Diff thread Nov 11 to Nov 24 Set up stage-picks are now closed! - page 2.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: VirosaGITS on November 23, 2015, 07:48:31 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on November 23, 2015, 07:26:08 PM

13 blocks (~2 hours) to go and we're down slightly.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,730,764,036 (+10.45%)
Adjust time:   After 13 Blocks, About 2.0 hours

Edit: to put this into perspective - the last 10+ change was November 5, 2014...

Well, November is when the winter cold come, so i'm hoping we can chalk this up as the annual Diff raise that come with the cold coming and many switching to smart ASIC heating for the winter.

Considering the BTC raise we got and that seem to be holding, its not surprising the difficulty went up in the first place. Hopefully it settles... now.

It's going to hurt on this difficulty. I did not think I would see a over 10 difficulty again.... just so much hash out there. But it looks like its going to be over 10.

Wow is all I can say. And hope next week is less... i like 5 or under.

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Quote from: suchmoon on November 23, 2015, 07:26:08 PM

13 blocks (~2 hours) to go and we're down slightly.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,730,764,036 (+10.45%)
Adjust time:   After 13 Blocks, About 2.0 hours

Edit: to put this into perspective - the last 10+ change was November 5, 2014...

Well, November is when the winter cold come, so i'm hoping we can chalk this up as the annual Diff raise that come with the cold coming and many switching to smart ASIC heating for the winter.

Considering the BTC raise we got and that seem to be holding, its not surprising the difficulty went up in the first place. Hopefully it settles... now.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

13 blocks (~2 hours) to go and we're down slightly.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,730,764,036 (+10.45%)
Adjust time:   After 13 Blocks, About 2.0 hours

Edit: to put this into perspective - the last 10+ change was November 5, 2014...

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Of course

We have 7:3 bets on the difficulty adjustment being 10% or more. We'll see how it turns out in about 4 hours from now.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: suchmoon on November 23, 2015, 05:00:21 PM

Six "Yes" votes
Three "No" votes
One vote reserved for Phil

The quiz is closed now. Phil please post your opinion by block 2006. You have an unfair advantage obviously

Thank you all for participating. I'm hoping for a much closer contest than it currently looks like - edging towards 11% again.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,869,681,621 (+10.66%)
Adjust time:   After 29 Blocks, About 4.4 hours

yes I am picking 11.11

got busy with the 2 avalon 6s

well seeing I can run 2 s-7's and avalon 6s I see a big one right after this one at least a 6+ my thinking is anyone in a cold spot is buying the gear that they are selling. and both companies are selling like mad. so this 72 bill will soon be 80 bill

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Six "Yes" votes
Three "No" votes
One vote reserved for Phil

The quiz is closed now. Phil please post your opinion by block 2006. You have an unfair advantage obviously

Thank you all for participating. I'm hoping for a much closer contest than it currently looks like - edging towards 11% again.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,869,681,621 (+10.66%)
Adjust time:   After 29 Blocks, About 4.4 hours

Quickseller

copper member

Activity: 2996

Merit: 2374

I vote yes.

Edit: with 31 blocks to go bitcoinwisdom is estimating a 10.68% increase in difficulty however the last 500 and 1,000 blocks have been found at a more quick pace verses the preceding blocks which implies that additional mining capacity has been added to the network since the start of the difficulty period (ignoring luck) which means that blocks should be found at a more quick pace now then they were at the beginning of the difficulty period.

If I had to guess I would say the difficulty will increase somewhere in the 10.65 to 11% range and if I had to guess a specific value then I would say 10.7%. With so few blocks to go, there is very little in either direction that the difficulty can go barring a highly unlikely event.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Five "Yes" votes
Three "No" votes
One vote reserved for Phil

1 last spot remaining.

Is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Post Yes or No below.

Feel free to post the actual percentage you're guessing too and/or any reasoning why you think that way.

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Dont want to edit my previous post because it would make it invalid but we are currently at +12% for the day so since it was around +20% or so for the previous few days, it will most likely stay at +12% or higher for the next few hours until the adjustment so its definately going to be over +10.

FREE MONEY!

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Yes it will be.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Lower, just under 9.95%, because my first thought was higher and I am always wrong.....

Rich

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Four "Yes" votes
Two "No" votes
One vote reserved for Phil

3 spots left.

Is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Post Yes or No below.

Feel free to post the actual percentage you're guessing too and/or any reasoning why you think that way.

alh

legendary

Activity: 1846

Merit: 1052

YES, but just barely.

Way higher than I was willing to think back when I put in my guess......

Tmdz

hero member

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1000

No

Going for the underdog and hopefully a dip before the adjustment.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Three "Yes" votes
One "No" vote
I'm reserving one spot for Phil, 'cause otherwise he's not gonna win anything for a long time stuck down there in the negatives Grin

5 spots left.

Is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Post Yes or No below.

Feel free to post the actual percentage you're guessing too and/or any reasoning why you think that way.

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

Quote from: suchmoon on November 23, 2015, 03:27:26 PM

To spice it up a bit I'm offering a quick Yes/No quiz for the first 10 posters who respond in this thread - read below.

Yes.

I think we're heading for close to +12% this time. Have you all seen that HaoBTC is opening a second mining facility? They plan to be 20PH by next year.

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

NO!
bloody hell nooooo! Cheesy

hopefully

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Two "Yes" votes so far... 8 spots left.

Is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Post Yes or No below.

Feel free to post the actual percentage you're guessing too and/or any reasoning why you think that way.

Bitcoinless

newbie

Activity: 30

Merit: 0

Quote from: suchmoon on November 23, 2015, 03:27:26 PM

Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,673,017,777 (+10.36%)
Adjust time:   After 47 Blocks, About 7.3 hours
Hashrate(?):   550,789,307 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.5 minutes

Ok this is getting exciting.

To spice it up a bit I'm offering a quick Yes/No quiz for the first 10 posters who respond in this thread - read below.

0.05 BTC total prize.

The question you need to answer: is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Only the first 10 posts after this one will count. For example if 4 posters answer Yes, 6 posters answer No, and diff goes up by 10.41% then the 0.05 BTC prize will be divided among the 4 posters who answered Yes, i.e. 0.0125 BTC each.

Entries won't be accepted after less than 10 blocks remain (if we don't fill the 10 spots by then).

This is NOT related to the main contest, which is likely to end in a rollover.

This quick quiz is guaranteed to pay out no matter what the result of the diff change is going to be.

Again, the question is:

Is the upcoming difficulty adjustment going to be in double digits? (i.e. +10.00% or more)

Post Yes or No below.

Edit: feel free to post the actual percentage you're guessing too and/or any reasoning why you think that way.

Yes it'll be higher than 10%

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: Jamphone on November 23, 2015, 03:29:56 PM

+7.8 = Jamphone
or
+7.6 = Jamphone

In case 7.8 is taken already

Sorry, the main contest is closed... your "Yes" for the extra quiz has been counted, thank you!

Topic: Diff thread Nov 11 to Nov 24 Set up stage-picks are now closed! - page 2. (Read 8626 times)