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Topic: . - page 2. (Read 35836 times)

legendary
Activity: 1321
Merit: 1007
September 21, 2013, 02:41:10 PM
I don't understand how chodpabas charts are predicting the future price...

Is it based on current trends? Because that doesn't take into account if we get big news, good news, bad news, bitcoin etf passes, huge headlines on mainstream media, gox pays out

Just one of those variables can change the whole perspective
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 21, 2013, 12:53:34 PM
Hmm, what about:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_stable_distribution
These loosely scattered trails on the top right of the median seem like they might fit.

The thing with PDFs is unless you understand the process and know which one to use it's always guesswork, but it might be "close enough"...
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 21, 2013, 12:22:38 PM
I've been thinking, if you match the trails to a multivariate distribution you might get a better result for the median.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2013, 09:16:46 PM


your persistence shakes my irrational confidence?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
September 20, 2013, 07:45:53 PM
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2013, 07:32:24 PM
legendary
Activity: 1321
Merit: 1007
September 20, 2013, 04:58:43 PM
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
September 20, 2013, 01:23:47 PM
I doubt the support concept works here. The correction that happened yesterday had just 2 dumps, one small one large,
then a strong rebound due to thin asks. If a correction gets close to 125$ without further rolling the price imbalance, the price will stabilize there.
But that would be in contradiction with the EW theory, which says that the local bottom should be deeper than the one of the 7th.
So I placed my buy order just above 120$, but right now I'm not sure if it will drop that low.

I place support at 129. I think the resistance stoping price from moving up, will become support, when the reversal really does happen.

obvious bump in the road is obvious.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1094
September 20, 2013, 12:58:54 PM
I doubt the support concept works here. The correction that happened yesterday had just 2 dumps, one small one large,
then a strong rebound due to thin asks. If a correction gets close to 125$ without further rolling the price imbalance, the price will stabilize there.
But that would be in contradiction with the EW theory, which says that the local bottom should be deeper than the one of the 7th.
So I placed my buy order just above 120$, but right now I'm not sure if it will drop that low.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
September 20, 2013, 12:58:06 PM
i'm curious, if we do have another correction where would you place support?

I have published my calls for the next week here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--295346

interesting, i don't see it quite that way, but we appear to be on the same page.

legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2013, 12:53:08 PM
i'm curious, if we do have another correction where would you place support?



net worth $260 million.... to da mooooon!!

lmao 50 cent becomes a bitcoin entrepreneur
sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283
September 20, 2013, 12:50:31 PM
i'm curious, if we do have another correction where would you place support?



net worth $260 million.... to da mooooon!!
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2013, 12:49:03 PM
i'm curious, if we do have another correction where would you place support?

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
September 20, 2013, 12:37:04 PM
i'm curious, if we do have another correction where would you place support?
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1094
September 20, 2013, 12:23:38 PM
The imbalance in the price is close to 10$, so another correction is quite probably IMO.
But as long as volume stays low, it just won't happen. And it requires a significant drop in money flow too.
This could happen in 1 - 2 hours, or in 6 - 7 hours from now ( or not at all if a whale buys and corrects the imbalance ).
sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283
September 20, 2013, 12:03:15 PM
legendary
Activity: 1321
Merit: 1007
September 20, 2013, 11:03:30 AM
ETA 30 min
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2013, 10:36:15 AM
panic sell incoming

How much longer? I am growing bored Tongue
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
°^°
September 20, 2013, 10:07:09 AM
panic sell incoming
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
September 19, 2013, 07:57:41 AM
gox is bad very bad
and vircurex has no way to take out fiat either
coinbase takes forever IMO to do anything
exchanges are in trouble it seems
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