What is that number again? Is it 10 to the fortieth? If it hasn't happened in 10 to the fortieth (or whatever that number is again) it is impossible, scientifically. Look it up. Standard high school science.
You just totally made that up. Unless you have a link for that? Dictionary.com won't be your friend here, I think.
Correct. I just authored the words that I used without copying them from somewhere else. I made it up, although someone else might have used the exact same words in the exact same order somewhere else at some other time.
The thing that I didn't make up is that there is a number - maybe 10
40 - that if the odds against are greater than 10
40 scientifically, it is considered an impossibility by scientists. Now, it is true that I don't remember the number, but you can find it if you search for it. It might not be 10
40.
Yes, you totally made up that number and the whole idea. The concept is simply wrong. 1/10^40 != 0
As I said, I don't know what the number is. It is something like that - 1:10
40 against. However, I didn't make up the idea. There is a number such as the one I stated (although mine may be wrong) beyond which scientists consider it an impossibility.
From
http://sententias.org/2011/01/13/a-probability-so-small-its-impossible/:
The question is at what probability is the probability so small that it could be considered impossible?
1080 x 1045 x 1025 = 10150
The unit 1080 is a number representing the number of elementary particles in the universe. Elementary particles are believed to have no substructure, this would include: quarks, leptons, and bosons.
The unit 1045 is measured in hertz, which represents alterations in the states of matter per second. The properties of matter are such that transitions from one physical state to another cannot occur at a rate faster than 1045 times per second. This universal bound on transitions between physical states is based on the Planck time, which constitutes the smallest physically meaningful unit of time.
The unit 1025 is in seconds. This is a generous, upper bound on the number of seconds that the universe can maintain its integrity [before expanding forever or collapsing back in on itself in a “big crunch”]. This number is according to the Standard Model (the big bang).
The product, 10150, is the total number of state changes that all the elementary particles in the universe can undergo throughout its duration. Compare this number to Oxford physicist Roger Penrose’s calculation that the odds of the special low entropy condition having occurred by chance in the absence of any constraining principles is at least one in 1010^123. In other words, that’s how many different ways the universe could appear from it’s initial conditions. To understand how large of a number 1010^123 is, take away the exponents and try writing out the number. If you were to write a one and put a zero on every elementary particle in our universe you could then write out 1080, which only makes up an incredibly tiny portion of Penrose’s probability (twice for Dembski’s universal probability).
Probability that is 1:10
150 against, is impossible.
For your reading pleasure, from
http://www.icr.org/article/mathematical-impossibility-evolution/:
...
But let us give the evolutionist the benefit of every consideration. Assume that, at each mutational step, there is equally as much chance for it to be good as bad. Thus, the probability for the success of each mutation is assumed to be one out of two, or one-half. Elementary statistical theory shows that the probability of 200 successive mutations being successful is then (½)200, or one chance out of 1060. The number 1060, if written out, would be "one" followed by sixty "zeros." In other words, the chance that a 200-component organism could be formed by mutation and natural selection is less than one chance out of a trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion! Lest anyone think that a 200-part system is unreasonably complex, it should be noted that even a one-celled plant or animal may have millions of molecular "parts."
The evolutionist might react by saying that even though any one such mutating organism might not be successful, surely some around the world would be, especially in the 10 billion years (or 1018 seconds) of assumed earth history. Therefore, let us imagine that every one of the earth's 1014 square feet of surface harbors a billion (i.e., 109) mutating systems and that each mutation requires one-half second (actually it would take far more time than this). Each system can thus go through its 200 mutations in 100 seconds and then, if it is unsuccessful, start over for a new try. In 1018 seconds, there can, therefore, be 1018/102, or 1016, trials by each mutating system. Multiplying all these numbers together, there would be a total possible number of attempts to develop a 200-component system equal to 1014 (109) (1016), or 1039 attempts. Since the probability against the success of any one of them is 1060, it is obvious that the probability that just one of these 1039 attempts might be successful is only one out of 1060/1039, or 1021.
All this means that the chance that any kind of a 200-component integrated functioning organism could be developed by mutation and natural selection just once, anywhere in the world, in all the assumed expanse of geologic time, is less than one chance out of a billion trillion. What possible conclusion, therefore, can we derive from such considerations as this except that evolution by mutation and natural selection is mathematically and logically indefensible!