Here is the median case result of a projection under a given set of assumptions plus a sampling of the raw outputs.
This is using calibrations presuming $148.91 as an intermediate peak. The time and price targets are actually treated independently.
I expect to post updates as dictated by new data, updates to my assumptions, or updates to methodology.
$75.20 median Wednesday, October 23, 2013
This is as clear as mud for me, if you are projecting a $75.20 median on X date then the price will likely be somewhere between $150 and $0 I hate to burden you but I think I need an ELI5.