⚽ BitcoinPRBuzz.com's ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 61.

slaman29

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Quote from: casperBGD on November 03, 2021, 06:35:22 AM

EPL is better this season than previous, and this is probably because I do not try to catch upsets, like last season, and do not play on my teams, and yeah, I do agree that Premier league is least predictable, you can see odds on matches, but La Liga as well has almost in every round four or more matches where each odd is above 2 (home, draw, away)

I look less at the book odds but some stupid analysis sites for predictions and that is not really helpful in the end as some of them are biased like me, but since I know less about this league I thought I should follow some of the experts. Same as in EPL, but the experts there always seem to get it wrong about the favorites anyway

Already put in my picks for the weekly game too, thank you!

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Quote from: LTU_btc on November 02, 2021, 03:39:58 PM

~snip
You're right, when there is less players, it's a bit easier to recover after few bad rounds. But big part of result is luck. I watch very few games of Serie A, compared with La Liga and EPL, but it's only pool where I perform more or less OK this season. And EPL is obviously least predictable tournament, even with good knowledge it's so difficult to perform well there.
And @leea-1334 have good point, it's interesting to check global leaderboard and check how well, or usually bad we perform.

yeah, I check my global position more often, to see am I bad, or the others in the pool are great
and I am usually good in La Liga, and suck in Calcio

EPL is better this season than previous, and this is probably because I do not try to catch upsets, like last season, and do not play on my teams, and yeah, I do agree that Premier league is least predictable, you can see odds on matches, but La Liga as well has almost in every round four or more matches where each odd is above 2 (home, draw, away)

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Quote from: LTU_btc on November 02, 2021, 03:39:58 PM

You're right, when there is less players, it's a bit easier to recover after few bad rounds. But big part of result is luck. I watch very few games of Serie A, compared with La Liga and EPL, but it's only pool where I perform more or less OK this season. And EPL is obviously least predictable tournament, even with good knowledge it's so difficult to perform well there.
And @leea-1334 have good point, it's interesting to check global leaderboard and check how well, or usually bad we perform.

For sure it is a lot of luck, because in 10 rounds, it too early to see who is the real good team in football. Compare season table now and season table at the end of 38 rounds and I am very sure it is not the same teams at the top or even at the bottom,,, 100% the same for us all here.

EPL is the least predictable, except we know City is at the top in the end, right?

Global or bigger pool for sure gives you better estimate of your real performance

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Quote from: Trofo on November 02, 2021, 03:37:09 AM

It has something to do with number of participants as well. It is much tougher to position well in pool with 50 participants than to position well in the pool with 15 participants. Usually in this small pools you are always within the striking distance of paid positions if not the 1st place. In Premier League pool you have 2 bad weeks and you are 30 position from the money and no way you will outperform 30 people.

You're right, when there is less players, it's a bit easier to recover after few bad rounds. But big part of result is luck. I watch very few games of Serie A, compared with La Liga and EPL, but it's only pool where I perform more or less OK this season. And EPL is obviously least predictable tournament, even with good knowledge it's so difficult to perform well there.
And @leea-1334 have good point, it's interesting to check global leaderboard and check how well, or usually bad we perform.

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Quote from: Trofo on November 02, 2021, 03:37:09 AM

Quote from: leea-1334 on November 02, 2021, 03:18:26 AM

Still I think this is interesting that my first Serie A experience is better than my 3rd EPL experience and I watched English football for more than 10 years Roll Eyes

It has something to do with number of participants as well. It is much tougher to position well in pool with 50 participants than to position well in the pool with 15 participants. Usually in this small pools you are always within the striking distance of paid positions if not the 1st place. In Premier League pool you have 2 bad weeks and you are 30 position from the money and no way you will outperform 30 people.

I wish this made me feel better but I also join 2 other pools automatically it seems on Superbru,,, like depending on the club you choose to support, it adds you to a pool with other supporters. I am still doing better in the Serie A pools than in EPL pools

Example my positions
Internazionale Fans> 52/518
But Tottenham Fans> 3003/4145

So I am top 10 in Inter pool and Bottom 30% in Spurs pool totally corresponding to 41/48 in our EPL pool Grin

Normally this is how I judge my performance since it is in same group of people who follow my club also.

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Quote from: leea-1334 on November 02, 2021, 03:18:26 AM

Still I think this is interesting that my first Serie A experience is better than my 3rd EPL experience and I watched English football for more than 10 years Roll Eyes

It has something to do with number of participants as well. It is much tougher to position well in pool with 50 participants than to position well in the pool with 15 participants. Usually in this small pools you are always within the striking distance of paid positions if not the 1st place. In Premier League pool you have 2 bad weeks and you are 30 position from the money and no way you will outperform 30 people.

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Quote from: Trofo on November 01, 2021, 06:18:06 AM

I think you meant that is 7,5 pints after only 10 rounds, there is much more than 10 rounds left to play. Hahay is killing us so far but there is plenty of time to turn it around. Don't look at it like needing to overcome that point difference in one round. It is more than enough to score one point more than him in the next 20 rounds

We still have one more game for tonight, does not look really exciting but it is better than nothing for Monday night and passing time before CL tomorrow.

Oops of course this is what I meant,,, After 10 rounds and not with 10 rounds left. Hahay is doing well everywhere I seem to remember his name a lot but you are 100% correct in the positioning of points.

1 point extra for 20 more rounds, I know I can do it,,, and I know others can do it even better!

Still I think this is interesting that my first Serie A experience is better than my 3rd EPL experience and I watched English football for more than 10 years Roll Eyes

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Quote from: leea-1334 on November 01, 2021, 05:30:06 AM

Wow hahay you are really creating a huge gap in this pool position now.

1st place>131 points
2nd place>123.5 points

That is 7.5 points with only 10 rounds left. Even if I find a way to get 17 points next round,,, I need you to score 0 to overtake. That is a great advantage. However,,, I am happy to climb this week with one final game today. I should feel happy to be of minority to predict Milan win but the scoreline was 2-1 after red card! Poor Mourinho

I think you meant that is 7,5 pints after only 10 rounds, there is much more than 10 rounds left to play. Hahay is killing us so far but there is plenty of time to turn it around. Don't look at it like needing to overcome that point difference in one round. It is more than enough to score one point more than him in the next 20 rounds

We still have one more game for tonight, does not look really exciting but it is better than nothing for Monday night and passing time before CL tomorrow.

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Wow hahay you are really creating a huge gap in this pool position now.

1st place>131 points
2nd place>123.5 points

That is 7.5 points with only 10 rounds left. Even if I find a way to get 17 points next round,,, I need you to score 0 to overtake. That is a great advantage. However,,, I am happy to climb this week with one final game today. I should feel happy to be of minority to predict Milan win but the scoreline was 2-1 after red card! Poor Mourinho

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So. When are we going to finally start predicting Juventus losses by 2-1? They seemed to finish the game very positively according to the match reports but when you give away 2 quick goals against Verona,,, form beats quality in the end at most times right?

Chiellini seems to be in the news a lot too so maybe he is feeling pressure already.

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HT and first game of the day is tied at 1-1 so my prediction is very much alive, just don't think now it's actually going to hit unless the home side get an early goal and then hit again when Lazio are on the counter. How Zapata keeps on the scoresheet I don't know, keep thinking of putting him and a few others in system acca heh.

Happy with the way it was done Trofo and happy with however you decide to go with changes. Tie-breaker perhaps could be something other than minute taken as it seems to give an unfair advantage to those who get their picks in early? Not that it's a huge deal and that is the easiest now!

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New challenge is up go make your predictions guys. Writing it in this thread on purpose to better notify players who are not part of La Liga pool. If you are wondering why Sociedad game, it was request from the other thread and it went nicely with my plans to feature only Sunday games to give you more time. From next week onward I'll change the challenge a bit, probably remove cards and add corners instead. If you have some other ideas let me know.

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Quote from: morvillz7z on October 28, 2021, 03:18:57 PM

~snip

I can't ask for anything more, a 20-point round, a solid acca win, and Juventus crapping their pants. Grin

congrats man
for me, this round was bad as any other, I simply do not like Calcio

it was good to see Krunic back in Milan squad, since he is my sorare player, and can provide some value week-to-week, but other than that I rarely watch Italian clubs, following some stats and that is it
Roma is playing Milan for the weekend, is it time for first lost match for rossoneri?

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Not a terrible round for me, with 4 exact scores (it should have been five if not for the last second Salernitana goal/win), 2 slam points, and a total of 20 points. I've always enjoyed the midweek fixtures because everything is fresh off the previous round and you don't have to overthink things. By the way, we should have those extra fixtures at least a couple more times between December and January.

I'm glad i rolled instead of cashing out my O2.5 Napoli/Bologna, which was the final leg of a 24+ acca i had.

I can't ask for anything more, a 20-point round, a solid acca win, and Juventus crapping their pants. Grin

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Quote from: icopress on October 28, 2021, 09:19:47 AM

I did the same ... by the way, lately I've been experimenting with deferred dates, I combine the multi bet in such a way that the last two matches were with very low odds, so that in case of something the hedge would be profitable. These 5 matches will be held with a difference of one day, and considering that Manchester has not won for a long time, I expect that they may well be rehabilitated this week + a couple of random goals from Arsenal, but then you can do hedging with the possibility of doubling.

I do this quite a bit actually, but usually with a really strong team that's in form, and whom I expect down the line will still show up. Liverpool's next game, for example, has been on my accas since it was first available on books 2/3 weeks ago. Was 1.35 then and much lower now after their Atletico and United wins -- so hedging against them on match day would be higher value.

I'm betting on Atalanta again actually though -- was disappointed last leg but I bet on form and streaks OR against it and I'm counting on United to crash out yet again.

Quote from: Trofo on October 28, 2021, 09:48:25 AM

Don't care who wins as long as they both score Wink

It is even paying @1.95 which sounds like a real value to me. Hopefully the bookies will give something back after the bloodbath yesterday.

Got my HT win hedge, but disappointed elsewhere, 3 goals without much other action from Bologna, complete one-way traffic...

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Quote from: buwaytress on October 28, 2021, 09:03:57 AM

I'm afraid I already have Napoli on a martingale to lose, so heh, tonight I have to bet against them. Good thing the odds are actually pretty decent so I don't actually have to double down (martingale to ensure I win my stake and increasing profit is all). 11/1 feels like a bit of a disservice to Bologna with exactly 3 wins/draws/losses each.

I'll hedge with a HT Napoli win. If they win again, they'll do it early.

Don't care who wins as long as they both score Wink

It is even paying @1.95 which sounds like a real value to me. Hopefully the bookies will give something back after the bloodbath yesterday.

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Quote from: buwaytress on October 28, 2021, 09:03:57 AM

I'll hedge with a HT Napoli win. If they win again, they'll do it early.

I did the same ... by the way, lately I've been experimenting with deferred dates, I combine the multi bet in such a way that the last two matches were with very low odds, so that in case of something the hedge would be profitable. These 5 matches will be held with a difference of one day, and considering that Manchester has not won for a long time, I expect that they may well be rehabilitated this week + a couple of random goals from Arsenal, but then you can do hedging with the possibility of doubling.

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I'm afraid I already have Napoli on a martingale to lose, so heh, tonight I have to bet against them. Good thing the odds are actually pretty decent so I don't actually have to double down (martingale to ensure I win my stake and increasing profit is all). 11/1 feels like a bit of a disservice to Bologna with exactly 3 wins/draws/losses each.

I'll hedge with a HT Napoli win. If they win again, they'll do it early.

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Quote from: Harkorede on October 27, 2021, 03:43:52 PM

~snip

Lazio, Inter and Roma all won their respective games, as expected, although one would have expected more goals than all these 3 fixtures provided.

all expected results, but low on goals, especially Inter, that use to conceive at least one goal when playing away, while Roma is usually winning without conceiving goals, nevertheless, only one both-to-score, since Cagliari scored
first three matches were all both-to-score, and Juve is an upset (maybe not that major, Juventus is a big name, but this is not their season, obviously), and Atalanta is back on winning track

Napoli is playing Bologna tonight, it should come as home win, but odds are to small to risk it

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Quote from: casperBGD on October 27, 2021, 12:10:39 PM

Juventus is back, 1:1, and it is not the end, so they still have some time to turnover the score completely

Atalanta is a bugger for me this season, did not expect from them to win in Genoa, and they are in the lead, skipping them on betting, but almost certainly missing them in the pool

Udinese is up against Verona at the moment, fairly expected

Juventus lost the game, at the very last minute of the game, The win was a worthy one for Sassuolo, they played better even though the game was even in general terms, Juventus seemed like the better team after the break and when eventually they equalized the game they're trying to go all out for 3 points, only to to be caught completely off-guard but the last gasp attack from Sassuolo.

That seem like the only major upset from Serie A today. Lazio, Inter and Roma all won their respective games, as expected, although one would have expected more goals than all these 3 fixtures provided.

Topic: ⚽ BitcoinPRBuzz.com's ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 61. (Read 20008 times)