Topic: Will Russia Emerge As The Next Dominant Superpower - page 6. (Read 8955 times)

History keeps repeating.
This is what invaders do to another country. For example when United States invaded Iraq with the help of NATO and Ukraine, they did the same thing. One of the first things they targeted was the Iraq's civilian infrastructure from hospitals and farms to water and electrical facilities. The electrical grid over there is still pretty messed up to this day.
The same alliance did the same exact thing in Afghanistan, Libya, and a dozen other countries.

There are doubts, of course, and very large ones. Putin's Russia does not prove its strength in culture, science, technology. She is trying to prove that she has brute physical strength and therefore she can neglect the established rules of behavior in society, seize neighboring states, rob and kill people there. There is something to brag about in the 21st century. But Russia is not succeeding in this either. The Russian army is now being defeated in all sectors of the front in Ukraine.

Yes, yesterday in Russia they announced that they are withdrawing from the concluded agreement on free grain supplies from the seaports of Ukraine. That is, that Russia will continue to fire on and sink civilian ships from different countries that will transport food along the Black Sea to countries that are now in dire need of it. Already today, Russia fired on the sea trade and transport routes of the Dnieper-Bug estuary, including from the Grad MLRS. Russia thus behaves like a terrorist state, a robber and a pirate.

However, you kept silent about the formal pretext that Russia used to withdraw from the "grain" agreement. And the reason was that last night and in the morning, the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol, which it occupied, was attacked by drones and suffered serious losses. Presumably, three or four ships were seriously damaged and could be sunk, including the next flagship of the Black Sea Fleet, the frigate Admiral Makarov. Losses will be specified, since Russia has blocked the bay and does not allow information about the incident to leak. The Russians were sure that this was the most protected place of their warships. And again they miscalculated, as with the Kerch bridge, which Ukraine also successfully attacked. So is Russia really that strong?

It cannot be denied that Russia is one of the largest poles of power in the world. But after it began its military campaign against Ukraine, there are elements that must be taken into consideration :
First, that Russia is not as strong as we imagined, since it is losing many rounds in this war, which prompted it to call in reserve soldiers despite the strategic difference, and also its resort to creating humanitarian crises to impose More pressure.
Secondly, Russia, which we considered a global power, is facing the world by cutting off energy and food supplies to threaten a large part of the planet's population.
Russia cannot be a global power without its allies who support it only because it stands against America with the logic of "the enemy of my enemy is my friend."

This is not possible to come. When Soviet Union was still existing yes it happen that Russia or the union was leading the world that was because of their number, they were 15 republic countries coming together as one so now this is just Russia. They are struggling to take back Ukraine because Ukraine is another strong unit but US is not allowing for that. US has like 50 States together but not different, working as one 

It is possible because after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, it lost its superpower status, and recently has been suggested as a strong candidate for continuing their superpower status in the 21st century.

Your definition accurately reflects the relationship between Japan and the United States. As well as the United States and the European Union. Even more dependent relations between the US and Ukraine.

1. "Is it any wonder Europe goes crazy with a former gynecologist at the helm? Smirk"
Well, a good gynecologist is at least a person who benefits. But the notorious, embittered six, whose lot was to carry a suitcase for the OWNER, with a bunch of complexes, completely detached from reality, but imagining themselves almost a deity - this is really hilarious

This "macho" and "world leader" is a miserable, notorious schmuck!



Now, of course, he has changed ... he has become a miserable, notorious old senile schmuck



2. We learn materiel, of course you have a big failure in this, but I will fix it for you

A vassal state is a state that is subordinate to another state, but retains its ruler. Such a state is usually deprived of the right to maintain diplomatic relations and conclude treaties, is limited in other types of external relations, but retains independent internal government with some restrictions. The ruler of a vassal state retains the status and title that he had before the conclusion of the vassal treaty.

Well, now try to superimpose a description of the situation with the USA and Japan on this - is it really stupid?
And this is all from a lack of knowledge. More precisely, it turns out so stupid when you zaesh a word and its meaning is not

By the way - this description is more suitable for Ichkeria and its vassal - the Russian Federation. Which has retained the status of its ruler, but Ichkeria indicates what to do, how to do it, and the annual tribute of Moscow to Grozny - FACT

Is it any wonder that Europe is going to cunt when a former gynecologist is at the helm?
Yep, Japan is a US vassal. It abandoned the army after a crushing defeat in World War II and has numerous US military bases on its territory, occupying approximately 10% of Japan's habitable territory.

I love your subtle humor

Xi Jinping delivered his speech in which he pointed out that the world is BIPOLAR, and only two great countries - the United States and China, should ensure world order and resolve the problems that have arisen in recent times. Together, mutually beneficial.

No multipolar world, as the bald-headed Kremlin terrorist deceives himself. And not a word about Russia at all. Russia, in the reality of China, is an empty place, at best, a Chinese raw material appendage There is also no India in this bipolar world.
It seems that India will also become a disputed territory between Pakistan (part of India - the historical territories of Pakistan), and China - which does not need a competitor at hand.

At the same time, China expresses quite undisguised dissatisfaction with the antics of the Kremlin terrorists, which ultimately led to the rallying of the West, the strengthening of the NATO bloc, and the cessation of the policy of "persuasion" and "soft agreement" with terrorists and other "hyperactive" regimes. And now China can no longer set conditions for the West, because this scheme stopped working precisely "thanks" to Russia.

The PS "Japan is a vassal" sounds funny, especially from the country of a miserable raw material appendage of the world

Yep, you can go no further. Japan is a US vassal and does not have much independent weight in international politics. In general, there are now four established sovereign centers of power in the world - the United States, Russia, India and China. There used to be Brussels, but with the UK leaving the European Union and the current anti-Russian sanctions policy, Brussels has driven itself into an energy hole and lost its status as a sovereign center of power. Now it is also just a US vassal.

Japan nominally has no army. But their army is called the Japan Self-Defense Force. It's the same joke as Russia called the terrorist attack on Ukraine a "Special Military Operation" But let's get back to Japan:
1. Japanese military policy is based on the following principles:
non-aggression
Non-use of nuclear weapons
Public control over the activities of the armed forces
Cooperation with the United States (cooperation means participation in joint exercises, the deployment of the US military contingent in Japan since 2010, the deployment of elements of the American missile defense system in Japan)
2. As of the beginning of 2011, the armed forces consisted of:
- 247,746 people
- reserve - 41.8 thousand people, not counting the coast guard and other paramilitary formations;
- mobilization resource was estimated at 29.2 million people

- ground forces: 151.6 thousand people, consisting of 5 army headquarters, 1 tank and 8 motorized infantry divisions, 15 brigades, 2 training regiments, 2 artillery groups, 4 air defense groups and a special operations group, armed with 100 tactical launchers missiles "type 88"; 850 main battle tanks (including 320 Type 90 and 517 Type 74); 70 infantry fighting vehicles; 100 combat reconnaissance vehicles; 780 armored personnel carriers; 210 self-propelled artillery guns; 470 pcs. 155 mm FH-70 howitzers; 100 MLRS; 1130 pcs. mortars of calibers 81, 107 and 120 mm; 690 ATGM launchers, 70 anti-aircraft artillery guns; 290 MANPADS; 12 LR-1 and LR-2 aircraft, as well as 430 army aviation helicopters (of which 185 are combat)

- air force: 47,123 people,
equipped with: 87 F2 aircraft; 202 F-15J and F-15DJ "Eagle"; 72 F-4EJ "Phantom-2"; 13 RF-4E and RF-4EJ; one Kawasaki EC-1; ten EC-2 "Hawkeye"; 4 Boeing-767 AWACS; 20 C-1; 10 C-130H; 11MU-2; 10 U-4; 20 U-125A; 10 U-125-800; 10T-3; 170T-4; 20 F-2B; 40T-7; 10 T-400; 10 YS-11E; 10 CH-47J helicopters; 12 KV-107 and 40 UH-60J

- naval forces: 45,518 people (of which 9.8 thousand serve in naval aviation), 16 submarines, 4 helicopter destroyers, 37 URO destroyers, 6 URO frigates, 12 landing craft, 6 landing hovercraft, 2 Uraga floating bases, 28 mine-sweeping ships, two oceanographic research vessels, 4 hydrographic vessels, 2 experimental vessels, 4 training ships, 2 training submarines, up to 60 auxiliary vessels and 20 tugs, as well as 179 aircraft and 139 naval aviation helicopters

- Coast Guard: 12,636 people, 45 large, 39 medium and 34 small patrol ships, more than 220 patrol boats, 13 hydrographic boats, 5 fire boats, 4 fire boats, up to 130 service and support vessels, 25 aircraft and 46 helicopters.

Moreover, Japan has military bases outside the country: in 2011, the first Japanese military base after the end of World War II was opened in Djibouti.

You can check the information in this source, in your native language

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%D0%B8%D0%BB%D1%8B_%D1%81%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%BE%D0 %B1%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%8B_%D0%AF%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B8

It doesn't matter, even Bangladesh, even Pakistan - in direct confrontation with Russia, they have no chance. Simply because Russia has the Strategic Missile Forces. The forces of the nuclear triad in combat tone are precisely what is needed to deter any possible aggression towards Russia and maintain territorial integrity even in conditions of low population density.

When you have the biggest excavator in the world, you can even dig a hole on your own faster than a hundred people with shovels.

OK.. let's take the case of a war between Bangladesh and Russia. Population is roughly equal, but the former can easily afford up to 10 million deaths. Russia on the other hand can't even afford a few tens of thousands of military deaths. So even in case Bangladesh suffers 50x casualties when compared to Russia, they will be having the upper hand in case the war goes on for a few years. Bangladesh may be a poor example, since their military tech is still from the stone age. Pakistan would be a better comparison.

I can give many examples from practice that refute your thesis. For example, the population of Bangladesh is larger than the population of Russia, but this does not make Bangladesh stronger than Russia. The population of India is ten times larger than the population of Russia, but in the event of a direct confrontation, I would also probably bet on Russia. By itself, the rapid growth of the population in the modern world usually means that we are talking about a developing agrarian country with an unacceptable level of poverty.

In theory, the quality of population is more important than its quantity. But in practice, we have seen the other way around. Take the case of Kosovo. In defense capabilities, one Serb is equal to 10 Shqips. But then what happened? After their proportion went below a certain threshold, Serbs were driven away from Kosovo. One major reason why the US is still the undisputed military superpower is because they have a large population (330 million), which is growing at a rate of at least 1 million per year.

As predicted earlier, after the military defeat of the Russian troops in Ukraine and the announcement of mobilization in Russia, the national liberation movement of the peoples oppressed by Russia and the nationalities that are part of the Russian Federation has sharply increased. Previously, it was believed that Chechnya (the Chechen Republic of Ichkeria) and Dagestan might be the first to try to secede from the Russian Federation.

However, on October 27, the text of the declaration "On the State Independence of the Republic of Kalmykia" appeared. The Declaration of Independence of Kalmykia was drawn up and signed by members of the representative body of the Kalmyks - the Congress of the Oirat-Kalmyk People, Idel.Realii reports. Among the authors and signatories are the ex-director of the Center for the Development of the Kalmyk Language Arslang Sandzhiev, the leader of the regional branch of the Yabloko party Batyr Boromangnaev, ethno-linguistic and political activists Vladimir Dovdanov, Erentsen Dolyaev, Albert Sharapov and others.
The declaration of the Congress lists the main claims against the current Russian regime, which prompted the authors of the document to proclaim the beginning of the struggle for independence. Among them are “the insane centralization and militarization of the country”, “the Kremlin’s total attack on the cultures and languages ​​of the non-Russian peoples conquered by Russia”, “the commission of international crimes” and five more points referring to the authoritarian and imperialist nature of Russian politics.

The authors of the declaration separately note the ignorance of the rights of repressed citizens - victims of the deportation of Kalmyks and the problem of "illegally seized lands" - territorial disputes that arose between the Astrakhan region and Kalmykia as a result of the abolition of the latter by Stalin's decree of 1943. Earlier, one of the members of the Congress, Dolyaev, argued that the entire territory of the Astrakhan region should be part of independent Kalmykia as a historical area of ​​settlement of Kalmyks.

Expressing disagreement with the policy pursued by the Kremlin, the Congress of the Oirat-Kalmyk People “declares the need for the complete liberation of the Oirat-Kalmyk people from colonial dependence on Russia” and “declares its determination to seek the withdrawal of the Republic of Kalmykia from the Russian Federation, the proclamation and creation of a sovereign independent states".

The eight-year hybrid war in Ukraine and the beginning of a large-scale invasion of Russian troops into Ukraine was justified by the need to support the LDR and the DPR in their desire to secede from Ukraine and their right to self-determination. Now the same thing will happen in Russia itself, but on a larger scale. The Russian Federation may soon break up into 26-30 independent entities. Only part of the territory up to the Urals, where there are practically no oil and gas deposits, can remain in Russia. This is a striking answer to the question of whether it will be a superpower.

Until recently, they were the "leading exporters of natural resources." Yes, a country with a large area, with a resource economy, in general, an appendage of a more developed world. These are perhaps all the achievements that Russia has achieved over the past 20 years ...
But this year, Russia messed up even in this, becoming from a country of a raw material appendage, into an unsuccessful economic terrorist, and the same unsuccessful war criminal-terrorist.

PS And when you write about "first-class military equipment" - you must add before that:
- I think, but I'm not sure exactly
or
- for a third world country, and for the 20th century,

it will look realistic and not humorous

And a small excerpt from typical Russian news, for the consciousness of "Russian greatness"
About Siberia - the largest and richest region of Russia:
"Almost half of the families mobilized in the Siberian region were below the subsistence level
26 Oct 2022, 13:55
The authorities of Khakassia have compiled social portraits of the families of those who had to be mobilized by decree of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Almost half of them were below the subsistence level.
“The analysis showed that out of the total number of families of mobilized citizens, 46% of families have an average per capita income below the subsistence level,” the Ministry of Labor of Khakassia calculated. 

Russia had no chance of becoming the dominant superpower even without a real war with Ukraine. 

This is due to the fact that Russia has only 140 million people, and this is not enough to achieve the status of a superpower.  The dominant superpower must have a population of at least 300-500 million people. 

Such a population ensures the profitability of its own production (at the expense of the domestic market) and a sufficient number of scientists, engineers and programmers for the country's technological development. 

Russia needed to pursue a very balanced and cautious foreign policy in order to remain at least a regional superpower.  It was necessary to establish normal relations with neighbors, in particular with Poland and the Baltic countries.  These countries will never become friends of Russia, but it was necessary to set a goal so that they would not perceive Russia as an enemy.  Under no circumstances should the main gas pipelines be used as a weapon in economic wars! 

And even more so, in no case was it possible to get involved in a real war (especially with Ukraine).

Russia has difficulties and successes in the demographic problem, but I do not think that you are setting priorities correctly. The quality of the population is more important than its quantity - for any population of moderate scale. Quantity becomes a priority only for very small (because a small number directly becomes a threat to the survival of an ethnic group) and very large populations (for example, like India and China, because in a large population it is easy to select the right amount of high quality people in different areas of activity due to natural biodiversity). India and China have very large human capital, but there are problems with the shortage of raw materials and energy.

What nonsense are you talking about? Japan has no armed forces at all, only self-defense forces. Japan has a fairly strong navy, but no nuclear weapons. Russia and Japan are countries from different weight categories militarily. Based on the limited military special operation in Ukraine, it is impossible to draw conclusions about the combat effectiveness and strength of the Russian army as a whole.

Russia will never be a superpower, if there is a country that would take that position from the US, it would be China. On the contrary, Russia has demonstrated tyranny rather than a hero, they don't also have the economic empowerment that would give them that status. Their invasion of Ukraine has even set them centuries backwards, this might not be obvious yet, but time will tell as the world are wary of them and might not regain such trust for long. Putin has caused more damage to himself and his country to the extent that he dares not travel to choice countries anymore for the fear of assassination. What a life!