Maybe a formula that I would use to determine if you have enough bitcoin would be to consider what is your annual expenses in the standard of living that you would like to enjoy and multiply that by 25, and if your BTC stash (as measured by the 200-WMA) is within 75% of that amount, then you likely are at the entrance level of having enough which means that you are likely ready to start to employ some kind system in which you are drawing upon your bitcoin stash, whether merely on price rises or maybe you want to just start to withdraw regularly on a monthly basis.. or some other period that is comfortable for you.
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A simple guideline that's modifiable to meet the requirements of each individual.
Maybe if anyone likes the above formula, then i could give a specific example to attempt to flesh it out. Let's say that a person has been investing into bitcoin for several years, so he has already built a BTC stash, and he would like to get to passive income of $3,000 per month, and so that would mean that the ONLY thing that he has to do for the income is just to keep track of the accounting. No more need to do any work for that money, so any extra work would be optional because he has considered $3k per month to be enough.
That is $36k per year (12 x $3k) and if we multiply by 25 that would be $900k, and if we multiply that by 75% that would be $675k. If we look at the 200-WMA right now, then coincidentally 21k BTC would meet those requirements. You can see that
here. Depending on the BTC price, you could choose to just start to withdraw $5k worth of BTC per month, and the amount of BTC would vary between 4% currently and maybe even 10%, and I personally consider those numbers to be sustainable as long as we would be using the 200-WMA as our way of valuating our BTC, and if our withdrawal rates are low, the dollar value of our holdings (in terms of the 200WMA) will continue to go up, even though the amount of BTC would continue to go down from continuing to draw upon it.
Now the other thing is that if you do not currently have 21 BTC and you consider that you might never be able to get to 21 BTC, then you would merely have to project out into the future (and you can use
my entry-level fuck you status chart for that - to see how the 200-WMA/Bottom is projected to move up), and so in one or two years, you would likely ONLY need around 10 BTC to achieve the same results.. and so far in bitcoin the amount of BTC that you need has continued to go down, so it is merely a matter of figuring out your target amount and your target timeline, to keep building towards being able to potentially get to a point where the paths of both quantity and time cross over.
There are no guarantees, but continuing to work in a certain direction allows for the possibilities of increasing your chances in which your timeline and your quantity of BTC will cross over to a high enough amount for your personal situation.
I advocate that holding bitcoin is the safest way to invest, but I am not saying that it is the way to make the best profits. Just because you like safety with moderate profits doesn't mean everyone likes safety and peace as much as you do. Each person has different investment preferences, strengths and skills. I have been making profits from trading and using those profits to reinvest in many different projects. So why should I stop trading just because you and some other people are not making profits from trading? DO NOT imitate others but also do not impose your thoughts on others.
Why do people who cannot make money from trading start thinking that it is not a good investment method? Just like altcoins, many investors are profiting from altcoins, memes... while bitcoin maximalists go around saying bad things about others. Would doing so help us deliver better returns than those investing in altcoins?
Investing and trading are not even close to being equal, and so trading and getting involved in shitcoins deserves to be bashed, especially since an overwhelming number of normies are going to be way the fuck better off to not get involved in trading, but focusing on building their BTC stash through various forms of buying, whether DCA, lump sum and/or buying on dips.
Anyone who wants to figure out some formulas to trade BTC and/or get involved in trading shitcoins, is going to need to spend a lot of time and potentially money in terms of diluting their ability to invest into bitcoin if they are trying to make money by buying and selling whether it is bitcoin or some shitcoins.
Another problem with trading bitcoin is that historically it has trended up, so there is already a formula in place in which you advantage by merely buying it, so why screw up a good thing by wanting more when there is already a good formula that already exists? Most likely an overwhelming majority of folks are not going to be able to trade more profitably than just buying and holding bitcoin. and sure there could be some exceptions and people can do whatever they like - especially if they might have some special skills that most people do not have.
Look at your own situation @Iranus. Have you been able to beat a fairly strict DCA strategy? You have been involved in this forum since the beginning of 2016, and so if you had invested $100 per week into bitcoin since the beginning of 2016, you would have had invested nearly $42k, and you would have $15.1106 BTC (currently valued at nearly $1.1 million - which would be right around 26x profits). Are you doing better than that? And even if you are? Why do you need to do better than that?
Historically many normal and not sophisticated people could have been just doing their normal job and/or or life activities and invest into bitcoin on a regular basis and gotten a 26x return over the past 8 years.... why fuck around with trading and more likely having worse results. Go on @Iranus tell us if you have beaten those results with your own supposed equally good approach to bitcoin and/or shitcoins.
For sure, past results do not guarantee future results, yet bitcoin remains with a very strong investment thesis, and likely even a stronger investment thesis now versus what it was in 2016... so I see almost no reason or justification for an overwhelming majority of normal people to even come close to getting tempted by the lures of trading and/or getting involved in pump and dump bullshit that is also known as shitcoins.
Diversify and trade, but never underestimate Bitcoin's power. Safety is important, but so is wisdom and long-term vision.
There is no need to diversify and trade.. especially for new investors. It can take a long time to build up an investment portfolio, so there is no need to complicate matters with distractions and dilution of value in terms of believing that there are any needs to diversify.
In bitcoin, you can start out by only balancing out your cash levels and your BTC, and then maybe once your BTC and/or cash levels build to a certain large size of one or more years of your income, then at that point there may be some need to consider whether and the extent to diversify into things like equities, properties, commodities, bonds and/or cash equivalents (surely not referring to getting involved in shitcoins as a means to diversify).
People will reach a threshold in which it makes sense to diversify at differing points of their own balancing if they might have too much value that they are holding in only BTC and cash and it might start to make sense to diversify, but we still need to be careful to not overly dilute our bitcoin investment, and for example someone might consider that they are going to take out some of their BTC investment in order to buy property (which is likely an inferior investment for a lot of reasons), and so sometimes it might not be worth it to diversify in certain assets if it is going to overly take too much capital away from such a great investment like bitcoin, yet people will sometimes get excited and/or mixed up in terms of what is an investment versus something that might be ONLY partially an investment but with a lot of other baggage such as depreciation, expenses and some burdens of the physicality that need to be balanced into the considerations.