Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 13. (Read 10550 times)

They are contradicting each other, Harris is actively trying trigger Trump on a few points to emphasize his flaws etc.  I dont feel the debate is going to be the deciding factor in the election judging it mid way, theres some fact checking to cap the Trump effect but its not overly different to other debates.

Trump and the republicans got a nasty blow thanks to Taylor Swift acknowledging her support for Harris and the democrats just like she supported Biden-Harris way back in 2020.

Trump's pathetic fake Swift support using AI blew up in his face. Harris just became a lot more popular thanks to Swift's fans rallying behind her all of a sudden.

How can you be so sure? If it's just an intuition, or a preference, then there's no question. Because based on the current state of affairs, it is impossible to confidently name a winner. Too many multidirectional factors can affect the outcome of an election. I think Kamala will win the election. That doesn't mean I like her. I'm thinking in terms of a winning bet. Of course, not with 100% certainty, but with a probability of ~ 55%.. This is my kind of subjective conclusion, which does not pretend to be true.

Like many of you, I watched the debate tonight. If you haven’t already, now is a great time to do your research on the issues at hand and the stances these candidates take on the topics that matter to you the most. As a voter, I make sure to watch and read everything I can about their proposed policies and plans for this country.

Recently I was made aware that AI of ‘me’ falsely endorsing Donald Trump’s presidential run was posted to his site. It really conjured up my fears around AI, and the dangers of spreading misinformation. It brought me to the conclusion that I need to be very transparent about my actual plans for this election as a voter. The simplest way to combat misinformation is with the truth.

I will be casting my vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 Presidential Election. I’m voting for @kamalaharris because she fights for the rights and causes I believe need a warrior to champion them. I think she is a steady-handed, gifted leader and I believe we can accomplish so much more in this country if we are led by calm and not chaos. I was so heartened and impressed by her selection of running mate @timwalz, who has been standing up for LGBTQ+ rights, IVF, and a woman’s right to her own body for decades.

I’ve done my research, and I’ve made my choice. Your research is all yours to do, and the choice is yours to make. I also want to say, especially to first time voters: Remember that in order to vote, you have to be registered! I also find it’s much easier to vote early. I’ll link where to register and find early voting dates and info in my story.

With love and hope,

Taylor Swift
Childless Cat Lady

This is the first time I am coming to this thread and in the Op I saw Donald Trump and Joe Biden as the forthcoming US election contesters. Though I am not from there but I believed the race now is between Donald Trump and Kalama Harris. So if the latter is the correct data for the candidates then the Op should edit the thread to change the two challenging actos to the current two candidatures of the General Election in US. And as it was said by others, US is different from third world countries so woman is allow to rule the State then Donald Trump should not overlook Kalama Harris because if really the people like her then, he will still lose but because of the use of bitcoin in his campaign manifestos, the election might not favour her.

Calm down. Nobody is accusing you of liking Kamala, we all know that she has close to zero "positive" support (meaning people who would vote for her because they like what she represents). It's all about pro-Trumpers Vs anti-Trumpers, there's no such thing as pro-Kamala.

(...) I think Kamala will win the election. That doesn't mean I like her. I'm thinking in terms of a winning bet. Of course, not with 100% certainty, but with a probability of ~ 55%.. This is my kind of subjective conclusion, which does not pretend to be true.

Amazingly it looks like we're headed straight to yet another Biden vs. Trump race.

How often does vice-presidents become presidents in general ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_presidents_of_the_United_States actually quite often. There is a possibility, that next time Harris would become a president, but this time it is going to be Trump.

Also you have the issue of people not going to vote, but I guess a lot of people will vote in this election.

~snip~
How can you be so sure? If it's just an intuition, or a preference, then there's no question. Because based on the current state of affairs, it is impossible to confidently name a winner. Too many multidirectional factors can affect the outcome of an election. I think Kamala will win the election. That doesn't mean I like her. I'm thinking in terms of a winning bet. Of course, not with 100% certainty, but with a probability of ~ 55%.. This is my kind of subjective conclusion, which does not pretend to be true.

but this time it is going to be Trump.

There hasn't been a woman president in the US, so if Harris wins, it would be historic.

For the same reason I think it's quite difficult that a woman would become president in the US, but also Trump has a lot of people against him.

But also a lot of people support Trump.

It's going to be quite difficult to predict I think.

You couldn't be more wrong. On the contrary, Trump and his camp went haywire when Biden was replaced with Harris since they were not prepared for it thanks to which Harris actually has a decent chance of winning.

Silly reasoning. If Trump's influence was as good as you stated, he would have won the 2nd term instead of losing to Biden. The dude is only back in contention thanks to Biden messing up badly.

It's interesting how much is at stake here for Trump and the republican party if he loses the election.
Much of his property has been devalued, seized or under receivership in indictments or in events relating to his presidency and the aftermath.

Trump is leading against Kamala with only 8% on Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1725946334167

I dont want and like to turn into direct politics discussion, but from the moment it was decided to replace Joe Bined with Kamala Harris, I think it was clear that Trump is going to win this race. You cant just promote Biden all the time, and on the finish line replace him. Not an expert in US history, but I dont remember that a woman was ever a president of the US. Again a signal for Trump. I dont know if it is possible to cheat during election, but it is clear for me that it is going to be Trump. However, I am not going to bet on US or any president election. I dont want to "earn" or peoples future. Who know what Trump second presidentship would be. What if his first decree would be a war against everyone, and I have earned with winning bet selecting him. That is not for me.