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Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. - page 8. (Read 1748 times)

legendary
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Yes definitely, if you play more games by placing more bets, then it means that you are taking more risk to make more money. Now we know that with high risk the chances of loss also increases. Hence, it’s often seen that we make losses in this type of situation. We can easily counter this, if we set a daily budget and bet according to it. Don’t greed for more, and you won’t lose more.
I actually think that the more we pick, the more chances we can win. The only downside of doing this is that we can earn less profit. I'm thinking about the game of Roulette here as one of my example. It is when you bet on multiple numbers and other ways to place a bet (E.g. color red, odd/even, etc.).

But, the case is different in a parlay game when we play sports betting. It may lessen your chance to win there but the more return you are going to get once you predict all or a lot of correct matches. Setting up a budget for gambling is great but it does not mean that we won't be doing the strategy anymore. We still can, if we think we can benefit more with it.
sr. member
Activity: 2030
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Sports betting isn't about taking chances and trying your luck on every single game you come across, it's not like gambling games where you make a guess, place your bet, and wait for the outcome. The essence of sports betting is that if you master a certain sport, you can be able to earn profit through it because you can win more matches than you may lose if you are only making bets that you are confident about and aren't just making random picks here and there.

This is why, it's important to have knowledge and experience about single or multiple sports to gain success in sports betting. People earn hundreds of thousands of dollars every year from sports betting and they don't do it by trying their luck on each game, but they analyse every match and pick their sides very carefully every time.
legendary
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
I agree with you on this, too many picks will make one lose its bet as there are high probability that all the picks won't clear out as expected. Betting on two or three games is better as you will have enough time to do proper and adequate analysis on those teams and Stand a chance of making an accurate reduction of those games.
If a person always places bets on multiple bets, he may not lose his money but will instead earn a lot of winnings from each bet. But it will depend on his ability to analyze each match because getting the right team will take longer. Apart from that, there is money that they will use to place bets on each match. This will create confusion for them, especially if they do not have good analytical skills. If you are new to sports betting, it is best to place bets on sports you know and not place big money bets. Adjust the amount of money and only use the money you can afford so that you don't lose a lot of money if you lose. Analyzing many matches requires more experience so that you can place many bets in one day. Especially in casinos, there are many sports bets to bet on, which can tempt you to place bets.

Depends on the capability of the gambler but me i don't recommend this kind of strategy in playing slot games even though it's just pulling the lever or making an automated spin still its good if you enjoy a single game with the outcome, in two games or more played the same time there's no assurance with your money to win the game so why not enjoy the current game and if you not well played in the first one get into another, but if this game is related in sports and e-sports gambling that's the time make a multiple bet ideally, because its all about analyzing the winner of the game, first 10 scores higher chance, winners of the game and etc. I do multiple betting with the different games in this genre.
legendary
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Disagree. They just conclude everything as if they know how most bettors are handling their bets.

There is no official source where these experts can tell or prove that bettors who are making many picks regularly are not analyzing all the games they betting with. It's impossible for me that these bettors will just randomly pick a bet without doing a hard analysis.

It's not the reason why the winning chance decrease. It's just that it's gambling we are talking about and even how good the analysis is, it's still 50-50.
hero member
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
I agree with you on this, too many picks will make one lose its bet as there are high probability that all the picks won't clear out as expected. Betting on two or three games is better as you will have enough time to do proper and adequate analysis on those teams and Stand a chance of making an accurate reduction of those games.
If a person always places bets on multiple bets, he may not lose his money but will instead earn a lot of winnings from each bet. But it will depend on his ability to analyze each match because getting the right team will take longer. Apart from that, there is money that they will use to place bets on each match. This will create confusion for them, especially if they do not have good analytical skills. If you are new to sports betting, it is best to place bets on sports you know and not place big money bets. Adjust the amount of money and only use the money you can afford so that you don't lose a lot of money if you lose. Analyzing many matches requires more experience so that you can place many bets in one day. Especially in casinos, there are many sports bets to bet on, which can tempt you to place bets.
legendary
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I understand what you are pointing out OP because I have seen some of my picks losing because I am becoming too lazy to check everything about the game. You are right though, when we add more single picks, it lacks the higher probability to win because we focused everything on the first game or bet.
But, there will always be a time that we have the energy to check parts of it so I guess we can somehow win them.
Like today I got 3 of 4 on my NBA bets. The last game that I bet for is where I made the mistake. I didn't even try to bet on the last game because there are actually 5 of them for this day because I was too lazy to check it and my mind is all stressed out for checking the first 4 of them. Cheesy That's why I understand your point because I have been experiencing it a lot of times now. Winning the first one then losing the next two or three more bets.
It's really critical that we understand how the game works or the possible results because that enhances our chances of winning. One game will suffice but sometimes it's appealing to try and bet for more.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 351
As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
I agree with you on this, too many picks will make one lose its bet as there are high probability that all the picks won't clear out as expected. Betting on two or three games is better as you will have enough time to do proper and adequate analysis on those teams and Stand a chance of making an accurate reduction of those games.
hero member
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I think the odds of losing a bet are more than winning it, so the more bets you make... and the more complex they are.. the higher the chance for you to lose more money.

People think it is a simple choice between "win or lose" .... but  it is not that simple. You should make calculated bets that are based on proper research and also comparing the odds provided by different Sport betting providers.  

You should also consider your bet history and your win/loss history to determine what bet sizes you should make.
For this I myself agree that indeed making more choices will provide a greater chance of losing as well, meaning that it may be more like throwing your money in many places, especially by choosing many choices and having the desire to get a win is the wrong thing and can make your mental stress worse if all the choices taken do not provide a single victory for us.

I think many of the people around who when gambling do not do that deep analysis in every match that is bet on, they apply the possibility of what he feels not from the results of calculations made by themselves from the available data, especially having many choices that certainly have a sense of laziness in doing research. (that's a bad choice)
sr. member
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.
I'm trying to think of a reason that disagrees but yes, this might be the biggest reason as to why too many picks are a bad thing but to me, it's a matter of your expertise in the analysis of the sports that you're betting most of the time, if you know the teams like the back of your hand and how they'll fair against the other team that they might have a match then the case of too many picks leading to a reduced chances of winning isn't really a big deal but that's probably happening only to a few people so it's unlike that we will see this claim disproven, there's not enough people that are good at analysis that does sportsbetting to get an accurate data.
legendary
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Share your opinion regarding this matter.
What the expert said is true, especially since he is said to be an expert, meaning he has experienced it himself and when he makes this statement it is the result of evaluating the bets he has made.
However, bettors often feel the need to bet on many matches because they are afraid of losing the opportunity to make a profit, especially when they see that there are odds for a match that they are sure of winning and the odds are very attractive, so they don't really analyze because when there is a favorite team or athlete who gets quite big odds, of course because there are factors that influence it so that the result of the match is not the favorite who wins, I mean it is impossible for a bookie to allow big odds when the chance of winning is very big because that will be detrimental to theirs business so bettors need to be careful and keep analyzing when they find odds like that, so betting on just one or two matches but the win rate is good will be better than many matches but there are more losers which means our capital will still be minus.
legendary
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There's no need to be upset
That’s a really interesting topic. Would love to have access to sports betting websites on that but of course its not public since this would help people to win

At first it makes sense. Better to stick to fewer bets and analyze it better on why you’re winning or losing
Keeping track of wins also helps a lot so you know your win rate and all
hero member
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If you want to gamble less risky then do not take more quantity because basically you will bother yourself because you are not able to observe the match properly.
.

Few games are the best reasonable way to have some winnings because those who add up to 20 games and more in their bet fail more than gamblers who only pick two or three games at a go to bet. This is more of experience with physical gambling and people you know who tell you their personal gambling history and story to how they have wasted their time in multiple betting to how they have discovered betting single and few games to the positive increase to winning and their account.
This is based on the outcome of the the games because sometimes the jackpot winners and big winners in the sport betting is those who stake money on multiple bets since the accumulated odds at some point in time, so for sure I will prefer to stake on multiple games than just one bet selection which only give me low odds and still same risk level.


Football betting is all about luck and so far you are betting on your most lucky day, regardless of the bet pattern that you choose, it will end well with you on that so for sure it will be far better to bet will the ones with higher odds since the odds is what our outcome winning will be calculated based on.
hero member
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A win is a win, doesnt matter on how many bets that you had set up on which it would really be always be determined on how good your picks are. It doesnt really mind much
about on how many games that you had bet on because if we do tend to count about your winning rate then it doesnt care much if you do stick about single betting games
or would be going into multiple.
I don't agree with this view. No doubt, gambling is a game of luck and so one can win at any time notwithstanding the number of picks involved but then experience shows that the more the picks, the more the risk involved, and then the possibility of winning is slim and verse versa.

For instance, a person who selected two picks in a ticket has a higher success rate than a person who has selected 15 picks in a ticket. This is because a person who has selected only two games will certainly select the best two picks for the day thereby minimizing the risk and expanding the possibility of winning.

Personal observation shows that gamblers who stake on only one game have an 85% success rate whereas gamblers who accumulate more games have a 35% winning rate.
hero member
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I definitely agree this. There will always be millions of variables that will change outcome/result of game. When you add one more game to your betting coupon, you add millions more on top of it. In my opinion its best to bet on lowest number of games gambling company will allow. For example gambling monopoly in my country, sometimes allow coupons to have 1 big game or 1 big/1 small game (big game means derby in general). So winning chance is greater.
For this have been my frequent experience and even yesterday I lost much on my bet because I bet on multiple games instead of picking just one sure bets, this is what have been evedence and experiences of most gamblers who take that betting route in their games selection, many times if you can just stick to your rules of just picking just one bet and staking higher amount on the stake amount.

But even at that, we tend to lose sometimes because there is no sure bet any where but the risk factors in one single bet is lower compared to selecting multiple games.
hero member
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Here a lot depends on the size of the bet and the potential winnings. Making a lot of small bets with small odds, you can quickly lose your deposit (it is worth considering that some casinos take a commission when making a bet. Besides, you can make a lot of small bets - and win, but a couple of losses can ruin)
A win is a win, doesnt matter on how many bets that you had set up on which it would really be always be determined on how good your picks are. It doesnt really mind much
about on how many games that you had bet on because if we do tend to count about your winning rate then it doesnt care much if you do stick about single betting games
or would be going into multiple. If you are really that knowledgeable on multi sport?  Then why not?

It would really be just that depending on you on what you do prefer on because what matter most on here is on the number of bets that we do able to
hit up on the right spot. This is where winning rate would be determined whether you are doing great or not.
legendary
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Here a lot depends on the size of the bet and the potential winnings. Making a lot of small bets with small odds, you can quickly lose your deposit (it is worth considering that some casinos take a commission when making a bet. Besides, you can make a lot of small bets - and win, but a couple of losses can ruin)
hero member
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Analyzing games requires lots of time to be able to carefully predicts the outcome before the games could kicked start and before that we should always try to start doing our weekly or weekend games earlier on time to be able to have them predicted correctly, because if games are not given enough time to look into them we might end up not going through those games correctly since we'll be in a haste to get them selected before the match start running. Having enough spare time to look into games are always necessary before the matches and it gives us some chances to win those games after carefully do our analysis.
hero member
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On the other hand, if you increase the number of bets then honestly I can't say that your goal is for entertainment, this is nothing more than your reason, in fact what they want is a big win. Experts have a lot of experience, they already know the various situations that exist there, so if there are indications that could make them lose control, usually they will be firm in their self-control by preferring to rest first.
It really depends, let's say you have $20.

You can either put $20 on one match or split $20 to 20 matches, so you bet $1 in every match. You're not really looking for money when you bet in many matches because the amount you gamble is same with all in one bet.

The way you said it is possible but before I just say in outline that if a gambler puts a large budget amount that means more than he can afford to spend then I'm pretty sure or even clear that the goal is to find a big win, on the other hand you explained the way about dividing the budget allocation on gambling involvement in the type of sports betting which I think is pretty good by giving $20 for 20 matches, this is a pretty good approach to increase the chances of return or chance but still with this I can still conclude that their goal is to get a win even by putting a budget amount that is not too large, we can see from the way they divide the money for 20 matches that they want higher chances in terms of winning, by putting on 20 matches means they take 20 chances right? and obviously this means it is a strategy to make the percentage of winning chances closer, so in this case it still has the conclusion that victory is quite prioritized by them but the difference may be in a slightly smart way.
hero member
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I think the odds of losing a bet are more than winning it, so the more bets you make... and the more complex they are.. the higher the chance for you to lose more money.

People think it is a simple choice between "win or lose" .... but  it is not that simple. You should make calculated bets that are based on proper research and also comparing the odds provided by different Sport betting providers.  

You should also consider your bet history and your win/loss history to determine what bet sizes you should make.
It all depends on how good his ability is at analyzing each match so that he can decide to place a lot of bets or only place a few bets. Those with better analytical skills will place more bets because they are confident in their abilities and can choose the right team. However, those who don't have good analytical skills will not want to place many bets because it will only increase the chance of losing money.

That is why, as gamblers, we must be wise and understand how good our analytical skills are so that we will not place bets randomly and just want to chase the win. If we can determine the size of the bet we want to make, we must look at our analytical skills to prevent large losses.
hero member
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I think the odds of losing a bet are more than winning it, so the more bets you make... and the more complex they are.. the higher the chance for you to lose more money.

People think it is a simple choice between "win or lose" .... but  it is not that simple. You should make calculated bets that are based on proper research and also comparing the odds provided by different Sport betting providers.  

You should also consider your bet history and your win/loss history to determine what bet sizes you should make.

I agree with you, in gambling I think the chances of winning are very slim, while the chances of losing are large, and if they gamble with large bets, it is not possible that they will win easily, the chances of losing are still superior to the chances of winning. The bigger the bet, the bigger the risk, not the bigger the chance of winning, and as you said, the higher the chance of losing the money. and in my opinion it is clear that this cannot be hidden or avoided.

When it comes to the choices available in gambling, in my opinion it is simple because it is only about winning and losing, but the problem is, many of those who gamble complicate everything, especially by losing. Not a few gamblers don't accept that they lose, so they gamble continuously with the aim of recovering their losses, even though they shouldn't do that,  because that way they will only suffer bigger losses.
I agree with you, they must consider their betting history to minimize the losses that will occur if they continue to gamble.
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