2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 17.

GreatArkansas

legendary

Activity: 2506

Merit: 1394

Quote from: Maslate on September 20, 2024, 11:12:02 PM

(.....)
SMB -7.5 and Over 226.5 for the first game.
Meralco -7.5 and Under 200.5 for the second.

I'm late already in the game of SMB vs Blackwater Bossing and thanks I'm glad because there are more than 10 points Blackwater leads against SMB,
but I am able to bet in over 224.5 with 2.10 odds, seems fair to me, I just bet small here. I'm not betting on Meralco Bolts versus Dyip as I can't watch the game tonight.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

I went 2-2 last night, could've been 3-1 if Northport didn’t mess up in the 4th quarter, lol… they were already getting blown out, but they kept fighting. Too bad, that could’ve been an easy under… Oh well, breaks of the game, it happens. Moving on to the upcoming games, we’ve got two later:

SMB -7.5 and Over 226.5 for the first game.
Meralco -7.5 and Under 200.5 for the second.

Blackwater’s defense isn’t that good, so I’m feeling strong about the over… plus, the line moved up significantly, from 223.5 to 226.5 now, which usually signals an easy over.

As for the second game… Meralco lost last time, so I’m expecting a bounce back, maybe a blowout by 11+ points. If that’s the case, they’ll control the pace, so I’m thinking under.

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 20, 2024, 07:21:14 PM

Whoever was able to tail my bets yesterday, good job. 2/2.

Congrats bro.

GreatArkansas

legendary

Activity: 2506

Merit: 1394

Whoever was able to tail my bets yesterday, good job. 2/2.
During the last quarter of Magnolia Hotshots versus Batang Pier Northport, I thought my handicap (-8.5) for hotshots would be hunted, lol. They were almost able to come near to the score of Hotshots but thanks to Paul Lee, he was able to maintain the scores and assist during the last minutes of the 4th quarter.

Feel free to share guys your bet slips, I will try to bet with you also.

Fredomago

legendary

Activity: 2996

Merit: 1054

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

The result was pretty disappointing, both TNT and SMB lost, and it felt like their games had no bearing at all. Honestly, I didn’t expect that. It would’ve been okay if they just didn’t cover the spread, but this really happened, especially with TNT being at -16.5.

I was in the impression that after TNT got that disappointing loss against DYIP the 2nd game will be for the favorite, but to my surprise ROS really played well and with that running attacks they managed to beat the powerhouse SMB, though it's really a great game for as I see TR7 playing his usual routine just bad for the coaching staff allowing CJ to be a one man team, I did not watch the game today that's why I don't have any insight hahaha..

Finestream

hero member

Activity: 3052

Merit: 606

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5

This is shaping up to be a low-scoring game since they only managed 91 points in total by halftime. The total live is now at 202.5, and NLEX is already leading by 17 points. Most likely, NLEX will just slow down to maintain their lead. As for the +4.5, that seems unlikely now, especially with the line at -16.5 in favor of NLEX.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 19, 2024, 08:14:34 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

I’ll back Magnolia at -12.5 since NorthPort will be without an import tonight. Vinky Jois is undergoing surgery today for the injury he sustained in the game against Meralco.

Time to bounce back indeed, good luck to us.

Thanks for the analysis, bro! This looks like a bounce-back game since they were embarrassed by TNT last time, even though TNT was undermanned but still managed to beat them. We all know Magnolia is dominant and great on defense, so that -12.5 looks like a solid pick, and maybe the under as well. Good luck to us, bro, hope this one hits!

bisdak40

hero member

Activity: 2072

Merit: 542

DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

I’ll back Magnolia at -12.5 since NorthPort will be without an import tonight. Vinky Jois is undergoing surgery today for the injury he sustained in the game against Meralco.

Time to bounce back indeed, good luck to us.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

The result was pretty disappointing, both TNT and SMB lost, and it felt like their games had no bearing at all. Honestly, I didn’t expect that. It would’ve been okay if they just didn’t cover the spread, but this really happened, especially with TNT being at -16.5.

Anyway, only 1 out of 4 picks hit yesterday, so it wasn’t profitable. Time to bounce back today.

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

GreatArkansas

legendary

Activity: 2506

Merit: 1394

Quote from: Finestream on September 18, 2024, 09:47:04 PM

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 18, 2024, 08:41:00 PM

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

We lost a lot on that one. I thought with their new import, their chemistry wouldn’t be great yet, but it turns out he’s really good, especially since he’s defensive-minded, and their scoring is well-distributed.

The one who really carried Converge (though I’m not sure if he was the best player of the game) was Stockton. He’s a young local who’s great at creating his own shots. This kid is definitely going to be a superstar. Another reason Converge won was because Newsome fouled out in the 4th quarter, so Meralco couldn’t really recover. Anyway, Meralco’s already secured a spot, so maybe that’s why their effort wasn’t as strong, especially with Durham not performing well in the 1st half.

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 10:19:08 PM

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 18, 2024, 08:02:02 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

Glad you liked my pick! Let me check the line again. It's now at -5.5, and the total is 222.5... Looks like we got good value by betting early. Like I said, no matter how the line moves, I’ll stick with my original pick. Hope to bounce back bro as I lost a bit last night. Cry

@GreatArkansas... more force is stronger, let's get this one.

1/2, not bad, thank you for that Maslate, I will continue betting in upcoming games, I'm enjoying the games right now. The win from Rain Or Shine is unexpected, we even bet for SMB with handicap, really rollercoaster games.
Lol, even TNT with the handicap of -16.5, also lost.
Feel free to share your betslips here guys.

Here's mine for today's matches.
NLEX (-2.5) and Hotshots (-8.5)

Fredomago

legendary

Activity: 2996

Merit: 1054

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: Finestream on September 18, 2024, 09:47:04 PM

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 18, 2024, 08:41:00 PM

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

We lost a lot on that one. I thought with their new import, their chemistry wouldn’t be great yet, but it turns out he’s really good, especially since he’s defensive-minded, and their scoring is well-distributed.

The one who really carried Converge (though I’m not sure if he was the best player of the game) was Stockton. He’s a young local who’s great at creating his own shots. This kid is definitely going to be a superstar. Another reason Converge won was because Newsome fouled out in the 4th quarter, so Meralco couldn’t really recover. Anyway, Meralco’s already secured a spot, so maybe that’s why their effort wasn’t as strong, especially with Durham not performing well in the 1st half.

Maybe yes and they just rigged those who bets for them, same thing with how TNT is playing right now if DYIP win this game it's another sorry lost for those who loves doing a parlay, surely messed up with that small odds as TNT is a heavy favorite here, down by 7 points under 3 minutes, though still got lots of time but by looking how they are playing the game.. let see if upset will be completed, lucky for those risky bettors who take the ML for DYIP if they win this game.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 18, 2024, 08:02:02 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

Glad you liked my pick! Let me check the line again. It's now at -5.5, and the total is 222.5... Looks like we got good value by betting early. Like I said, no matter how the line moves, I’ll stick with my original pick. Hope to bounce back bro as I lost a bit last night. Cry

@GreatArkansas... more force is stronger, let's get this one.

Finestream

hero member

Activity: 3052

Merit: 606

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 18, 2024, 08:41:00 PM

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

We lost a lot on that one. I thought with their new import, their chemistry wouldn’t be great yet, but it turns out he’s really good, especially since he’s defensive-minded, and their scoring is well-distributed.

The one who really carried Converge (though I’m not sure if he was the best player of the game) was Stockton. He’s a young local who’s great at creating his own shots. This kid is definitely going to be a superstar. Another reason Converge won was because Newsome fouled out in the 4th quarter, so Meralco couldn’t really recover. Anyway, Meralco’s already secured a spot, so maybe that’s why their effort wasn’t as strong, especially with Durham not performing well in the 1st half.

GreatArkansas

legendary

Activity: 2506

Merit: 1394

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 18, 2024, 08:02:02 PM

Part of the game bro so better luck next time and by the way thanks for those tips as i managed to tail on one of your bets. Betted on Phoenix under 103.5 @1.97.

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

Let me join you, mates!
I will just bet in San Miguel Beerman (-4.5) and over 221. I'm afraid on the TalkNTxt tropang giga because of the high handicap, I will just watch the game.

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

bisdak40

hero member

Activity: 2072

Merit: 542

DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 17, 2024, 09:59:10 PM

Meralco -6.5
~~Under 204.5~~ ( due to line movement, this will be changed to over 206.5)
Converge under 99.5
Ginebra -9.5
~~Under 216.5~~ ( changed to over 217.5)
Phoenix under 104.5

These were my picks yesterday, but I was unlucky with the ones I changed***they ended up losing. If I hadn't changed my picks, I would've hit 4 out of 6, still profitable. It's tough predicting these line movements, haha... For now, I'll stay away from live movements and stick to early lines, then make my predictions.

So last night, I already analyzed the games. These are my early leans (I won't change them anymore). Fade or follow, folks, but hopefully, we're all on the same page this time.

Part of the game bro so better luck next time and by the way thanks for those tips as i managed to tail on one of your bets. Betted on Phoenix under 103.5 @1.97.

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: Maslate on September 17, 2024, 09:59:10 PM

Meralco -6.5
~~Under 204.5~~ ( due to line movement, this will be changed to over 206.5)
Converge under 99.5
Ginebra -9.5
~~Under 216.5~~ ( changed to over 217.5)
Phoenix under 104.5

These were my picks yesterday, but I was unlucky with the ones I changed***they ended up losing. If I hadn't changed my picks, I would've hit 4 out of 6, still profitable. It's tough predicting these line movements, haha... For now, I'll stay away from live movements and stick to early lines, then make my predictions.

So last night, I already analyzed the games. These are my early leans (I won't change them anymore). Fade or follow, folks, but hopefully, we're all on the same page this time.

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Fredomago

legendary

Activity: 2996

Merit: 1054

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: Maslate on September 17, 2024, 09:59:10 PM

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 17, 2024, 09:42:41 PM

Congrats on your win bro, that's huge.

Thanks! I just got lucky that time, but there are days when luck isn't on my side. Since I was lucky last night, let's keep it going today...

Quote

As for my bet, Ahamnissi did foiled my bet as he sunk that four point shot, that's fine for me, part of the game.

Exactly! All we can do is move on to the next game, don’t get emotional, and just keep the discipline with bankroll management.
Stay focused!

Quote

Hope you will post early your picks for tonight's game bro, will try to tail your picks as you are lucky this week Cool

.

Wish granted, LOL!

I won’t include the betting odds or market since you can check that yourselves, but here are my early leans. I’ll update later if there are any suspicious line movements.

For the first game, I’m going with Meralco because Converge has been inconsistent, and I heard they have a new import, which could cause some chemistry issues. Plus, Meralco is slowly getting their players back, which should improve their defense. I think Meralco will control the pace of the game, so my picks are:

Meralco -6.5
~~Under 204.5~~ ( due to line movement, this will be changed to over 206.5)
Converge under 99.5

As for the second game, Ginebra is coming off a disappointing loss, probably the biggest in franchise history with that 49-point defeat (IIRC). I’m expecting a bounce-back here, so a double-digit win seems likely. The Fuel Masters won their last game, but in an import vs. import match-up, Brownlee has the edge.

The Phoenix import carries most of the scoring load, so if his production dips, the whole team will struggle. My picks are:
Ginebra -9.5
~~Under 216.5~~ ( changed to over 217.5)
Phoenix under 104.5

It turns out that Meralco loses the game, I was in the impression that after the rally in the 3rd quarter they will win the game and covered the handicap but Converge fought back, the combination of Stockton and Jones their new import lead their way to upset Meralco.

While you got it right Gin kings beats Phoenix with a double digits leads covering that handicap, nothing Phoenix can do with the good game night of all the players of coach Tim.

Maslate

hero member

Activity: 2954

Merit: 672

Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 17, 2024, 09:42:41 PM

Congrats on your win bro, that's huge.

Thanks! I just got lucky that time, but there are days when luck isn't on my side. Since I was lucky last night, let's keep it going today...

Quote

As for my bet, Ahamnissi did foiled my bet as he sunk that four point shot, that's fine for me, part of the game.

Exactly! All we can do is move on to the next game, don’t get emotional, and just keep the discipline with bankroll management.
Stay focused!

Quote

Hope you will post early your picks for tonight's game bro, will try to tail your picks as you are lucky this week Cool

.

Wish granted, LOL!

I won’t include the betting odds or market since you can check that yourselves, but here are my early leans. I’ll update later if there are any suspicious line movements.

For the first game, I’m going with Meralco because Converge has been inconsistent, and I heard they have a new import, which could cause some chemistry issues. Plus, Meralco is slowly getting their players back, which should improve their defense. I think Meralco will control the pace of the game, so my picks are:

Meralco -6.5
~~Under 204.5~~ ( due to line movement, this will be changed to over 206.5)
Converge under 99.5

As for the second game, Ginebra is coming off a disappointing loss, probably the biggest in franchise history with that 49-point defeat (IIRC). I’m expecting a bounce-back here, so a double-digit win seems likely. The Fuel Masters won their last game, but in an import vs. import match-up, Brownlee has the edge.

The Phoenix import carries most of the scoring load, so if his production dips, the whole team will struggle. My picks are:
Ginebra -9.5
~~Under 216.5~~ ( changed to over 217.5)
Phoenix under 104.5

bisdak40

hero member

Activity: 2072

Merit: 542

DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook

Quote from: Maslate on September 17, 2024, 02:48:40 AM

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 17, 2024, 02:02:28 AM

Meanwhile, we had two games today and the second game between TNT and Magnolia caught my attention with TNT as a slight favorite and i think they will take this one.

My Bet: TNT -3.5 @1.88 vs Magnolia

You’re not betting on the first game, mate, it’s Rain or Shine vs NLEX. Let me share my thoughts on the first game first. Last time NLEX played ROS, and ROS won by a big margin. I’ve noticed that NLEX is solid on offense, but their defense is really lacking. Because of that, I believe ROS will take this one, and here are my picks for the first game:

ROS -6.5 - W
ROS total over 112.5 - W
Total over 217.5 -W

As for the second game, I think it’s going to be a close one, so I’m passing on the point spread. Since both teams seem to focus more on defense, it might be a low-scoring game. So here are my bets:

Under 189.5 - W
TNT under 96.5 - W

Good luck, kabayan!

Just wanted to update my post with the result of my bet since the last game just finished. I had an awesome night, all my picks hit, big thanks to my guardian angel! Cheesy

To bisdak40, sorry buddy, thought you had it too, but Ahamnissi pulled off a 4-point shot in the last seconds, leaving TNT with just a 2-point victory.

Congrats on your win bro, that's huge.

As for my bet, Ahamnissi did foiled my bet as he sunk that four point shot, that's fine for me, part of the game.

Hope you will post early your picks for tonight's game bro, will try to tail your picks as you are lucky this week Cool

.

GreatArkansas

legendary

Activity: 2506

Merit: 1394

Guys, for a later game, Meralco Bolts vs Converge Fiberxers at Ginebra San Miguel vs Phoenix Pulse Fuel Masters.

I did bet with points handicap and this is a multi bet to get good odds (2.5 odds), with a small bet the odds is good and risky at the same time as this is a multi bet.

Finestream

hero member

Activity: 3052

Merit: 606

Quote from: Maslate on September 17, 2024, 02:48:40 AM

To bisdak40, sorry buddy, thought you had it too, but Ahamnissi pulled off a 4-point shot in the last seconds, leaving TNT with just a 2-point victory.

Yeah, that really sucks! You think you’ve got the win, then boom, that last shot is a dagger. Can’t be helped though, especially since point quotient matters too. And Ahamnissi? That’s like the third time he’s hit a 4-point shot, while the rest of the team only managed one 3-pointer the entire game, which made it a low-scoring match.

TNT’s import is solid, even though they were undermanned, they still pulled off the win. On the other hand, Magnolia’s import seems inconsistent, maybe he's just not in top shape.

This last shot ==>
https://imgur.com/a/hRlDA8s

BTW @maslate, thanks for the pick, I tailed and I won on the ROS vs NLEX game.

Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 17. (Read 98476 times)