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Topic: Analysis - page 102. (Read 941579 times)

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
November 06, 2016, 04:06:32 PM
we're going up.

Luc was right about going up *eventually*

but he got the pattern wrong. no giant triangle consolidation this time.

also chessnut seems to agree about the fact we are not going up:

...

This downside move was an impulse and it's broken some important levels. big time sideways should follow, downside risk is higher now



its a temporary move down. Could go as low as $650, but its all the way up after that
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1362
November 06, 2016, 10:38:26 AM
And don't forget, Luc was also bearish in end 2012 at 13$ before the mega bull wave (x20 bubble to 260)

So please stop all this cult. He's been right and wrong too.

However, this is a quality thread that I enjoy to come by.
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
November 06, 2016, 10:17:40 AM
Not really his EW based prediction though right?

to me it looks like EW, but i am no expert on EW. so maybe i am wrong here.

that's his chart. He's trying to forecast price using a mix of EW and quantitative analysis (on historical volatility)

so, like i said, there are two predictions out there. one says big triangle that reaches well into 2017 and one says we start a nice rally from this point.

just trying to clarify what's the consensus.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
November 06, 2016, 09:45:12 AM
@the last few posts...
This is  luc in 2011 https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/pent-29732
This is also him https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/lucif-50218
And him yet again https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/masterluc-144672

Note the first one and compare to the chart posted.
His earlier prediction is that we are in the large wave-3 since Bitcoin's birth... so yes, it's ew
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
November 06, 2016, 05:56:07 AM
Not really his EW based prediction though right?

to me it looks like EW, but i am no expert on EW. so maybe i am wrong here.

that's his chart. He's trying to forecast price using a mix of EW and quantitative analysis (on historical volatility)
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
November 05, 2016, 06:15:27 PM
Not really his EW based prediction though right? 

to me it looks like EW, but i am no expert on EW. so maybe i am wrong here.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
November 05, 2016, 06:09:10 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink

I cant remember seeing the latter one.  Can you post a link please?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.16483148

Thanks.  Not really his EW based prediction though right?  He just posted someones chart.

Im pretty sure that's his chart

The description under the chart does not read like his writing to me.
hero member
Activity: 665
Merit: 500
November 05, 2016, 05:31:27 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink

I cant remember seeing the latter one.  Can you post a link please?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.16483148

Thanks.  Not really his EW based prediction though right?  He just posted someones chart.

Im pretty sure that's his chart
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
November 05, 2016, 03:02:10 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink

I cant remember seeing the latter one.  Can you post a link please?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.16483148

Thanks.  Not really his EW based prediction though right?  He just posted someones chart.
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
November 05, 2016, 01:03:46 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink

I cant remember seeing the latter one.  Can you post a link please?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.16483148
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
November 05, 2016, 12:53:55 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink

I cant remember seeing the latter one.  Can you post a link please?
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
November 05, 2016, 12:47:11 PM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.

you see the funny thing is that there are actually two predictions of Luc out there. One says a giant triangle until next summer and the other says big move started that will bring us beyong ATH. So no matter what, the believers in this thread will hail Luc whatever happens, if we bounce of 750$ and go 500$ he was spot on, if we pass 750$ and go 1000$ he will be seen as spot on too.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1001
Crypto-News.net: News from Crypto World
November 05, 2016, 12:44:19 PM
It looks like we'll be bouncing around this range till the middle of next year.   Angry

nope it doesnt. it looks like we pull right to the ATH until new year.

dunno i dont think we could see this by new year maybe by end of january of next one or in late q1 of 2017
think that this is only preparation for that to happen but dont expect this in this year (lets hope im wrong about this)
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
November 05, 2016, 05:13:06 AM
It looks like we'll be bouncing around this range till the middle of next year.   Angry

nope it doesnt. it looks like we pull right to the ATH until new year.

Maybe, but it's not looking promising right now. IMO the market should test resistance again, and if it breaks, shoot to about 1300$ before correcting.
If it fails to break resistance, then masterluc's scenario becomes favorite. The Chinese FUD or bullish news could make the difference.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
November 05, 2016, 04:38:52 AM
guys let's not reduce the quality of this thread speculating without qualitative/quantitative arguments.
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
November 04, 2016, 10:37:01 PM
It looks like we'll be bouncing around this range till the middle of next year.   Angry

nope it doesnt. it looks like we pull right to the ATH until new year.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
November 04, 2016, 03:10:02 PM
we're going up.

Luc was right about going up *eventually*

but he got the pattern wrong. no giant triangle consolidation this time.

also chessnut seems to agree about the fact we are not going up:

...

This downside move was an impulse and it's broken some important levels. big time sideways should follow, downside risk is higher now


hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
November 03, 2016, 06:44:24 PM
we're going up.

Luc was right about going up *eventually*

but he got the pattern wrong. no giant triangle consolidation this time.

Care to elaborate?
member
Activity: 106
Merit: 10
November 03, 2016, 06:43:43 PM
you guys are both half right...more down briefly, then up up up
hero member
Activity: 723
Merit: 503
November 03, 2016, 05:53:04 PM
we re going down

first rule of the thread : masterluc is always right
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