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Topic: UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 88. (Read 18706 times)

legendary
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UFC Vegas 55 is this weekend and another action packed lineup welcoming some familiar fighters to the octagon.
The main event has Holm vs Vieira. At a 10 year age gap, this will test the 40 year old veteran who made her debut back in 2015.

Here is the challenge for your chance to win some prizes:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-vegas-55-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5399245
legendary
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I had a feeling fight will end early, but this was bad luck for Rakic in main event after his knee broke down, he said later this was repeated injury from training camp he had few weeks ago.
I think that Rakic was better until his injury and he would probably win the fight, but instead he is going to have longer recovery and maybe surgery.
Błachowicz was lucky this time and his next fight will be against new champion Glover Teixeira or Jiri Prochazka.
Both his legs were shot. Jan was busting up his left thigh that it didn't look normal after the takedown in the second.
The knee on the other leg just gave out when he stepped back.
Great win as it was given as a TKO.
Because Blachowicz kept working on those legs with calf and thigh kicks as you know he likes to do.
Glover called him out before the fight saying he will fight him and give him another title shot if he wins.
So I guess he is ready to go and take his title back from Teixeira only if he does win against Prochazka.
legendary
Activity: 2086
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Logo Designer ⛨ BSFL Division1
I had a feeling fight will end early, but this was bad luck for Rakic in main event after his knee broke down, he said later this was repeated injury from training camp he had few weeks ago.
I think that Rakic was better until his injury and he would probably win the fight, but instead he is going to have longer recovery and maybe surgery.
Błachowicz was lucky this time and his next fight will be against new champion Glover Teixeira or Jiri Prochazka.
staff
Activity: 1316
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The Naija & BSFL Sherrif 📛
@Igehhh
Looking at your selections for this UFC you are doing better than me.
I was out by the first fight because who saw Maximov losing @1.26x odds and all in the first minute of the first round.
In UFC, the ones with the shortest odds always screw me over. I'm done with multi-selection; perhaps the next time I should go with some high old underdogs as a single bet. I had high hopes for Maximov, but he ruined my day before it even began.

Didn't stay up since Liverpool won, sending me quietly and peacefully to bed AFTER staying up with my kid for about another 2 hours to see the Eurovision final (Ukraine won, shocker).
~snip~
It's being a difficult season for me but that's story for another day!! My team gives me sleepless nights these days.

Yeah, never bet on the first match of the Vegas prelims. The lower odds seem to sucker most in thinking it a off one and done match for the icebreaker. But it never ends up like this.
Atleast this has happened whenever I bet on the first match.
Then it's better to always for the underdog since the first fight are always a shocker!! Lol.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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^ So never bet on one of the biggest matches of the rounds then? I thought the opener was always a big deal... but this is why I still see UFC as a conflip whenever the guys don't have a bigger than 6/1 underdog.

Didn't stay up since Liverpool won, sending me quietly and peacefully to bed AFTER staying up with my kid for about another 2 hours to see the Eurovision final (Ukraine won, shocker).

Lost my bets actually, rdbase, since I went for ML and goals and handicaps hahaha so my current out-of-pocket phase extends to Champions League final. Just small change here and there, and tapped out my final spare change today... but I spare a thought for you igehhh...

Back to topic (everything's related somehow in the end!), I ended up getting 6/11. Pretty sure plenty of 9s and 10s from the others!
Yeah, never bet on the first match of the Vegas prelims. The lower odds seem to sucker most in thinking it a off one and done match for the icebreaker. But it never ends up like this.
Atleast this has happened whenever I bet on the first match. Take this as an example:


Experiment if so wish. Maybe you will have better luck than I did.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 3724
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^ So never bet on one of the biggest matches of the rounds then? I thought the opener was always a big deal... but this is why I still see UFC as a conflip whenever the guys don't have a bigger than 6/1 underdog.

Didn't stay up since Liverpool won, sending me quietly and peacefully to bed AFTER staying up with my kid for about another 2 hours to see the Eurovision final (Ukraine won, shocker).

Lost my bets actually, rdbase, since I went for ML and goals and handicaps hahaha so my current out-of-pocket phase extends to Champions League final. Just small change here and there, and tapped out my final spare change today... but I spare a thought for you igehhh...

Back to topic (everything's related somehow in the end!), I ended up getting 6/11. Pretty sure plenty of 9s and 10s from the others!
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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@Igehhh
Looking at your selections for this UFC you are doing better than me.
I was out by the first fight because who saw Maximov losing @1.26x odds and all in the first minute of the first round.
Forgot my first rule in betting on UFC:
Never bet on the first fight

Just see how the first couple of fights go and those should tell you how the rest of the night will go.

This methodology has worked for me with my bets in the past.
staff
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1610
The Naija & BSFL Sherrif 📛
~snip~
Just watching this match at the moment and it is a boring on. No goals.
Hope you didn't put a winner in regular time or on goals, because I don't see this one being settled until penalties as those normally decide a winner for these finals.
You were correct. We made it to the final and were eliminated on penalties for the second time!! Only the main card of the UFC would make my weekend right now if everything goes according to plan. I'm too tired to watch the entire fight!!

Let's see if Igehhh selections manage to hit!
It's being a bad weekend after all.
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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I might actually tune in this weekend actually. Only got the one football game to watch (FA Cup final) and if I lose that bet, then I'm going to probably not sleep well. And the following day I have a huge 4 hours to myself, would feel like a long break from domestic duties.

Of course, if I can manage to stay up to 4am that would be a minor miracle these days.

Don't forget the predictions posted above.
Just watching this match at the moment and it is a boring on. No goals.
Hope you didn't put a winner in regular time or on goals, because I don't see this one being settled until penalties as those normally decide a winner for these finals.

Anyways, back to the UFC at hand.
In about six hours we will have UFC in vegas so here are the matches and odds:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/matches/today

I see Blachowicz is the underdog for the main event @2.65x
I will take him to win it early either by KO or submission.

Let's see if Igehhh selections manage to hit!
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 3724
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I might actually tune in this weekend actually. Only got the one football game to watch (FA Cup final) and if I lose that bet, then I'm going to probably not sleep well. And the following day I have a huge 4 hours to myself, would feel like a long break from domestic duties.

Of course, if I can manage to stay up to 4am that would be a minor miracle these days.

Don't forget the predictions posted above.
staff
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1610
The Naija & BSFL Sherrif 📛
Here is the UFC on ESPN 36 challenge for the week so put in your selections on who you think will win for each match for your chance to win a prize:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-on-espn-36-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5398086



I'm only interested in the main card on my bet slip; everything else is just my opinion.

My Picks

11) Aleksandar Rakic; Wins by Decision
10) Ion Cutelaba; wins by TKO
9) Davey Grant; wins by TKO
Cool Katlyn Chookagian; wins by decision
7) Manuel Torres; wins by TKO
6) Jake Hadley; wins by decision
5) Andrea Lee; wins by decision
4) Michael Johnson; wins by decision
3) Virna Jandiroba; wins by decision
2) Tatsuro Taira; wins by decision
1) Nick Maximov; wins by decision
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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This weekend we have Jan Blachowicz up against Aleksandar Rakic and looking to get his belt back from Glover Teixeira :
https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2022/05/ufc-on-espn-36-jan-blachowicz-hopes-take-title-back-glover-teixeira-aleksandar-rakic
Should be a heavy hitting bout for the main event at the Apex in Las Vegas.

Here is the UFC on ESPN 36 challenge for the week so put in your selections on who you think will win for each match for your chance to win a prize:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-on-espn-36-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5398086
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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I don't see how 1/2 a pound can make the different since they are not heavyweights.
The weight difference was very marginal but many have defended it because of crossing the line when it comes to what is deemed okay and what is not.
Why the UFC are still using scales from the past are beyond me and should be digital as with everything else in life when accuracy is the decision maker.
hero member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 953
Temporary forum vacation
Fights proceed even if they miss weight. Title fights like this one there isn't any leeway for them to be a 1/2 pound off but for non-title fights they are.
They are allowed to fight but have part of their purse demonetized as a fine for doing so.
He entered into the ring as still the championship holder but as soon as the fight started the title was vacant.
It is strange how the do this, but it is hot they do it.
Chandler's knock out performance was the highlight of the night for many who was in attendance.
That was career ending for Tony for sure and do not think we will see him fight again being his fourth straight loss in a row.
McGregor coming back to fight with that call out would be hilarious.

Okay I get it now that kind of makes sense in a way,,, I guess in boxing (not MMA) it is a bit more strict right since I always remember fights getting called off just because they could not make the weigh in. I think a penalty system is much more important since they will lose actual money if not making weight.

But one thing,,, the opponent is disadvantaged if the weight is not lesser than expected. Should the opponent also be rewarded for getting like a handicap?
legendary
Activity: 2828
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@igehhh staredown betting, we should open such markets Wink

Wow nice call rdbase on Charles getting a very quick win, all done in 1 round. I do not understand though you said earlier he did not make the weight,,, so why did the match proceed?

Anyway after match now he and Chandler calling for McGregor. Of course it is all staged but the fans love it all the more  Grin
Fights proceed even if they miss weight. Title fights like this one there isn't any leeway for them to be a 1/2 pound off but for non-title fights they are.
They are allowed to fight but have part of their purse demonetized as a fine for doing so.
He entered into the ring as still the championship holder but as soon as the fight started the title was vacant.
It is strange how the do this, but it is hot they do it.
Chandler's knock out performance was the highlight of the night for many who was in attendance.
That was career ending for Tony for sure and do not think we will see him fight again being his fourth straight loss in a row.
McGregor coming back to fight with that call out would be hilarious.
staff
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1610
The Naija & BSFL Sherrif 📛
Right, so early Olieviera win, pretty big upset on Rose (the odds were 1.2 IIFC), spectacular KO for my pick Ferguson, in general, not a great weekend for my picks.

Hope not on a wayward path here (and I'm really unsure as I see MMA tags and boxing tags, even UFC tags in some of the news reports am seeing, maybe someone can share a link that explains all the differences and paths because I actually can't locate one) but whoever chose Bivol in the prediction special should be pretty pleased -- whomever chose an all out Bivol should be even happier (most punches).

I did choose him, but went for a more balanced selection and apparently, reports I'm reading are also surprised it went to unanimous when all judges went for Alvarez in the first 4 rounds.

Unbelievable scene I predicted Charles would submit in the second round, but it came earlier than expected because Justin was too easy for him lol. I was expecting a good fight, not what I just witnessed; how did Charles calculate every Justin kick? Man Charles is simply an unbeatable fighter who can choke you out at any time. It was a great night, but I went home empty-handed. My mistake was adding Rose to my Acca; she was too boring to watch, and she arrived unprepared, giving me one of the most boring fights. I had high hopes for her.

So they left Tony in the cage after that super KO kick, and he slept the entire time; he was having a good night before that.  Cheesy

Edit

@igehhh staredown betting, we should open such markets Wink
All the staredown winners won last night. Lol  Grin
hero member
Activity: 2352
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Temporary forum vacation
@igehhh staredown betting, we should open such markets Wink

Wow nice call rdbase on Charles getting a very quick win, all done in 1 round. I do not understand though you said earlier he did not make the weight,,, so why did the match proceed?

Anyway after match now he and Chandler calling for McGregor. Of course it is all staged but the fans love it all the more  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3010
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Right, so early Olieviera win, pretty big upset on Rose (the odds were 1.2 IIFC), spectacular KO for my pick Ferguson, in general, not a great weekend for my picks.

Hope not on a wayward path here (and I'm really unsure as I see MMA tags and boxing tags, even UFC tags in some of the news reports am seeing, maybe someone can share a link that explains all the differences and paths because I actually can't locate one) but whoever chose Bivol in the prediction special should be pretty pleased -- whomever chose an all out Bivol should be even happier (most punches).

I did choose him, but went for a more balanced selection and apparently, reports I'm reading are also surprised it went to unanimous when all judges went for Alvarez in the first 4 rounds.
legendary
Activity: 2828
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Some unbelievable mistake by Charles happened during the weigh-ins:
Oliveira missed weight so the championship title is vacant.
Here is the official rundown video right after the scales showed the overweigh and an official spokesperson telling what will happen next for the title shot:
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/qikiwiF0pzU

Posted on ESPN who now organizes the UFC fights broadcasted globally:
https://www.espn.com/mma/story/_/id/33867817/charles-oliveira-stripped-lightweight-belt-failing-make-weight-ufc-274

The odds for Oliveira have gone up to 1.65x from the 1.55x it was before the weigh-in happened.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/mma/ufc/ufc-274-oliveira-vs-gaethje/oliveira-charles-vs-gaethje-justin-62277e741f85c703d2b5b5f9

Full set of odds for all fights for the UFC 274 event:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/matches/today
staff
Activity: 1316
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The Naija & BSFL Sherrif 📛
Just as Igehhh has mentioned it is a coin flip on who could win for the main event.
I don't disagree with him there.
Charles when backed in a corner can be like a snake and before you know it has you wrapped in a submission hold.

UFC 274: Pre-Fight Press Conference is happening very soon and there are many who are in the live comment section voicing their favorites to win:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sl36zdb9co
Lol Charles won the staredown; did you notice Justin's fear and nervousness? Charles is probably going to put him to sleep because he looked lost even before the game began, and I just watched someone who won't last more than two rounds.

The queen of rematch Rose always gets her way I'm putting my money on her as well.
Oliveira always has the best staredowns during these junkets and doesn't ever backdown from them.
And yes, you do see the fear in his eyes. Cause nobody likes to get choked out.
Justin shitted himself. Lol. The only way Charles can lose is if he becomes overconfident and less ambitious; if Khabib can submit Justin, Charles, who is even better, will do it as soon as possible; it's going to be a ground grabbing fight...

igehh somebody should make a stats page of how many people who won staredowns also won the match. Interesting?? Wink
Being so confident gives you an advantage because it instills fear in your opponent, making them feel lost even before the fight begins. I can't provide such statistics because I only watch main events and am not a regular UFC fan.
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