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Topic: UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 79. (Read 18160 times)

legendary
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Been a while since I put down on UFC but I'm thinking Błachowicz has really good odds (3.36 with a boost at Sportsbet) so I put a few satoshis down on him. Almost acca'd that with Paddy for over 45/10 but I thought better not chase too much.

For the MM picks, I went for most of the heavy favourites (anything less than 14/10) except Blachowicz, and then randomly picking the guys whose names sound more aggressive (yes, purely arbitrary in other words).
legendary
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A huge fight card coming up for UFC 282 this weekend with Jan Błachowicz going up against Magomed Ankalaev for his first title defense since winning the title a couple of months ago.
Another fight i can see alot of people wagering on is Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon.
A few fights were cancelled including Jiri as I mentioned above and the Robbie Lawler bout.
The multi master challenge for UFC 282 is up for you to select the winners of each bout and be able to win some prizes:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-282-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5426112
legendary
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Jiri Prochazka will not be in the main card for the next UFC 282 event as he has injured his shoulder.
https://www.mmafighting.com/2022/11/23/23475995/jiri-prochazka-issues-statement-suffering-injury-forced-him-to-vacate-ufc-light-heavyweight-title

So this means that the light heavyweight championship title is vacant and Jan Blachowciz will be trying to regain his title after losing it to Glover Teixeira in that thrilling bout in UFC 267 late last year:
https://www.bloodyelbow.com/2022/11/23/23475974/ufc-282-jiri-prochazka-injured-blachowciz-vs-ankalaev-vacant-title-fight-teixeira-mad-mma-news
legendary
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sure did ruined the mood of the crowd. seem very shady that they waited for the last minute before announcing. they crowd would have been walking out if they just knew the main event is Cutelaba.

but i guess they already know the result even if derrick and spivak will not fight. they know derrick will be beaten terribly.
A fighter pulling out of a fight especially a main event card bout is quite disappointing.
But details have come to light that when he arrived to the hospital he tried to return for the fight but wasn't able to. So his issue wasn't completely cured. Whatever this was that made him not able to contend in the octagon.
Derrick Lewis has been on a losing streak this year but him pulling out so late in a card will probably be hitting him with a fine.

No UFC this weekend due to holidays in the US but will be returning in the month of December.
legendary
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sure did ruined the mood of the crowd. seem very shady that they waited for the last minute before announcing. they crowd would have been walking out if they just knew the main event is Cutelaba.

but i guess they already know the result even if derrick and spivak will not fight. they know derrick will be beaten terribly.
legendary
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Luckily the bet I had placed on the under 4.5 rounds did win as well, to my surprised because they were into the 5th. Don't ask me how but the bookies graded it as a win and obviously fight going the distance was graded as a no.

Should be a error somewhere so wouldn't be surprised if they resettle the bet later as a Loss or maybe a Void .
Anyways congrats on two solid wins, Pereira was a nice hit @2.7.
Going to sit down soon and have a look at the lines for the weekend, and solid tips?  Cheesy

Also a free chance for some freebets at the Weekly Multi Master:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-fight-night-215-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5420994
Wasn't an error. It is rule to betting on UFC on over and under on rounds. If it went past 2:50 minute mark of the 5th round, it would of been over 4.5 rounds. It was called 2:59 by the referee as a technical knockout. So 9 seconds saved the bet.
That was close but it did infact win by the bookmarkers own rules to bettors of the UFC.

Derrick Lewis main event was cancelled for this bout due to illness. There wasn't much news about it yet but it was said he tried to return from the first attempt to leave the hospital to fight but couldn't.
https://www.mmamania.com/2022/11/19/23467938/breaking-derrick-lewis-sent-hospital-ufc-vegas-65-main-event-removed-spivak-mma-las-vegas-espn

The announcers explained that the main event had been replaced by the co-main event during the end of the prelims:
https://twitter.com/btsportufc/status/1594066975902138368
member
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Luckily the bet I had placed on the under 4.5 rounds did win as well, to my surprised because they were into the 5th. Don't ask me how but the bookies graded it as a win and obviously fight going the distance was graded as a no.

Should be a error somewhere so wouldn't be surprised if they resettle the bet later as a Loss or maybe a Void .
Anyways congrats on two solid wins, Pereira was a nice hit @2.7.
Going to sit down soon and have a look at the lines for the weekend, and solid tips?  Cheesy

Also a free chance for some freebets at the Weekly Multi Master:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-fight-night-215-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5420994
legendary
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.
Doing what he said he was going to do.
Luckily the bet I had placed on the under 4.5 rounds did win as well, to my surprised because they were into the 5th. Don't ask me how but the bookies graded it as a win and obviously fight going the distance was graded as a no.

Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.

It was a good enough fight, although not that entertaining. It was very obvious how Adesanya was not taking too much risk. That's understandable because he is facing against somebody he knows very well, somebody who already defeated him not just once but twice. And that was perhaps the reason why Pereira defeated him once again, the third time around. Pereira must have a big psychological effect on Adesanya. Adesanya could hardly get aggressive.

I'd say Poirier vs Chandler was the more entertaining match, although both matches had a great ending.

Adesanya knows how hard Pereira's punches are he talks about it when Strickland fought Pereira, he is fully aware so he never takes a chance and he can't do what he always does, Adesanya fought fighters with hard punches in the past but the fear of going down again by Pereira's punches haunts him, he should have fought Pereira in the floor in the 5th round by taking him down because it will take the gas out of Pereira but he chooses to face him standing and do counter punch but it backfire, I still want to see a rematch I hope Izzy is ok now and find his way up again, he still has it.
The fighter who wants to fight Pereira is the one who Adesanya beat, Whittaker.
Him also saying he would wanted to be his next opponent has received alot of attention.

I still believe Adesanya still has it. He can still dominate other talented fighters out there. This is a different fight he had just against Pereira. He probably didn't have 100% confidence against the man. He obviously was too cautious. He knew Pereira very well. He knew he was already defeated twice. He knew Pereira's power because he was already a victim of it. Not only was Pereira's punches hard-hitting, they were also accurate.

But despite this, it was Pereira who was actually saved by the bell right in the opening round. The scorecards were all in favor of Adesanya. I think it was in the third round when Adesanya took down Pereira to the ground even if he was already raining punches on him. I guess he could actually have finished him right there and then hadn't he decided to be cautious and go for the take down.
Israel was 3/1 favorite to win before the combination of punches that Alex threw and if he survived the final round, he would of won, according to the scorecards.
It was a thrilling fight and not one to forget for along time to the former champ.
Adesanya is probably still reeling from the fight because several days later he was detained at New York's airport before going back home:
https://nypost.com/2022/11/16/israel-adesanya-arrested-for-carrying-brass-knuckles-at-jfk

He mentioned right after the fight he had to deal with some issues physically but probably mentally as well.
sr. member
Activity: 2380
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.

It was a good enough fight, although not that entertaining. It was very obvious how Adesanya was not taking too much risk. That's understandable because he is facing against somebody he knows very well, somebody who already defeated him not just once but twice. And that was perhaps the reason why Pereira defeated him once again, the third time around. Pereira must have a big psychological effect on Adesanya. Adesanya could hardly get aggressive.

I'd say Poirier vs Chandler was the more entertaining match, although both matches had a great ending.

Adesanya knows how hard Pereira's punches are he talks about it when Strickland fought Pereira, he is fully aware so he never takes a chance and he can't do what he always does, Adesanya fought fighters with hard punches in the past but the fear of going down again by Pereira's punches haunts him, he should have fought Pereira in the floor in the 5th round by taking him down because it will take the gas out of Pereira but he chooses to face him standing and do counter punch but it backfire, I still want to see a rematch I hope Izzy is ok now and find his way up again, he still has it.

I still believe Adesanya still has it. He can still dominate other talented fighters out there. This is a different fight he had just against Pereira. He probably didn't have 100% confidence against the man. He obviously was too cautious. He knew Pereira very well. He knew he was already defeated twice. He knew Pereira's power because he was already a victim of it. Not only was Pereira's punches hard-hitting, they were also accurate.

But despite this, it was Pereira who was actually saved by the bell right in the opening round. The scorecards were all in favor of Adesanya. I think it was in the third round when Adesanya took down Pereira to the ground even if he was already raining punches on him. I guess he could actually have finished him right there and then hadn't he decided to be cautious and go for the take down.
hero member
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.

It was a good enough fight, although not that entertaining. It was very obvious how Adesanya was not taking too much risk. That's understandable because he is facing against somebody he knows very well, somebody who already defeated him not just once but twice. And that was perhaps the reason why Pereira defeated him once again, the third time around. Pereira must have a big psychological effect on Adesanya. Adesanya could hardly get aggressive.

I'd say Poirier vs Chandler was the more entertaining match, although both matches had a great ending.

Adesanya knows how hard Pereira's punches are he talks about it when Strickland fought Pereira, he is fully aware so he never takes a chance and he can't do what he always does, Adesanya fought fighters with hard punches in the past but the fear of going down again by Pereira's punches haunts him, he should have fought Pereira in the floor in the 5th round by taking him down because it will take the gas out of Pereira but he chooses to face him standing and do counter punch but it backfire, I still want to see a rematch I hope Izzy is ok now and find his way up again, he still has it.
sr. member
Activity: 2380
Merit: 366
Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.

It was a good enough fight, although not that entertaining. It was very obvious how Adesanya was not taking too much risk. That's understandable because he is facing against somebody he knows very well, somebody who already defeated him not just once but twice. And that was perhaps the reason why Pereira defeated him once again, the third time around. Pereira must have a big psychological effect on Adesanya. Adesanya could hardly get aggressive.

I'd say Poirier vs Chandler was the more entertaining match, although both matches had a great ending.
legendary
Activity: 2450
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.

But unfortunately, it did not go that way, but I adore Adesanya for admitting his lost, and very sportsman in how he conducts himself after the defeat, he makes a bow to the crowd, and in the post-fight conference he thanks everyone at his team on his great venture as a champion, this is not the end for Adesanya, he is still young and can beat any fighter in the middleweight, I'm sure the UFC management would want to do this again, maybe they will let Alex defend it first against a worthy opponent and Izzy fights a top-ranked fighter, before they do a rematch.
sr. member
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Both fighter's will ensure a great fight as they are both very skilled fighters. They both have different reasons for fighting, Israel will be fighting not to loose again to Pereira who remains the only fighter to have knocked him out, and Pereira will be fighting to ensure he wins again. Israel has more experience in the MMA than Pereira, maybe that will count, But Pereira is who I see will win.
legendary
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@Welsh & @Inwestour
I will agree with you both on all your very valid points on this challenge to Israel for this upcoming title defense.
As you both have probably already viewed the press conference last night you would probably have seen Pereira's mindset and know he is a very careful person in what he says and what he does.
But one thing is for certain, this fight will not go past the 4th round.
Both fighters want to end it as early as possible and if you had watched Alex's past fights since entering into the UFC you will notice he goes all out to knock out his opponent and not just running around and feinting around the ring like Adesanya does in his fighting style.
That will be my next bet for the fight not going the distance because the under 4.5 rounds are the exact same odds.
hero member
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I don't think Alex has the same type of speed in his legs to keep up, and keep putting the pressure on once Izzy decides to get on out of there. I guess time will tell, but I just don't think he has. If it wasn't for that, and the fact I think Izzy could potentially do a few takedowns if he gets into trouble, I'd go for Alex. Basically, for Alex to win, I think he needs to knock Izzy out in basically one, or at the very least hurt him enough that he hits the ground still dazed.

I just don't know what the odds would be to catch someone like Izzy who is so far out of reach, and always looking to bounce if the heat gets turned up. I'll be going for a Izzy decision more than likely.
They are long time rivals in kickboxing, they fought twice and Pereira won both times, and he won the rematch by knockout. But that was a long time ago and this story was successfully used for the hype around this fight. Becouse of these victories, the odds at the fighters are pretty even, but Israel in the cage has significantly more experience and he will be waiting for his chance to catch Pereira.

Pereira says Israel doesn't want to fight him, but he has to because he's a champion and has to defend his belt. But I will say, that if it were not this story with Pereira's victories in kickboxing, then Pereira could not have reached the title fight for a long time.
staff
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Put in my rather big bet last night so here it is:

Over $180 is a good amount but I was going to go with Will it go the distance bet at 2.09x and with the boost would of go it to over 2.30x I went with my selection from the previous thread I have backed the contender to the title since the fight was announced well over 7 months ago.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.61008297
Respectable bet, and I think they'll definitely be chances there for Alex. The only reason that's stopping me from betting on Alex is, Izzy is a master of escape at this point. He's always on his toes, and we basically never seen him in trouble, at least for a while. So, he's going to be looking to score points, and basically use his length, and stance to quickly escape if the heat gets turned up by Alex, at least that's what I think will happen.

I don't think Alex has the same type of speed in his legs to keep up, and keep putting the pressure on once Izzy decides to get on out of there. I guess time will tell, but I just don't think he has. If it wasn't for that, and the fact I think Izzy could potentially do a few takedowns if he gets into trouble, I'd go for Alex. Basically, for Alex to win, I think he needs to knock Izzy out in basically one, or at the very least hurt him enough that he hits the ground still dazed.

I just don't know what the odds would be to catch someone like Izzy who is so far out of reach, and always looking to bounce if the heat gets turned up. I'll be going for a Izzy decision more than likely.
member
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Adesanya- Pereira going to be a wild one  Shocked
Pereira a bit up in odds from 2.5 to 2.7. Going to try a parlay with Pereira @2.7 + Poirier @1.44 so lets see how that turns out.
A free shot for some freebets on Multi-Master as well: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-281-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5419956
legendary
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You are right slaman29 they are going on right now so the major states are busy with this going on especially New York.
So a big fight event into that city during the elections will be hard to compare with but I think UFC 281 will trump it!

Put in my rather big bet last night so here it is:

Over $180 is a good amount but I was going to go with Will it go the distance bet at 2.09x and with the boost would of go it to over 2.30x I went with my selection from the previous thread I have backed the contender to the title since the fight was announced well over 7 months ago.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.61008297
legendary
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UFC Vegas 64 weigh-ins just finished (they won't even have a ceremonial one as it is not enough hype on these fights to garner one) and there were a record tying 4 missed weights for fighters.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oYd5uzv-jio
Seems the fighters on this card are not even interested in fighting. Shameful really. They get their purses cut for the miss weigh.

I haven't been following these fights for a long time, I don't know much about things over there but I would say the US elections now seems to be taking some of the attention away from UFC because I don't get why fighters would not take money by missing weights? Or do they believe the advantage is theirs if they keep the weight on to try and win? Seems weird to me, maybe it's Covid fats like most of us lol
legendary
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UFC Vegas 64 weigh-ins just finished (they won't even have a ceremonial one as it is not enough hype on these fights to garner one) and there were a record tying 4 missed weights for fighters.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oYd5uzv-jio
Seems the fighters on this card are not even interested in fighting. Shameful really. They get their purses cut for the miss weigh.
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