Though, home-crowd may affect Ioka's performance and he can be more aggressive, which Nietes needs to anticipate and follow in the
right strategy to counter Ioka's attempts.
After some thought especially the place of the event, why am I thinking that Nietes is more likely to lose if ever the fight goes to score card? I don't know but I have a biased feeling that Japanese judges would declare their boxer winner regardless of the ring performance. So I think for Nietes to get the title, he needs to floor the champion or else there is a huge possibility that Nietes will lose the fight.
Depends on situation because if we see Nietes knock off his opponent well maybe the judges will struggle to find some loophole to make their favored fighter to win so Nietes need to score more solid punches or much better score a good K.O to seal this fight. But I'm confident that Nietes will get this match because seeing how good and still his in good shape we can say that he's still have advantage to take the win on their match up.