Topic: 2022 WNBA Discussion and Betting - page 29. (Read 7677 times)

I'm sure you understand the game well, but on my part if in case I'll still stick with ML and handicap

instead of taking that risky bet, I'm more on a classic type of betting style, though Suns is really impressive and
they manage to execute will both offense and defense.

Coming game 4 I still go with Suns as well. They are good when they are playing together. I'm hoping to see that
same confidence with their system, rotations with ball and players' movements.

I am excited too, there will surely be a counter from the Las Vegas Aces and I want to see how Chelsea Gray will adjust to the defensive strategy used by the Sun to put DeWanna Bonner in her. She may be tall but she ain't slow and the reach was also long, if it's transition plays then maybe Gray can get away from her but if it will be isolation she will need a screen to switch on another opponent.

I really wish there were player props as I am itching to bet for stats on each Sun player. 
Going for Connecticut Sun too, they are still the underdog even after the blowout game. Let's see.
Sun ML. Double the amount again as I am yet to recover from the 2 losses in the first 2 games.
Expecting a close game though.

Don't beat yourself about it, this is really an unpredictable game indeed, anything can surely happen, but the Connecticut Sun doesn't need any mistake now because one last win for the Aces and it is all over, but the Connecticut Sun will eventually need to keep the pace, and put up a show and to not exposing their weakness on this adjustment because if the Las Vegas Aces could read this aswell then it is all over for the Sun, and as you have said the Connecticut Sun have really implemented a great counter for the Ace, or the home crowd could be also a source to improve their performance, but there are still 2 more games and after that, the finals are over,

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Now my prediction and pick for tomorrow's game for the WNBA 2022

Connecticut Sun VS Las Vegas Aces (ACES Leads 1 - 2)

Stake odds for this game are 1.91 for the Sun, while 1.79 for the Aces, If the Connecticut Sun would keep this play style like this, and have Dewanna Bonner guard Chelsea Gray, Alyssa Thomas will give all the possible scores to the defensive players I think this really reserves some of their key player for last minute play, and if Thomas from the Sun could make a triple-double or a double-double performance for the next game they, I think they will surely win this again, but If the Las Vegas Aces could have their answer against the play of the Sun and have some counter to it then there is a case that the Aces could win the Finals but I am still positive with the Connecticut Sun,   

My prediction for that game was dead wrong. I think I overestimated the offensive power of the Aces and their ability to win on the road. Both my bets were punished with a loss.

The Suns proved that the home crowd can ignite them. Their defense is everywhere. They controlled the glass, rotated to take away open shots, and jump passing lanes. Their energy is far above what they have shown early in this series.

They have implemented a very effective adjustment as well. They found how to control the offensive prowess of Chelsea Gray by assigning Dewanna Bonner to her and it worked. Gray was limited to 11 points.

I am now excited to see how the Aces will counter the adjustment Suns implemented in this game.

And they have done it, they have double no triple that adjustment and have made a big comeback and right now I am seeing large numbers on most players on the Connecticut Sun, this time Jonquel Jones has the upper lead score, while Alyssa Thomas a triple-double is a great performance for her, it was an amazing game for the Connecticut Sun,


It was really an amazing game for the Connecticut Sun, and a brilliant game strategy, that lead to a whopping 29 lead score against the Las Vegas Aces, Alyssa Thomas was really something and as you have said the 1st Triple-double in the WNBA, who said watching this basketball game could be this exciting, that was truly a one play to turn the tables until the next game, that is why I can not wait for the next game results,

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Here is the result for the game yesterday,

Connecticut Sun VS Las Vegas Aces SCORE 105 - 76 - WIN

Pretty much got back all my losses on the 1st 2 games, it wasn't expected that Alyssa Thomas could get a triple-double for this game of 15 rebounds, 11 Assist, and 16 points, while the other players have made a great job in getting double digit point a game that will never be on the history of the WNBA,

Yes, you predicted it right, what they need is a "boost of confidence" and they received it.
It made their night so perfect that they were able to put the Aces in a blowout game. I was stunned too at how better their ball rotation is unlike the first 2 games. I mean, I am sure they can win but not that heavy.

Indeed, they are surely satisfied.
Before I took the bet of -1.5 for the Sun, I was also tempted to take the "win by 11+" bet but I didn't follow my instincts. IIRC, it was x4.50 if you take that bet which will be more satisfying if won. 

Didn't watch the game but by looking at that final score I can say that the adjustment Sun made in today's game

is really magnificent, just like what I mentioned from my last post, a team effort from both defense and offense and with the
help of the home crowd, they will be boosted.

For sure, there are many satisfying fans and gamblers who back up the Suns today. That handicap is really tempting
and very well-covered. Congrats to all the winner!

Magnificent! Yes, that's the right word for it.
Perfect offensive execution and the defensive level was above the roof. Great performance by the Connecticut Sun.
They got their confidence back and that's all thanks to the fans supporting them on their home court. Road to Game 5. One more win.

Alyssa Thomas made a record of reaching the first triple-double in the WNBA Finals.  16/15/11
I like the strategy, use the guards to attack at the start to exhaust the Aces then at the end use Jonquel Jones to dominate the paint while they are all depleted in stamina.

This is my take on Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun

Now that the Finals is on the homecourt of Connecticut Sun, most are expecting that the Sun will win this game. But they are not giving enough credit for the Aces' ability to win on the road.

Game 2 has shown that Connecticut is no match against Las Vegas. Plum has shown that she does not need help or screens to beat Williams or Bonner off the bounce. Connecticut cannot even leverage its size as they are fought hard by the Aces on the board. With a bigger lineup, they have minimal outside shooting. And the scary part is, the Aces are shooting poorly behind the 3-point line. They are 36.1% in 3 points territory in the regular season, but they are just shooting 23% in this series. If their 3 points start hitting, the Suns will not have enough firepower to match the Aces and its game over.

I believe that the Aces will take this one and get their first WNBA Championship. Good luck with your bets!

A big adjustment is necessary. They cannot do the same thing as they did in Games 1 and 2. Something must be done, there must be a weakness that they need to take advantage of in the Aces team. It's not like they are a super team. They are just better at both ends of the floor but there's always a solution for it.
As I said before, I will put all my bets on the Connecticut Sun in this series, and now I am going double the amount chasing my losses.
They sure do. A lot of confidence.
It's also the shame of a sweep that will not look good in the records. They need to fight back.

They needed to boost their confidence and fought back,

it will be a big shame to their team if they will allow Aces to beat them in front of their home crowd, they needed to work together and play as a team on both offense and defense it will be a big factor if they will start strong and maintain the same momentum, allowing Aces to dominates might end this series.

This is the finals and the Connecticut Sun better pull themselves together, they can not afford to be Sweep by the Las Vegas Aces In the finals, so I think they will not let this 3rd game be a win for the Aces, but a win for them, I would also go for the Connecticut Sun, I know that 1 more win for the Las Vegas Aces and they will surely be won here and they surely don't feel pressure anymore while the Connecticut Sun needs to be ready for this and prepare for their revenge,

Connecticut Sun VS Las Vegas Aces

Pretty much the Aces are on the last game now, they will eventually go with the same strategy because it is really effective for the Sun, while the Sun is really struggling to make a comeback I think the other players would likely need their impact with the game, because Courtney Williams can not handle it alone, but I think this is it, I will be risking it for the Connecticut Sun 1 last time,

My prediction happened and that's for Williams to be an offensive weapon again but it's not enough because other players didn't have the same night.
They all need to contribute to achieving a win, especially on the defensive end. I didn't see that in Game 2.

Game 3 will be Connecticut Sun home and I hope this will boost their confidence back as the fans will be on their side.
Last chance, play harder, every play and second counts or they will be missing a big opportunity to be a champion. Put the series at 5.

Well you are right with your speculation and the Las Vegas Aces really did it again, but this time limiting the Connecticut Sun in the 1st quarter and the 2nd quarter, for me defensive wise the Las Vegas Aces really is pulling that trick on the Sun, while the Connecticut Sun pretty much their defense was open and penetrated so easily by the Aces, so I think they need to get into this so they can see what are they lacking, pretty much I don't want to get to another boat just because the Aces got their 2 leads, but on the 3rd game they are switching court so let's see if the Connecticut Sun will improve on their home court, which is I doubt, but we will never see,

Here is the result of the game now, for the finals of the WNBA

Las Vegas Aces VS Connecticut Sun SCORE 85 - 71 - PICK LOST

pretty much the Las Vegas Aces have easily penetrated the defense of the Connecticut Sun, pretty much even though it is a close game the Aces really did great and dominates the offense, Jonquel Jones got a double-double performance of 11 rebounds and 16 points, and Alyssa Thomas has 13 points, Brionna Jones has 12, while Courtney Williams has 18 points, for the Connecticut Sun, but it was not enough because the Las Vegas Aces, has shut down the Sun, A'ja Wilson has double-double Performance of 10 rebounds and 26 points, Kelsey Plum has 20 points while Chelsea Gray had 21 points that surely becomes an incredible win for the Aces,

The Sun has done everything they needed to do to defeat the Aces in Game 1. They outrebounded the Aces, 13-6 in offensive rebounds. They also limited their shooting from the deep to just 5 out of 24. The Suns slowed the game and limited the Aces to 58 field goal attempts which are the lowest of the Aces in regular and playoffs. All of these and the Aces still manage to win the game by 3 points. It is a small lead, but it means a lot. The Aces were able to nullify the efforts of the Suns. And a win in a best of 5 series matters a lot.

I am taking the Aces to win Game 2 of this series. They will continue to implement the small ball and if they are able to find their shots in the deep, the Suns will be in big trouble.

I am taking the under this time. The Aces will try to get a good shooting performance in this game, but the Suns will also try to slow down the game with their bigs and their defense. This will be a low-scoring game like the first game.

That is a sure thing to happen I am guessing for the Connecticut Sun to make a plan for the upcoming match against the Aces, for me the Connecticut Sun has a full card of players that can score up to 20 points, so I think they will utilize that and get the tandem of Alyssa Thomas and Jonquel Jones on the work, and backing up by the other teammates will be the strategy for the Aces, while the Sun will need to take care of Chelsea Gray and A'ja Wilson those two is going to be their big problem, this is not an easy task, for them, but as you have mentioned both teams can instantly dominate the other and also make a comeback, I think they can Utilize that and go with the dominating every quarter of the game,

Here is my pick for tomorrow's game

Las Vegas Aces VS Connecticut Sun

Stake odds for this game are 1.45 for the Aces while 2.55 for the Sun, the Aces have the upper hand with the odds, maybe because of their dominant performance in game one and the Sun has caught off guard, but this time I think the Sun will take revenge and they will push this win and upset the Las Vegas Aces on their Court because they needed too, and if they do then the following games will be a motivation for them, these Final games are not ending with domination for the Aces that is why I am going with the Connecticut Sun this time,

It is possible and the end score can summarize that.
Both teams can be dominant in an instant and also make a comeback even from a high deficit game. After game 1, it became more uncertain who will win Game 2 because of how tight their game is.
Also remember, adjustments do happen and I bet the Connecticut Sun coaching staff has something written already to counterattack.
That makes me want to bet for them again and try my luck once more. Just steal one game in Aces home. 

Whoa! what just happen? I really don't want to bet for the 1st game because I want to see the result for the 1st game, and the Las Vegas Aces have dominated the game against the Connecticut Sun, it was an awful situation that the Sun just manage to keep the lead of the Ace at bay on the end of the 1st half, but pretty much A'ja Wilson and Chelsea Gray has all the given answer for their situation, with a double-double performance for A'ja Wilson and that is 11 rebounds and 24 points while Chelsea Gray got 21 points, it was like the Las Vegas Aces is a different team in the finals they are really hungry for it, because last season the Chicago Sky was the champion, so right now the Las Vegas will have their shot,

Well, this is the 1st game so it is not also possible for Connecticut Sun to still tie the game, and Las Vegas Aces surely got the home advantage, but yeah the Seattle Storm surely have fought their all but it was really not their lucky game and Las Vegas Aces are just hungry in winning this season, next game is on September 14, I really hope that on the next game the Connecticut Sun can make a comeback by winning on the Aces Home,

^Yeah, those are key players of the game A'ja and Jonquel. The defense was at a high level and that's why we didn't hit the Over 168.
I guess we should've also considered that. There will definitely be a big change in the spreads in Game 2 because of the Connecticut Sun's performance.
They might not even give them a handicap as far as +6 like in Game 1.
Also expecting a big cut to the total over score, maybe 140-150. I'd be checking that to recover back all the losses today.

In the end, I failed to hit anything on my bets. The final score is 67-64 in favor of the Las Vegas Aces. Chelsea Gray and A'ja Wilson contributed 21 and 24 points respectively to win the first game of the series. The suns had a run in the 3rd quarter leading to as much as 8 points, I think, but the Aces were able to rally and take the lead back. This will be a fun series to watch and the Wilson and Jones match-up is something I am looking forward to in this series.

I was not actually expecting to win on Connecticut Sun 11+ spread but it was a fun bet. Just testing if I can be so lucky as to hit that 10.81 odds.  Unfortunately, I was not that lucky even losing the over.