UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 84.

Igebotz

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Quote from: buwaytress on May 08, 2022, 04:25:57 AM

Right, so early Olieviera win, pretty big upset on Rose (the odds were 1.2 IIFC), spectacular KO for my pick Ferguson, in general, not a great weekend for my picks.

Hope not on a wayward path here (and I'm really unsure as I see MMA tags and boxing tags, even UFC tags in some of the news reports am seeing, maybe someone can share a link that explains all the differences and paths because I actually can't locate one) but whoever chose Bivol in the prediction special should be pretty pleased -- whomever chose an all out Bivol should be even happier (most punches).

I did choose him, but went for a more balanced selection and apparently, reports I'm reading are also surprised it went to unanimous when all judges went for Alvarez in the first 4 rounds.

Unbelievable scene I predicted Charles would submit in the second round, but it came earlier than expected because Justin was too easy for him lol. I was expecting a good fight, not what I just witnessed; how did Charles calculate every Justin kick? Man Charles is simply an unbeatable fighter who can choke you out at any time. It was a great night, but I went home empty-handed. My mistake was adding Rose to my Acca; she was too boring to watch, and she arrived unprepared, giving me one of the most boring fights. I had high hopes for her.

So they left Tony in the cage after that super KO kick, and he slept the entire time; he was having a good night before that. Cheesy

Edit

Quote from: leea-1334 on May 08, 2022, 09:02:11 AM

@igehhh staredown betting, we should open such markets Wink

All the staredown winners won last night. Lol Grin

leea-1334

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@igehhh staredown betting, we should open such markets Wink

Wow nice call rdbase on Charles getting a very quick win, all done in 1 round. I do not understand though you said earlier he did not make the weight,,, so why did the match proceed?

Anyway after match now he and Chandler calling for McGregor. Of course it is all staged but the fans love it all the more Grin

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Right, so early Olieviera win, pretty big upset on Rose (the odds were 1.2 IIFC), spectacular KO for my pick Ferguson, in general, not a great weekend for my picks.

Hope not on a wayward path here (and I'm really unsure as I see MMA tags and boxing tags, even UFC tags in some of the news reports am seeing, maybe someone can share a link that explains all the differences and paths because I actually can't locate one) but whoever chose Bivol in the prediction special should be pretty pleased -- whomever chose an all out Bivol should be even happier (most punches).

I did choose him, but went for a more balanced selection and apparently, reports I'm reading are also surprised it went to unanimous when all judges went for Alvarez in the first 4 rounds.

rdbase

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Some unbelievable mistake by Charles happened during the weigh-ins:
Oliveira missed weight so the championship title is vacant.
Here is the official rundown video right after the scales showed the overweigh and an official spokesperson telling what will happen next for the title shot:
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/qikiwiF0pzU

Posted on ESPN who now organizes the UFC fights broadcasted globally:
https://www.espn.com/mma/story/_/id/33867817/charles-oliveira-stripped-lightweight-belt-failing-make-weight-ufc-274

The odds for Oliveira have gone up to 1.65x from the 1.55x it was before the weigh-in happened.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/mma/ufc/ufc-274-oliveira-vs-gaethje/oliveira-charles-vs-gaethje-justin-62277e741f85c703d2b5b5f9

Full set of odds for all fights for the UFC 274 event:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/matches/today

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Quote from: rdbase on May 06, 2022, 07:04:41 AM

Quote from: Igebotz on May 05, 2022, 09:27:21 PM

Quote from: rdbase on May 05, 2022, 05:21:37 PM

Just as Igehhh has mentioned it is a coin flip on who could win for the main event.
I don't disagree with him there.
Charles when backed in a corner can be like a snake and before you know it has you wrapped in a submission hold.

UFC 274: Pre-Fight Press Conference is happening very soon and there are many who are in the live comment section voicing their favorites to win:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sl36zdb9co

Lol Charles won the staredown; did you notice Justin's fear and nervousness? Charles is probably going to put him to sleep because he looked lost even before the game began, and I just watched someone who won't last more than two rounds.

The queen of rematch Rose always gets her way I'm putting my money on her as well.

Oliveira always has the best staredowns during these junkets and doesn't ever backdown from them.
And yes, you do see the fear in his eyes. Cause nobody likes to get choked out.

Justin shitted himself. Lol. The only way Charles can lose is if he becomes overconfident and less ambitious; if Khabib can submit Justin, Charles, who is even better, will do it as soon as possible; it's going to be a ground grabbing fight...

Quote from: leea-1334 on May 06, 2022, 04:16:17 AM

igehh somebody should make a stats page of how many people who won staredowns also won the match. Interesting?? Wink

Being so confident gives you an advantage because it instills fear in your opponent, making them feel lost even before the fight begins. I can't provide such statistics because I only watch main events and am not a regular UFC fan.

rdbase

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Quote from: Igebotz on May 05, 2022, 09:27:21 PM

Quote from: rdbase on May 05, 2022, 05:21:37 PM

Just as Igehhh has mentioned it is a coin flip on who could win for the main event.
I don't disagree with him there.
Charles when backed in a corner can be like a snake and before you know it has you wrapped in a submission hold.

UFC 274: Pre-Fight Press Conference is happening very soon and there are many who are in the live comment section voicing their favorites to win:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sl36zdb9co

Lol Charles won the staredown; did you notice Justin's fear and nervousness? Charles is probably going to put him to sleep because he looked lost even before the game began, and I just watched someone who won't last more than two rounds.

The queen of rematch Rose always gets her way I'm putting my money on her as well.

Oliveira always has the best staredowns during these junkets and doesn't ever backdown from them.
And yes, you do see the fear in his eyes. Cause nobody likes to get choked out.

@leea-1334: That is how it is with a majority of those who watch the fights in the UFC.
It is all about the thrill of the fight card. Don't necessarily need to have a bet on each and every fight. I usually bet on the prelims and don't even touch the main card bouts because they were either too hard to decide the winner, just as with this weekend's main event with Oli and Gaet.
But I will put my money on Nama just like igehhh has only because it is fun to put money on the one just before the main event.
And well.. It is Thug Rose!
Always entertaining to watch her cause you don't know how she will finish her opponent. Very crafty girl when she gets in the octagon.

If you liked staredowns then I would suggest waiting for the weigh-ins (the Ceremonial one is better) starting in about 12 hours from now:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKeppsF5HL0

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Somebody reminded me about this thread,,, I do not really bet on UFC however just play the prediction games and sometimes watch on tv. If you live in Asia and you work late night or are up sometimes the only thing showing if there is no football is UFC or boxing (I cannot tell difference sometimes my mates get so pissed Grin

).

igehh somebody should make a stats page of how many people who won staredowns also won the match. Interesting?? Wink

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Quote from: rdbase on May 05, 2022, 05:21:37 PM

Just as Igehhh has mentioned it is a coin flip on who could win for the main event.
I don't disagree with him there.
Charles when backed in a corner can be like a snake and before you know it has you wrapped in a submission hold.

UFC 274: Pre-Fight Press Conference is happening very soon and there are many who are in the live comment section voicing their favorites to win:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sl36zdb9co

Lol Charles won the staredown; did you notice Justin's fear and nervousness? Charles is probably going to put him to sleep because he looked lost even before the game began, and I just watched someone who won't last more than two rounds.

The queen of rematch Rose always gets her way I'm putting my money on her as well.

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Just as Igehhh has mentioned it is a coin flip on who could win for the main event.
I don't disagree with him there.
Charles when backed in a corner can be like a snake and before you know it has you wrapped in a submission hold.

UFC 274: Pre-Fight Press Conference is happening very soon and there are many who are in the live comment section voicing their favorites to win:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sl36zdb9co

Countdown is about 2 hours but would say closer to 2 3/4 hours to go.

Placing your bets can be done here for all matches after watching the conference:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-274-oliveira-vs-gaethje/matches

Both champions who are defending their titles are the favorites this time.

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Quote from: rdbase on May 05, 2022, 05:52:37 AM

Oliveira was the underdog in his last fight against Poirier even though he held the championship, same with Namajunas.
So the odds for these UFC main event title bouts seem to be fueled by the hype and not necessarily who will/might win.

The buzz surrounding Gaethjes adds to the scheme. I personally believe it's a 50-50 game, but I must admit that if Gaethjes doesn't get the job done in the first round, I don't see him making it out in the second round, Oliveira is going to choke him up and give him a submission, he's such a dirty fighter, don't take him to the ground, you're never going to make it out, he's a submission specialist. Both fighters are excellent, but Oliveira is in his prime and will almost certainly retain his title. I'm betting on Oliv to win by Sub.

Another source of inspiration for Oliveira is the prospect of joining the ranks of the legends, which he aspires to do.

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Oliveira was the underdog in his last fight against Poirier even though he held the championship, same with Namajunas.
So the odds for these UFC main event title bouts seem to be fueled by the hype and not necessarily who will/might win.

It was media day yesterday so alot of videos on what the fighters had to say prior to the press conference scheduled for later on today.

Here are introduction videos of the each fighter for those not familiar on who they are and who they fought in their last fight:
ESPN: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4GCbxhAAz48
BT Sports: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D--7xnP-kPg

Found it interesting on getting the American vs the UK media perspectives on who they think might win.

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Just love those predictions promos, this time I mixed in my usual picks of heavy-sided underdogs with "narrower" underdogs. For me this time it was an arbitrary 15/10 odds or better to count as a favourite, usually for UFC I'm only picking the fav if they're 12/10 or better. No science behind it...

As a result, favourite Oliveira didn't make my cut as he was just above 15/10, though he seems far more rated in the media.

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Another main event happening for UFC 274 and here is the challenge to select your picks for a chance to win a prize.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-274-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5397178

Two title fights so should be one not to miss!

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UFC on ESPN happening this weekend with Font vs Vera. Shouldn't be one to miss and happening at Enterprise Nevada.
Have your chance to win some prizes with this challenge at the link below:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-on-espn-35-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5396281

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Fight night at the Apex didn't disappoint last night with all the fights being just bangers.
Jessica Andrade won her main event match with the first standing arm-triangle choke done to submit an opponent in the UFC.
It was a sight to behold and it is rare move since it usual is performed on the ground but she had the strength to do it standing.
Amazing fight even if it was finished in the first round within a few minutes of it starting.

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@leea-1334 It depends on how the night goes. More likely to have more than 10 correct selections if the favorites of the nights win. The main card are almost always a toss up. Just like the last fight, the one inwhich everybody though would win had an off night. So he lost.
Those kind of matches are either heads of tails. Just need to be lucky on some I think.

Here is the challenge for the next UFC fight night, so put your picks in to see if you can win a prize:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-fight-night-205-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5395141

Main event is Lemos vs Andrade and should be a batlle.

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Quote from: rdbase on April 18, 2022, 09:01:37 AM

Think while I was counting their wins yesterday they had close to 13 correct selections.
So they were all sharp picks to be honest no denying that.

Belal has always been fun to watch especially live when he is peak form.
I just hated watching his matches where he had a hard time with takedowns but when he does land them they are treat to see.

The next UFC fight night looks like a good one as the main event is with a high level striker, so you don't want to miss that!

To get 10 and not win anything means either people were really lucky,,, or really good. I did not even come close but still it is interesting to see what people pick and maybe learn something along the way. Takedowns are nice too,,, I admit, but I also really enjoy fights that are more like boxing and less like wrestling!

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Quote from: leea-1334 on April 18, 2022, 08:33:22 AM

^ 10 right was not enough in the end actually,,, if you saw the winners, notblox1 had way more! But this is the nature of UFC, you have to be able not just to pick the winners but make it consistently (as odds are always almost hard to get 2x). To me this is how all no-draw games work anyway

Belal match was pretty cool to see, not sure if it was as exciting if watched live.

Think while I was counting their wins yesterday they had close to 13 correct selections.
So they were all sharp picks to be honest no denying that.

Belal has always been fun to watch especially live when he is peak form.
I just hated watching his matches where he had a hard time with takedowns but when he does land them they are treat to see.

The next UFC fight night looks like a good one as the main event is with a high level striker, so you don't want to miss that!

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^ 10 right was not enough in the end actually,,, if you saw the winners, notblox1 had way more! But this is the nature of UFC, you have to be able not just to pick the winners but make it consistently (as odds are always almost hard to get 2x). To me this is how all no-draw games work anyway

Belal match was pretty cool to see, not sure if it was as exciting if watched live.

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^ ^
Yeah you got 10 right.
With going 0/5 for the first early prelim fights I knew I wasn't going to do so well in the challenge, so just watched the prelims and main cards for fun.

Looking towards some Borz UFC action it looks like Khamzat Chimaev vs Colby Covington is going to be a reality:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtWi4MuCm8I
Also I believe I heard Dana mention afterwards in an interview this will happen before the Fall.

But it does seem Covington is a bit scared to face him after watching this video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dRp1J60pOw

Also Usman talks about fighting him even before Colby fight happens.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFKVMB0Rruc
It seems everybody wants a piece of him from that Burns match.

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