Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 68. (Read 15349 times)

I tossed a 3 figure bet at Donald Trump being the next US President.  If he wins the election for a third time and is cheated out of becoming President again with middle of the night ballot drops that defy statistics then I wonder if that counts?  LOL.

I just got 2:1 odds on the bet, but I feel like the odds should be longer.  Sure, Donald Trump is the obvious favorite, but I don't think the cheating that liberals are obviously going to attempt should be discounted.  Clearly Joe Biden is a demented old man that couldn't get a job anywhere in the private sector doing anything and no right minded individual would vote for him to lead their country, but the question is how much cheating will take place...

dude's been talking alot of positive things lately about cryptos and while to some extent it might look a bit politically motivated, the good side is that it's a great development to see this kind of statement and positive remarks from him and it will certainly go along way yo getting individuals from this sphare into his support network.

https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1788371259287327136
Lately made a statement to remove the level of hostility that crypto is getting as a results of the regulations imposed om it and seems to be suggesting that his administration will embrace it fully.

Wow!!! This is big actually. There is no doubt that during Trump administration the regime was much more friendly to crypto, compared to what we are having during the last 3-4 years. Anyway, Trump is a businessman and he knows a lot about cryptocurrency. On the other hand Biden is a 81 year old with dementia who has no idea of what crypto is. During Biden's term as the POTUS, it will be people like Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen who design the laws and policies dealing with cryptocurrency.

Just in, Former president Trump openly attacked the Biden Administration's based on the policies it has been following against crypto and called for crypto fans to vote for him:

https://fxtwitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1788373884418294072

This is such an interesting development. I would assume Trump has been following everything happening in crypto and to an extent had also been personally affected given he released NFT projects. I wonder if the Biden campaign will give in to respond given their up to now total disregard of crypto investors.

That may be one of the most insane articles I have seen lately, which is very much to say keeping in mind how Donald Trump has influenced what is considered to be normal and what it is not in modern politics, sadly.
Obviously, this is all article aiming to discredit the physical and mental health of RFK Jr to generate an advantage for both Biden and Trump. It is not a secret both the Republican and Democrat parties view him as a potential spoiler to one of the candidates, so it makes sense he will start to get attacked with more energy as we get closer to November.

Leaving these news aside and disregarding whether they are true or not, I hope they are not and those fears on his health were overestimated. Nobody deserves to have some kind of parasite in their brain, not matter whether one is supportive of their political standings or not.

Depending on those this news get spread in the main stream media of both political extrems, I would expect this to somewhat hurt the opinion about him and his alledged good health. 

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/08/us/rfk-jr-brain-health-memory-loss.html

Wake up babe, new New York Times attack article just dropped 

They're now claiming that RFK Jr. has parasitic worms in his brain based off of a statement he once made. They even defied medical ethics to ask doctors for a diagnosis about someone they haven't examined. It's so funny how the media will play with someone's pain only to make fun of them and attack them in politics. If the Biden campaign keeps being so reactionary I expect more centrists to end up voting Trump because this media strategy is beyond stupid.

The betting market is not always right though, otherwise it would be far more abused by people who seeks to make money out of it. What I am trying to say is that those markets when compared to the common polls are something like "who do think is going to win?" Versus " who do you want to win?", being the betting market the representation of the true expectations people have on those candidates, otherwise they would put no money on the table.
By the way, if you take a look as the macroeconomics of the United States, it seems they are going quite good under the leadership of Biden, having a record low unemployment and inflation going pretty much down, compared to previous years of his presidency. Historically, presidents who manage to keep a good economical climate in the United States tend to be reelected.

Just because one of the candidates never conceded does not mean it was actual foul play during the election.

Yeah. Betting market shows the anticipated winner, votes can be bought or change of mind but in betting people arrive sure an ready to put there money because they know that candidate will win. Just like am anticipating Trump to win, because he only can revive fallen America and bring back it high societal standards. Unless they gonna do Electoral Malpractice or use any flaws against him, if not Trump is surely gonna win.

To me it is quite remarkable how the odds for the Trump candidacy and winning over the presidency have changed in less than a year. There could be people who is already in profit just because of that behavior of the odds, though with this margin of odds it is very unlikely people will cash out before the night of the election comes upon us. We are talking about relatively small differences, after all.
This conversation actually reminds me some video I saw on polling and political predictions some time ago. It seems some people do not realize yet that, when comes to polls it is about who people want to win the presidency, while betting markets show the reality on who people *believe* who is going to win. (Regardless of their political preferences and hopes).

Either which measurement is more of value for us to try to guess on the winner is up to each one of us, I personally think betting markets can be a little more accurate than plain polls.

In the 3rd world country, character assassination is very common and they are not even true but as long as their president is sitting they can publish whatever they want. The media can ignore Kim Kardashian so long as she is on the side of the sitting party. But if the politician is on the other side, it will be a living hell where even a house fly that lands on her face will be magnified just to put it on the local front page news. That is how dirty the politics is.

I don't know why Trump is the only option because there are decent candidates actually. But then this thread is about winning the election bet though. Between Biden and Trump. It's Trump who has the possibility of winning based on odds. 1.70

It's so interesting what the media will do to portray someone as cruel. I agree that Kristi Noem writing about these things in her own book is stupid of her especially if she's a politician with high ambitions but it's funny that every article about her is about her dog now. A dog that according to her there were good reasons to euthanize. Killing a goat for being smelly though? oh wow... I wonder why the media didn't pick up on that one though? perhaps it would have been too hypocritical to bother about a goat when American will perfectly fine eat a goat and the Biden admin hasn't cared to do anything about animal wellbeing in general.

So yeah, such attacks are of course expected in the political arena. But I just wonder who they're expecting to convince in this manner. There's much better arguments to convince people to change their vote. One of them is economics. But with both candidates being bad for the working man they just resort to slurs and attacks.

I'm not really into politics but it when was the last election in the US? If I can remember it wasn't that long right or I'm not just really into it that's why I didn't know when was the last time. The last time I remember was there's a Hillary Clinton, I think that was 2015 or 2016? Anyway it seems the odds are in favor with Trump, do you think he'll win the next election? Why do odds is in favor in him?

Okay, so according to the pic the most likely candidate to win is Trump, followed by Biden, and the others are basically throwing money away. If I had to bet I would bet on Trump, because I understand that Biden is worn out from his presidency and doesn't seem cognitively very stable. Although who knows, as I am more of a supporter of positions that defend the free market so maybe I am a little biased but that the lowest odds are paid if Trump wins I understand that I am pretty well on track.

I feel like it is basically showing the collective situation and not that single situation. I mean Trump has a lot of things that you can hate about him, but you can't just keep talking about the same thing all the time, you can't talk about "I just grab them by..." in 2024, that would be weird, that was then and people talked about it and we do hate him for him, but then this happens and you talk about this for a week or two, and then something else comes up and you hate him for that.

The point is that there is always something disgusting about him and you hate him, and then you move on to the new thing that you hate him for. In some cases (like for you this one) it is not a big deal, you can't have a new disgusting thing per week, so sometimes it is not a big deal to some people.

She didn't only kill her dog named Cricket but she also shot dead an unnamed goat because it had a bad smell and chases her kids around. It is normal for politicians to use their opponent's mistakes or stories to gain some political points by showing their weakness, cruelty, or corrupt nature.

But in the case of Kristi Noem, she is been painted as a cruel woman who lacks sympathy and shouldn't be part of Donald Trump's team. As an animal lover, the excuse she gave for killing the dog, Cricket was okay since it had become violent and dangerous to her and her family. But the reason for killing the goat is just silly because she was aware that uncastrated goats usually have a strong offensive odour. Brutally killing the goat because of its natural smell is inhuman.

These stories portrayed her as a strong-hearted personality because I don't think I will have the guts to shoot and kill my domestic animal. They are part of the family, so I might not have the willpower to kill them. I might decide to donate them to some animal charity or assign someone else to kill them. With Trump having a hardman personality,  Kristi Noem will not be a good running mate because both of them will make policies without considering the people. I won't vote for two candidates that has showed some lack of emotion or empathy, at least one of them should be emotional.


What goes around also comes around. If democrats are misusing the power of incumbency to persecute and harass Donald Trump, they should also not forget that one day the Republicans will take power. The same laws they have been enacted to make their opponents suffer will also be used against them.

The United States is already politized and very divided, and Trump from the beginning did not help to solve it. I agree with you, if he comes again in a position of power like the presidency of the United States, he is very likely to somehow abuse that power to take what he calls "retribution" against his political opponents and anyone he believes has wronged him in the past.
At least, that is what he has said in his rallies during this presidential cycle in the USA.
If we are going to talk about the management of campaigns and the way how candidates manage their speech and resources, then one cannot omit the way Trump continues to alledge a political prosecution against him, it has become an important component of his discourse. While Joe Biden has for now tried to avoid directly mention Trump, unless it is necessary.
My guess if Biden is trying to avoid feeding the theories about him being directly involved with the indictments Trump is facing.

I doubt there is much to happen this summer which could change the odds of either of them in the betting markets.

I am not fond of Republican political positions to be honest but even as an outsider I can see how desperate Democrats and Democrat aligned media have gotten.
Going after Trump because a woman that only could according to rumors become his vice president pick, is said to have euthanized a dog she once had? First of all, who the fuck cares? People go through a lot of grief when having to put down their dog, and now democrat aligned media use her grief in an attempt to portray Trump as cruel? Can't they see that being so desperate will backfire?

Secondly, the whole Trump prosecution thing seems to be backfiring also now that the supreme court seems to be aligning more with the presidential immunity scenario. I mean, if Democrats want actual change in this country they should put down a long term commitment to remove presidential immunity from prosecution. Of course they're not really gonna do that because it existing also serves their interests as a party serving big corporate interests. But they just try to apply the law only where it suits their interests, now even defying the supreme court.

It's quite interesting what this does to American politics, the fact that they want to see Trump in a bad light because these things can give him bad propaganda, but if this doesn't work for the opposing political party, why do they do it? ?because they fall into the same mistakes that politicians always make, a political contender should not fear what the other Candidate does, if he is Very sure of his political campaign he should not spend money, energy and so on, in that case it is what they What they should do is manage their campaigns well, without playing dirty or taking advantage of the fact that they exercise power. If Trump wins later, the first thing he will do is take revenge when he becomes president, then that will be a war between politicians and that is actually the Worst thing that the United States becomes politicized.

Well. Then according to your expectations, Trump is going to inevitably win the presidential election this year. Since, if I recall correctly, the Supreme court of the USA has already ruled Trump cannot be disqualified from running in States which choose to exclude him because of his alledged participation in an insurrection some years ago.
I assume you are pretty much aware how indictments do not seem to affect his popularity among the voting base, so I agree it is likely any of his legal problems will be politically costly in the short term.
Actually, support for him continued to accumulated as he continued to be indicted both federally within state levels.

Also, I believe some candidate like Nikki Haley would still try to address the problem in the southern border of the USA, it is a policy of the Republican party and she is that of that party.
Unless you are a believer if the theory of the Uniparty.

^^^It is quite clear that the only chance to prevent Trump from becoming the next President of the United States is to disqualify him from running for that post. Democrat establishment hopes that they can get someone like Nikki Haley or Lisa Murkowski as the Republican nominee, who will offer an easier competition to Joe Biden. Also, they can also hope that even if the GOP candidate wins the election, he/she will be less hawkish on issues such as immigration and support for Ukraine in Russo-Ukrainian war.