UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 97.

buwaytress

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 22, 2021, 02:41:46 AM

Valentina Shevchenko was not accused of staying in her division. She was a bantamweight before where the only fighter who can beat her is Amanda Nunes. I speculate of Amanda Nunes retires she can win the female bantamweight division.

Also add Roxanne Modafferi in your bets on underdogs hehehe. I speculate that she might be underestimated again by bettors and sportsbooks hehehe.

Then the commentary on Twitter misleads me, they're saying she left bantam because of Nunes and then of course there's all that talk about rematches but it doesn't look like it's headed anywhere real. But if Shevchenko really does fight til she's 50 as she says she wants to, maybe we get to see some real fights in 5 years heh.

Modafferi, you say? Done at 4.30x. Blind faith gets you everywhere sometimes, right? Wink

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 21, 2021, 07:15:59 AM

Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 12:09:28 PM

Zhu Rong took this fight easily and it showed dominating in all rounds.
Spann winning was a no contest.

Yeah, won one but lost my 2 biggest bets as the (slight) favourites took it home. Better for me, in the end, I guess, as my martingale means bigger bets and bigger wins (ha ha?).

Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 04:11:00 PM

@fiulpro About UFC 266, haven't really had a chance to really sit down and think about who I am going with yet. There is still around 4-5 days to go through each and every fight to pick our favorites to win.

I'm going to watch the odds purely, and again pick the one with slightly better ones, looking at the three highlight matches. So for me, these are my picks in bold and their respective odds:
Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega: 2.50
Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy: 11.00 -- Shevchenko's accused of staying in her division cause she just doesn't want to lose, this is the first UFC fight I've ever seen with 11/1 odds, but you know me...
Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler: 1.98

Valentina Shevchenko was not accused of staying in her division. She was a bantamweight before where the only fighter who can beat her is Amanda Nunes. I speculate if Amanda Nunes will retire Valentina will win the female bantamweight division.

Also add Roxanne Modafferi in your bets on underdogs hehehe. I speculate that she might be underestimated again by bettors and sportsbooks hehehe.

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Quote from: TheNineClub on September 21, 2021, 08:11:44 AM

Wait, so you're going with Ortega? I can't really see why the Odds would be in Ortega's favor. Not saying he might not win but I would go at least 60-40 in the case of Volk. I just can't bet on Ortega's unpredictability. Volk is much more straightforward (not in movement), stick to the plan doing the things he knows work for him whereas Ortega will throw everything and the kitchen sink at his opponents. Just my 2 cents.

Yes sir, I am, and he's not the favourite. I've just been doing a martingale strategy on the underdog on all the highlight bouts -- Ortega's just only slightly less favoured by the bookies this time though.

You're going to hate me but my MMA knowledge is next to non-existent, and it does seem to me a lot more coinflippy than one might imagine, So just using price boosts and betting on the one with better odds when it's almost 1:1, like in this case.

That said, Bullet has to win but at 1.08, it's a bet I'd never take. The odds (first time I've seen more than 10/1) reflect that.

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 21, 2021, 07:15:59 AM

Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 12:09:28 PM

Zhu Rong took this fight easily and it showed dominating in all rounds.
Spann winning was a no contest.

Yeah, won one but lost my 2 biggest bets as the (slight) favourites took it home. Better for me, in the end, I guess, as my martingale means bigger bets and bigger wins (ha ha?).

Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 04:11:00 PM

@fiulpro About UFC 266, haven't really had a chance to really sit down and think about who I am going with yet. There is still around 4-5 days to go through each and every fight to pick our favorites to win.

I'm going to watch the odds purely, and again pick the one with slightly better ones, looking at the three highlight matches. So for me, these are my picks in bold and their respective odds:
Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega: 2.50
Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy: 11.00 -- Shevchenko's accused of staying in her division cause she just doesn't want to lose, this is the first UFC fight I've ever seen with 11/1 odds, but you know me...
Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler: 1.98

Wait, so you're going with Ortega? I can't really see why the Odds would be in Ortega's favor. Not saying he might not win but I would go at least 60-40 in the case of Volk. I just can't bet on Ortega's unpredictability. Volk is much more straightforward (not in movement), stick to the plan doing the things he knows work for him whereas Ortega will throw everything and the kitchen sink at his opponents. Just my 2 cents.

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Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 12:09:28 PM

Zhu Rong took this fight easily and it showed dominating in all rounds.
Spann winning was a no contest.

Yeah, won one but lost my 2 biggest bets as the (slight) favourites took it home. Better for me, in the end, I guess, as my martingale means bigger bets and bigger wins (ha ha?).

Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 04:11:00 PM

@fiulpro About UFC 266, haven't really had a chance to really sit down and think about who I am going with yet. There is still around 4-5 days to go through each and every fight to pick our favorites to win.

I'm going to watch the odds purely, and again pick the one with slightly better ones, looking at the three highlight matches. So for me, these are my picks in bold and their respective odds:
Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega: 2.50
Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy: 11.00 -- Shevchenko's accused of staying in her division cause she just doesn't want to lose, this is the first UFC fight I've ever seen with 11/1 odds, but you know me...
Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler: 1.98

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Quote from: fiulpro on September 20, 2021, 01:42:56 PM

Just started watching UFC seriously and monitoring the way matches are working right now in 266 there are few of them like :

So who are you guys betting on ?

For me I would not bet against Alexander for sure since the guy is someone that impressed me a lot , not only did his winning streak since 2013 but at the same time his core strength, his improvement. I do think he definately have better odds for winning against Ortega .

Alexander is the favorite in that match. Betting against him will be more profitable although as usual, much risky unless they are hardcore Ortega followers. Ortega is the underdog but seeing how bookmarkers provided the odds for that match, he is not totally a fighter that can be looked down on.

The women's flyweight title bout is crazy. What I mean is, Shevchenko and Murphy have a large gap in terms of strength where the former is the most dominant. Can't understand why she is ended up against Murphy. She (or organizers) should choose someone close to her strength.

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Quote from: notblox1 on September 20, 2021, 02:24:09 PM

Did anyone saw what happened with Devin Clark rearranged teeth after fight with Ion Cutelaba?
It was one of the worst mouth injuries I saw in UFC and I expect to see surgical operation and many months of recovery for him without fighting in octagon.
Cutelaba did this with his knee and won on by decision in all 3 rounds, and Clark is so tough that he managed to finish this fight.

https://twitter.com/espnmma/status/1439408613903245312

I watched the Hulk kneeing his face so I would imagine thats when this happened. Embarrassed

But yeah, the announcer was saying the exact same thing even before the next round started. About his teeth getting rearranged in his mouth.
It was a brutal fight but satisfying for Cutelaba to win.

@fiulpro About UFC 266, haven't really had a chance to really sit down and think about who I am going with yet. There is still around 4-5 days to go through each and every fight to pick our favorites to win.
So be sure to look out this week for the usual UFC competition when it's released so you can put your selections in early. Due to the new rule for the first one who have the same selections wins if it comes down to a tie.

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Did anyone saw what happened with Devin Clark rearranged teeth after fight with Ion Cutelaba?
It was one of the worst mouth injuries I saw in UFC and I expect to see surgical operation and many months of recovery for him without fighting in octagon.
Cutelaba did this with his knee and won on by decision in all 3 rounds, and Clark is so tough that he managed to finish this fight.

https://twitter.com/espnmma/status/1439408613903245312

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Quote from: rdbase on September 20, 2021, 12:09:28 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on September 18, 2021, 01:10:18 PM

Quote from: agustina2 on September 18, 2021, 03:13:12 AM

Referring to Zhu Rong, a bit of over 2-5 pounds shouldn't be a problem because after all in the actual match, they are weighing about over 10 pounds.

OK cool, that's what I thought too, so Zhu Rong should have the slight advantage. Odds haven't changed much either, from what I can see, so the oddsmakers also don't think it's of any effect. Just curious if it affects the betting patterns for anyone.

No other interesting developments I think, so leaving my bets as is and waking up to see them as usual in the morning.

Zhu Rong took this fight easily and it showed dominating in all rounds.

Spann winning was a no contest. Looked as if he didn't even show up to fight as he was choked out in the first round.
Smith was just too strong and he was on point that night. Very strong to call out his next challenger who tweeted him after his fight and he accepted a December fight live during the event.
So look out for his next fight as he wants a title shot soon.

Coming up 266. All big title fights.

Just started watching UFC seriously and monitoring the way matches are working right now in 266 there are few of them like :

So who are you guys betting on ?

For me I would not bet against Alexander for sure since the guy is someone that impressed me a lot , not only did his winning streak since 2013 but at the same time his core strength, his improvement. I do think he definately have better odds for winning against Ortega .

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 18, 2021, 01:10:18 PM

Quote from: agustina2 on September 18, 2021, 03:13:12 AM

Referring to Zhu Rong, a bit of over 2-5 pounds shouldn't be a problem because after all in the actual match, they are weighing about over 10 pounds.

OK cool, that's what I thought too, so Zhu Rong should have the slight advantage. Odds haven't changed much either, from what I can see, so the oddsmakers also don't think it's of any effect. Just curious if it affects the betting patterns for anyone.

No other interesting developments I think, so leaving my bets as is and waking up to see them as usual in the morning.

Zhu Rong took this fight easily and it showed dominating in all rounds.

Spann winning was a no contest. Looked as if he didn't even show up to fight as he was choked out in the first round.
Smith was just too strong and he was on point that night. Very strong to call out his next challenger who tweeted him after his fight and he accepted a December fight live during the event.
So look out for his next fight as he wants a title shot soon.

Coming up 266. All big title fights.

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Quote from: agustina2 on September 18, 2021, 03:13:12 AM

Referring to Zhu Rong, a bit of over 2-5 pounds shouldn't be a problem because after all in the actual match, they are weighing about over 10 pounds.

OK cool, that's what I thought too, so Zhu Rong should have the slight advantage. Odds haven't changed much either, from what I can see, so the oddsmakers also don't think it's of any effect. Just curious if it affects the betting patterns for anyone.

No other interesting developments I think, so leaving my bets as is and waking up to see them as usual in the morning.

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 18, 2021, 01:33:49 AM

Anyone still haven't made any picks: Zhu Rong (or Rong Zhu) didn't make weight so the bout will be catchweight. It's only 2 pounds over but what are your guys' take on that? Good or bad for him?

Personally, I think it's barely an advantage, and, if you believe the guy tried to lose weight, then he'll be weaker, plus slightly demotivated for losing a cut of his purse already. But that's my non-MMA brain talking.

As far as most matches are concerned, either boxing, karate, judo, MMA, UFC, etc. the one that always has the advantage is those who gained weight during training compare to trying to catch weight by reducing or diet.

Referring to Zhu Rong, a bit of over 2-5 pounds shouldn't be a problem because after all in the actual match, they are weighing about over 10 pounds.

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@buwaytress. It might not make a difference unless he is very dehydrated, however, we cannot know this unless you can call the fighter’s coach or manager hehehe. Also, he might have the advantage because his opponent is only a replacement. His original opponent is Dakota Bush according to the other UFC prediction thread.

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Anyone still haven't made any picks: Zhu Rong (or Rong Zhu) didn't make weight so the bout will be catchweight. It's only 2 pounds over but what are your guys' take on that? Good or bad for him?

Personally, I think it's barely an advantage, and, if you believe the guy tried to lose weight, then he'll be weaker, plus slightly demotivated for losing a cut of his purse already. But that's my non-MMA brain talking.

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Put in your picks for the next UFC fight night for tomorrow early into the competition mentioned in the post above.
Since it is first one posted wins if there is a tie.
Matches and times can be seen here:
https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-fight-night-september-18-2021

Bet on the event UFC fight night Smith vs Spann here:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-smith-vs-spann/matches

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^^
Might as well put in your selections on the UFC challenge this weekend available:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-fight-night-192-multi-master-challenge-18921-new-rules-5360172

Because from the way these bouts look, it can go either way as the odds you just posted show this to be true.

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Yeah okay, just made my bets. Again going with the underdogs, but they're both actually not even 25/10 at most bookies that I can see so I feel comfortable taking on both.

So Clark Devin @2.26 and Ryan Spann @2.50 are what I managed to settle on, not bad odds and even bets almost on both. Least there's something other than football for me to lose money on this weekend...

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Looks like Smith Vs Span is on this weekend after all.
The cards are available here:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-smith-vs-spann/matches

Span was my pick but the bookies are going with Smith being the favorite, so it should be a good main event.

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Quote from: rdbase on September 06, 2021, 07:11:09 AM

Nice one buwaytress on your solid win for taking the winner of the UFC fight night this past weekend.
I missed it due to being out of anywhere with reliable reception enough to watch any of the fights for this one.
Feel free to post any you happen to win for them.

As for here, I will be abit more focused on the bigger events of the UFC as they pertain to title fights going forward with this thread.
UFC 266 is with Ortega vs Volkanovski and Shevchenko vs Murphy.
These two main cards are going to be fire! Cool

https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-266
Bets can be placed here:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-266/matches
September 25 couldn't come any sooner.

Ortega vs Volkanovski could be a banger, but I am not leaning towards Ortega, Alex seems to be a bit more well-rounded. Sure, there should be a huge difference between them on the ground, especially when Ortega is on his back, but Alex has been training with Craig Jones so he could have picked up some leg attacks.

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Nice one buwaytress on your solid win for taking the winner of the UFC fight night this past weekend.
I missed it due to being out of anywhere with reliable reception enough to watch any of the fights for this one.
Feel free to post any you happen to win for them.

As for here, I will be abit more focused on the bigger events of the UFC as they pertain to title fights going forward with this thread.
UFC 266 is with Ortega vs Volkanovski and Shevchenko vs Murphy.
These two main cards are going to be fire! Cool

https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-266
Bets can be placed here:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-266/matches
September 25 couldn't come any sooner.

Topic: UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 97. (Read 18706 times)