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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 6110. (Read 26711585 times)

hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!


Oh how much I  hate that guy!!! ... Smiley ... But I found myself some other sh!tcoins to daytrade on. Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
The problem folks like Paul Krugman and others have with Bitcoin..is that it is based 100% on faith in the system/blockchain of Bitcoin..ie the mechanism...

The "intrinsic value" (still actually subjective value) is undoubtedly what gave it its bump start. But one of the beautiful things about human beings is our ability to handle abstract concepts. We were able to abstract the concept of shelter from looking for caves and other natural structures to building our own shelters, from lean-tos and shacks to brick homes to hundred-story high-rises. So, as our understanding of economics has matured, we have been able to design better financial instruments such as coins, fiat, ledgers and ultimately cryptocurrencies.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I was looking through one of my old collections of downloaded images and I found this gem.

I'll dedicate it to Mindrust.



 Cool

At least he is still active on the forum, trying to re-build his stash from scratch.
But You will probably never see him again here on the WO.
We can't judge, what we cannot understand.


>>>>We can't judge, what we cannot understand.<<<<

But but but.... we can judge it because we do understand aspects of it.

Sure, we might not understand exactly because there were aspects of what Mindrust did (if actually true) that were pretty dumb in grand ways and even seeming less than sincere (incredible) in terms of whether any longer term BTC HODLer would really do what Mindrust had done, but we can still judge and speculate about it, and even at the time that it happened (mid March 2020), many of us realized that the Mindrust example (and behavior to the extent that he really did what he said he did) was a gift that was going to continue to give for years and years to come... which has played out for ongoing speculation, second-guessing, advising of what NOT to do and therefore judging.

Note:  I am not even going to accept that we may have been being played the whole time, and the whole example is just bullshit.. In that regard, it is possible that it did not happen, so our lil myth is just a story told by someone who was playing us.  But, still we do not have any real solid evidence that mindrust was lying to us (incredible as the whole story seems), so in that regard, we can (and should) continue to use various circumstances around such panic selling at the bottom to assist our own understandings of what to do or not do boundaries and understanding limitations of our own personal psychology and finances. In other words, mindrust examples, even though extreme, are helpful for us to attempt to better understand ourselves and our various limitations
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
Ooh.. I am sure they might want some donations before they upgrade the forum software.


Wink

Attain cool VIP status for a dirt-cheap BTC50? Tongue

This example seems to demonstrate a kind of level of absurdity in some of the earlier bitcoin ideology of pricing goods and services in BTC....

Yes, in the future, when bitcoin reaches somewhere approaching the top of the s-curve, it might start to make a bit more sense, because at that point, then BTC prices are likely to stabilize to some extent.. but in terms of dollars, the BTC price may well need to be quite a bit north of $10million per BTC... looking like such prices are more and more in reach... even though it could take a couple (or even a few) more cycles to get there.. 2030-ish?  this post is not going to age well, but just throwing out some thoughts.

It stems from a 10k BTC pizza and 1 BTC = 1 BTC line of thinking.

I think the better estimate would be closer to 2040 or even 2050 when we see $10m BTC.

If we assume a halving every 4 years, then we can conservatively estimate a doubling in value in terms of USD, and it would look like this.

Quote
Block, Year, Reward Era, Block Reward, Start BTC, BTC Added, End BTC, BTC increase, End BTC % of limit, USD price estimate
630000   2020   4   6.25    18,375,000.00     1,312,500.00     19,687,500.00    7.14%   93.75%       50,000.00
840000   2024   5   3.125    19,687,500.00     656,250.00     20,343,750.00    3.33%   96.88%       100,000.00
1050000   2028   6   1.5625    20,343,750.00     328,125.00     20,671,875.00    1.61%   98.44%       200,000.00
1260000   2032   7   0.78125    20,671,875.00     164,062.50     20,835,937.50    0.79%   99.22%       400,000.00
1470000   2036   8   0.390625    20,835,937.50     82,031.25     20,917,968.75    0.39%   99.61%       800,000.00
1680000   2040   9   0.1953125    20,917,968.75     41,015.63     20,958,984.38    0.20%   99.80%       1,600,000.00
1890000   2044   10   0.09765625    20,958,984.38     20,507.81     20,979,492.19    0.10%   99.90%       3,200,000.00
2100000   2048   11   0.04882812    20,979,492.19     10,253.91     20,989,746.09    0.05%   99.95%       6,400,000.00
2310000   2052   12   0.02441406    20,989,746.09     5,126.95     20,994,873.05    0.02%   99.98%       12,800,000.00

I started with 50k even though it was last year... just round numbers.

Of course, a lot of different sources are now predicting 100k by end of 2021, to as high as 300k and even 400k by year end.

In any case, it is just a matter of time, and most of us will still be alive by 2050 to witness whatever Bitcoin is worth then.

Notice that by 2036, technically not all coins have been mined, but the number is already at 20.9 million corns, for all practical purposes miners are living on transaction fees and all bitcoin has already been mined. (Yes, it's not, but it is. Whatever, debate about the last bitcoin if you like, it becomes irrelevant at this point in time in the future.)
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
 Sorry, I thought the idea was self-explanatory.  If Bob were to purposefully build a structure in the shape of the Bitcoin symbol to be viewed from space as I suggested, what would be the point in obscuring its view from space?!  In fact, what would be the point in building it at all?  I'm sure there are many more efficient shapes for structures than the Bitcoin symbol. (not that I mean to disrespect the Bitcoin symbol).  This structure would be an hommage to the thing that gave Bob the monetary might to afford his dream "home/ranch/racetrack".  Maybe just a tattoo then.

You could do that for some semi-public / non-private location which could be some distance away from where you actually live. Just so you can carve out some giant farm land type of thing that can be seen from google maps / earth.

You could even live there maybe, I mean, it's not like it's a glass house eh? It would be no different than living in any other bungalow in the middle of the city, although that's much harder to find in giant maps from space.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Ooh.. I am sure they might want some donations before they upgrade the forum software.


Wink

Attain cool VIP status for a dirt-cheap BTC50? Tongue

This example seems to demonstrate a kind of level of absurdity in some of the earlier bitcoin ideology of pricing goods and services in BTC....

Yes, in the future, when bitcoin reaches somewhere approaching the top of the s-curve, it might start to make a bit more sense, because at that point, then BTC prices are likely to stabilize to some extent.. but in terms of dollars, the BTC price may well need to be quite a bit north of $10million per BTC... looking like such prices are more and more in reach... even though it could take a couple (or even a few) more cycles to get there.. 2030-ish?  this post is not going to age well, but just throwing out some thoughts.
legendary
Activity: 2660
Merit: 2868
Shitcoin Minimalist
(retard arguments about bitcoin power usage)

Mass bitcoin adoption would help the environment more than anything else. Take your long-debunked 2013-era bitcoin FUD elsewhere.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
The Bitcoin vs. environment trope is total bullshit.

A widely adopted, deflationary store of value is the only thing with the potential to overcome humanities tendency to instant gratification and rein in the senseless overcomsumption we see today.

If your money is going to be worth more tomorrow than it is today are you going to blow it on some worthless crap at WalMart or IKEA?  No.  You are only going to spend it on things with actual value.

Bitcoin incentivizes the deferral of consumption and planning on longer time frames, as such it is the best thing to happen for the ecology in all of human history.

 Dammit!  The reason I got interested in Bitcoin in the first place was my inability to senselessly over-consume.  Angry
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
This Rubini guy is a professor, right? It just defies belief that he is frantically asking like a madman "What's the purpose of Bitcoin? Where does it help us?"... It's just mind boggling. Hasn't he even bothered to read the books by Antonopoulos and Ammous? I would understand if it was my grandma saying this nonsense, but him? A university professor and economist? Man, this is some crazy shit.

Economists are people too.

I mean, Paul Krugman even got a Nobel Prize in Economics and yet... said some pretty stupid shit.

The problem folks like Paul Krugman and others have with Bitcoin..is that it is based 100% on faith in the system/blockchain of Bitcoin..ie the mechanism...

the strength of Bitcoin and why it is the disruptor of their conventional thinking has done so well and quite frankly weirds them out is that ..again...the success

of Bitcoin is it is based 100% on faith. They can't see humans as having anything 100% faith in without failure...but all great things start with 100% faith


from love to democracy to walking on the moon. The trick is to have the 'faith' last until it is common and accepted as the next step...from faith to truth.

Tis' damn hard to 'stop' or 'spin' faith ..especially in a decentralized and trustless manner....this is the basis of democracy itself...

so it is both...decentralization plus faith in the process is more a movement than an 'economic' engine...they will never get their head around this.

This is confusing as hell to me...so it must really be driving folks like Paul Krugman nuts.....but then again....faith in any decentralized idea be it democracy

or bitcoin..is always the outlier...till it ain't... Smiley

They better get used to it however....it is how Bitcoin rolls... Smiley

brad

This is exactly it in a nutshell.

Once an asset has the attributes/properties that are desirable as a form of money, the rest of it's value is all derived from faith.

I often use the example of precious metals, because idiots like Rubini and Schiff always want to bring up gold and how it has been used for thousands of years as money, it has "intrinsic value", blah blah blah.

But what about thousands of years ago, when the first 1-100 people that first discovered gold, picked up gold rocks off the ground, and decided to start bartering with them?

Why did they even start doing that? Answer: Faith in the metal as money/SOV.

Why did that group then grow from 100 to 1000, then 10,000, then 100,000? Answer: Faith in the metal as money/SOV.

It wasn't the "intrinsic value" of gold and silver that caused their monetary value to rise, it was 100% pure faith from humans that PMs were a good form of money. And they went from exactly zero value to the value we give them today.

So it's not the "thing itself" that gives it value as money/SOV, it's the people using it. It's a faith-based mutual agreement amongst the users.
legendary
Activity: 3206
Merit: 1174
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
legendary
Activity: 3766
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Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
Can we keep climate change FUD (directed to Bitcoin - FUD) out of this thread, please?


Also, along with the climate FUD if we could limit pictures of Roger Ver?  K Thanks.
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
The Bitcoin vs. environment trope is total bullshit.

A widely adopted, deflationary store of value is the only thing with the potential to overcome humanities tendency to instant gratification and rein in the senseless overcomsumption we see today.

If your money is going to be worth more tomorrow than it is today are you going to blow it on some worthless crap at WalMart or IKEA?  No.  You are only going to spend it on things with actual value.

Bitcoin incentivizes the deferral of consumption and planning on longer time frames, as such it is the best thing to happen for the ecology in all of human history.
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1540
Can we keep climate change FUD (directed to Bitcoin - FUD) out of this thread, please?
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
The problem folks like Paul Krugman and others have with Bitcoin..is that it is based 100% on faith in the system/blockchain of Bitcoin..ie the mechanism...

I guess it's much easier to have faith in mathematics when you've been trained in STEM mathematics rather than economics mathematics Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
You should build a structure visible from space like the Almeria greenhouses only in the shape of the Bitcoin symbol.  Oh wait... opsec Sad

In that line of thinking, I would probably try to get some land with lots of trees, maybe a mountain nearby, and build whatever so it blends in such that the structure is NOT visible from space, or from the air.

Perhaps one of those underground silo / bunker types.

For ETFs, I think the new Canadian one has a ticker symbol ABTC. In addition to the already popular QBTC one. Both traded on the TSX.

  Sorry, I thought the idea was self-explanatory.  If Bob were to purposefully build a structure in the shape of the Bitcoin symbol to be viewed from space as I suggested, what would be the point in obscuring its view from space?!  In fact, what would be the point in building it at all?  I'm sure there are many more efficient shapes for structures than the Bitcoin symbol. (not that I mean to disrespect the Bitcoin symbol).  This structure would be an hommage to the thing that gave Bob the monetary might to afford his dream "home/ranch/racetrack".  Maybe just a tattoo then.



 
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
Tons of support just under 46. 
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
Bitcoin is a technically superior asset, it is thermodynamically sound money. It obeys the laws of physics and allows people to transfer monetary value over its network across space and across time. It is also hard money.
copper member
Activity: 1316
Merit: 715
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
a little OT: Do you think the crypto ban in india will effect the price or is it already in the price (so no effect at all)?

I think it won't have any significant impact on BTC price as Size of crypto market is very small. India has long history of banning it and still many exchanges are operating in India like WAZIREX. There are huge number of Crypto Lovers in India, certainly they will challenge it.



https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/intent-on-ban-india-to-give-transition-time-to-crypto-investors-bq-exclusive
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 290
the next dump, because tesla take a 10% hit?

forget it... currently not even my dip order was successfully processed... bacicall 1 Euro above, it turns it way up again...

2 of them were triggert ... Cheesy more bitcoin ...

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