Author

Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1850. (Read 3314350 times)

sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
July 06, 2015, 10:18:30 PM
I speculate that a reason that monero isn't enjoying a climb right now is because of the lack of fiat -> xmr exchanges.

This recent bitcoin fork + the blocksize debate + these spamming attacks means that anyone entering the bitcoin system from fiat is not experiencing a fully functioning cryptocurrency. Perhaps they are testing a purchase, seeing it sputter, and then buying litecoin instead... because that blockchain is working right now. Indeed, I'm flummoxed by this rise of bitcoin price while all this crap is going on. Clearly, its new money coming in that doesn't really pay attention to whats happening.

for instance, if I wanted to buy monero right now, I'd have to find a way through litecoin to get to an exchange. The fiat -> bitcoin onramp to cryptocurrency is currently under construction.

Yes, the coins rallying right now are the 1st gen BTC-clones in established exchanges like BTC-e, Monero is being excluded of these markets, I believe fiat exchanges will greatly improve XMR economy health.

Looks like you don't even know the difference between a clone and a fork.

Tenebrix has 5 minute blocks, LTC has 2.5.  Just like XMR halved BCN's block time when it forked.

All I did was point out LTC is no more of a BTC (or Tenebrix, if you are a try-hard pedant) clone than XMR is a BCN clone.

If that's "defending" LTC, well...sorry to interrupt your anti-LTC Two Minutes Hate.

I know it's hard watching LTC moon while XMR slumps, but there's no need to be all bitchy and jelly.

BTW, Tacotime and I were tweaking GPUs to mine LTC years ago.  Where you there too?  PM old handle or GTFO noob!   Wink

I don't hate LTC, I know stating how useless it is makes me sound like I'm a hater or jelly but I don't care, it was useless compared to BTC at 0.007 and still useless at 0.02. Most cryptonote coins beats LTC any day in my book.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
July 06, 2015, 08:51:15 PM
also, 30 confirmations? Thats 5 hours! Is bitcoin eventually going to slow to the crawl of conventional banking?

That is only if you are running the old software from what I understand.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
July 06, 2015, 08:49:25 PM
also, 30 confirmations? Thats 5 hours! Is bitcoin eventually going to slow to the crawl of conventional banking?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
July 06, 2015, 08:48:17 PM
i guess if you know how to price your fee properly and your using updated software, then yes.
I didnt know it was that bad.  I though with old software you just have to wait for 30 confirmations when receiving BTC. 

The transfers with min fee are not going through at all?

there's 2 issues - someone might be doing a "stress test" again

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3cc7gr/please_stop_why_so_many_stress_tests/

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3cb94d/another_stress_test_right_now/

etc.

and the SPV mining screwing up the blockchain. The SPV mining is what the "wait 30 confirmations" is all about - that way your transaction is sure to be secure. Minimum fee transfers are getting borked by these "stress tests"
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
July 06, 2015, 08:35:28 PM
i guess if you know how to price your fee properly and your using updated software, then yes.
I didnt know it was that bad.  I though with old software you just have to wait for 30 confirmations when receiving BTC. 

The transfers with min fee are not going through at all?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
July 06, 2015, 08:26:08 PM
i guess if you know how to price your fee properly and your using updated software, then yes.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
July 06, 2015, 08:12:51 PM
I speculate that a reason that monero isn't enjoying a climb right now is because of the lack of fiat -> xmr exchanges.

This recent bitcoin fork + the blocksize debate + these spamming attacks means that anyone entering the bitcoin system from fiat is not experiencing a fully functioning cryptocurrency. Perhaps they are testing a purchase, seeing it sputter, and then buying litecoin instead... because that blockchain is working right now. Indeed, I'm flummoxed by this rise of bitcoin price while all this crap is going on. Clearly, its new money coming in that doesn't really pay attention to whats happening.

for instance, if I wanted to buy monero right now, I'd have to find a way through litecoin to get to an exchange. The fiat -> bitcoin onramp to cryptocurrency is currently under construction.

Bitcoin transfers have been working havent they?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
July 06, 2015, 08:07:07 PM
I speculate that a reason that monero isn't enjoying a climb right now is because of the lack of fiat -> xmr exchanges.

This recent bitcoin fork + the blocksize debate + these spamming attacks means that anyone entering the bitcoin system from fiat is not experiencing a fully functioning cryptocurrency. Perhaps they are testing a purchase, seeing it sputter, and then buying litecoin instead... because that blockchain is working right now. Indeed, I'm flummoxed by this rise of bitcoin price while all this crap is going on. Clearly, its new money coming in that doesn't really pay attention to whats happening.

for instance, if I wanted to buy monero right now, I'd have to find a way through litecoin to get to an exchange. The fiat -> bitcoin onramp to cryptocurrency is currently under construction.
hero member
Activity: 583
Merit: 500
Bitcoin for all & all for Bitcoin
July 06, 2015, 05:19:06 PM
I have somewhat predicted 0.0015 but the progress towards that value is so slow that our efforts to find new money might kick in sooner Wink

I've been eyeballing that level for the past month it feels. I keep getting excited as the bid side thins out thinking this might be it, just feels so wrong.  Cheesy

Who knows, a 60-80k dump could be in the cards to bring us there and lower. I'm expecting a flash crash (for no real reason) before this new money flows and the fiat -> XMR exchanges open up.

I almost want to get a second job just to spend on XMR and my pitiful IRA.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
July 06, 2015, 02:11:36 PM
Given the difference in PoW (SHA vs SCrypt), the case could be made that LTC is less of a clone of BTC than XMR is of BCN.   Wink

Of course it was. Nowadays the difference in LTC codebase vs. BTC is less than XMR vs. BCN, due to XMR being almost completely rewritten by our glorious and vigilant devs.

Quote
It's fascinating to watch the market, by offering near-zero interest rates for borrowing, all but dare someone to short XMR.

TrueCryptonaire thinks this is a problem because "if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions)."  Maybe this is what's we're seeing today?

It will find buyers, it's only a question of "FOMO" vs. "greed to get'em cheaper". I have somewhat predicted 0.0015 but the progress towards that value is so slow that our efforts to find new money might kick in sooner Wink

Since the time LTC forked from BTC (or Tenebrix, if you are a try-hard pedant), BTC has been substantially changed.  But developments post hoc don't change the initial clone vs fork distinction.

The point is LTC is the best BTC hedge for a number of reasons, as the markets have been saying for years.


Looks like you don't even know LTC history, its a clone of Tenebrix without the premine and thats it no new code. Monero code has been rewritten plus new features are on the way, LTC dev officially said it doesn't need new features, if you want to compare a Cryptonote coin to LTC it is Dashcoin not Monero. But please keep defending LTC on a XMR thread Grin and btw if there a coin that "hurts" BTC market it is LTC because it offers absolutely nothing hedge-wise as the codebase is 98% compatible it simply sucks money that would otherwise go to BTC, but XMR is a new paradigm that gives new meaning to Bitcoin transparent ledger.

Looks like you don't even know the difference between a clone and a fork.

Tenebrix has 5 minute blocks, LTC has 2.5.  Just like XMR halved BCN's block time when it forked.

All I did was point out LTC is no more of a BTC (or Tenebrix, if you are a try-hard pedant) clone than XMR is a BCN clone.

If that's "defending" LTC, well...sorry to interrupt your anti-LTC Two Minutes Hate.

I know it's hard watching LTC moon while XMR slumps, but there's no need to be all bitchy and jelly.

BTW, Tacotime and I were tweaking GPUs to mine LTC years ago.  Where you there too?  PM old handle or GTFO noob!   Wink
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
July 06, 2015, 01:44:54 PM
The problem with the 'hurr durr LTC is *nothing but* a clone of BTC amirite' position is that by the same logic XMR is *nothing but* a BCN clone.




TrueCryptonaire thinks this is a problem because "if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions)."  Maybe this is what's we're seeing today?

I wonder how many people will jump on the XMR train once LTC starts to run out of steam.

Not many.  LTC whales swim in oceans far from landlocked Lake Polo.

Yes, exactly.
The market needs both shorters and longers in order to stay liquid to both sides. Now looks Monero has no liquidity to down and therefore the price is declining. With short positions we may not have seen a dump like this, probably 1-2 % decline only.
A margin trading can on one hand increase the volatility (if there are too many positions in the wrong direction and they will be forced to liquidate), but on the other hand damper the dumps/pumps.
hero member
Activity: 768
Merit: 505
July 06, 2015, 12:41:59 PM
Currently Monero is too inflationary, it might not really smart to invest in now👎

atleast some point you did make in all these nonsense posts.

And the case that Monero is pretty stable to the Fiat price gives me some more hope then all those coins riding BTC waves. Also i think LTC is largely played by the Scrypt Farms who want to have the same Profit after the halving like they did before.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
July 06, 2015, 12:33:17 PM
The problem with the 'hurr durr LTC is *nothing but* a clone of BTC amirite' position is that by the same logic XMR is *nothing but* a BCN clone.

BCN was not fair launch. BTC is generally perceived as a fair launch.

It looks a little bearish on XMR/BTC btw. The rally on BTC/USD has pressured the XMR/BTC rate and it does not help confidence that the big wall was sold into in 190k. I believe there is a chance that BTC will nudge upwards and it will be interesting to see what XMR does.

It is convincing to see that XMR seems to be somewhat priced in USD despite trading in BTC. I envision that this offers protection in case BTC suffers a big hit.

Fair vs unfair launch is an issue separate from the question of whether a new coin is *nothing but* a clone of another.

A fork is not a clone.  LTC haters intentionally conflate the terms to bash LTC using BTC, just as XMR haters do using BCN.

Given the difference in PoW (SHA vs SCrypt), the case could be made that LTC is less of a clone of BTC than XMR is of BCN.   Wink

It's fascinating to watch the market, by offering near-zero interest rates for borrowing, all but dare someone to short XMR.

TrueCryptonaire thinks this is a problem because "if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions)."  Maybe this is what's we're seeing today?


Looks like you don't even know LTC history, its a clone of Tenebrix without the premine and thats it no new code. Monero code has been rewritten plus new features are on the way, LTC dev officially said it doesn't need new features, if you want to compare a Cryptonote coin to LTC it is Dashcoin not Monero. But please keep defending LTC on a XMR thread Grin and btw if there a coin that "hurts" BTC market it is LTC because it offers absolutely nothing hedge-wise as the codebase is 98% compatible it simply sucks money that would otherwise go to BTC, but XMR is a new paradigm that gives new meaning to Bitcoin transparent ledger.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
July 06, 2015, 12:16:41 PM
Given the difference in PoW (SHA vs SCrypt), the case could be made that LTC is less of a clone of BTC than XMR is of BCN.   Wink

Of course it was. Nowadays the difference in LTC codebase vs. BTC is less than XMR vs. BCN, due to XMR being almost completely rewritten by our glorious and vigilant devs.

Quote
It's fascinating to watch the market, by offering near-zero interest rates for borrowing, all but dare someone to short XMR.

TrueCryptonaire thinks this is a problem because "if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions)."  Maybe this is what's we're seeing today?

It will find buyers, it's only a question of "FOMO" vs. "greed to get'em cheaper". I have somewhat predicted 0.0015 but the progress towards that value is so slow that our efforts to find new money might kick in sooner Wink
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
July 06, 2015, 12:02:10 PM
The problem with the 'hurr durr LTC is *nothing but* a clone of BTC amirite' position is that by the same logic XMR is *nothing but* a BCN clone.

BCN was not fair launch. BTC is generally perceived as a fair launch.

It looks a little bearish on XMR/BTC btw. The rally on BTC/USD has pressured the XMR/BTC rate and it does not help confidence that the big wall was sold into in 190k. I believe there is a chance that BTC will nudge upwards and it will be interesting to see what XMR does.

It is convincing to see that XMR seems to be somewhat priced in USD despite trading in BTC. I envision that this offers protection in case BTC suffers a big hit.

Fair vs unfair launch is an issue separate from the question of whether a new coin is *nothing but* a clone of another.

A fork is not a clone.  LTC haters intentionally conflate the terms to bash LTC using BTC, just as XMR haters do using BCN.

Given the difference in PoW (SHA vs SCrypt), the case could be made that LTC is less of a clone of BTC than XMR is of BCN.   Wink

It's fascinating to watch the market, by offering near-zero interest rates for borrowing, all but dare someone to short XMR.

TrueCryptonaire thinks this is a problem because "if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions)."  Maybe this is what's we're seeing today?

I wonder how many people will jump on the XMR train once LTC starts to run out of steam.

Not many.  LTC whales swim in oceans far from landlocked Lake Polo.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
July 06, 2015, 12:00:23 PM
I wonder how many people will jump on the XMR train once LTC starts to run out of steam.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
July 06, 2015, 11:42:29 AM
The problem with the 'hurr durr LTC is *nothing but* a clone of BTC amirite' position is that by the same logic XMR is *nothing but* a BCN clone.

BCN was not fair launch. BTC is generally perceived as a fair launch.

It looks a little bearish on XMR/BTC btw. The rally on BTC/USD has pressured the XMR/BTC rate and it does not help confidence that the big wall was sold into in 190k. I believe there is a chance that BTC will nudge upwards and it will be interesting to see what XMR does.

It is convincing to see that XMR seems to be somewhat priced in USD despite trading in BTC. I envision that this offers protection in case BTC suffers a big hit.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
July 06, 2015, 11:38:28 AM
I am shocked and kind of worried of the fact that Monero is barely shorted.
The reason is, if there will be a dump, there will be no buyers (shorters closing their positions).
I am afraid of the fact that Monero looses the buyers at some point and then all we need is shorters closing their positions but behold - they do not exist.  Cry
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
July 06, 2015, 11:26:58 AM
Why isn't monero participating in the LTC revaluation ?

Four year old LTC acts as the primary safety valve and backup for BTC.  It is the best hedge against BTC failure and/or ascendancy.  IE, BTC failing would be great for LTC but so would BTC enjoying great success.

LTC has a mature worldwide ecosystem and the resultant ton of volume, wallets, translations, fiat exchanges, etc.  Plus it was invented by a very reputable Chinese American dude whose brother happens to run a large exchange back in the old country.

One year old XMR is still in the pupal stage, snug in its chrysalis, but growing into a magnificent butterfly.

In bold not at all true. What would kill BTC? A catastrophic technical bug of some sort. Complete loss of confidence in blockchain tech. What else? LTC is BTC codebase. If BTC fails, LTC fails. There is no hedge. It's just market games.

Do you remember the time LTC spiked as BTC suffered a chain fork (IE, failed)?  That will probably happen again.

LTC uses a different PoW, targets faster (far less controversially sized) blocks, and its codebase had drifted from current BTC.

The problem with the 'hurr durr LTC is *nothing but* a clone of BTC amirite' position is that by the same logic XMR is *nothing but* a BCN clone.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
July 06, 2015, 10:56:15 AM
Why isn't monero participating in the LTC revaluation ?

Four year old LTC acts as the primary safety valve and backup for BTC.  It is the best hedge against BTC failure and/or ascendancy.  IE, BTC failing would be great for LTC but so would BTC enjoying great success.

LTC has a mature worldwide ecosystem and the resultant ton of volume, wallets, translations, fiat exchanges, etc.  Plus it was invented by a very reputable Chinese American dude whose brother happens to run a large exchange back in the old country.

One year old XMR is still in the pupal stage, snug in its chrysalis, but growing into a magnificent butterfly.

In bold not at all true. What would kill BTC? A catastrophic technical bug of some sort. Complete loss of confidence in blockchain tech. What else? LTC is BTC codebase. If BTC fails, LTC fails. There is no hedge. It's just market games.


if anything, the hedge for BTC is... XMR
Jump to: