Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 15. (Read 2514 times)

The United States electoral system doesn't elect a president on an outright majority vote. As of gambling markets, I'd bet that gambling sites will close the market as soon TV channels and major news outlets call the winner of the election.

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On some other presidential news, the independent presidential candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. says he's considering Aaron Rodgers for his running mate. I'm told those familiar with American football (not me) might find this funny...
https://www.businessinsider.com/robert-kennedy-jr-aaron-rodgers-vice-president-2024-2024-3

Mr. Kennedy is such an interesting candidate and it's uncertain from which major candidate he would draw most voters from. He's had interesting things to say on vaccines and the economy. But also holds quite the divisive stance on Palestine. It's likely that with his "anti-globalist" messaging he draws more right-wing minded voters, or at least some undecided center-left voters. Probably he'd do damage to both Biden and Trump if he was receiving more spotlight though.

I think he's one of the more realistic "third-party" candidates so if I could find a market on which third party candidate would get the most votes my money would certainly be on him.

I'm unsure about this discussion:
Many sites already offer the possibility of betting on a winner, but what is a winner?
Is it the candidate who received the most votes during the elections or is it the one who will actually be sworn in as President of the United States?

Recently, the judges, with a conservative majority, authorized former President Donald Trump to continue running for the Republican Party and will probably also be able to run for president.

If he can actually run for president, I believe he will beat Biden, but I also believe he will be blocked later for the crimes he faces.
In this case, what is the "correct" result of bets made in casinos and gambling sites?

Number one factor will be the economy, check this graph out for jobs creation:

While this might be some positive spin for Biden the reality is not something not always believed by workers on the ground.  I dont doubt the data is there as indicated in that specific layout,  if only because Biden came in after a pandemic and there has been some revival from that backdrop no doubt.   I personally feel many western economies are suffering and the effects are quite unfair because inflation benefits a few who can make debts work in their favor while being able to renew that debt at rates below inflation hence its a subsidy to their business usually.

Workers who are struggling to match bills with pay unevenly matched to inflation may not find this graph accurate to their own personal situation.  If that is true and enough people feel the economy is bad then Biden being upset in his reelection remains quite possible, its probably the most powerful simple factor there is to deciding success or not.

The issue with Kamala Harris is that she got very little spotlight during her vice presidency. I don't know if it's why Democrats chose to do so deliberately or if she was just not interested but the media didn't give her any spotlight. It's been all these years since Obama was president, but his wife is still more popular than the current female vice president, which is crazy.

So I kinda understand the rumors. If democrats lost Biden, then they would have to pick someone widely popular to replace him. The Michelle Obama pick kinda makes sense, although very unrealistic. Sometimes rumors make sense, simply because the alternative would be even more absurd. Can you imagine a world with Kamala Harris as president? Me neither, because it just seems like she was picked as a token black woman vice president and served absolutely no utility through her term.

I think its going to be the opposite. I think both are complete morons, but at least Trump is interesting. I don't think that people realize that no matter who is made president, they do not hold all the power. Their party gains a little more control and some agendas for the party are pushed, but the person themselves are not making all the laws or whatnot.

I think the USA was in better shape with the republicans in control.

I don't know the yardstick for given Donald Trump 1.7 odd and Joe Biden 2.55 odd, considering that the later is the sitting president and with the instrumentality of the states at his disposal in a democratic setting. I don't know the chances of Donald Trump at that election when they will unleash the media and the big techs against him like they did the last time. If Trump could be defeated as a sitting president, I wonder how possible it will be for him to win in the midst of the persecution he is facing. I will rather avoid this bet than take risk that is not too clear to me.

All the attempts to take out Trump from ballots and filing all the law suits but he still remains the strongest candidate to oppose Biden's campaign for another term. He may be guilty to some of the charges but the Americans may just want someone to focus on America first before the wars in Europe and Middle East. Not to mention the continues bickering with China and funding Taiwan.

It must be because the attention Michelle Obama has received in this presidencial campaign compared to the attention Kamala Harris has. If you pay some attention to the media on the United States, it would not take much time for you to realize Kamala Harris is the kind of politician who is easier to ignore than the average person in Washington. The media give even more attention to Nancy Pelosi, and she is not even the speaker of the house of representatives anymore, you know. The right wing media used to attack her, but she has become to irrelevant that, in the event Biden shows himself to be unable to continue with the campaign, the democrat party would never opt to push Harris into the White House, they would lose.
In that context, Michelle Obama is better recalled as the wife of the President Obama, and has showed to have more charisma when facing the general electorate, that is why she is preferred by bettors over Harris. They know the Democrat party are more likely to favor Obama than her, even though Harris is already into politics and being the second on command after the president.

It would be safe to say Harris is sort like the DeSantis of the Democrat party. You know she exists, but nobody pays much attention to her anyways. A very low profile.

Can't remember which documentary I saw it but the administration would rather have someone else in case Biden suddenly just drops dead. This I guess is the reason why even when it gets worse to such an extent that Biden won't be able to speak anymore due to his dementia, Kamala will still not get her seat. I bet they'd quickly vote for a snap election.

What was said in that documentary was that she wasn't of American descent.
Michelle Obama is not to be questioned she is a real deal after all her husband had contributed greatly to the country.


The 2 states are not his fans but now that Trump will be on the ballot, yes.
That laptop I think had made people rethink who they have previously supported.

I honestly do understand Trump and Biden trying to beat each other, but there are places that shows Michelle Obama, who has never shown any interest in politics, never has been a candidate, never been nominated, never even tried to get any nomination for any position ever, to have better odds to win it over Kamala Harris, literally the VP of the nation, and the president if anything happens to Biden. That part has never made sense to me.

I agree that aside from Biden and Trump, there are no candidates anymore, those are the two that will go ahead and win it, and there is really nothing wrong with that, I agree that those two will be fighting it out and one will win, so rest of the candidates makes no sense, but really? Michelle over Kamala? That is silly.

I am not underestimating Joe Biden. But he is on the defensive, with burning issues such as border conundrum and Hunter Biden scandal having an impact on his support levels. In most of the opinion polls, Biden is trailing by somewhere between 3% to 5% as far as popular vote is concerned. And let's not forget the fact that Trump won the 2016 elections despite losing the battle for popular vote. In case he has a 5% advantage here, then we can expect a landslide. Even states such as Colorado and Virginia may swing to GOP this time.

Let us say Liverpool is playing with big club but which it has more chance to win. Liverpool that has the higher chance to win will be given a bigger odd. That is how gambling is and we all know that. If you are saying the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite, that is not right. The higher odd is given because Trump has more chance to win the election in their own opinion but which may not become true. As Trump failed in some areas to some people, also Biden failed in some areas to some people.

Don't worry, it still long time because the election will be held in the next few months and it seems like there will always be changes happening for some time until the time is really close to the election.
Trump has really dominant advantage in this election and of course this advantage is also because Biden performance was not very good during his tenure as president and many US people have bad sentiments towards him.
This is why Trump succeeded in winning the Republican primaries and was able to take advantage of the conditions to take over those people who in the previous election were Biden supporters, we will see Trump become president again and of course this is good opportunity.
I think we will also find that the odd given to Trump also reaches @1.30 but this will be very low odd to bet on, everyone should really start taking risks from now on if they have the courage.

But talking about the lawsuit that was previously received by Trump and which could result in decision to disqualify him as presidential candidate will never happen, just imagine how long ago this issue was sued and in fact until now there has been no such decision.
This will be related to division if it is actually carried out and certain parties will always consider this.

I think you are also underestimating Joe Biden. Donald Trump has a lot of skeletons in his cupboard and he has failed to address them. He promised to free the Capitol attackers if he is reelection which means he is still promoting anarchy. Trump has failed to attract new supporters from some Democratic States which means the election might turn out the way it ended four years ago. For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite. He has had some issues including his health and failure to tackle illegal immigrants but he is still better than emperor Trump. Biden will still get support from the minorities because they are getting better treatment from him than the racist Trump. My bet is wholely on Biden.

Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

The only 2 choices will be Biden and trump I don't know why anyone would drop bets on other people.  Third party has been unsuccessful for centuries lol.  Kind of shocked trump has better odds than Joey B.  Can't bet on this one no clue how the outcome will be and have no vested interest in hoping one way or another on this based on a bet.

A bit surprised that Trump has lowest odds now. IIRC, few months ago Biden was main favorite according to bookmakers as he had lowest odds. For me it's crazy Biden and Trump is best options what US can have for president role. I'm just happy that I'm not US citizen and I don't have to pick between these two.

Yeah, having all these joke candidates looks a bit strange, especially when they don't even participate in elections. At least this year we don't have Kany West there, though, a bit surprised that Taylor Swift isn't listed, considering how much attention she is getting.

100 to 1 is a gift.   I'd want 500 to 1 in some cases but it aint happening so long as someone thinks its a possible outcome why sell it cheaper then need be.  Obama (Ms.) is a gift to the bookies at those odds thats awesome when I've never heard a shred of possible reasons why it should be true as a proposal and never an outcome.  


The reason to contest the mainstream bet of  Trump is he can be disqualified still in some way.  I guess but dont think he could be imprisoned or some other court ruling that would restrict his running.  

On the Biden bet I agree thats the real favorite however both candidates are old and could be forced to withdraw.   I only accept very bad health as preventing a candidate or actual death, the precedent being FDR who despite bad health won then died early in the term so voters will support Biden anyway imo.   People know its not literally one man in a tug of war, he has a team he only has to sit in a chair to do the job at worst case.

So my question is why Kamala Harris  at 23 to 1 if its the 3rd most likely outcome.  Votes for Biden would elect Harris in effect if we go with the bad health scenario.

Wait a minute, the Simpsons cartoon suggested that Trump will be the winner of the 2024 elections and believe me those cartoons those cartoons do not lie and they have a lot of untold true stories which happened in reality in the future. I do not know how they know the future but the mystery of those cartoons is still a myth for me.

Taking this into consideration, i would bet in the favor of Trump as i have evidence in the form of  Simpsons cartoon 

The Simpsons 'Predicted' Donald Trump 2024 Back in 2015

Not sure if it's going to be easy but I kinda understand the odds being better for Trump on bookies.
For one, Biden tried to deliver on so called normalcy but the only ones benefiting from his policies were mega corporations. There's record low unemployment supposedly but at the same time there's also record high poverty, record low purchasing power, sustained high inflation etc. So much for "Bidenomics" while the working man suffers.

Would things have been much different under a Trump presidency? I think probably not, but I also understand that many Americans might be itching to find out.