that she becomes champion because Zhang Weili is a different evolve fighter now than with the 2 times they meet inside the octagon,

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Ciryl Gane VS Serghei Spivac - WIN


Cyril Gane is truly an unbelievable fighter for being a Heavyweight who is moving like a Light Heavyweight, You can not see that mostly on heavyweights for sure Jon Jones can move like that because he is naturally a Light Heavyweight while Tom Aspinall in his recent fight has shown a glimpse of his training, and has managed to move like a Light Heavyweight, for sure Serghei Spivac now has regret in getting into Ciryl Gane without adjusting that much surely he is thinking that because of wrestling he can have a fighting chance against a Striker like Ciryl Gane because watching the fight Ciryl Gane just likely played with him,

Manon Fiorot VS Rose Namajunas - WIN


Even though Rose Namajunas has some great combinations with these fights we can see which fighter has the build height and range towards the fight We can see that Rose Namajuna's takedown was really weak so Fiorot defended that easily, for sure she has gone with the Flyweight Division thinking that she will get the belt in this division 1st for sure she has tried this division without thinking, considering or even closing the gap with her opponents build 1st before trying to fight in this division, and thinking that the Flyweight champion will be easy for her because she already defeated Zhang Weili 2 times, for sure Rose Namajunas is not on the right path at all,

Good predictions for those co-main and the main event!
Namajunas didn't wear the new weight well enough so she could execute her patented moves like she did in those previous fights.
Going up a weight-class didn't improve anything for this type of fight because she couldn't use it to her advantage. In not scoring one takedown in the entire fight so assist her in a submission attempt or enabling her getting to full mount for a ground and pound towards Fiorot was the more muscular fighter out of the two.
Disappointing loss and now Manon Fiorot is going to wait for the Shevchenko vs Grasso fight during the Mexican Independence day UFC event happening later this month in order to see she will fight next for the title.

For the main event with Gane vs Spivac it was a dominant performance from the Frenchman.
At one point in the second round it looked as if Spivac broke a rib on his left side from one of Ciryl's punches to the body since he wasn't even trying to defend his punches to the face anymore and was trying to cover that side of the body instead.
You can see a lump sticking out and from that point on it didn't look as he was moving too good and was noticeably in pain.

Also something good to see was that all french fighters won in their home country's UFC event!

Pretty much most of the fights in this event are amazing we got so many great finishes of KO/TKO and Submission wins for this event,

Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac - LOST

It was a loss for me I thought that Serghei Spivac could have the speed that can surpass Gane because if he did I thought that he could easily take the fight to the ground and from that surely give a short fight to Ciryl Gane but it ended up with an easy win for Ciryl Gane, that speed of Ciryl Gane has proven that he is still a threat for the Heavyweights that are not adapting and still have the aggressive way of fighting in the Heavyweight Division so it was a great win and a lost for me because I have go with Serghei Spivac,

Manon Fiorot vs Rose Namajunas - WIN

The only win I got for sure is Rose Namajunas Physique has proven that she has problems against Manon Fiorot for sure and it was shown in this fight that Rose Namajunas going into this division has a big problem and that is the big difference with their Physique for sure Rose Namajunas is blindly going into this fight and thinking she could beat Zhang Weili again when she gets back at Strawweight Division, which is a wrong approach

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Thiago Moisés - LOST

Actually, I thought this could be a close fight and that Thiago Moises would be dominant on the ground but Saint-Denis is controlling him on the ground giving Moises a beating on the ground, for sure I surely underestimate the tenacity of Benoit Saint-Denis against Thiago Moises because the one that I have really known was Moises and I am aware of his ground game, but it is likely all for Benoit Saint-Denis wins,

Before the fight starts here are my picks and predictions for the Fight Night Gane VS Spivac

Ciryl Gane VS Serghei Spivac


For this fight, Cyril Gane has come into a terrible loss against Jon Jones sure his wrestling is still questionable up to this day because that will surely determine if he can defend the takedowns and submission of Serghei Spivac, and we all know what Spivac can cause and by that fight against Derrick Lewis he indeed showcases a great submission technique, but for me, I guess the advantage of Cyril Gane is all in his speed, while his wrestling was questionable for sure he likely have those and we still don't see it, but for this fight, I am going with Ciryl Gane,

Manon Fiorot VS Rose Namajunas


For this fight, Rose Namajunas is certainly has a record of a zebra pattern lately and not looking good for sure I really doubt her strength and power in her striking if she can hurt Manon Fiorot in this fight, while Fiorot is returning as well her consecutive victory was really superb, her takedown defense and her Striking it was flawlessly Strong and Rose Namajunas debut for the Flyweight is likely hard for her so my pick for this fight is Manon Fiorot,

It was really hard for her to win against Carla Esparza at that time for sure she was not herself when that fight was happening actually it was one of the most boring fights ever in the history of UFC, and Rose Namajunas thought that she was Israel Adesanaya she just keeps on evading the strikes of Esparza and not Committing to the strikes which is not what Israel Adesanya was doing at all, and Confusing enough Rose Namajunas though that she was winning the fight she didn't though that the fans was booing her,

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My picks and predictions for the UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac

Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac

For this fight, Ciryl Gane was the favorite to win but for sure they are underestimating Serghei Spivac, I will surely look at both fights against Tai Tuivasa, for Ciryl Gane got a hard time with Tuivasa actually Gane's speed is pretty much notable against Tuivasa but his striking is not that hard-hitting against and there is a time that Tuivasa knockdown Gane's with his overhead punch but Ciryl Gane recovered quickly but for sure that technical striking prevail over Tai Tuivasa's aggressive striking, by Knocking Tuivasa on Round 3 while Serghei Spivac, goes on the takedown, and Spivac has shown his strength with his takedown, and from the top he has elbowed Tuivasa that made him bleed then goes into submission that led to Tai Tuivasa's to fell asleep, on round 2, for sure the wrestling game was pretty much effective so I am going for Serghei Spivac,

Manon Fiorot vs Rose Namajunas

Manon Fiorot's striking was pretty much intense and what is notable from her was her power and overpowering the likes of Tabatha Ricci and Mayra Bueno Silva that is likely a submission artist her takedown defense was superb indeed for those fights while Rose Namajunas Striking was pretty much was technical but her last fight was really awful so going into the fight I think that Rose Namajunas will surely have a hard time against Fiorot for sure and even though she got some takedowns Manon Fiorot will just likely deflect her, so my pick is Manon Fiorot,

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Thiago Moisés

For this fight both got a submission game, BSD is really a beast his striking is Superb as well and his BJJ is solid enough to make a great finish but Thiago Moises for me got a level on BJJ like a Khabib Level of BJJ, so for me if there is a level of Khabib on his submission that would likely will surely win in my opinion, so my pick is Thiago Moises,

Or she could fight Shevchenko after this.
She's given the fast track to the belt in the division but this is if she wins. The UFC is not giving Namajunas vs. Zhang 3, Dana won't like the effect of it if they lose the Chinese audience.

We're too ahead of this though. We;ll be disappointed if she loses against Mannon, she is also one heck of a volume striker in a man's body. She got the winning momentum.

Agreed with your assessment of the Namajanus vs Fiorot fight @owengtam09
It will come down her grappling because she can not stand there and just exchange punches or those strong side-kicks of Manon at all.
She did look more comfortable at the 125 pound weigh-class and not looking emaciated or drawn out like she has looked prior to a weight cut. So maybe she will produce more of a competition now compared to her last fight with Esparza.

Here are my selections for this UFC Fight Night 226 which happen at around 15 minutes from now:

Actually, 2 of the fighters that I love watching were Rose Namajunas and Michelle Waterson but sadly Michelle Waterson-Gomez had many losses from her 29 matches 18 was a win and 11 were lost, The last fight was on April 8, and it was not a good fight for her,

While Rose Namajunas in her comeback if she gains muscles from her leave then I think that fight is much easier for her, and up her grappling department more she could be a crowd favorite, actually I am doubting her right now because of that long inactivity she has but will surely look at this fight for sure if she can become a champion


We all know that Rose Namajunas is a technical fighter but power is not really included in her arsenal if she gains body mass or gaining enough muscle then she can utilize that in her submission game, it was a really long break so she must gain that by doing some training and lifting, what is deadly abut her was her kicks and not her punches so for sure she would try those kicks for sure,


For sure that long break was really needed in recovering from injuries but from a Mental issue that break is not really enough, for sure Rose Namajunas really ready and aiming for the belt for this Division She will then fight Grasso in the future if Alexa Grasso won on her rematch against Valentina Shevchenko that was a decent fight for sure,

More excited for the fight next week but I guess I will also be watching this Saturday's match.

After Ciryl Gane lost to Jon Jones at UFC 285, this is a good way to return to the Octagon and prove he ain't that weak to be ended that quickly. Round 1 was when Jones got him but I do believe those fighters who have lost mostly come back stronger.

Here is the fight preview.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZYW92R-t_0


And here is the odds for the main event.

Ciryl Gane - | Winner @1.54 | By KO @2.57 | By Submission @8.80 | By Decision @6.40 |
Sergey Spivak - | Winner @2.43 | By KO @6.20 | By Submission @5.00 | By Decision @7.60 |

Notice the difference in Submission. Spivak is the favorite in that area and I think he will try to do it just like Jones did.
Analysts may be thinking that Gane will lose at the same method again. At least, Spivak is favored on one part of this betting odds.

Rose Namajunas has mental and psychological issues. I reckon her long break and her absence from the octagon was very much needed to have her mentally present during a fight. Did you watch her vs. Carla Esparza? She did nothing! She was not 100% mentally in the fight.

On Cyril Gane and Serghei Spivak, it appears the Moldovan is very much underestimated by the bettors hehehe. It might end with a submission or a technical knockout. I am quite certain that this fight will not go to a decision.

Spent more time on this match-up then any other fight before.
Watching footage, predictions, differences in fight style encountering past opponents.
It seems that nobody really knows what to expect in this one since Namajunas will be up in a weight-class moving from straw weight to flyweight.
So fighting with that extra 10 pounds will change her fighting style in uncertain ways.
It will definitely make her slower and getting older does do that to everyone. So I don't expect the old Rose in there against Fiorot.
Actually Manon will feel stronger since she just fought a larger opponent in her last fight so seeing Rose in there she will feel like the beast.

Many have also said if Namajunas doesn't get a knock out in the 1st round then it won't happen and she will get worn down.
Because Fiorot is not easy to take down and I believe she has only been taken to the mat once in her career in her first fight from what I heard from the reviews before the pre-press conference happening soon.
Maybe wait until the weigh-ins to see how Namajunas looks putting on that extra weight and if she looks any stronger. Which I have doubts she will.

There has been two fights on the card that have been changed. One earlier in the week and the other today:
Taylor Lapilus vs Muin Gafurov(had to withdraw due to visa issues) replaced with Caolan Loughran
Lucas Almeida vs William Gomis(withdrawn due to medical issues) replaced with Yanis Ghemmouri

https://www.mmamania.com/2023/8/29/23851370/cursed-ufc-paris-fight-card-gets-last-minute-double-switcheroo-mma

Namajunas still has it. She is still young and despite the long break, the skills won't fade that easily.
Like Zhang, Fiorot can knock her out once Fiorot can land a solid punch but as long as Namajunas has the agility she can get in and out quickly like she always does. This will be her strategy because Fiorot can strike with KO intention. Namajunas throw a combo and takedown if she has an opportunity and if she sees Fiorot is not back away, she'll get out quickly.

I think the fight will last til the 5th round because of this

Namajunas is known as a thug for a reason so you just can't fade her being away for an extended length of time. Her form is timeless and the training she has done makes diamonds from glass.
Just watch this mini film I just found of when she was going up against Joanna:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=US3Im0iWdLU

Actually my favorite fight of hers was when she fought Michelle Waterson-Gomez back in 2017 remember the Karate hottie:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mfj_4AcKYpk

That could be great but for sure Conor McGregor needs to first be approved by USADA before he can fight anyone in the UFC, but likely Michael Chandler is the promised fighter he would fight 1st, but if there is a chance that McGregor could fight Sean O'Malley then for sure that will be one epic fight as both are utilized and is a pure striker,


I don't know about Manon Fiorot but if Rose Namajunas was hit by those punches then she would have gone cold for sure, because Rose Namajunas is a technical striker I doubt that Fiorot could likely win with power alone, for sure Namajunas will combo with kicks and punches for sure, but because of that long break she had I really don't know if she improves or not so this is really not a great time in getting to bet for her, for sure we might go into this event blinded,

Gane and Spivac might end up with a Submission or a Decision, it will truly depend on how well these two fighters did with their improvements, for sure Upon being defeated with wrestling and submission Ciryl Gane would likely have caution with wrestling and submission or this is just my wish,

 

Actually, Shavkat Rakhmanov already has a Scheduled fight against Kelvin Gastelum on the event of UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 but because of a facial fracture Kelvin Gastelum withdrew from the fight, and the UFC is likely finding Shavkat a fight but all have rejected to fight Shavkat Rakhmanov well for sure the fight will be scheduled in a different event or I really don't know but for me I think that Facial Fracture has an effect for Gastelum and instead of withstanding a punch or damage from his face, for sure that would likely be shattered again, or maybe the metal implant may become an additional defense for his face,


For sure this is one interesting fight to see Ciryl Gane has a weakness against wrestling so Serghei Spivac might capitalize on this and catch Gane with a takedown Ciryl Gane still has an advantage with his speed he could also capitalize on this as well and likely strengthen his takedown defense by now, and for sure Ciryl Gane can capitalize on this to have as much output on Serghei Spivac in the fight,


Nice analysis for sure I will be looking at that by watching previous fights of both fighters and their latest training indeed, it is much interesting to see the Co-Main Event because of the wrestling that Zhang Weili has shown for sure see if Zhang Weili improves on this one, so this is kind of interesting for me,

Just watched the fight between Manon Fiorot and Tabatha Ricci and she does have punching power. That was two years ago but that kind of skill just doesn't go away and she has only one loss on her record.
Was a Rose Namajunas fan for quite awhile but that was before her last fight against Carla Esparza which took the wind out of her sails.
Don't know if it was her suffering exhaustion physically but she just didn't move in that fight for what she was known for in the past.
This one I am looking forward to see if Rose can come out of these problems and return to the old Namajunas we all have witnessed in those amazing fights such as @jakelyson has mentioned against the current champion Zhang Weili.

Gane vs Spivac should be a grappling matchup and see it either ending in a submission or a decision.

Looking a lot like we’re going to see a Sean O’Malley defense on the night of Conor McGregor’s return to the octagon. How awesome of a fight night card would that be? I don’t care who they’re fighting or how bad they look, I’m taking O’Malley and McGregor together and hoping for an all time classic UFC event. Hopefully in December.

For sure the Main Event, and Co-Main Event, were a great match to behold for sure

Ciryl Gane VS Serghei Spivac - Ciryl Gane is a 33 years technical fighter with fast movement and the speed of a light-heavyweight and against Sergei Spivac who is only 28 years old who has promising submission and wrestling that we all know the weakness of a striker for sure this is going to be another hurdle for the Bon Gamin,

Manon Fiorot VS Rose Namajunas - The Return of Rose Namajunas and her Debut to the Flyweight Division against a striking class fighter Manon Fiorot this will surely see who has power and who is technical in her moves and striking this is for sure a great watch for the striking loving fans,


This is really interesting as Serghei Spivac has the wrestling and submission capabilities that are weaknesses to a striker like Ciryl Gane as we did see in his fight with Francis Ngannou and Jon Jones but as you have said Ciryl Gane has the speed capabilities and surely a technical fighter for sure his lost from Jon Jones was a shock for him so for sure he might adjust his game plan, but if his takedown defense has proven not really effective then there is no chance in winning against Spivac,

For sure as she sees Zhang Weili now there is no chance for her to repeat what she did back then as Weili is like a different fighter now, so there is no chance for her to defeat her, surely that is why she decided to go up the division, maybe she will train to improve her ground game for sure,

Same with me. Jones just embarrassed Gane and him sitting on the mat in disbelief of what happened afterwards can't leave the minds of fans no matter how long ago the fight was.
I will be going with Spivac due to the last time I saw him fight he was dominate and prepared as a fighter should be.
About Rose, I don't know if she could come back from such a bad performance in her last fight.
They basically didn't do much and if we get that same fight in the Fiorot fight, then I think she has just lost the passion to fight anymore.