Just to be totally clear, you are saying that, at this point in time, there are no machines anywhere hashing with your new chip?
I can't help noticing that your share of total hash power increased sharply recently too.
That is correct. We have just a handful of chips right now and all are used for R&D and profiling including occasional rapid unscheduled disassembly as we look for the limits of the chip . We are expecting the engineering lots in a few weeks time. Luckily our schedule was not affected by the recent Taiwan earthquake.
Our total hash power has increased due to our Gldani immersion cooling datacenter getting to full capacity.
So my information was correct 6 pages ago that you do not have a reference board built yet.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.13810862
I would think not having the engineering samples "for a few weeks" that an end of March product release for home miners is an aggressive (and likely impossible) task. Having said that, I think if you haven't ran a full batch of chips then you are expecting everything to go without a hitch with Batch 1 chips. I think that is also a very ambitious expectation for a new 16nm chip.
I am going to go out on a limb and say end of April or beginning of May is a better bet.
Will you take 1 BTC bet?
Not sure what we are betting on but I will definitely take the bet-
So I will order 50Th-100Th the first day the miners are announced, if they arrive to me before April 1 I will pay you 1 BTC but if they do not then you send me 1 BTC.
How does that sound?
I would also make this bet. Either way I win.