I'm a math guy, so lets look at some numbers.
At the current difficult and BTC price, a S1 earns $186 dollars per month and uses $35 dollars in electricity at 12 cents per kilowatt hour. Barring a BTC price collapse, which would slow down difficulty growth, your assertion that a S1 will not be profitable in 2 months is absurd. The S1 will be unprofitable towards the end of 2013 (Q4) unless BTC price increases.
You think that an S1 will make $186 for May month?
I bet will not even make $130 for May. Deduct the $35 for electricity.
I am sorry but S1 is dead already.
Holy shit, I better turn off all my S1s because they are only making 4 times the cost of electricity and you also have a crystal ball into future difficulty increases and bitcoin price.
Thanks for the very insightful post.
Also, since difficulty is doubling on average every 6 weeks, those shiny new 1TH miners that use 1W/GH will also be obsolete around 6 weeks after the S1.
You have mentioned the elephant in the room bro.
antminer s-1's can clock to 1.5 watts. hash antminer s-2's can clock to .9 watts a hash and spoondoodles can clock to .7 watts
these power improvements don't come close to keeping up with the current difficulty numbers ..
what is needed is a large fiat btc jump. remember the sept 3 to nov 28 fiat jump about 100 to 1100 usd a coin.
Since the only way the game will continue is a good solid fiat jump. I may as well speculate with s-1s.
remember a cube was 38gh at 400 watts that is more then 10 watts a hash . the s-1 was a 5x improvement in power.
the s-2 the sp10 the dragons etc are at best 2x an underclocked s-1 if that. so none of them will save the day,
but an 11x btc fiat jump to 5000 will wake us all up.
even a 3x jump to 1350 usd makes the game look good again.
with the case being I need a 3x fiat jump to mine I will buy s-1's rather then any expensive gear .
So buy some now I bought them yesterday at .63
Agreed, the economics of mining completely break down in Q3 without a nice BTC price jump. Miners will be in a lot of pain without a $1000+ BTC price in Q3 of this year.
New, more power efficient hardware won't make matters any better without a BTC price jump either because manufacturers will not sell hardware below manufacturing cost, so the economics for mining manufacturers also break down.
Miners will be in pain without a jump in BTC price...no question about that...BUT what about the manufacturers like BitMain etc... They will be BANKRUPT...We will not be buying anymore...but we will survive somehow...