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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1852. (Read 3314350 times)

hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
July 04, 2015, 04:21:19 PM
They are only that cheap because botnets or claymore or whatever (SPV mining?  Is it true?) constantly dump redistribute healthy amounts into the market.

You forgot the whales that are keeping the price down so they can buy more.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
July 04, 2015, 04:15:21 PM
Buy or sell monero ?
Tell me.

Monero at 50 cents?

Beep, beep, beep!  Back up the largest truck you can afford to lose.

They are only that cheap because botnets or claymore or whatever (SPV mining?  Is it true?) constantly dump redistribute healthy amounts into the market.  Nobody (not even DASHtards) dares to short XMR, even at loan rates flirting with zero.

Holders have little interest in selling under the $5 ATM and love nom-nomming up more at 2 for $1.   Cool
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
AKA The Rubber Monkey
July 04, 2015, 03:55:59 PM
Buy or sell monero ?
Tell me.

There is a third option. Sometimes, doing nothing is the most prudent course of action, but you'll have to make up your own mind what to do.
hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
July 04, 2015, 03:48:00 PM
Buy or sell monero ?
Tell me.

No one can answer you that. It depends on what kind of a return you can get from other investments. 30 days from now there will be many coins with much better ROI but do you know what they are?
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 04, 2015, 03:47:56 PM
Buy or sell monero ?
Tell me.

Do what I do and listen to the voices in your head.
newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
July 04, 2015, 03:34:26 PM
Buy or sell monero ?
Tell me.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1004
July 04, 2015, 02:32:45 PM
IMO, these downward shifts are just equilibrium for the upward trend of BTC.  XMR wants to stay at US .50 cents.

That might be true if the dollar was XMR's dominant pair, but without USD markets I would say that it is mainly fuelled by the BTC economy, especially considering how niche XMR currently is.

I think the USD is an important factor, if you consider that miners are likely paying for their electricity bills with fiat. You would then be able to say that the miners paid USD for their XMR, no BTC involved. There are surely some people mining Monero out there who have very little costs, that's why we see these big dumps. Then they exhaust their supply and XMR goes up.

Since most believers and speculators in XMR are not selling anywhere near the price of $0.50 (you can see volume has been very low), we can assume that miners are the the main sellers here.

hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
July 04, 2015, 01:21:09 PM
IMO, these downward shifts are just equilibrium for the upward trend of BTC.  XMR wants to stay at US .50 cents.


That might be true if the dollar was XMR's dominant pair, but without USD markets I would say that it is mainly fuelled by the BTC economy, especially considering how niche XMR currently is.

Typically XMR tends to rise in harmony with BTC rises, and with fairly short latency. I think we'll see evidence of this in the next few weeks, depending of course on the speed of BTC's elevation.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
July 04, 2015, 01:13:44 PM
just now is an alone buy wall over 0.0019 of 40 btc ...later is a freedowntrend without resistances
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
July 04, 2015, 01:07:12 PM
I think Monero at .01 in the next 12 months is possible.

I doubt it with the botnets dumping. Botnets are a 2 edged sword, One they secure the network and two they dump. I don't see why they don't hold. Even criminals want profit, they seem to be very shortsighted. But no one ever said criminals were smart. Smiley

Another extremely detrimental effect they have is making competitors that actually have overhead unable to compete and therefor the network cannot grow. This should probably be addressed but I don't see how until the emissions are extremely low. But then again If the coin gets adopted and skyrockets in some (I wonder where) market then these issues should become less significant.
sr. member
Activity: 379
Merit: 250
July 04, 2015, 12:28:14 PM
I think Monero at .01 in the next 12 months is possible.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
July 04, 2015, 12:00:43 PM
If XMR is developed continuously, I do not worry about its future.

The price is affected by cost of mining. Some people's mining cost is almost 0.
full member
Activity: 201
Merit: 100
July 04, 2015, 11:56:23 AM
IMO, these downward shifts are just equilibrium for the upward trend of BTC.  XMR wants to stay at US .50 cents.

And I see no signs of that changing until something really new/interesting happens in XMR-land.
sr. member
Activity: 283
Merit: 250
July 04, 2015, 08:14:44 AM
It might be the temperature, but I think we'll soon see the last stab down for the reversal. Monero tends to adhere to some sort of cycled pagtern, and it looks like we're towards the end of one. My guess is up from here.

Would be great if this turns out this way, and being able to bottomfish those last dumpefforts.
sr. member
Activity: 453
Merit: 500
hello world
July 04, 2015, 06:46:30 AM
volume is heavily down, we should move soon i guess, in one or the other direction ofc Grin
big buyers holding back a lot of ammunition and maybe they let if fall even further. some might also just be waiting for the new exchanges to open.

maybe its just because big part of the xmr community is located in europe and its fucking hot right now and a good time to party anyway Cool
vgo
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1019
July 02, 2015, 02:41:07 PM
More dumpity dump??   Roll Eyes

not really.

Try with Bitcoinwisdom.  Wink



Waiting 0.0016.

Is that the price at which you plan to come gloat?  Roll Eyes


It depends on the number of "400k supporting walls" at that time.  Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 453
Merit: 500
hello world
July 02, 2015, 02:07:55 PM
yeah with monero there still always is the possibility to load up some additional aws spot gpu or cpu instances if price should rise too high too fast without taking the hashrate up with it. both situations can be very profitable for one side as we allready saw i guess.

due to the asic unfriendly hashing function of cryptonight it is possible to push the hashrate up fast (at least at this stage). be it through zombie bots, vps, gpu farms, whatever.

i think there are still huge gpu capacities out there

btw. orderbook is still way to weak to support a real push up in my opinion. still stealth accumulation from all the known bastardz i guess  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
July 02, 2015, 01:59:46 PM
XMR breaking out to the upside, RSI and OBV forecasting this, too bad Cryptrader doesn't have the Ultimate Oscillator indicator though.



Resistance at 0.002, first target 0.00235 (23.6% retrace), second target 0.00272 (38.2% retrace).
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
July 02, 2015, 01:56:59 PM
I can see monero as a really good potential anonymous and secure store of wealth; when the marketcap of monero is in the hundreds of billions or trillions, I can see HNW and UHNW storing at least some of their wealth in monero, either because they want privacy or because they're trying to hide their assets from family/friends/government/mafia etc.

But how can we help it make that first leap? For the first UHNW guy, monero is not yet a great store of value. How can we convince him and others to store their value in monero? It's not going to happen if we just say "oh, if even one rich guy comes here we'll go to the moon".

How do we get that rich person/people to join monero? What could we do to promote it and make it more attractive to that group of people?

Also, where did americanpegasus go?

IMO, a lot of it has to do with network security. And with cryptocurrency, the network security depends on network hashrate. As I've posted before, Our current network hashrate could be doubled for ~5 million USD, so no one is going to store their value in Monero if the entire network can be attacked for ~5 million USD in hardware. Hence, my effort to get a crazy bounty going for publicly releasing any optimized mining software, and my push, in general, to encourage mining. 

Of course its a catch 22, because an increase in value causes an increase in hashrate, and an increase in hashrate can cause an increase in value........... so.............

This is just a typical chicken-egg problem and as usual it doesn't really matter which comes first. If people want to start bumping the hash rate then more value can come in, and if more value wants to come in then mining profitability will bump and hashrate will follow.

G2M
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
Activity: 616
July 02, 2015, 01:54:44 PM
I can see monero as a really good potential anonymous and secure store of wealth; when the marketcap of monero is in the hundreds of billions or trillions, I can see HNW and UHNW storing at least some of their wealth in monero, either because they want privacy or because they're trying to hide their assets from family/friends/government/mafia etc.

But how can we help it make that first leap? For the first UHNW guy, monero is not yet a great store of value. How can we convince him and others to store their value in monero? It's not going to happen if we just say "oh, if even one rich guy comes here we'll go to the moon".

How do we get that rich person/people to join monero? What could we do to promote it and make it more attractive to that group of people?

Also, where did americanpegasus go?

Simple really.

Just change 'Really good potential anonymous and secure store of wealth' to 'Really good anonymous and secure store of wealth'.

Gotta confront the potential. Everybody can't buy potential, or we'd all be broke.

Show them its a tool that can be used to bend other peoples wills, a tool that gives them the power of control over other people, and not just produce more value. They'll figure out the rest.
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