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Topic: Analysis - page 68. (Read 941567 times)

legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
November 16, 2017, 12:57:21 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.

We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.

It's still very possible to make it above $10k by new year "while" breaking $5k beforehand, don't you think?

My chart says $5k is below the parabolic growth curve at this point. While the price has dipped below that parabola shortly in the past two years I am not sure we will see a correction like that at this point. All other dips have been driven by negative news events or attacks whether it be the first Bitcoin cash attack, the chinese ban or the last BCH attack. So we have to have something else push the price lower.

I almost feel like these events have all been created to shake out people and take their coins as they are forced to buy back later at a higher price. Could we see one more forced shakeout, maybe. What would that shakeout be?  Hasn't all Bitcoin Fudsters blown their load already? I just don't see anything that is an obvious attack vector that hasn't been tried already.

I guess that is the definition of a black swan, but what could a black swan be for the next shakeout?Huh If there is no shakeout event, then no we don't go to $5k, if there is a shakeout event I still think we barely break below $5500 before surging up and away.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Whimsical Pants
November 16, 2017, 12:22:48 AM
The analysis of MasterLuc:






The analysis of other particularly loud threadcrashers:

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 15, 2017, 10:47:00 PM
This 180m TF looks like we've "potentially" exhausted out this upside episode from $5,555.00.  This may be the time down to "approximately" $4,854.86 +/- 2.3%.  Our demand is "cautiously" testing "supply."  The exchanges have to make what they can here on a dip as well; in order to liquidate some margin longs.  Once that liquidation is completed and we take her down once more, we can expect a race to $10k.

hero member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 596
November 14, 2017, 04:25:57 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.

We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.

It's still very possible to make it above $10k by new year "while" breaking $5k beforehand, don't you think?

That's exactly what i'm thinking.

We're more than 50% the way there and even though currently we've experienced a big setback with the rise of BCH and the dramatic panic dump of bitcoin, i really don't see a reason why BTC can't break $10k.

December to January should be the deadline of this happening. Pumps and dumps usually happen with 1-2 month cycles at this point.
sr. member
Activity: 826
Merit: 256
November 14, 2017, 04:04:03 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.

It seems the dust is already settled down,and the bitcoin price is going up again while the forked coin is going down.

We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.

It's still very possible to make it above $10k by new year "while" breaking $5k beforehand, don't you think?
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 251
November 14, 2017, 03:44:32 AM
We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.

It's still very possible to make it above $10k by new year "while" breaking $5k beforehand, don't you think?

It's possible, but I would say that breaking $5000 would add significantly more risk to buying or holding in this situation. That may not have been true a few weeks ago, but due to the parabolic shape, it is. I think everyone trading this must know we are headed for a blow off top.... the question is when?

Here's one chart that shows it well: https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/929847184341712896

We bounced right off that lower log scale boundary. To come back and break below? It would look to me like momentum has been lost and we are in for a longer term correction. And that's certainly possible. I made another post about it here:

It's not over yet, that's for sure Smiley

^^ This is the consensus opinion. I have to admit, my gut reaction is to agree. But I have two thoughts on that:

1) Everyone is seeing the same thing. From the momentum traders to the EW traders, most people see a 3-swing correction coming -- more downside after a bounce. "Everyone" is usually wrong in my experience. That is, if everyone thinks they can buy the dip, there is no dip.

2) The log parabolic structure: The $5400 low was damn near perfectly placed. A bounce and another leg down will start threatening the entire structure, suggesting that the rally is over. At this point, every move up and down should be getting more and more volatile, faster and faster. That's the nature of a parabola. Accordingly, I suspect there won't be another dip before new highs.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 14, 2017, 02:29:28 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.

We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.

It's still very possible to make it above $10k by new year "while" breaking $5k beforehand, don't you think?
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
November 14, 2017, 02:14:22 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.

We are still parabolic, I don't understand the pessimism until we break below $5000. $5500 was a perfect bounce off the parabolic curve. We could still be at $10k by Jan 1 2018. I am not thinking downturn in the market for more than 5-9 days unless we go below $5k, then I am bearish for Bitcoin near term.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 14, 2017, 12:13:57 AM
Update using the 2h (120m) TF - No Indicators except the one laid on top of the candles:

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1016
November 13, 2017, 04:56:28 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

Well if the price moves down, the moving average will still move a bit as it's a lagging indicator.
So price and MA20 in the weekly chart could probably meet around the $4750 - $5000 area.
As the $5000 level should be tested anyway I see this as a good sign to build a good support in that zone.
So imo we could see 2-3 more weeks of downside. If we consolidate then or see a strong bounce like the other 4 times before this year needs to be seen.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
November 13, 2017, 04:41:21 AM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
Weekly MA20 is around 4 500$. So that means he is bearish short term?

It will rise over the next several months.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
November 12, 2017, 11:01:43 PM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
He says that the BCH attack is impressive. But it doesn't change anything, because changing constants is not the solution.

He also says we are going to slowly trend towards weekly ma20.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 12, 2017, 09:46:08 PM
Please go away, retard.
You'll be alright.

Time to respect the forum ... get a clue, you're not special.

So, now we have someone who can see my fascial expressions [whether foe, kind, humble, angry, etc...]; "know" my heart [Seat of the emotions, passions, desires]; "know" my spirit [Seat of the mind, the intellect, thought processes] through a freaking computer screen on a forum?  Geeeeeez

You act as though this is "your" forum; when it's "not" your forum.  It's a forum Luc created.

full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 101
November 12, 2017, 09:34:53 PM
He made a new post that even with google translate I can't understand.
Seems like he is not using very kind words for the BCH guys
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 101
November 12, 2017, 09:21:47 PM
New masterluc update. It is very unclear.

Quote from: Google Translate
Oh, wei! Bitcoin Kaput. Save who can!

Those who do not know that bitcoin in the future have the 2nd level of the financial model OSI and the entire world financial system are screaming, and in BCH in the future there can be only one more fork on the next increase in the block size.

From a technical point of view, opening the schedule of the previous post, we look at the second bottom of the trend line, we see that it is not broken and we go on to sleep.

https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga?w=wall-130254204_3631




OSI layer is the communication theory behind TCP/IP (or internet). I think what he implies that the lightning network will set the base for the next financial system, while BCH can only look forward to the next fork with a bigger block size.
The second sentence is quite clear so... Completely agree!

Thanks for sharing Gab0
full member
Activity: 283
Merit: 127
November 12, 2017, 08:38:58 PM
New masterluc update. It is very unclear.

Quote from: Google Translate
Oh, wei! Bitcoin Kaput. Save who can!

Those who do not know that bitcoin in the future have the 2nd level of the financial model OSI and the entire world financial system are screaming, and in BCH in the future there can be only one more fork on the next increase in the block size.

From a technical point of view, opening the schedule of the previous post, we look at the second bottom of the trend line, we see that it is not broken and we go on to sleep.

https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga?w=wall-130254204_3631


legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
November 12, 2017, 08:20:47 PM
Please go away, retard.
You'll be alright.

Time to respect the forum ... get a clue, you're not special.
Pab
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1012
November 12, 2017, 07:37:14 PM
Please go away, retard.

You'll be alright.

Looks like btc is failing becouse of your analysis
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 12, 2017, 04:53:03 PM
Please go away, retard.

You'll be alright.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
November 12, 2017, 04:46:37 PM
We arent going to start a new thread. Eventually this idiot will get tired of being stupid and the thread will live on.

Ooooooh Great.... Another "Useful Idiot."

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