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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 32071. (Read 26608628 times)

legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
big buys on bearstamp.

400 today?
maz
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

First negative statement from Chinese government and it will be raining cheap coins. This 'china rally' looks good, feels like bitcoins going somewhere but the slightest sniff of the Chinese people feeling any sort of financial 'freedom' and the rug will be pulled from under them. In the long run this will probably be bad. Price will plummit, hobby investors who bought in at 300+ will see their investments dissapear. Not good for bitcoin.

Take us back to a pre-China steady incline, we will go
slower but stronger in the long run.

Damn that sounds a bit depressing.
legendary
Activity: 1017
Merit: 1003
VIS ET LIBERTAS
Anyway we might not be ready to rally just yet. I think the chart ought to do something like this:

 Or this:

hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 501
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

You can't stop people selling bitcoins, how can you? They will just sell it under different names in their online shops if you try to crack down.

I was also worried when people were selling bitcoins and wanted to convince them so they stop. But now I'm not worried any more. They want to sell? Let them. The true value of bitcoin is rising anyway because of ever bigger infrastructure that is created every day. Which means, the price will be higher no matter what and should not come from holding coins in pockets. Just be patient and don't sell your coins if you need some profit that way but still I much more prefer to simply create my own site that accepts bitcoin instead of speculation or holding. It benefit's everyone that way.
sr. member
Activity: 414
Merit: 250
Freedom through Cryptocurrency!

Anyway we might not be ready to rally just yet. I think the chart ought to do something like this:



I agree. And another day or two of consolidation like this would be good to build more of a base at these levels, before the next big upswing which should peak in the $500-700 range in a few weeks.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
Code:
2,375.00 CNY = 389.776 USD
Chinese Yuan Renminbi US Dollar
1 CNY = 0.164116 USD 1 USD = 6.09324 CNY
◀Convert again
USD/CNY thumbnail
View Chart
Mid-market rates: 2013-11-12 09:03 UTC

http://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/convert/?Amount=2375&From=CNY&To=USD
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

You can't stop people selling bitcoins, how can you? They will just sell it under different names in their online shops if you try to crack down.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1017
Merit: 1003
VIS ET LIBERTAS
full member
Activity: 124
Merit: 100
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
Is Gox working right now?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Gain more btc! https://satoshicircle.com/?aid=1718
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

this is one of the fundamental values of bitcoin
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
It helps... but it was never that hard to get money into China. It's getting it out that has always been the problem. Bitcoin can certainly help though. I'm not sure how much in demand USD are these days... but people do always need to buy things overseas.

LOL, once you finally can get them, they are not wanted anymore..  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
Bitcoinwisdom stopped working. Someone may be preparing a big move, and wants less trading competition.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

It helps... but it was never that hard to get money into China. It's getting it out that has always been the problem. Bitcoin can certainly help though. I'm not sure how much in demand USD are these days... but people do always need to buy things overseas.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
RUM AND CARROTS: A PIRATE LIFE FOR ME
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.

Except of course bitcoin will break the dollar hegemony of the world, which is number one priority for china. The enemy go my enemy is my friend.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
♫ the AM bear who cares ♫
I just had a bit of a "holy shit" moment.

Bitcoin will break China's control over CNY outflows.

It is very hard to get CNY out of China - the cap is 50k CNY per Chinese citizen per year. This is a big reason why there is a huge arb between USD and CNY Bitcoin exchanges: Westerners can't just wire yuan out of the country. However, as this bubble settles down and the arbitrage market does its thing, more and more individuals in China will cash in on their 50k CNY limit, since it is an easy profit opportunity. They will wire their money to Western exchanges, buy bitcoins there, and sell them domestically. The Chinese markets will drift closer in price to the Western markets.

This means you will be able to move money in and out of China freely, by buying bitcoins on one end and selling them on the other. Chinese citizens will act in rational self-interest to effectively "sell" their 50k CNY export limits.

If wealthy Chinese people would like to buy lots of expensive things directly from the West... now they can, by purchasing the import limits of others by proxy.

Of course, China will not like this.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
China is dropping, Gox may follow.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
what about that 2000 coin ask at 385 that has now disappeared? it didn't look like it would get bought up tonight at the slowish rate (in comparison to the last week) we are moving at.  but why was it there? what was the seller trying to do, if anything? why did he take it down now? sum ask still around the same level though

This is why you dont block chartbuddy Wink

newbie
Activity: 57
Merit: 0
what about that 2000 coin ask at 385 that has now disappeared? it didn't look like it would get bought up tonight at the slowish rate (in comparison to the last week) we are moving at.  but why was it there? what was the seller trying to do, if anything? why did he take it down now? sum ask still around the same level though

It got moved to 400
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