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Topic: Xiaoxiao's trading/forecast blog - page 4. (Read 16369 times)

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
October 04, 2014, 07:17:37 AM
#68
next phase of down swing ---- 220-350. 

current trades... shorting 4 btc's @ 375...




All that forum noise for a measly 4 btc's? You have been around since 2011 and should be a rich early adopter. Instead you are advising others how to trade when you are playing with peanuts. I've bought more than that today lol.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
October 04, 2014, 07:14:01 AM
#67
next phase of down swing ---- 220-350.  

current trades... shorting 4 btc's @ 375...

next week probably be at 310-330... after that prepare for 200s ... followed by up swing... then prepare for the 100s muahahaha

lol @ miners that sold there house and car for equipment!!!!


legendary
Activity: 1281
Merit: 1000
☑ ♟ ☐ ♚
September 20, 2014, 09:18:26 AM
#66
If you don't think that the bottoms is behind us, you have to be


No offense to blind folk.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
September 20, 2014, 08:21:49 AM
#65
i think "random as fuck" would describe that triangle better than "sloppy".  ::)

Agreed. Though I give decent chances for a capitulation this thread at all contains no TA. Nothing more than meaningless scribblings.

True. The problem was never whether what he said was likely to happen or not. The problem was that it was just random noise he produced, without any argument or analysis, and that he kept spamming it in several threads.

For real TA, see RyN's thread (but you're already there, I know...)

And OP is on ignore for a while already, together with fallling and the other trolls :D
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 19, 2014, 09:31:50 PM
#64
emergency forecast alert:

bitcoin about to nosedive in a few days.

trades: shorted about 5 btc @ 430
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 18, 2014, 03:15:30 PM
#63
this week's fore cast--

Don't see it going above 520...

Could see it drop as low as 400.  

I think beginning late sept, early october... it will go into the next wave of down swing, which is the 450- 380 range.  Followed by a rebound to lower mid 400 - low 500 range... followed by another down swing to the lower 300 range.  And if that doesn't hold, it is dropping to the 100s

BBBBBBAAAAM
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
September 15, 2014, 08:16:14 AM
#62
i think "random as fuck" would describe that triangle better than "sloppy".  Roll Eyes

Agreed. Though I give decent chances for a capitulation this thread at all contains no TA. Nothing more than meaningless scribblings.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
September 15, 2014, 08:10:12 AM
#61
i think "random as fuck" would describe that triangle better than "sloppy".  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
September 15, 2014, 06:44:35 AM
#60

[snip]

Final capitulation (as falllling says) i believe is coming in 3-9 months



You know that when you start quoting fallling unironically, you've probably crossed over into troll territory yourself. Whatever works for you. (Also, "sloppy" doesn't even begin to describe that triangle in white you've tacked onto your post to give some resemblance of TA to your ramblings.)
sr. member
Activity: 445
Merit: 251
September 15, 2014, 05:57:37 AM
#59
Folks, since all my predictions in this thread has been right... here is my next prediction:

We are headed over a long stretch of 3-9 months down to about sub $200.  Perhaps as low as sub $100 in 6 months time.

Final capitulation (as falllling says) i believe is coming in 3-9 months

best case scenario:



This week however: 500-400

trades: none... waiting to short if it goes below 440.




You draw this triangle chart at your pleasure, man lol

no nay, you better study a bit more .... Grin Grin Grin
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
September 15, 2014, 05:09:34 AM
#58
Folks, since all my predictions in this thread has been right... here is my next prediction:

We are headed over a long stretch of 3-9 months down to about sub $200.  Perhaps as low as sub $100 in 6 months time.

Final capitulation (as falllling says) i believe is coming in 3-9 months

best case scenario:



This week however: 500-400

trades: none... waiting to short if it goes below 440.




Smart not to trade, yet. There are a few events in the BTC world and the general economy that could lead to a fool's rally. I should learn this restraint. Anyhow, I think you are right... it is dead as a door nail (or, more appropriately, the price reflects what BTC would be worth if there was truly mass adoption as that is precisely what speculators were anticipating a year ago when they drove it up... well that and Willybot is dead).
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 14, 2014, 06:51:44 PM
#57
Folks, since all my predictions in this thread has been right... here is my next prediction:

We are headed over a long stretch of 3-9 months down to about sub $200.  Perhaps as low as sub $100 in 6 months time.

Final capitulation (as falllling says) i believe is coming in 3-9 months

best case scenario:



This week however: 500-400

trades: none... waiting to short if it goes below 440.


legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 07, 2014, 09:03:56 PM
#56
this week's fore cast--

Don't see it going above 520...

Could see it drop as low as 400.  

I think beginning late sept, early october... it will go into the next wave of down swing, which is the 450- 380 range.  Followed by a rebound to lower mid 400 - low 500 range... followed by another down swing to the lower 300 range.  And if that doesn't hold, it is dropping to the 100s
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
September 02, 2014, 12:13:10 AM
#55
This weeks forecast 520-350...   Don't see it going any higher.

It seems as if the MTGOX incident, the china incidents, all created just a MEGA MEGA bubble in the last few years, and now reality hits.  Most pro traders and experienced commodity traders say this has mega bubble written all over it.



You see it going up and not taking a further turn, though? Because, frankly, I think people would be thrilled with 520-530 inside the week.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 02, 2014, 12:04:33 AM
#54
This weeks forecast 520-350...   Don't see it going any higher.

It seems as if the MTGOX incident, the china incidents, all created just a MEGA MEGA bubble in the last few years, and now reality hits.  Most pro traders and experienced commodity traders say this has mega bubble written all over it.

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
August 17, 2014, 09:48:33 PM
#53
What is your forecast for August ?

To be honest, I am contemplating shorting.  And the reason is because all this great news right now is a FRUITION of this past bubble, and a lot of inexperienced people are seeing it the other way around or seeing these new small good news to be causing a new bubble.  I'm still not sure what happened this last bubble, but it may have to do with some shady things going on with the chinese exchanges.  Market manipulation in China is unbelievable.

Wow this guy is spot on.

Mostly luck Smiley and a bit of research.

Next week's forecast 400-700, but more likely sub 600.

Trades: closed position (bought 4) @ 500.  Profit: $360.

legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
August 10, 2014, 06:36:18 AM
#52
Just shorted another 1 btc (leveraged to 3) @ around 601.  I know I am taking a risk here, but it is these kinds of risks that has paid off.  Plus I have the emotional stability to handle a loss.

I remember when I went long for about 20 btc's in late Dec/ early Jan, when BTC took a dive from it's ATH, and then rebounded to 990.  @ about 960, I decided to go long for 20 btc's, and boy did that hit me right in the face when BTC took a dive.  But I didn't lose my cool and took a loss when it went below 900.  From there, I re-analyzed my positions and the market, and made it back fairly quickly.

So what you're saying is your system makes profit when the market is in a medium-term trend, but has some problems when that trend direction changes?  Have you looked to address that?  Are you worried about the resumption of the long-term bull trend?



Believe me, I am monitoring these trades and keeping a close eye on the "long term bull trend".  I believe there has to be another mega dip in which the impatient people rids a load of coins before another bubble.

No mega dip happened when we went from $10 to $266, its a different pattern from 2013-2014
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
August 09, 2014, 12:19:31 PM
#51
Forecast for upcoming week (bitstamp price):  500-700.

Current trades:  Shorted about 4 coins @ 591.  Stop loss at 650.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
August 02, 2014, 01:54:29 PM
#50
Just shorted another 1 btc (leveraged to 3) @ around 601.  I know I am taking a risk here, but it is these kinds of risks that has paid off.  Plus I have the emotional stability to handle a loss.

I remember when I went long for about 20 btc's in late Dec/ early Jan, when BTC took a dive from it's ATH, and then rebounded to 990.  @ about 960, I decided to go long for 20 btc's, and boy did that hit me right in the face when BTC took a dive.  But I didn't lose my cool and took a loss when it went below 900.  From there, I re-analyzed my positions and the market, and made it back fairly quickly.

So what you're saying is your system makes profit when the market is in a medium-term trend, but has some problems when that trend direction changes?  Have you looked to address that?  Are you worried about the resumption of the long-term bull trend?



Believe me, I am monitoring these trades and keeping a close eye on the "long term bull trend".  I believe there has to be another mega dip in which the impatient people rids a load of coins before another bubble.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
August 02, 2014, 12:04:44 PM
#49
Just shorted another 1 btc (leveraged to 3) @ around 601.  I know I am taking a risk here, but it is these kinds of risks that has paid off.  Plus I have the emotional stability to handle a loss.

I remember when I went long for about 20 btc's in late Dec/ early Jan, when BTC took a dive from it's ATH, and then rebounded to 990.  @ about 960, I decided to go long for 20 btc's, and boy did that hit me right in the face when BTC took a dive.  But I didn't lose my cool and took a loss when it went below 900.  From there, I re-analyzed my positions and the market, and made it back fairly quickly.

So what you're saying is your system makes profit when the market is in a medium-term trend, but has some problems when that trend direction changes?  Have you looked to address that?  Are you worried about the resumption of the long-term bull trend?

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