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Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN? - page 96. (Read 540250 times)

legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1000
Why the lines are drawn differently than in the last public prediction?

The new one: http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/BTCUSD20110929-dailylog1-bclong-ind.png

The previous one: http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/BTCUSD20110919-dailylog1-bclong-ind1.png (a copy: http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/uploads/8/5/8/7/8587609/6003826.png?552)

The lines there don't start at the same point and the faster growth line was crossing the price chart already at the first chart, in the new one this same line is still below the chart now a week later even though the price is the same.

This is a good point. There are always slight variations on how to draw the lines, but the key point is that however you draw it, there has not been a substantial violation of the major uptrend.

Because if the major trend is broken, you see a rapid, crash-type decline with increasing volume. we clearly have not seen that and this is why the longterm uptrend has held.
full member
Activity: 121
Merit: 100
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
What do "MACD (26,122): -0.753", "EXP(9): -0.851", "Divergence: 0.098", "RSI(14): 34.72" mean?  What is bullish about this divergence measurement?
hero member
Activity: 668
Merit: 501
don't be so harsh Smiley drawing trendlines is an art

or do you complain to your barrista when he hands you his cafe latte with - last week the pattern was different!

zby
legendary
Activity: 1594
Merit: 1001
Why the lines are drawn differently than in the last public prediction?

The new one: http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/BTCUSD20110929-dailylog1-bclong-ind.png

The previous one: http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/BTCUSD20110919-dailylog1-bclong-ind1.png (a copy: http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/uploads/8/5/8/7/8587609/6003826.png?552)

The lines there don't start at the same point and the faster growth line was crossing the price chart already at the first chart, in the new one this same line is still below the chart now a week later even though the price is the same.
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Public Update released: http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
I just found an excellent analogy for the bitcoin price.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_vacuum
It seems to be stable for a while, and then it suddenly does this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_vacuum#Vacuum_metastability_event
Boom, headshot.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
I think it's that the script operations other than those necessary for regular transactions are disabled in the client for security reasons.
Thanks.  This is very exciting.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 252
This is extremely interesting.  What is missing from the bitcoin protocol that prevents implementing it as described?

I think it's that the script operations other than those necessary for regular transactions are disabled in the client for security reasons.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
This is extremely interesting.  What is missing from the bitcoin protocol that prevents implementing it as described?
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1001
So what's it good for/why will demand for BTC increase in the future?

Really? I can send Bitcoin to anyone on the internet, without knowing any personal details about them, and they will receive it in a few seconds. This costs me between 0 and 0.0005 BTC currently. They can be confident that the transaction is irreversible after about an hour.

Sending money 'without knowing any personal details about them' isn't exactly a big plus for me..
*receiving* money without knowing any personal details about them could be handy sometimes though.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 252
Really? I can send Bitcoin to anyone on the internet, without knowing any personal details about them, and they will receive it in a few seconds. This costs me between 0 and 0.0005 BTC currently. They can be confident that the transaction is irreversible after about an hour.
I can do the same with Webmoney or Paxum. And I dont care about 0.8% commission. So what?
If you're not worried about centralized services failing, or central banks inflating away the value of the underlying money, then right now Bitcoin may not have any huge benefits for you. In the future though, additional transaction types could provide interesting use cases.

But this is really off topic...
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
Really? I can send Bitcoin to anyone on the internet, without knowing any personal details about them, and they will receive it in a few seconds. This costs me between 0 and 0.0005 BTC currently. They can be confident that the transaction is irreversible after about an hour.
I can do the same with Webmoney or Paxum. And I dont care about 0.8% commission. So what?
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 252
So what's it good for/why will demand for BTC increase in the future?

Really? I can send Bitcoin to anyone on the internet, without knowing any personal details about them, and they will receive it in a few seconds. This costs me between 0 and 0.0005 BTC currently. They can be confident that the transaction is irreversible after about an hour.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
So what's it good for/why will demand for BTC increase in the future?
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
Ah. I forgot that the purpose of Bitcoin is for its value in dollars to rise in order to make you money.
so what?
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 252
Assertions lacking evidence!

Also, real exchange of Bitcoin IS increasing. See: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_Days_Destroyed
Sorry, have no time for evidence, its my own feeling, as I browse blockexplorer and mtgox every day. July and August were reacher for avg transactions amount per day. Also MtGox trades are also significantly depressed comparing to summer time and going slower and slower.

I think "Trough of Disillusionment" phase of bitcoin HIPE Cycle is not reached yet. I thought it will be in 6-9 area, but now i see the bottom is ahead.

Only my IMHO based on being part of market.

This not makes me happy as i have some investments.

Bitcoin needs some buisnesses, restricted by VISA, to be involved. For example if major gambling network owners decide to attach bitcoin as secondary or tertiary billing option, this will bring turnover to bitcoin market and its rate will significantly increase.

Ah. I forgot that the purpose of Bitcoin is for its value in dollars to rise in order to make you money.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
Assertions lacking evidence!

Also, real exchange of Bitcoin IS increasing. See: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_Days_Destroyed
Sorry, have no time for evidence, its my own feeling, as I browse blockexplorer and mtgox every day. July and August were reacher for avg transactions amount per day. Also MtGox trades are also significantly depressed comparing to summer time and going slower and slower.

I think "Trough of Disillusionment" phase of bitcoin HIPE Cycle is not reached yet. I thought it will be in 6-9 area, but now i see the bottom is ahead.

Only my IMHO based on being part of market.

This not makes me happy as i have some investments.

Bitcoin needs some buisnesses, restricted by VISA, to be involved. For example if major gambling network owners decide to attach bitcoin as secondary or tertiary billing option, this will bring turnover to bitcoin market and its rate will significantly increase.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 502
So... Since you are using the poll results as a contrary indicator, should I vote down if I think the price goes up? But if I think it goes up, it will probably go down so if I vote down it will go down, but then again it should go up.... Huh

I gotta go to sleep.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 251
FirstBits: 168Bc
BiterTea, it happens to be a hypothesis backed by data. Transaction volume is low since June.
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