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Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. (Read 1743 times)

hero member
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
~snip~

I don't quite agree with your statement. Most likely, your experts did not take into account that if a gambler has a lot of summary time for analytics or is completely immersed in sports betting (a professional bettor), then the number of his bets, on the contrary, can positively affect the number of winnings. This can be compared to an investment. For example, you can invest money in only one asset, or you can invest in 5. With the right approach, investing in 5 assets can yield a more significant profit. The same thing happens in betting - one winning bet can cover the losses from two lost ones.

There's no problem if you think that way. However, there are gamblers that just love to make a lot of bets which they can't even study the bets they are making, the increase of bets is just due to excitement they'll like to achieve, but in reality, the chances of wining is just neglected.

You have more bets to make, you also have more time to spend, it should go together, otherwise, it will not work.
In reality, it must be admitted that there are still many gamblers who place random bets in large amounts just to satisfy their desire to have fun, whether they win or lose, they don't really optimize their overall opportunities.
If situation like this is carried out by small gamblers or with limited capital, they will only experience losses and lose all their money more quickly, sometimes small gamblers will be much more careful with their money.
Because they have limited money, they do various things to increase their chances of winning and minimize the risk of losing the money they bet, this is good attitude and should be done by all gamblers.
Sometimes those who have lot of money and can make money easily at work or in business don't really care and just do whatever makes them feel happy.

What is clear is that analyzing and doing some research on what is being bet on is very important and of course this can take quite long time if it is bet with larger amount.
There must be proper time management so that everything can be completed perfectly.
sr. member
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It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.

I have a genuine question:

The more games you pick, like you said, the more chances of winning. But every time you pick a game, don't you also stake/wage money in the process? If that were the case, won't that be more expensive on your end; and that it would cost you more or even offset your winnings in the process?

I have no experience in picking multiple games at once because I usually stick to the games that I played frequently. Not to mention, the more games that I play on one (1) type, the more experience that I gain. Thus, this would amount to more chances of me winning since I accumulate experience at the end.

I would liken this kind of choice of playing multiple games vs one game, to a quote that Bruce Lee said:

Quote
I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.

I think you got my response wrong. What I said is that you’ll have more probabilities to deal with when you pick more games. Because instead of worrying about what the outcome of 2 games would be, you’d worry for 10 games or as much as you picked. And that is even more risky because the chances of winning are reduced and averagely the result ends in a loss.
hero member
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~snip~

I don't quite agree with your statement. Most likely, your experts did not take into account that if a gambler has a lot of summary time for analytics or is completely immersed in sports betting (a professional bettor), then the number of his bets, on the contrary, can positively affect the number of winnings. This can be compared to an investment. For example, you can invest money in only one asset, or you can invest in 5. With the right approach, investing in 5 assets can yield a more significant profit. The same thing happens in betting - one winning bet can cover the losses from two lost ones.

There's no problem if you think that way. However, there are gamblers that just love to make a lot of bets which they can't even study the bets they are making, the increase of bets is just due to excitement they'll like to achieve, but in reality, the chances of wining is just neglected.

You have more bets to make, you also have more time to spend, it should go together, otherwise, it will not work.
The actions of each gambler will make the decision to take on so many bets a mistake or the right decision, profitable gamblers can definitely take on more bets because they know a particular sport like the back of their hand and they can analyze a match many times faster than most gamblers, however if a regular gambler were to do the same, this will be a mistake, since there is no way they can imitate the knowledge and the performance of a profitable gambler and they will just lose their money even faster than usual if they tried to do this.
Making too many picks doesnt mean that you would really be having that reduce number chances of winning because those picks could really be also a good shot or analysis that you could really be having on which
it would really be that depending into the bankroll that you could really be having. You cant really be that making yourself that having an assurance of having a good winning rate even if we do say that you are already that
having lesser amount of bets but it cant assure you out that you would really be a good winning rate with it. It will really be always be depending on how well you do find yourself that putting up some analysis into your bets on which it is really just that right that you will really be that trying out to have those kind of considerations before you do take up some bets. The winning chance will really be something that depends on
how good you are on putting up the bets. Its not an assured thing but at least the odds on having a profitable bet will really be that always depending also with other factors. There are really just those
gamblers who are really that trying to have many bets in one go because they've been thinking that they could be able to have that bigger chance on winning.
hero member
Activity: 2884
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I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
~snip~

I don't quite agree with your statement. Most likely, your experts did not take into account that if a gambler has a lot of summary time for analytics or is completely immersed in sports betting (a professional bettor), then the number of his bets, on the contrary, can positively affect the number of winnings. This can be compared to an investment. For example, you can invest money in only one asset, or you can invest in 5. With the right approach, investing in 5 assets can yield a more significant profit. The same thing happens in betting - one winning bet can cover the losses from two lost ones.

There's no problem if you think that way. However, there are gamblers that just love to make a lot of bets which they can't even study the bets they are making, the increase of bets is just due to excitement they'll like to achieve, but in reality, the chances of wining is just neglected.

You have more bets to make, you also have more time to spend, it should go together, otherwise, it will not work.
The actions of each gambler will make the decision to take on so many bets a mistake or the right decision, profitable gamblers can definitely take on more bets because they know a particular sport like the back of their hand and they can analyze a match many times faster than most gamblers, however if a regular gambler were to do the same, this will be a mistake, since there is no way they can imitate the knowledge and the performance of a profitable gambler and they will just lose their money even faster than usual if they tried to do this.
legendary
Activity: 3080
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~snip~

I don't quite agree with your statement. Most likely, your experts did not take into account that if a gambler has a lot of summary time for analytics or is completely immersed in sports betting (a professional bettor), then the number of his bets, on the contrary, can positively affect the number of winnings. This can be compared to an investment. For example, you can invest money in only one asset, or you can invest in 5. With the right approach, investing in 5 assets can yield a more significant profit. The same thing happens in betting - one winning bet can cover the losses from two lost ones.

There's no problem if you think that way. However, there are gamblers that just love to make a lot of bets which they can't even study the bets they are making, the increase of bets is just due to excitement they'll like to achieve, but in reality, the chances of wining is just neglected.

You have more bets to make, you also have more time to spend, it should go together, otherwise, it will not work.
hero member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 789
It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.

I have a genuine question:

The more games you pick, like you said, the more chances of winning. But every time you pick a game, don't you also stake/wage money in the process? If that were the case, won't that be more expensive on your end; and that it would cost you more or even offset your winnings in the process?

I have no experience in picking multiple games at once because I usually stick to the games that I played frequently. Not to mention, the more games that I play on one (1) type, the more experience that I gain. Thus, this would amount to more chances of me winning since I accumulate experience at the end.

I would liken this kind of choice of playing multiple games vs one game, to a quote that Bruce Lee said:

Quote
I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 2073
~snip~

I don't quite agree with your statement. Most likely, your experts did not take into account that if a gambler has a lot of summary time for analytics or is completely immersed in sports betting (a professional bettor), then the number of his bets, on the contrary, can positively affect the number of winnings. This can be compared to an investment. For example, you can invest money in only one asset, or you can invest in 5. With the right approach, investing in 5 assets can yield a more significant profit. The same thing happens in betting - one winning bet can cover the losses from two lost ones.
sr. member
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

Once you have a lot of games on your ticket, it's difficult to give each one the attention it needs. That is why it's my opinion that quality over quantity is the ideal approach, but you need also evaluate how much time and energy you are ready to devote in sports betting. If you can only devote a few hours per week to it, it may be preferable to focus on a few high-quality bets rather than a large number of low-quality bets; however, if you are willing to put in the time and effort to conduct extensive research, you will be able to place more bets while maintaining a high level of quality.
hero member
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~
The thing is, most people believe there are people who are so good in terms of prediction, and just because those set of people have been able to make some good and perfect predictions about some certain games and the games play as they predicted, people now worship their predicted games and will be willing to do anything just to have that game played.
 
So these people set up some prediction group where you need to pay to join the premium group and enjoy their games, but gambling is always gambling; their predictions won't always come out right all the time; sometimes they play, sometimes some of the games lose, so those who pay to get such games are doing that at their own risk.
That is a common phenomenon in the world of sports betting and prediction groups. There may be people who have a track record of successful predictions, but still gambling inherently involves risk, regardless of the source of predictions. People are often drawn to these prediction groups because of the allure of easy winnings and the perception that certain people possess special insight or skills. However, even the most successful predictors will have their off days, and not every prediction will be accurate.

Joining premium prediction groups can indeed be enticing, but gamblers need to be realistic in understanding of the risks involved. Paying for access to such groups doesn't guarantee success, and members should be prepared to accept losses as part of the gambling experience. Responsible gambling involves making informed decisions, setting limits, and understanding that there are no guarantees of success, regardless of the source of predictions. People should just gamble within their means and view it as entertainment rather than a guaranteed source of income.
hero member
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I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
I have seen most people who pay money for the bet just because someone informed them about the game, I will be like... Wow, why will you bet on a game you have no knowledge about and funny enough they will end up not winning the game. People intend to stake more games and analysising multiple games at the same time is stressful so you might not have an assurance about the game also. Even with the idea gambling is said to be a lucky game so staking multiple games can still give you more chance of winning under probability, I just focus on the money spent and I make sure I will not gamble and forget my limit
The thing is, most people believe there are people who are so good in terms of prediction, and just because those set of people have been able to make some good and perfect predictions about some certain games and the games play as they predicted, people now worship their predicted games and will be willing to do anything just to have that game played.
 
So these people set up some prediction group where you need to pay to join the premium group and enjoy their games, but gambling is always gambling; their predictions won't always come out right all the time; sometimes they play, sometimes some of the games lose, so those who pay to get such games are doing that at their own risk.

Besides who knows if they are actually good at predicting the outcomes of games, unlike other casino games in which casinos can ban you, even if this were to happen to a sport bettor as they are too good, they could always use sport betting exchange websites and keep betting this way, with the difference that instead of beating the casino they will beat other gamblers, so a good sport bettor has no need to publicize themselves this way, as they will always have a way to generate income through their skill.
hero member
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~

Well, gambling can never become boring for someone who is already psychologically attached to it, indicating that the person is already addicted to the behavioral addiction of gambling.

That's why it's often advised for people to avoid becoming addicted to it as much as possible. In my opinion, the best approach to gambling, which I'll continue to advocate for unless my opinion changes, is moderation. This helps prevent individuals from falling into the trap of using gambling to harm themselves and their financial well-being.

It's important to prioritize health, financial stability, and living within one's means. That's why it's crucial for people who are financially vulnerable to avoid gambling altogether.
Gambling can become a source of excitement and stimulation for those who are psychologically attached to it, but this doesn't necessarily indicate addiction from the outset. Many individuals engage in gambling activities without developing problematic behaviors. But gambling can indeed lead to addiction, which is characterized by a compulsive need to gamble despite negative consequences.

The reason that gambling can never become boring, for someone already attached to it, is that they are is seeking a specific kind of thrill or escape, rather than simply engaging in leisurely entertainment. This attachment can be a red flag for potential addiction, but it doesn't mean that everyone who enjoys gambling is addicted. Moderation is indeed a sensible approach to gambling, because it encourages responsible behavior and helps individuals maintain control over their actions. People need to avoid painting everyone who enjoys gambling with the same brush.
legendary
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I have been making multibet bets and I must say that it is necessary for the person to place the games that they know have a greater chance of success and most of the time it is difficult for the person to be able to determine before analyzing the games the number of teams that they will place in the multibet bet. , for example, a person may say that they will make a multibet bet with 30 teams to obtain odds of 200x, but when that person starts analyzing the games they realize that the games with the best chances of winning are no more than 5 games and with odds of 4x, so At that moment, that person will place these 5 teams in that bet. Now there are people who don't analyze the games, they just place 10, 30, 40 games in a multibet bet to try their luck. In my opinion doing this is absurd, although I recognize that like gambling the principle is that it is something that involves luck

for people to win, in the case of sports betting, which are analyzable games, which are games in which a person who has good knowledge can get it right most of the time, selecting many games without making an impartial analysis, without putting feelings into the games and then make a multibet bet to count on luck, I think it's completely absurd, this person will lose most of the time, of course one day this person will be able to get that multibet bet right and count on luck, but my question will be how long it will take for this person to get their multibet bet right. A whole year could go by without her getting it right, and it would make no sense to keep doing that. That's why I think it's better that in a multibet bet there are few games, this increases the chances of success and the person can make a profit that way
hero member
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It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.
The more games you pick, the greater the chances of things not going your way, it is a very simple concept and yet one that many gamblers do not get, the few successful sport bettors out there, are not only experts on a particular sport, many times they are experts on a single league and sometimes even on a single bet, so the sport bettor that dives into different sports and different kind of bets is only asking for trouble, as it is almost impossible that a person can beat the casinos by betting that way.

Gamblers actually understand this, but the casino gives enticing offer as you add more games to your ticket. The multiplier keeps increasing and people try their luck to make a lot of money by staking very little. It works for some people but majority end up with a broken ticket. Gamblers who don’t like to keep all their eggs in one basket tend to split their selections in different tickets. Everyone does have their strategies.
And thats how gambling should really be something that you could really enjoy with on which you would really be having those strategies on the time that you do make out some bets.
Its true that there are really gamblers who dont really like on putting their eggs in one basket. Its not bad to have multiple bets as long with those each bets have accompanied analysis into it.
Unless if you are dealing with casino games on which we know that this is something that cant be applied with some analysis. It would be best that you should really be playing
up for fun and not for the sake of making it as an income stream.
sr. member
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When a person makes a lot of single bets, the winnings are usually small, and those winnings are actually eaten up by the losses. Yes, one day you may get lucky and the winnings will cover the losses, but in the long run you will probably lose all your money (a little, but all). And sometimes you may not have enough patience and still feel the urge to put it all on the line.
I always have this mentality that playing gambling for a long time and eventually turn out to be very boring and when you are bored you can start making crazy selections just to be done with it so I always believe that if you are to win, you will win so just take that leap of faith and gambling what you want instead of wasting your time and playing different selection till you get frustrated and confused.

Well, gambling can never become boring for someone who is already psychologically attached to it, indicating that the person is already addicted to the behavioral addiction of gambling.

That's why it's often advised for people to avoid becoming addicted to it as much as possible. In my opinion, the best approach to gambling, which I'll continue to advocate for unless my opinion changes, is moderation. This helps prevent individuals from falling into the trap of using gambling to harm themselves and their financial well-being.

It's important to prioritize health, financial stability, and living within one's means. That's why it's crucial for people who are financially vulnerable to avoid gambling altogether.
sr. member
Activity: 686
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I have seen most people who pay money for the bet just because someone informed them about the game, I will be like... Wow, why will you bet on a game you have no knowledge about and funny enough they will end up not winning the game. People intend to stake more games and analysising multiple games at the same time is stressful so you might not have an assurance about the game also. Even with the idea gambling is said to be a lucky game so staking multiple games can still give you more chance of winning under probability, I just focus on the money spent and I make sure I will not gamble and forget my limit
The thing is, most people believe there are people who are so good in terms of prediction, and just because those set of people have been able to make some good and perfect predictions about some certain games and the games play as they predicted, people now worship their predicted games and will be willing to do anything just to have that game played.
 
So these people set up some prediction group where you need to pay to join the premium group and enjoy their games, but gambling is always gambling; their predictions won't always come out right all the time; sometimes they play, sometimes some of the games lose, so those who pay to get such games are doing that at their own risk.
sr. member
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It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.
The more games you pick, the greater the chances of things not going your way, it is a very simple concept and yet one that many gamblers do not get, the few successful sport bettors out there, are not only experts on a particular sport, many times they are experts on a single league and sometimes even on a single bet, so the sport bettor that dives into different sports and different kind of bets is only asking for trouble, as it is almost impossible that a person can beat the casinos by betting that way.

Gamblers actually understand this, but the casino gives enticing offer as you add more games to your ticket. The multiplier keeps increasing and people try their luck to make a lot of money by staking very little. It works for some people but majority end up with a broken ticket. Gamblers who don’t like to keep all their eggs in one basket tend to split their selections in different tickets. Everyone does have their strategies.
sr. member
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It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.

The more games you pick, the greater the chances of things not going your way, it is a very simple concept and yet one that many gamblers do not get, the few successful sport bettors out there, are not only experts on a particular sport, many times they are experts on a single league and sometimes even on a single bet, so the sport bettor that dives into different sports and different kind of bets is only asking for trouble, as it is almost impossible that a person can beat the casinos by betting that way.

Because others think, especially those who expect a big return from gambling, that once they spread their bet among different picks, the chance is higher that they won't lose anything, but if we analyze it carefully, no matter which angle you look at it, you still have a loss, especially if the amount of your bet is bigger compared to your win. So it's better to only make at least 1-2 picks and stick to your choices because if you change your decision before choosing a bet, you might end up with a lot of regrets later.
sr. member
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The more games you pick, the greater the chances of things not going your way, it is a very simple concept and yet one that many gamblers do not get, the few successful sport bettors out there, are not only experts on a particular sport, many times they are experts on a single league and sometimes even on a single bet, so the sport bettor that dives into different sports and different kind of bets is only asking for trouble, as it is almost impossible that a person can beat the casinos by betting that way.

I have comes across people whom have picked several games and still break it up without them losing any I think it's very hard to find this kind of game or maybe it doesn't come that regularly as we think.
I have tried several bets picking many games but yet I understand that that is not the secret to constantly win a game so as a gambler it's better to always stick to single bets or also learn more games other than sport betting to secure your lost even though people are saying that learning new games is like creating additional port for one to constantly lose money since he would be channeling his efforts on both game he might stand the chance to lose about 30% more from it original amount use for gambling.
hero member
Activity: 2884
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I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
It shouldn’t be surprising because the more games you pick, the more you have bigger probability to deal with. Even if you are an experience gambler who has studied the game, you can’t always be right about your picks so if you pick 10 games, there’s a higher chance that one of their outcome will be wrong and I think this is why gambling platforms offers bonuses to people when they pick more games because they know that the more games people add to a particular ticket, the more chance they (the platform) will make money.
The more games you pick, the greater the chances of things not going your way, it is a very simple concept and yet one that many gamblers do not get, the few successful sport bettors out there, are not only experts on a particular sport, many times they are experts on a single league and sometimes even on a single bet, so the sport bettor that dives into different sports and different kind of bets is only asking for trouble, as it is almost impossible that a person can beat the casinos by betting that way.
hero member
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You're absolutely correct,in my own  opinion I think making too many picks reduce chance of winning, reason is because probably if you are making selection from any of this prediction sites there are  alot of games that has  been listed in  the platform.in this case you will be confuse on the ones you're going to pick either,some person can even decide to play as many that has been listed in the site without knowing that most of the tips are not correct.but most people pick like two to three games from the tips with this two to three games, I'm very sure that they can get like 2 to 3odds from this three games then they will use like 10k to boost the odd some person also do rollover with 2odds,the reason why some people always lose in gamble is because of higher aim.they can decide to make like 30 selections so they can  get like 10 to 20million in return, and you know too well that this 30 selections cannot play serial.
It's easy to become overwhelmed by too many choices when confronted with a too many potential picks. This can lead to decision fatigue and result in hasty. There may be numerous picks available on prediction sites, but not all of them are equally reliable. In the rush to make multiple selections, it's possible to overlook careful analysis and end up choosing options based on incomplete or inaccurate information. Spreading the bets across a multitude of picks can make the focus beeing divided. This can result in a lack of thorough research and increases the likelihood of making suboptimal choices.

Making numerous picks with the hope of hitting a large payout can be tempting, but it also exposes the bettor to greater risk. Even if a few selections are successful, the overall outcome may still result in a net loss, particularly if the odds are boosted artificially. Setting high expectations can lead to disappointment and frustration when those expectations are not met. This can perpetuate a cycle of chasing losses and taking undue risks in pursuit of unattainable goals. Instead of focusing on making many picks with the intention of hitting a jackpot, it's better to prioritize quality over quantity.
The scattergun strategy deserves contempt; its a rookie mistake to imagine betting on several possibilities would win. More haste, less speed. You're inviting disappointment, and I hate disapointment.

Careful research and informed decisions are the real art. Its not enough to have the appropriate information - you need conviction to act on it. The idea that "more picks equals more chances of winning" is false. The quality of your decisions matter in high-stakes betting and business. The greats in any subject are recognized for a few well-chosen projects, not their volume.
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