Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 44. (Read 12690 times)

The public is betting the over while the NBA is trending to the under in the Bubble. So the bookies are afraid to post totals too low. That is why we are still seeing value in the under here after Games 1 and 2 went under by about 30 points combined. And they oddsmakers just made a minimal adjustment to this line. Seven of eight games from Boston have gone under the posted total and four of five for Toronto. Game 3 is crucial here for both teams. The Raptors are toast if they lose this one. And Boston wants to finish this series quick, especially with the Bucks facing some real trouble in their series against Miami. We think both defenses, two of the best in the NBA that are playing in top form now, will rise to the occasion once again.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Tonight at Banc of California Stadium the LAFC team will be playing in desperate mode as they have dropped back-to-back games and being outscored 5-1. Look for LAFC to control ball possession and I know they are missing two key games but tonight next man up will be big and I see San Jose dropping back-to-back games by LA teams.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Nobody in baseball left the trade deadline with as much momentum as the Padres. They scarcely needed it; they are 11-3 in their last 14 games. They have had a day to gather themselves and now they get to take their cuts against Julio Teheran, who is completely beat as an MLB starter. Teheran has a 9.17 ERA and just 11 strikeouts in 18 innings. I think he's going to get chewed up and spit out. Dinelson Lamet has been pitching above his head. But the Angels have scored just two runs in their last two games and they have score more than four runs just twice in their last 10. I think that they are due for a little bit of a breakout and should be able to scratch out three runs off Lamet. But they won't be able to keep up with the 5-6 I expect the Padres to tag Teheran for. Throw in the Angels weak bullpen and some late rns and I have this one around 7-4 for the Padres and for the total to go OVER.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The last two games have been defensive battles, and we see the same here tonight. There is really no precedent for play in the Bubble, but we saw last night for Utah/Denver Game 7 how things could go in a Game 7. These teams are tired. The Bubble is taking its toll with the protests and the games every other day. That game last night didn't even crack 160. We don't see this one being that low scoring, but we do think the defenses will lock down in this crucial game and that the offenses might be lagging as they haven't been great lately and there's a good chance they could take another step back tonight. The Thunder will have to rely on their defense to stay in the game, and we expect a close, low-scoring game in this one tonight.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The Twins beat up the SK Wyverns pitching staff Tuesday morning 13-5 and I'm shocked that we are only laying -110 Wednesday morning. The Twins have won 6 out 9 games and if Twins starter Sung Jae-heon can keep the ball down I see another Twins victory. SK Wyverns come into this game dropping 7 out 10 and with them getting hit hard 24 hours ago I see a repeat and again a big Twins 'W'.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

John Millman is a feisty Australian and he is one of our favorite players to back in general. He has had success in the US Open in the past and given that he is from Australian, he loves playing on the hardwood. Millman, lost to Nikolas in a match where he retired 4-6 in the first set the last time they played, but note, he is a player who has beaten Nikolas in straight sets in the past and I think he will remember that loss he took when he took a retired result and I think he will come out blazing here when it counts in a Major. Millman took Federer to a 5 set thriller not too long ago, Nikolas is a very good player but recently lost to Felix Auger 4-6, 1-6. Look for Millman to simply outclass him here as he is far too experienced in majors against Nikolas and likely gets it done.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Let's keep rolling with the 'over' in this series. The last three games have gone 'under' and five of the six games in this series have gone 'over'. They also played once before the playoffs and that game went 'over' as well. And the one game that stayed 'under' only did so by six points. So why fight it. These two teams have topped 220 points in three straight and I think they will again. It's pretty clear that neither team has anyone that can guard Donovan Mitchell or Jamal Murray. And Denver has figured some things out on offense, hitting at least 50 percent of their shots over the last three games. Denver has gone 'over' in 13 of 14 games since the restart. Utah has gone 'over' in 10 of 12 games. So let's go to the well until the well is dry. The Nuggets have never come back from down 3-1 in a series and this is their seventh chance so look for a heroic effort from the Nugs tonight. Denver has the momentum so take them to go on to face the Clippers.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

As per this selection on the Islanders, no sense writing up a million words when the series was over after the last game. The Islanders are the better team and Philly just looks disinterested and like they'd rather be anywhere else. The Islanders will win this game and advance to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Bradley Klahn beat Marcos Giron who is a top 100 player and don't get me wrong, we like Sumit as a person quite a bit and he took a set against Federer in the US Open not too long ago before Federer carved him up and won the remaining sets. But, per this match, Klahn is a 30 year old veteran from California and has won some big matches and Sumit when he faces top ranked players has a way of falling well short and it is not to say that Klahn is a high ranked player but he does have some big wins and has some great experience. In the end, we we can see a situation here where Klahn likely wins 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 in that format which will allow for a relatively easy cover here and consequently we look for him to likely get it done her today as he is very consistent on his groundstrokes and that likely makes the difference here. Look for Klahn to break a couple of times here and likely will be just too tough for Sumit.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

This is a complete pitching mismatch and thus we will lay the high number even on the run line. Raul Alcantara is 10-2 on the season and 1-0 against Hanwha with a 1.29 E.R.A. His opponent is Jang Shi-hwan, who is 3-9 on the year and lost three straight decisions in this last three starts.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Every game in this series has gone Over the posted total and we understand that but I think this game changes here. At some point a game has to go Under and why not this game with Coloardo having their backs to the wall. Remember, Dallas had scored the fewest goals out of any of the teams to make the Weestern Conference Playoffs so the fact that they have come this far is quite amazing. We do expect Dallas here to likely slow down a bit on offense as they got up 3-0 on Coloardo early and I susepct that Coloardo will not look forward to letting them up to fast as they made a fantastic comeback and to make it 2-3 but getting down 0-3 was what was difficult and what made it tough on this team. Dallas has been sharp all playoffs and they have even noted that getting that 4th win if you will is the hardest and I suspect their defense will be sharp similar to the last game and look for this game to likely go under the posted total.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Sunday All-Sports Bonanza 
*The leans below will not count to my stats here in this thread. Follow or fade, it's up to you!

GOLF - BMW CHAMPIONSHIP - 4TH ROUND ONLY
LOST - Take MACKENZIE HUGHES over Joaquin Niemann (4th Round only) (02:40p.m., Sunday, August 30th)

As per our selection on Hughes to get the better of Niemann, the Canadian Hughes has been hanging around the top of the leaderboard the entire tournament and he's been playing some great golf and hitting some timely shots. His numbers rate out better than Niemann's and we believe we are getting a hell of a value play on Hughes at the +100 number. Let's cash this ticket!

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FRANCE - LIGUE 1
WIN - Take MARSEILLE ML over Brest (03:00p.m., Sunday, August 30th)

As per our selection on Marseille to get the win and collect three points, they are far and away the better team in this matchup and we expect Marseille to fight to the end for the title against PSG. Marseille performed well in their friendly in the build-up to this matchup pushing Bayern Munich for a full 90 minutes and only losing 1-0. They are rested and healthy for this matchup and their quality should be too much for Brest to overcome. Brest already has one league game under their belt and that was a 4-0 thumping courtesy of Nimes. We see Marseille finding the net early and often in this one and winning this with ease.

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NBA
LOST - Take DALLAS MAVERICKS +10.5 POINTS over LA Clippers (03:30p.m., Sunday, August 30th)

We were on the Rockets yesterday because we thought they benefited more from the boycott than did the Thunder. We think the same way about the Mavs today. The Clippers were at the center of a lot of the activity during the boycott. Coach Doc Rivers was center stage, and the Clippers reportedly were one of the teams, along with the Lakers, that wanted to end the season. They had the Mavs on the ropes after their big 40+-point win, and they looked primed to end this series. But now Dallas had a chance to reset. Luka Doncic had extra time to rest his ankle. Dallas will be without Porzingis likely for the rest of this series. But they have become used to playing without him, and Doncic is the type of player, like Curry for Golden State, who elevates the play of the guys around him. We think this game will be similar to the Lakers game last night where a Damian Lillard-less Portland stayed within 10 and covered the number. The Lakers were the other team that reportedly wanted to end the season, and its stars were front and center during the boycott. But in this Clippers game we have the biggest spread of the series, and we think it's an overreaction to that Game 5 result.

Yes, no Damian and I am aware of that and in fact, I actually think the Blazers might cover this game because there is no Dame - but I will go with the Over as we suspect with no driving presence in this team, it is going to be a lot of outside shots and we do suspect that McCollum and Melo will likely have a big game here. We suspect that there will be a lot fight and energy in this team to avoid getting blown out like the last game when Dame left and combine that with the Lakers bench coming in late to score their fair share of buckets, look for this game to be surprisingly high scoring here even without Dame. Look for a very fast paced game as the Blazers will run, run, run and this game likely goes over the posted total today as the Blazers for them to pick up offense here, they have to run and take the first open good shot they can find frankly. Game likely goes over.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Rakic 
*The leans below will not count to my stats here in this thread. Follow or fade, it's up to you!

LOW ODDS BET - VERY RISKY!
LOST - Take JI YEON KIM over Alexa Grasso (10:00p.m., Saturday, August 29th)

In the women's flyweight division we have a matchup between Ji Yeon Kim (9-2) and Alexa Grasso (11-3). Alexa Grasso came into the UFC as an undefeated fighter with high expectations but has now lost 3 of her last 6 and been unable to put together any kind of winning streak. It is worth mentioning that Grasso is showing clear signs of improvement with each fight, and while her record is not anything to be too impressed by, her high volume, smooth striking and cardio is looking more and more impressive. The clear issue with Grasso is her grappling, and she will be taking on Ji Yeon Kim who is a 3rd degree black belt in Hapkido, which utilizes unique grappling techniques, and a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. There is no doubt she will have issues keeping up with the striking and speed advantages that Grasso will bring, but we do think this one will end up in the clinch and on the mat multiple times, at which point Kim should be able to get Grasso in all kinds of trouble. We should also mention that Grasso is moving up in weight and it is yet to be seen how this works for her. We anticipate she will be at a strength disadvantage and could find herself in a world of hurt sooner or later. In all honesty, we could argue Kim should be the favorite here from what we have seen and +250 is far too wide on a woman who has clear paths to victory. The market is pricing these based on popularity as much as skillset, and long-term subscribers will know this is where we like to make our profits. There's a ton of value on the dog here!

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LOST - Take ROBBIE LAWLER over over Neil Magny (10:25p.m., Saturday, August 29th,)

In the co-main event of the evening, we have a matchup between Robbie Lawler (28-14) and Neil Magny (23-7). Let us start by addressing the legend that is Robbie Lawler. The guy has been absolute non-stop entertainment. He has lived up to his 'Ruthless' nickname and has won 20 fights by knockout. Robbie has not been one to care much for the judge's opinion. However, we also need to address the elephant in the room which die hard MMA fans will not want to hear. Lawler is on a decline, and a pretty steep one at that. He is on a 3-fight losing streak and has started to take a more reserved, measured approach which is not what made him successful. Neil Magny on the other hand has been an inconsistent performer, but you always know what you are getting in terms of approach. He is a very high-volume point fighter, with insanely good cardio and he knows how to win minutes. In his 14 decisions, he has only lost once. He likes to fight long and uses his jab to keep his opponents at bay. The problem for Magny is that his punches do not pack much sting. That is a necessity when fighting an opponent like Robbie Lawler. Unless he has something to be concerned about, he will headhunt and look to land a fight ending bomb. Magny has also shown signs of a questionable chin. The important thing here is how Robbie decides to approach this one. It is somewhat a must win for his career if he wants to continue getting booked for fights, and after 3 straight losses we are hoping he brings the 'ruthless' style back. If he can do that, and drag Magny into a war, then the current offering of +210 is grossly mispriced. We will speculate to accumulate in this scenario and take the value on the dog.

The extra days off for the boycott really helped the Rockets. OKC had them on the ropes with two straight wins, but the time off gave Houston a chance to reset and stifled the momentum for the Thunder. And now the Rockets get Russell Westbrook back for this Saturday game and they have the best chance to take control of this series. Westbrook has been lighting it up in practice and he should be a game changer for the rest of this series. OKC has been a nice story this year and they have come together to have a very nice season above expectations. But the Rockets are the much better team and we expect them to play a well-rounded game tonight in what should be a comfortable win.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I know this one seems a little random. I don't think Orlando has a chance to win this game and it will likely be another blowout. Games 2-4 got pretty ugly and the Bucks covered the spread in all of them. But as bad as it got the Magic still ended up hanging around the number, losing by 15, 14 and 16. And they didn't cover any of those mainly just due to some garbage time follies in the last 60 seconds of those three games. I think that it will break Orlando's way here. I think they are going to put up a fight with their season on the line. And even if the Bucks get up big they are going to rest their best players in the last few minutes of any blowout and that should let the Magic sneak inside this number.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

As per our selection on Rory McIlroy to get the better of Patrick Cantlay, McIlroy is by far the horse for course in this tournament as his long accurate drives can minimize the length of this course and if he can get his irons dialed in a little better he should be able to distance himself from the pack with a stellar Saturday. Cantlay had a good round himself on Friday, but with the pressure of the final group on Saturday looming, we see Rory stepping up to the occasion and beating Cantlay on Saturday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Hey there. Thanks for dropping by on my thread. You can watch baseball on the link below. That website also provides different streams ranging from NBA to College Football/Basketball. It's a free one. Enjoy. 

helloo, where can we watch/stream baseball matches for free? The good one

The Dinos have been in freefall lately but playing the Wyverns should get them back on track. They have won 7 of the 9 meetings and have a major edge in pitching tonight with Drew Rucinski on the mound. He is pitching on short rest (normal rest in the United States) but that is a good thing since he was pounded in his last start. But  he is 2-0 with a 1.50 E.R.A. against SK this season. Expecting him to bounce back in a big way tonight.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter