2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 73.

cabron

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Quote from: FanEagle on March 12, 2024, 11:40:43 AM

I honestly do understand Trump and Biden trying to beat each other, but there are places that shows Michelle Obama, who has never shown any interest in politics, never has been a candidate, never been nominated, never even tried to get any nomination for any position ever, to have better odds to win it over Kamala Harris, literally the VP of the nation, and the president if anything happens to Biden. That part has never made sense to me.

I agree that aside from Biden and Trump, there are no candidates anymore, those are the two that will go ahead and win it, and there is really nothing wrong with that, I agree that those two will be fighting it out and one will win, so rest of the candidates makes no sense, but really? Michelle over Kamala? That is silly.

Can't remember which documentary I saw it but the administration would rather have someone else in case Biden suddenly just drops dead. This I guess is the reason why even when it gets worse to such an extent that Biden won't be able to speak anymore due to his dementia, Kamala will still not get her seat. I bet they'd quickly vote for a snap election.

What was said in that documentary was that she wasn't of American descent.
Michelle Obama is not to be questioned she is a real deal after all her husband had contributed greatly to the country.

Quote from: Sithara007 on March 12, 2024, 07:48:07 AM

Quote from: Zlantann on March 12, 2024, 12:14:08 AM

I think you are also underestimating Joe Biden. Donald Trump has a lot of skeletons in his cupboard and he has failed to address them. He promised to free the Capitol attackers if he is reelection which means he is still promoting anarchy. Trump has failed to attract new supporters from some Democratic States which means the election might turn out the way it ended four years ago. For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite. He has had some issues including his health and failure to tackle illegal immigrants but he is still better than emperor Trump. Biden will still get support from the minorities because they are getting better treatment from him than the racist Trump. My bet is wholely on Biden.

I am not underestimating Joe Biden. But he is on the defensive, with burning issues such as border conundrum and Hunter Biden scandal having an impact on his support levels. In most of the opinion polls, Biden is trailing by somewhere between 3% to 5% as far as popular vote is concerned. And let's not forget the fact that Trump won the 2016 elections despite losing the battle for popular vote. In case he has a 5% advantage here, then we can expect a landslide. Even states such as Colorado and Virginia may swing to GOP this time.

The 2 states are not his fans but now that Trump will be on the ballot, yes.
That laptop I think had made people rethink who they have previously supported.

FanEagle

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I honestly do understand Trump and Biden trying to beat each other, but there are places that shows Michelle Obama, who has never shown any interest in politics, never has been a candidate, never been nominated, never even tried to get any nomination for any position ever, to have better odds to win it over Kamala Harris, literally the VP of the nation, and the president if anything happens to Biden. That part has never made sense to me.

I agree that aside from Biden and Trump, there are no candidates anymore, those are the two that will go ahead and win it, and there is really nothing wrong with that, I agree that those two will be fighting it out and one will win, so rest of the candidates makes no sense, but really? Michelle over Kamala? That is silly.

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Quote from: Zlantann on March 12, 2024, 12:14:08 AM

I think you are also underestimating Joe Biden. Donald Trump has a lot of skeletons in his cupboard and he has failed to address them. He promised to free the Capitol attackers if he is reelection which means he is still promoting anarchy. Trump has failed to attract new supporters from some Democratic States which means the election might turn out the way it ended four years ago. For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite. He has had some issues including his health and failure to tackle illegal immigrants but he is still better than emperor Trump. Biden will still get support from the minorities because they are getting better treatment from him than the racist Trump. My bet is wholely on Biden.

I am not underestimating Joe Biden. But he is on the defensive, with burning issues such as border conundrum and Hunter Biden scandal having an impact on his support levels. In most of the opinion polls, Biden is trailing by somewhere between 3% to 5% as far as popular vote is concerned. And let's not forget the fact that Trump won the 2016 elections despite losing the battle for popular vote. In case he has a 5% advantage here, then we can expect a landslide. Even states such as Colorado and Virginia may swing to GOP this time.

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Quote from: Zlantann on March 12, 2024, 12:14:08 AM

For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite.

Let us say Liverpool is playing with big club but which it has more chance to win. Liverpool that has the higher chance to win will be given a bigger odd. That is how gambling is and we all know that. If you are saying the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite, that is not right. The higher odd is given because Trump has more chance to win the election in their own opinion but which may not become true. As Trump failed in some areas to some people, also Biden failed in some areas to some people.

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Quote from: Sithara007 on March 11, 2024, 11:33:47 PM

Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

Don't worry, it still long time because the election will be held in the next few months and it seems like there will always be changes happening for some time until the time is really close to the election.
Trump has really dominant advantage in this election and of course this advantage is also because Biden performance was not very good during his tenure as president and many US people have bad sentiments towards him.
This is why Trump succeeded in winning the Republican primaries and was able to take advantage of the conditions to take over those people who in the previous election were Biden supporters, we will see Trump become president again and of course this is good opportunity.
I think we will also find that the odd given to Trump also reaches @1.30 but this will be very low odd to bet on, everyone should really start taking risks from now on if they have the courage.

But talking about the lawsuit that was previously received by Trump and which could result in decision to disqualify him as presidential candidate will never happen, just imagine how long ago this issue was sued and in fact until now there has been no such decision.
This will be related to division if it is actually carried out and certain parties will always consider this.

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Quote from: Sithara007 on March 11, 2024, 11:33:47 PM

Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

I think you are also underestimating Joe Biden. Donald Trump has a lot of skeletons in his cupboard and he has failed to address them. He promised to free the Capitol attackers if he is reelection which means he is still promoting anarchy. Trump has failed to attract new supporters from some Democratic States which means the election might turn out the way it ended four years ago. For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite. He has had some issues including his health and failure to tackle illegal immigrants but he is still better than emperor Trump. Biden will still get support from the minorities because they are getting better treatment from him than the racist Trump. My bet is wholely on Biden.

Sithara007

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Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

wheelz1200

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The only 2 choices will be Biden and trump I don't know why anyone would drop bets on other people. Third party has been unsuccessful for centuries lol. Kind of shocked trump has better odds than Joey B. Can't bet on this one no clue how the outcome will be and have no vested interest in hoping one way or another on this based on a bet.

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A bit surprised that Trump has lowest odds now. IIRC, few months ago Biden was main favorite according to bookmakers as he had lowest odds. For me it's crazy Biden and Trump is best options what US can have for president role. I'm just happy that I'm not US citizen and I don't have to pick between these two.

Quote from: NotATether on March 11, 2024, 07:33:18 AM

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Yeah, having all these joke candidates looks a bit strange, especially when they don't even participate in elections. At least this year we don't have Kany West there, though, a bit surprised that Taylor Swift isn't listed, considering how much attention she is getting.

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Quote from: NotATether on March 11, 2024, 07:33:18 AM

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

100 to 1 is a gift. I'd want 500 to 1 in some cases but it aint happening so long as someone thinks its a possible outcome why sell it cheaper then need be. Obama (Ms.) is a gift to the bookies at those odds thats awesome when I've never heard a shred of possible reasons why it should be true as a proposal and never an outcome.

The reason to contest the mainstream bet of Trump is he can be disqualified still in some way. I guess but dont think he could be imprisoned or some other court ruling that would restrict his running.

On the Biden bet I agree thats the real favorite however both candidates are old and could be forced to withdraw. I only accept very bad health as preventing a candidate or actual death, the precedent being FDR who despite bad health won then died early in the term so voters will support Biden anyway imo. People know its not literally one man in a tug of war, he has a team he only has to sit in a chair to do the job at worst case.

So my question is why Kamala Harris at 23 to 1 if its the 3rd most likely outcome. Votes for Biden would elect Harris in effect if we go with the bad health scenario.

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Quote from: NotATether on March 11, 2024, 07:33:18 AM

Let me make it simple for you:

Trump loses again, and Biden wins Cheesy

Please, save your wits everyone. Sit back and relax, and nick some easy money off the bookies.

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Wait a minute, the Simpsons cartoon suggested that Trump will be the winner of the 2024 elections and believe me those cartoons those cartoons do not lie and they have a lot of untold true stories which happened in reality in the future. I do not know how they know the future but the mystery of those cartoons is still a myth for me.

Taking this into consideration, i would bet in the favor of Trump as i have evidence in the form of Simpsons cartoon Wink

The Simpsons 'Predicted' Donald Trump 2024 Back in 2015

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Quote from: mindrust on March 11, 2024, 09:41:32 AM

Easy win for Trump.

They had enough of the demented mumbling fool's crap imo. Actually I was pretty surprised when Trump lost the last elections but I blame the mainstream media for that one. I guess they brainwashed the masses. As I see it, nobody watches C-NN (cunt news network) and other mainstream media outlets anymore. When I watch their clips on youtube the comment section is full of people making fun of fake news network.

Not sure if it's going to be easy but I kinda understand the odds being better for Trump on bookies.
For one, Biden tried to deliver on so called normalcy but the only ones benefiting from his policies were mega corporations. There's record low unemployment supposedly but at the same time there's also record high poverty, record low purchasing power, sustained high inflation etc. So much for "Bidenomics" while the working man suffers.

Would things have been much different under a Trump presidency? I think probably not, but I also understand that many Americans might be itching to find out.

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Easy win for Trump.

They had enough of the demented mumbling fool's crap imo. Actually I was pretty surprised when Trump lost the last elections but I blame the mainstream media for that one. I guess they brainwashed the masses. As I see it, nobody watches C-NN (cunt news network) and other mainstream media outlets anymore. When I watch their clips on youtube the comment section is full of people making fun of fake news network.

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So many people still couldn't accept the fact that Trump is winning in most polls. And it's not surprising as people want to be free from Biden's administration. Looking at what Biden has done to the country, the dismay is just not enough to describe how they feel. Seems logical for the people who want to have a better life and if there is no better option, I guess they are going for Trump.

It's not about age anymore. It's about who has better cognition and consciousness.
Trump 1.70 is going to turn 1.25 in the coming months, I think it's best to just cast your bet already before that happens.

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Quote from: Ruttoshi on March 11, 2024, 09:24:09 AM

US election is not like those that happens in Africa that the incumbent president must be the winner of the election. US election is based on voting for the qualified candidate that can do the job best. Biden administration has been supporting wars a lot, which has begin to make his supporters decamping from him, to Trump.

When Biden was not yet a president, what makes him a qualified candidate? Okay let us say he did not do as expected, which means people do not know the qualified candidate but vote for people they prefer. US is just a good country and nothing more than that.

Not that Biden administration as been supporting war but US likes to support war that they know they should support. US supported some wars during Trump's time.

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Quote from: Oshosondy on March 11, 2024, 07:53:17 AM

I am surprised that Donald Trump odd is lower than Joe Biden odd. Joe Biden is the present US president. I am not good in this type of betting and I will not just bet it. If I should take someone to win, Joe Biden. If I should wish someone to win, I will take Donald Trump. But I am not going for anyone than to stick with my football and casino games.

That would probably mean that Trump will win in the election. Last time Trump won was when he was a heavy underdog, no one expected him to win but he won anymore. Loss on his 2nd term, and now trying to go back to presidency.

This was the last election's betting odds, and Biden was heavily favored.

Quote

Currently, Biden is a -180 favorite while Trump is a +160 underdog, with BetOnline reporting that just under 70% of the handle has come in on Trump. While the money is backing a Trump repeat, Biden holds slight edge at 54% of total wagers.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/zackjones/2020/10/31/2020-presidential-election-odds--senate-race-predictions-70-of-money-bet-backs-trump-over-biden/?sh=2fe6010bbd5b

I'm not a fan of these two but based on my analysis, this odds now is favoriing Trump to win, so I might probably bet on him.

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Quote from: Oshosondy on March 11, 2024, 07:53:17 AM

I am surprised that Donald Trump odd is lower than Joe Biden odd. Joe Biden is the present US president. I am not good in this type of betting and I will not just bet it. If I should take someone to win, Joe Biden. If I should wish someone to win, I will take Donald Trump. But I am not going for anyone than to stick with my football and casino games.

US election is not like those that happens in Africa that the incumbent president must be the winner of the election. US election is based on voting for the qualified candidate that can do the job best. Biden administration has been supporting wars a lot, which has begin to make his supporters decamping from him, to Trump.

Trump was the former president but he lost to Boden, and that is why I think that he can come back to the white house again if they comparison between both candidates are done properly based on how they pilot the affairs of the country when they were on seat. I will prefer Trump.

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Quote from: yazher on March 11, 2024, 08:10:41 AM

Quote from: alani123 on March 11, 2024, 07:50:24 AM

Seeing Michelle Obama further up than valid third party candidates that will be on most ballots this year makes me wonder too, who thought of putting these names up there?
Surely the odds are affected by betting amounts also but the name selection is more or less manual and many of these make zero sense.

I'm also in shock when I see some other candidates running for President this year because their numbers are way too much, isn't it obvious that they are just gonna be there to act as pawns to subside the other votes I think most of those candidates will affect the votes of Biden because they used to support him and they are now making their own journey to run for President as well and monopolize their supporters to support them instead of Biden and same for the Trump supporters in the past as well, this might not be an easy win for Biden either. anyway, whoever gonna wins, I hope they stop any war and maybe the world will be at peace again.

Yup it's a very tough choice for many American lefties. Lots of people will be seeking to punish Biden but the other "realistic" choice leaves no space for arguing that they're both bad on the matter of making peace. Trump recently took an extremely hardline stance against Palestine saying he'll support Netanyahu until "total victory". So many people are looking at alternatives like Jill Stein of the Green party or Claudia de la Cruz of the Party for Socialism and Liberation.

Others are looking at independent candidates or opposing Biden through primaries but that probably has even fewer chances for a victory due to even more restricted ballot access for independents. I'm a bit surprised Claudia isn't put there by the bookmakers though. I could think of a bonkers scenario where Biden dies and his replacement is worst to an extent that third parties are starting to be considered viable on the left. Especially considering how close Bernie came to winning the presidential Bid, that's certainly more realistic that a Michelle Obama presidency with her being third on the odds...

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Quote from: AbuBhakar on March 11, 2024, 07:56:13 AM

There’s a lot of issue and some of it is critical during Biden admin. I think they are equal wash up candidate with Trump based on how I see social media post. Trump supporters gain a lot of momentum this election due to this failure of current administration. However I’m not sure how accurate social media post nowadays. Cheesy

Do not believe on social media. I can remember the the last election in my country, the person that people were talking about on the social media did not even became the second but the the third. What I believe in is during voting after seeing some results. I just know that election is going to be very tough and who will be the winner between Trump and Biden is not yet known.

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Quote from: alani123 on March 11, 2024, 07:50:24 AM

Seeing Michelle Obama further up than valid third party candidates that will be on most ballots this year makes me wonder too, who thought of putting these names up there?
Surely the odds are affected by betting amounts also but the name selection is more or less manual and many of these make zero sense.

I'm also in shock when I see some other candidates running for President this year because their numbers are way too much, isn't it obvious that they are just gonna be there to act as pawns to subside the other votes I think most of those candidates will affect the votes of Biden because they used to support him and they are now making their own journey to run for President as well and monopolize their supporters to support them instead of Biden and same for the Trump supporters in the past as well, this might not be an easy win for Biden either. anyway, whoever gonna wins, I hope they stop any war and maybe the world will be at peace again.

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