Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. - page 3. (Read 1732 times)

Yes I couldn't agree with you more, if someone is betting with a lot of options at a time, it could mean they're willing to take more risks and also hoping to hit a very huge payout. Whereas someone who just bets on few matches at a time might be more focused on stead and long-term wins. For someone like me, I've developed a technique that enables me to make steady by little wins every single day, even if incur a few losses, it wouldn't be as fatal as we know losses to be. The technique is to only pick 2 games and pick the easiest options regardless how low the odds are, and then bet with my whole budget for the week, if it fails, then I know I'll have to wait till next week but if I win, I'll have at least 2x of my weekly budget, I'll take out half of it and still continue with the other half, and if I'm lucky that week, I'll gradually accumulate enough wins for myself.

have seen plenty of this case, its not limited to gambling to, placing future bet on bitcoin is also common to see many people doing that just because their friend told them so even though we all know
we always have this one friend that thinks he know everything about sport, but definitely shouldn't be considered as a source of information on placing bets or position in the case of btc future.
its basically like we are trusting our money to some stranger just because they can multiply it, if we think about it, such an absurd thing so many people won't definitely fall to that trap but with a little abstraction
basically in form of advice like these so many people believing because we are the one that placed the bets.

its like quality vs quantity, a quality bet will give us best odds of wining as well as making money, in the other hand, many bets placed in such short time basically only relying on quantity while all of them are at best just mid will instead cause us to lose money, so many people seem to not know it, always remember to place bet to something we really know. otherwise dont.

Placing too many bets is not good, apart from reducing the chances of winning, the level of difficulty also varies because we also need to analyze one by one the teams we are betting on. Indeed, the more we choose, the bigger the profit we can get if we can win all the bets, even if we lose 1 it can ruin everything and indeed choosing a lot of bets makes it even more difficult to win, so it's better to choose a few bets that we really believe will win so that you can get the chance to win easily.

In fact, single bets and parlay bets have different levels of profit and most gamblers choose parlay bets because the profit percentage is greater than single bets, while single bets only get small profits so if you think single bets are better then do it. But for other gamblers it is better for those who choose parlay bets not to be too excessive in their choice so as not to reduce their chances of winning because sometimes someone who is too excessive always loses their bet because they have too high expectations if their bet can win.

I have seen most people who pay money for the bet just because someone informed them about the game, I will be like... Wow, why will you bet on a game you have no knowledge about and funny enough they will end up not winning the game. People intend to stake more games and analysising multiple games at the same time is stressful so you might not have an assurance about the game also. Even with the idea gambling is said to be a lucky game so staking multiple games can still give you more chance of winning under probability, I just focus on the money spent and I make sure I will not gamble and forget my limit

Most time when making a bet we make selection of fewer games and yet the results turns out to be lost, how much more if we make the selections more than the usual? Though some person get lucky to win even with more selections but having fewer games with good stake has higher probability of you winning the bet than having more selection with very small stake. Sometimes even games with 1.0 odd becomes a lost bet and that's one of the reason gambling is basically a game of luck.

OK, good thing you came back around to address this, and I don't think you should blame the users who are talking about parleys, for the way you structured your post, anyone would easily assume that what you are talking is parleys, I also thought same while reading the op myself.

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Well, back to the topic of discussion, I would agree with the experts, as well as you who shared this here, sports betting is just like trading, the more the coins or currencies one tries to analyze and trade in one day, the more they are likely to end up making more loses than gains, for like it is commonly said that we can't eat our cake and have it, or that one can't server two masters at a time, one can not give attention to numbers and still give the same level of attention to quality, we either do more and sacrifice quality, or do less and keep good quality.

Wanting to bet on a lot of games in the day sure lead to losses most of the time, I've had a practical experience of this in the past when I was a member of a betting channel on telegram, the day the channel owner posts a lot of picks, we loss most of those games, but the day, he posts just a few picks, we win most games and loss very few if at all.

I think I will have to agree with you here and it's not the best for a gambler who is looking to earn from gambling. We don't need to be making single picks and betting on them, it is good we select few picks and bet on them at once so that the earnings and bonus could be bigger compared to when we bet on a single game that has small odd. It is better we accumulate those picks and bet on them at once so that the bonus also will accumulate for a higher winners. Those that have been making money from this pattern of betting would know how to go about it making money especially when they have the luck.

I always have this mentality that playing gambling for a long time and eventually turn out to be very boring and when you are bored you can start making crazy selections just to be done with it so I always believe that if you are to win, you will win so just take that leap of faith and gambling what you want instead of wasting your time and playing different selection till you get frustrated and confused.

Whether you are dealing with small or tons of bets if you are dealing or making plays with something that have house edge then you would definitely be losing in the end. If we do speak about those gamblers who do deal up with sports betting and having tons of bets then it would really be totally different because as long you do make out some application with those bets with some analysis then it would be always having the chance
for you to in up. Odds would really be not scattered though but at least with those betting choices did really been based up on some research and some analysis on which it would really be causing up for those
bets to win up somehow compared to some casino games on which you could really be able to compare that you wont really be having no chance on winning up or never been that an advantageous thing.
If  you are someone whose really have those kind of project then it would be something that causes for you to mess up your finances way too destructive.

Very often gamblers neglect common sense advice like this, as they really seem to think that the more they gamble the bigger their chances to win, but what they do not get is that their chances to get a win do in fact increase, but the chances of actually beating the casinos decrease instead, so anyone that is thinking about making money with gambling needs to really think about what they are doing, or they may find themselves getting the opposite outcome that they were hoping for.

Analyzing and predicting can help you dodge some losses, like wearing sunscreen before hitting the waves. But remember, gambling's always got a chance element, like that unexpected jellyfish sting. Those early wins were awesome, like finding a hidden treasure chest. But attributing it all to your skill is like saying you controlled the weather. It's cool to be proud of your knowledge, but don't forget Lady Luck was probably smiling on you too.

Learning from your experience is boss moves, like a surfer learning from a wipeout. But remember, chasing wins based on past luck is like chasing a rainbow – you might never find the pot of gold.

Focusing on fewer games sharpens the strategy, like fine-tuning a precise tool. Through experience, I've seen how this technique reduces needless risks and improves bets. The game is strategic, not just mathematical. Consider that every bet should be calculated, not a guess. The betting myth of "more is better" is false. It distracts and wastes resources. Precision beats quantity, I've learned the hard way.

Dont forget psychology. Bets are reduced to improve discipline. Use your resources wisely. The pursuit is fun, but strategy is smarter.

This is totally a misunderstanding on what OP had brough out. He is not referring to a parlay bet, but a multiple single bets.
Here's the note from the OP.


But yeah, it will reduce the chances of winning because the more you increase your bets, the more you'll put effort to analyze it, and we don't have a lot of time to analyze since we aren't here to take gambling seriously like a pro.

Higher multipliers mean sweeter wins but riskier bets. It's simply math and greed, not rocket science. But your approach demonstrates sanity in this craziness. Cashing out at 20-30x? Smart, not cowardly. Know your limits, grasp the game, and recognize when the universe tosses you a bone

Your parlay bet timing observation is correct. Not simply picking winners, but strategic timing and emotional management. Yes, overlapping games lock you in without a way out. Strategic betting is more than simply fun. Remember, the house always has the edge, but with patience and a good eye, you can spot occasions where it blurs, even little. Your strategy is calculated, not greedy

I agree with you,those people who play sport betting know a lot more than those who keep relying on luck games.The people who don't care and want just to try their luck they go and hit the spin button in slot machines while people playing a bit in a more intelligent way they go to sport betting and try to maximize their chances by choosing different games in their multi ticket.The more games they add it is true the less the chance to win so the perfect balance is a ticket with 4-5 games and games that people have studied them a lot,this will increase their chances to be winners more often than not in the long term,yet very few persons if at all are able to achieve such results.

That is why online sports bookies are giving a high multiplier for each game that we add to the parlay. It's getting more risky as we keep on piling up a bunch of games. But you are correct, the cash-out feature could save us sometimes and I've done that twice in my lifetime of making parlays. Or should I say I was at the right time to cash it out? Because if I was away from my computer, I may never have had a chance to do that.

I am not the greedy type who will try to end a parlay while watching it happen. If I see good profits at x20 - x30, I am done. I won't risk it more and I don't have the courage to do so. But picking games in a parlay should also be deeply thought through. If we are trying to take advantage of the cash-out feature then we should also consider placing bets with a time difference of 30 minutes before the other game starts. Because, if it's a consecutive game where the other game in your parlay is still happening while the next one is also starting, the cash-out button will never be open.
That's what I observed from making a lot of parlay in my sports betting hobby.

Multiple games selection is the high way to lose the bet because by selecting multiple games your risk level increases in proportion to the amount of games you select and by that you have a high chance to lose at most, although is not as if you can't lose with just one game selection but your losing tendency is low when you select only one game most especially when the odds are already in your favour.


But in multiple games selection,  you may have guessed right with the first selection but the is a high possibility that your second and third selections may be wrong and that will ruin your total game plans, so for sure many games equal to higher chances of losing unless you are smart to make use of the cash out feature if you can accumulate some profits while the games are still on.

You're correct, instead of placing many bets to increase the odds and you won't still win the game it'll be better we reduced the games that'll be picking. The amounts to stake on the game will increase but it won't be too much or too large for you not to be able to afford. Instead of using $1 to bet on many games I'll use $10 to place a bet on two games and then if I win I'll increase my winning amount. The capital I use isn't too big but not too small to require me to pick many games.

Making too many picks can also be considered to be making too many bets and over betting isn't good on a gambler as it'll make you to be losing instead of winning but many individuals haven't known this. They think that the more bets that they pick increase their chances of winning and also they don't want to spend too much money as wagers but when you calculated all the money they have lost, it'll be more.

You can't rely on luck when it comes to sports betting, you are supposed to know which side has more chances of winning the game and place your bet accordingly, luck doesn't have that big of an influence when it comes to sports betting, so you can't place random bets and expect to win most of them just by luck, if someone is doing that, they are doing the wrong thing.

Those who rely on luck should stick to gambling games, why get into sports betting in the first place?  Sports betting is for those who know they understand a specific sport very well and they know they can predict the outcomes of the games very accurately most of the time.

although sometimes I have made multibet bets, it is still the type of thing that I would not recommend for people to do too much research on, because although people can win a lot if you manage to hit a multibet bet with high odds, the The risk of the person also having losing streaks for a long time is very high and in these cases the person will lose their entire bankroll, put in more money and lose again, this is because when a person makes multibet bets, that person does not know about each team. who is going to play, that person can only read news about the injured players and the likely lineup and in a team the most important thing is to know the team's lineup, if the person doesn't know who is going to play then the risk of the person losing will be greater, for That's why, in my opinion, multibet betting is like counting on luck

for example the person chooses 15 teams for his multibet bet, as these games will take place at different times and days so this person placed teams that he doesn't know who will play, he will just be counting on luck, I know that someone can say that people they analyze each game before placing it in the parlay, but even if a person spends hours analyzing the games that a certain team played and then that person bets on that team because they believe that it performed well in the last games while the opposing team has worse performance, when it comes time for the game that person will see that the team he bet on will use low level players in the lineup and at that time it is almost certain that they will lose and the person who bet on them will easily realize this, but it will be too late to cancel bet