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Topic: Betting experiment with low odds on football main leagues - page 5. (Read 1077 times)

legendary
Activity: 994
Merit: 1267
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
It's bad anyway but we can't give exactly what game gonna play as you know most times it seems so hard to determine the games how it plays or how the results may come out. To me I prefer picking over 0.5 and 1.5 but since op already made it clear he isn't going for goals instead winning then fine.
Over 0.5 is not a good odd. It can be 1.01 to 1.05 odds which is very small. But I guess what you mean is over 0.5 in first half or over 0.5 in second half. Over 0.5 second half has almost the same odd as over 1.5 fulltime, but the odd for over 0.5 first half is slightly higher than both.
hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 653
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
For a multiplier then it's a very hard game to win, but however I wish you good luck. Maybe I might start joining you   Undecided.
I do not think going for 2 or 3 matches as multiplier is bad. I have used it very well and the result is good. But the problem that most people have is that they may not go for the right matches. But going for more than 2 or 3 matches is very risky. I have tried 5 several times before and I lost the bet than going for 2 or 3 matches. I mostly go for just 2 matches. I also noticed that when I bet less often, I win more than when I bet often.
It's bad anyway but we can't give exactly what game gonna play as you know most times it seems so hard to determine the games how it plays or how the results may come out. To me I prefer picking over 0.5 and 1.5 but since op already made it clear he isn't going for goals instead winning then fine.
legendary
Activity: 994
Merit: 1267
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
For a multiplier then it's a very hard game to win, but however I wish you good luck. Maybe I might start joining you   Undecided.
I do not think going for 2 or 3 matches as multiplier is bad. I have used it very well and the result is good. But the problem that most people have is that they may not go for the right matches. But going for more than 2 or 3 matches is very risky. I have tried 5 several times before and I lost the bet than going for 2 or 3 matches. I mostly go for just 2 matches. I also noticed that when I bet less often, I win more than when I bet often.
hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 653
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
To me this could be very hard to secure winning, the above matches you picked play much more of "Over 1.5"

It's under 1.5 odds for the team to win, I'm not going for goals Wink

What a moment are you talking about single matches?
If yes then your choice of selection is good though. For a multiplier then it's a very hard game to win, but however I wish you good luck. Maybe I might start joining you   Undecided.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 260
DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook
To me this could be very hard to secure winning, the above matches you picked play much more of "Over 1.5"

It's under 1.5 odds for the team to win, I'm not going for goals Wink


I get you, going for an under 1.5 win selection is a good idea because, odds can sometimes act as a good example of the win probability if nothing else goes wrong during the game. However  the only problem I have with the strategy is numbers of selected game. In making my 1x2 win selection I prefer  going for just 2 games that would result  to a 2.0 odd or a maximum of 4 game selection. The longer the games the more it becomes difficult to win, but on a general note this strategy would work best especially the selection from different leagues which makes it more fun.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1775
Betting experiment with low odds on football main leagues
@stompix, Good experiment.
I want to also take part in those six games, I like the challenge, I want to see what happens with low odds, Honestly, there are some choices you make that have a good chance, but the game is still a game, on the field will determine everything.



I will post my predictions, shortly after I finish the ritual.

Whether we are of the same mind for this bet or otherwise, give me a few hours.

My bet is for six games.

- Real Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompie= result (draw).
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Valla dollid= result (Barcelona).
- SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913= result (Parma Calcio).
- FC Bayern Munich vs. SC Freiburg = result (Bayern Munich).
- Borussia Dortmund vs. FC Heidenheim= result (Heidenheim).
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC= result (Arsenal).
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 2162
The Alliance Of Bitcointalk Translators - ENG>SPA
Thank you for conducting the experiment and being willing to share the results with us stompix.

Answering to your question (I'm a bit pessimistic when it comes to gambling) I think that it will be "an easy money pit that grows with each week played" as you said. Not flawed to the max to lead you to a -100, but not green either.

I hope I am wrong and you make some profits, but if this will be a long betting experiment, I think that the odds are staked against you.
hero member
Activity: 2954
Merit: 672
Message @Hhampuz if you are looking for a CM!
I have done this kind of experiment in the past and failed. Hopefully, you'll succeed so you can prove that this method works. Now, I'm more interested in betting on high odds, like 2.50 but not over 4.00. I haven't been able to draw a conclusion yet since I haven't consistently used this strategy; it’s just side betting when I feel bored or want some extra action. My main strategy is still focused on odds of at least 2.00, so I’ll aim to take 100% of my winnings.

Following this thread.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 529
casinosblockchain.io
Fast forward, Round 1!


6 matches
Total Stake Est. Payout
6.0            7.98
The number of picks for me is getting too long from when it got beyond three picks making your winning chances slimmer than a three game picks would do. What am saying is that if I were to go by this strategy follow your size of odds I would making sure to settle on not more than three games per bet.

Hence your option of matches as selected in the image appears to be good choice but don't forget that in every weekend one or two of those elite teams does pay the sacrifice of losing to the average team. However, let see how consistent it's goes for you in the future with the strategy
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
As the betting slip is getting long as you accumulate more, the chance to win will be reducing.

The experiment won't run on multipliers, but on individuals I had them selected like that because it was easier to rid.
Each bet will be on an individual game, 6 bets this round with 1 unit on each.

Multiplier at those low odds makes little sense to me honestly, way too risky for way too little.
Lateredit, now that I look again, one match lost even in single and you barely make 0.5, so maybe the multi is not as bad as I thought.

To me this could be very hard to secure winning, the above matches you picked play much more of "Over 1.5"

It's under 1.5 odds for the team to win, I'm not going for goals Wink



hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 653
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

The experiment is pretty simple,
- Each Thursday-Friday I pick all matches from 5 leagues in which a team is under 1.5 to win  (odds from Stake  Wink)
To me this could be very hard to secure winning, the above matches you picked play much more of "Over 1.5" so anything less than that could lead to possible lost. But then I can't be sure because most times these teams are crazy. What i does is that, I often choose teams that score above 'Over 1.5, and 2.5' with this it's very much easier at least picked two to four matches. But still the same if you are pretty much cool with your selection then let's watch how it goes.

Good luck mate, don't forget to update this thread here.
legendary
Activity: 994
Merit: 1267
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
As the betting slip is getting long as you accumulate more, the chance to win will be reducing. It might not be in this bet but other bets. I guess going for 1.5 weekly would be good. You can get that from 2 or 3 matches.

I like the match that you selected this week but I do not think this would be good in long term. I will keep following this thread and see the results.

This is a good thread.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
It all started from this thread  with a gambler considering on betting exactly on 1.50 odds 3 times a week.
I thought this would be an inclusive experiment since it would be about fixed odds and cherry-picked matches, pretty much gambling on what matches to gamble, which leads to a lot of bias in the results, then, how about betting on all football matches from 5 leagues, only on the favorite under 1.5 to win, would those "sure" lol, prove to be easy money or an easy money pit that grows with each week played? My experience with betting on the favorite in horse racing tells me the latter, but who knows?

The experiment is pretty simple,
- Each Thursday-Friday I pick all matches from 5 leagues in which a team is under 1.5 to win  (odds from Stake  Wink)
- A bet is considered at 1 unit, so a loss is -1 , a win at 1.25 is +0.25
- The game will stop at -100, if we reach that point I think it's obvious the strategy is flawed to the max

Fast forward, Round 1!
LE:
Because too many are confused about the screenshot,no, it's not a multiplier, I just added them to save space.
Each bet is on an individual match!



6 matches
Total Stake Est. Payout
6.0            7.98

Update:
Since there is so much talk about multipliers I will track this too, for the 6 games above: Total Odds 5.59.
This will be done independently from the single bets.

Round 1 results
- Individual bets balance +0.27
- Multiplier balance -1
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