A list of risks to Darkcoin I came up with back in May:
https://darkcointalk.org/goto/post?id=4815#post-4815A LOT of them ended up coming to fruition (like the exchange risk with MintPal going down). Anyhow I think a lot of them are pertainable to Spreadcoin.
1)Key Man Risk: Something could happen to Mr. Spread, the developer. Imagine if Bitcoin had emerged in this kind of environment where most government(s) now know what a Bitcoin is, and where there is a growing public knowledge of Bitcoin’s huge rise to wealth. It is essentially the Oklahoma land rush or the California gold rush all over again but at lightning speed, complete with an unregulated Wild West-type feel to it . Mr. Spread has successfully remained anonymous but imagine if he'goes public' with his real ID which marks him as a target for anyone (government, organized criminals, large angry Bitcoin/Darkcoin holders, who knows). Additionally, since the coin is tied to Mr. Spread's mind and his personal well-being it is also tied to the well-being of Mr. Spread's support network.
2)Key Man Risk Continued: And somewhat along the same lines, since it is just Mr. Spread something could happen to the network whilst he is unable to attend to a computer. This isn’t a global team of developers who have constant watching vigil over the Spreadcoin network.
3)Security risk: Hackers might (?) be able to compromise the Spreadcoin masternode or mining network (or who knows what else). Since Mr. Spread's no-pool network is such a new and relatively untested concept in the crypto-currency world, and since it is essentially Mr. Spread versus the entire hacking ‘community’ in China, Russia, NSA, etc, there is a chance that those out there could exploit and bring down one of these networks which would also bring down the coin. We have seen cryptocoins get attacked by double-spends, 51% attacks, as well as DDOS attacks galore.
4)Fraud Risk: Spreadcoin’s entire existence could be a huge elaborate scam made up Mr. Spread.
5)Technology Risk: Somehow the system just does not work right. So either the masternodes don’t talk to each other or there are many bugs that pop up that somehow hold back mass adoption by causing worry, or users’ SPR in MN's disappear or some other overall cataclysmic event(s) happens to the Darksend/masternode system.
6)Political Risk: The government might eventually realize that Spreadcoin is Bitcoin, minus the ability to see transaction histories like the Bitcoin blockchain allows, and they focus on potential illegal activities that could develop and they force Mr. Spread to shut down using whatever bogus legal means they can (money laundering laws, terrorist funding, etc).
7)Education/PR Risk: It could take awhile for mass-adoption by the Bitcoin community, who have seen firsthand the largest crypto-currency scams (Mt. Gox) unfold and destroy lives and well-being. And any negative PR caused by hacker attacks or internal bugs or even overall FUD could possibly pause mass-adoption. Furthermore, the general public, who right now have no clue what SpreadCoin is and barely know what a Bitcoin is, could take a longer time to convince if there are any ‘PR nightmares’.
8)Business Risk: A worthy competitor(s) could pop up and contest Spreadcoin’s head-start on no-pool, MN, anonymous transactions using an even better technology or concept or use a team of developers with a better reputation or team of global developers with serious money to back it up.
9)Exchange Rate Risk: Until SPR/USD legit exchanges come to fruition, the vast majority of Spreadcoin’s price discovery happens using Bitcoin conversion. This means that most of the time what happens to the BTC/USD price is happening to SPR/BTC as well, unless a strong negative correlation between SPR/BTC and BTC/USD develops.
10)Exchange Risk: Spreadcoin is tied to the well-being of Bittrex exchanges for now. Any kind of attacks, fraud or bugs on those exchanges that affect Spreadcoin holders will also affect the SPR/BTC price.
11)Expectations Risk: After an overall rally this past month without a working product for the Average Joe to use, nor any masternodes yet, there is definitely a hype factor here that could turn on the coin if the product (dynamic masternodes) or the payments to masternodes don’t meet expectations.
12)Mass-Adoption Risk: Bitcoin is facing an uphill battle in getting retailers/consumers to use Bitcoin. Spreadcoin faces a much steeper climb due to being more unknown.
Overall when I wrote these for Darkcoin, it was suddenly a multimillion dollar coin, however Spreadcoin is not even $200k, so many of these are years and years ahead possibly. And I think Spreadcoin will succeed but with these risk factors in the way I wouldn't go all-in like some.
And NEVER invest funds that you can't afford to completely lose!
Quick about me: I perform due diligence, similar to pointing out these kinds of risks, for a major hedge fund. Spotting excellent risk-rewards is my job.
JL