[∞ YH] solo.ckpool.org 2% fee solo mining 256 blocks solved! - page 122.

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: paid2 on June 18, 2022, 04:35:32 AM

Quote from: CochnocherCrypto on June 17, 2022, 07:13:14 PM

Hey friends! Anyone having issues with CKPool? on my way home from work this evening I went to check the status of my solo miners via the ckpool url / user / my wallet address (as per usual...) and I am unable to get any sort of response from solo.ckpool.org

*UPDATE* It's fixed. Not sure what happened - for roughly 45 minutes I wasn't able to get on - looking at CGMiner everything looks normal, just couldn't actually get to solo.ckpool.org on my phone nor any of my computers. Weird!

Hello

From my side everything is working fine

Maybe too much rejected shares from your side ?

Nah the same thing happened to me too. But like he said, it returned to normal shortly after.

paid2

hero member

Activity: 504

Merit: 1065

Crypto Swap Exchange

Quote from: CochnocherCrypto on June 17, 2022, 07:13:14 PM

Hey friends! Anyone having issues with CKPool? on my way home from work this evening I went to check the status of my solo miners via the ckpool url / user / my wallet address (as per usual...) and I am unable to get any sort of response from solo.ckpool.org

*UPDATE* It's fixed. Not sure what happened - for roughly 45 minutes I wasn't able to get on - looking at CGMiner everything looks normal, just couldn't actually get to solo.ckpool.org on my phone nor any of my computers. Weird!

Hello

From my side everything is working fine

Maybe too much rejected shares from your side ?

CochnocherCrypto

member

Activity: 59

Merit: 17

Hey friends! Anyone having issues with CKPool? on my way home from work this evening I went to check the status of my solo miners via the ckpool url / user / my wallet address (as per usual...) and I am unable to get any sort of response from solo.ckpool.org

*UPDATE* It's fixed. Not sure what happened - for roughly 45 minutes I wasn't able to get on - looking at CGMiner everything looks normal, just couldn't actually get to solo.ckpool.org on my phone nor any of my computers. Weird!

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: kano on June 15, 2022, 07:40:11 PM

Yay, someone posting about statistics who seems to know what they are talking about.
Strange how rare that is around here.
Love the joke

Ah yes indeed...you can just tell by the way he wrote that he does know what he's talking about lol and even though I didn't have a clue what I was saying...the fact that he is right means by default, I was right too! and since that means he knows what he's talking about then by association, that means I knew what I was talking about too! wow what a paradox Grin

so now I guess I should thank you for the compliments too, so thank you ser lol jk and I loved the joke too btw

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: nullama on June 15, 2022, 07:25:08 PM

"What about your the possibiltiy of a bomb?"
Well, I began thinking that if the odds of one bomb are 1:million, then the odds of TWO bombs are (1/1,000,000) x (1/1,000,000). This is a very, very small probability, which I can accept. So, now I bring my own bomb along!"

Lol now that is funny hahaha i love it! Never heard that one before.
Anyhow, thanks for breaking it down like that....I think that will explain it to people a little better than what I put. But at least we can agree on the end results. I do hope you know I was being silly with the rest of it. Take care sha256'er Wink

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: Biffa

Actually you are mistaken, the second formula you have given is the probability of rolling two sixes simultaneously with TWO dice, not rolling a 6 consecutively.

It's true you can also use that formula for rolling two dice simultaneously. The important thing to understand is that each roll of a die is an independent event. One outcome has no effect on the outcome of the other die. That's true if you roll them simultaneously (not counting if the dice bounce off each other) or consecutively.

Another way to look at it is say you roll the dice simultaneously and one stops rolling just a fraction of a second after the other. I suppose one could see this as two consecutive rolls.

Regardless if that last part makes sense lol the fact remains that rolling two 6's back to back has a 1/36 chance of happening.

kano

legendary

Activity: 4592

Merit: 1851

Linux since 1997 RedHat 4

Quote from: nullama on June 15, 2022, 07:25:08 PM

Quote from: Biffa on June 15, 2022, 12:08:06 PM

~snip~
Actually you are mistaken, the second formula you have given is the probability of rolling two sixes simultaneously with TWO dice, not rolling a 6 consecutively.

It's tricky to use probabilities in normal language because there are many possible ways to interpret what a person means.

Let's make it crystal clear continuing the dice analogy:

The probability of rolling a 6 with a dice is 1/6.

The probability of rolling two 6 in a row with one dice, which is the same as rolling two 6 with two dices, is 1/6 * 1/6 (independent events), which is 1/36.

Now, the probability of rolling a second 6 given that the previous roll was a 6, is still 1/6. In the end you still see two 6 rolled in a row, but the probability will be only 1/6 because the other event already happened or has a known outcome.This is different to the scenario where you still don't know the outcome of the two rolls, in which case the probability of it happening is 1/36.

This concept has even been used as a joke:

Quote from: https://www.jokebuddha.com/joke/Statistician_and_a_bomb_in_an_airplane

A famous statistician would never travel by airplane, because he had studied air travel and estimated the probability of there being a bomb on any given flight was 1 in a million, and he was not prepared to accept these odds.
One day a colleague met him at a conference far from home. "How did you get here, by train?"
"No, I flew"
"What about your the possibiltiy of a bomb?"
Well, I began thinking that if the odds of one bomb are 1:million, then the odds of TWO bombs are (1/1,000,000) x (1/1,000,000). This is a very, very small probability, which I can accept. So, now I bring my own bomb along!"

Yay, someone posting about statistics who seems to know what they are talking about.
Strange how rare that is around here.
Love the joke

nullama

hero member

Activity: 1008

Merit: 960

Quote from: Biffa on June 15, 2022, 12:08:06 PM

~snip~
Actually you are mistaken, the second formula you have given is the probability of rolling two sixes simultaneously with TWO dice, not rolling a 6 consecutively.

It's tricky to use probabilities in normal language because there are many possible ways to interpret what a person means.

Let's make it crystal clear continuing the dice analogy:

The probability of rolling a 6 with a dice is 1/6.

The probability of rolling two 6 in a row with one dice, which is the same as rolling two 6 with two dices, is 1/6 * 1/6 (independent events), which is 1/36.

Now, the probability of rolling a second 6 given that the previous roll was a 6, is still 1/6. In the end you still see two 6 rolled in a row, but the probability will be only 1/6 because the other event already happened or has a known outcome.This is different to the scenario where you still don't know the outcome of the two rolls, in which case the probability of it happening is 1/36.

This concept has even been used as a joke:

Quote from: https://www.jokebuddha.com/joke/Statistician_and_a_bomb_in_an_airplane

A famous statistician would never travel by airplane, because he had studied air travel and estimated the probability of there being a bomb on any given flight was 1 in a million, and he was not prepared to accept these odds.
One day a colleague met him at a conference far from home. "How did you get here, by train?"
"No, I flew"
"What about your the possibiltiy of a bomb?"
Well, I began thinking that if the odds of one bomb are 1:million, then the odds of TWO bombs are (1/1,000,000) x (1/1,000,000). This is a very, very small probability, which I can accept. So, now I bring my own bomb along!"

Biffa

legendary

Activity: 3234

Merit: 1220

Quote from: 333btc on June 15, 2022, 12:20:18 AM

Quote from: nullama on June 14, 2022, 08:57:32 PM

There's no "memory" in probabilities.

The chance of finding a block is the same every time (given same difficulty).

The fact that a block was found right now doesn't mean the next one can't be found right after (or even at the same time).

It's like saying the probability of getting a 6 in a dice roll changes if you just got a 6. It doesn't. It's still 1/6 for the next roll as well.

well thanks for the lesson in how PoW mining works lol but while you are correct that the chance of finding a block is the same every time (given same diff), this is precisely the reason you are also wrong. That is not how probability theory works. Your analogy is flawed.

Probability = Number of desired outcomes / Number of possible outcomes.....so in this case, rolling a die and getting a 6 is indeed 1/6

But since the second event is independent of the first (i.e. the outcome of one event has no effect on the probability of the second event), then the formula becomes...

Probability of both = Probability of outcome 1 x Probability of outcome 2.....so actually the chances of a 6 being rolled consecutively are (1/6)(1/6)=1/36

Sorry, class is dismissed now Grin

No but really, no hard feelings. I love math so believe me, I've thought about stuff like this many times in my life. Anyhow, with the chance of finding a block in btc mining being so low (without a substantial amount of the network hashrate), the chance of finding two in any short time frame is very very low....but it isn't impossible which is why it does happen from time to time. Take care my fellow miner! Cool

Actually you are mistaken, the second formula you have given is the probability of rolling two sixes simultaneously with TWO dice, not rolling a 6 consecutively.

paid2

hero member

Activity: 504

Merit: 1065

Crypto Swap Exchange

Quote from: Balladorim on June 15, 2022, 09:36:17 AM

Hi guys. Antminer S9SE firmware MSKMiner.
The screenshot shows that antminer found 2 blocks, do I understand correctly? These blocks were found in the last approximately 8 hours of antminer work. As I understand it, these found blocks went in favor of the MSKMiner firmware developer, since there is no data on these blocks on solo.ckpool.org. If antminer really found these blocks and it was not a bug.

Hey

Your best share is around 1G. No way it hit a BTC block (difficulty around 30T actually).

I think your firmware is shitty and mining DGB. it could even be a lower difficulty coin than DGB, LCC or Devault maybe.

Flash a new firmware, will be my best advice !

EDIT : your line #3 in the POOL section of your screenshot is really really suspicious

Balladorim

newbie

Activity: 1

Merit: 0

Hi guys. Antminer S9SE firmware MSKMiner.
The screenshot shows that antminer found 2 blocks, do I understand correctly? These blocks were found in the last approximately 8 hours of antminer work. As I understand it, these found blocks went in favor of the MSKMiner firmware developer, since there is no data on these blocks on solo.ckpool.org. If antminer really found these blocks and it was not a bug.

https://i.postimg.cc/vBMrz5hm/2022-06-15-07-08-11.png

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: nullama on June 14, 2022, 08:57:32 PM

There's no "memory" in probabilities.

The chance of finding a block is the same every time (given same difficulty).

The fact that a block was found right now doesn't mean the next one can't be found right after (or even at the same time).

It's like saying the probability of getting a 6 in a dice roll changes if you just got a 6. It doesn't. It's still 1/6 for the next roll as well.

well thanks for the lesson in how PoW mining works lol but while you are correct that the chance of finding a block is the same every time (given same diff), this is precisely the reason you are also wrong. That is not how probability theory works. Your analogy is flawed.

Probability = Number of desired outcomes / Number of possible outcomes.....so in this case, rolling a die and getting a 6 is indeed 1/6

But since the second event is independent of the first (i.e. the outcome of one event has no effect on the probability of the second event), then the formula becomes...

Probability of both = Probability of outcome 1 x Probability of outcome 2.....so actually the chances of a 6 being rolled consecutively are (1/6)(1/6)=1/36

Sorry, class is dismissed now Grin

No but really, no hard feelings. I love math so believe me, I've thought about stuff like this many times in my life. Anyhow, with the chance of finding a block in btc mining being so low (without a substantial amount of the network hashrate), the chance of finding two in any short time frame is very very low....but it isn't impossible which is why it does happen from time to time. Take care my fellow miner! Cool

nullama

hero member

Activity: 1008

Merit: 960

Quote from: 333btc on June 14, 2022, 08:20:08 PM

~snip~
thank you man. i guess if you guys find a block, which i really hope you do, then i may pass as the odds of finding a block two times in a row are small.....not impossible, but let me ponder on it. I guess it also depends on a few other factors. i will let you know soon. thank you very much good ser! now go get that block!!! Grin

There's no "memory" in probabilities.

The chance of finding a block is the same every time (given same difficulty).

The fact that a block was found right now doesn't mean the next one can't be found right after (or even at the same time).

It's like saying the probability of getting a 6 in a dice roll changes if you just got a 6. It doesn't. It's still 1/6 for the next roll as well.

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

I can set you on the list for next time
[/quote]

thank you man. i guess if you guys find a block, which i really hope you do, then i may pass as the odds of finding a block two times in a row are small.....not impossible, but let me ponder on it. I guess it also depends on a few other factors. i will let you know soon. thank you very much good ser! now go get that block!!! Grin

willi9974

legendary

Activity: 3500

Merit: 2792

Enjoy 500% bonus + 70 FS

Quote from: 333btc on June 14, 2022, 11:37:07 AM

Quote from: willi9974 on June 14, 2022, 04:58:23 AM

all seats are full and we are startet with our Blockparty Run 22.
more details and aktual stats in our main topic https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/groupbuy-solo-mining-blockparty-2022-number-22-5399695 (will not spam the solo topic with all the bestshare updates)

dang i was just about to check and see if there was a seat available. i've been thinking about getting in on one and every time one starts i think to myself that the chances of finding a block are better and better each time. now with the diff down, i really felt like the luck is good. but anyway, maybe next time. i do wish you guys luck! now is your time!!!! best of luck!!!

I can set you on the list for next time

333btc

jr. member

Activity: 68

Merit: 3

Quote from: willi9974 on June 14, 2022, 04:58:23 AM

all seats are full and we are startet with our Blockparty Run 22.
more details and aktual stats in our main topic https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/groupbuy-solo-mining-blockparty-2022-number-22-5399695 (will not spam the solo topic with all the bestshare updates)

dang i was just about to check and see if there was a seat available. i've been thinking about getting in on one and every time one starts i think to myself that the chances of finding a block are better and better each time. now with the diff down, i really felt like the luck is good. but anyway, maybe next time. i do wish you guys luck! now is your time!!!! best of luck!!!

willi9974

legendary

Activity: 3500

Merit: 2792

Enjoy 500% bonus + 70 FS

all seats are full and we are startet with our Blockparty Run 22.
more details and aktual stats in our main topic https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/groupbuy-solo-mining-blockparty-2022-number-22-5399695 (will not spam the solo topic with all the bestshare updates)

Here the last status

Live View Link:
https://solo.ckpool.org/users/bc1qrq9w4fxyw4xj4elzlgc06rmx6hr9e0had7saxx

{
"hashrate1m": "21.8P",
"hashrate5m": "16.5P",
"hashrate1hr": "2.53P",
"hashrate1d": "112T",
"hashrate7d": "16.1T",
"lastshare": 1655200704,
"workers": 27,
"shares": 2269000000,
"bestshare": 5233869714.759295,
"bestever": 5233869714,
"worker": [
{
"workername": "bc1qrq9w4fxyw4xj4elzlgc06rmx6hr9e0had7saxx",
"hashrate1m": "21.8P",
"hashrate5m": "16.5P",
"hashrate1hr": "2.53P",
"hashrate1d": "112T",
"hashrate7d": "16.1T",
"lastshare": 1655200704,
"shares": 2269000000,
"bestshare": 5233869714.759295,
"bestever": 5233869714
}
]
}

Bitcoin Difficulty:
30.283.293.547.737

Bestshare:
5.233.869.714
1.769.422.014
628.571.012

willi9974

legendary

Activity: 3500

Merit: 2792

Enjoy 500% bonus + 70 FS

Quote from: willi9974 on June 02, 2022, 07:13:50 AM

Blockparty 22, now 5-6 seats left
Lower diff at the moment so a little better chance

if you will join please post it here (see upper posting) https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60215980

Best regards from germany
Willi

Topic updated, now 3-4 seats are free at the moment.

o_solo_miner

legendary

Activity: 2483

Merit: 1482

-> morgen, ist heute, schon gestern <-

Quote from: ?? on ??

Not sure if this is hardware or software but one of my NewPacs has just zombied and it seems to have acquired the serial number of the one above? Huh

6: GSH 10036077: BM1387:02+ 350.00MHz T:350 P:350 (107:54) | 96.2% WU: 97% | 74.45G / 77.54Gh/s WU:1083.3/m
0: GSH 10036077: BM1387:02+ 203.12MHz T:350 P:350 (176:93) | 86.1% WU:100% | ZOMBIE
If this is hardware related can it please be moved to the hardware thread.
If not... any suggestions please.

This is the solo.ckpool thread, please move your question to the dedicated hardware thread here:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/gekkoscience-newpac-terminus-r606-bm1387-official-support-thread-5053833

willi9974

legendary

Activity: 3500

Merit: 2792

Enjoy 500% bonus + 70 FS

Blockparty 22, now 5-6 seats left
Lower diff at the moment so a little better chance

if you will join please post it here (see upper posting) https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60215980

Best regards from germany
Willi

Topic: [∞ YH] solo.ckpool.org 2% fee solo mining 256 blocks solved! - page 122. (Read 102344 times)