Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. - page 6. (Read 1748 times)

Single or multiple then it would really be that totally depending on you on which it would really be always mattering on how good those picks would be.We shouldn't really be
trying out to cope up with multiples just because you have thought that it would really be able to increase the chance on winning a particular game or bets.
We do need  those quality bets rather than on quantity. It isnt really that important on having tons because it would really be all useless if those picks of yours
doesnt really have a correspond analysis on it or something that do talks about having no dedicated in depth search about on a team/player and just make out those
blind bets bets.

That means we have to really master analytical skills so that we can get a choice of teams that can win, regardless of whether we use multi or single bets. By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.

But the thing is that you're going to win the same amount of games regardless of if you take them or not. And this doesn't mean I don't believe in destiny or anything but casinos have a specific amount of win-rate that they have set, so regardless of if you take the game or not, you're going to have the same amount of win and losses when the cards are laid out and your win history is tallied. You could argue that the same can't be said for sportsbooks but even that would still apply to this same logic. Most games after all are essentially 50/50 with both teams whether they're the crowd favorite or the underdog having the same chances at snagging that victory as each other. So when you bet more or less it doesn't really matter, at the end of the day you're going to still lose the same amount of money at the same frequency of events.

Plus if maximizing your bets and bet counts is what works for you as a gambler, why would you stop? Gambling isn't about winning or losing anyways and it's all about getting that itch at the back of your head scratched that begs to be sated with some bets placed. If you're ridding yourself of the chance to enjoy your gambling sessions then are you really gambling for fun anymore? Or are you just looking to earn money which I don't need further explaining, is a one way ticket to destination fucked?

I wouldn't say that is the case if you are picking your bets with +EV. In that case, the more bets that you put on, the more you expect to make in the long run.

It is only when each extra bet reduces the marginal quality of the bet that this becomes a problem.

I agree though, I see far too many people fall into this trap when it comes to sportsbetting. They seem to think that they have an edge over the bookmakers when they really don't - and they overbet in -EV propositions and lose out in the long term. I think Warren Buffett once said that if everyone was only allowed to invest in 5 stocks in their lifetime, they would do extremely well. Some degree of discipline is also required in sportsbetting/gambling when you have an edge.

  And that’s on  fact, it doesn’t really matter how many the games are, any game that will play will play, you can decide to play a lengthy game and if you’re lucky enough you can win that lengthy game, and lose the less lengthy one. That’s just gambling for you, you can’t predict the outcome of the game once it’s already locked in, also you don’t have to over think while your making your picks, gambling is just about following your intuition over thinking can ruin the game.
  Everyone has their different approach on following up gambling, some prefer to select small odds to accumulate into mega odds, while some love the short picks so they can put reasonable capital to stake. Either way it is advisable to stake what you can afford to lose. I think this has always been the most said phrase here relating to gambling. Because if you break this first rule, you are then entering into the condemnation. Gambling is for fun is you stick to being fun about it, once pressure set in it then becomes a problem.

That's not the case with the gambling that I know especially betting whether it's Basketball, Handball, Table tennis, Hockley or Football, selecting multiple games doesn't increase your chance of winning but it increase your odd of winning, more games you select the more big your odds become and when you stake small amount, you get a potential pay out. This is helping a lot because it's like a multiplier for other casino games but the disadvantage of this is when you lose a game, you lose everything.


I am not good at parlay betting, a lot of people lose money quickly with this parlay but if you are good at making picks, you can recover your money without doing much but it's just hard to get. However, the advantage of parlay over ordinary bets is that ones you win, you will b able to recover all your last 3 months bet, so you can only enjoy it if you are capable of winning in the future and you have a steady money to gamble when you want to play.

But then doing all this as good as they sound and as safe as they sound too still doesn't guarantee that you will still win the game which you did staked on, you could still loose the game but the fact is that most times this method do work and help increase your chances of winning than it will do with you loosing your funds by just gambling regularly.

Multiple selections makes you sometimes stay at the mercy of been lucky and if you aren't lucky enough they it will only mean that you are not winning till whenever you eventually get lucky and this doesn't have anything to do with how much it is on your stake as you may stake so much and still lose yet you can stake very little and win either ways luck has got it's part to play provided it's gambling but just make sure you are putting in place good risk management to keeping you ahead.odr safe enough against going bank rupt.

Has a point and the idea of comparison is there however those two are different; betting is different from investing. With gambling, luck is the only thing which will determine whether you will gain profit from your bet or not and with altcoin investment, checking the roadmap and the coin in general helps an investor to draw conclusion if it would be a good idea investing into it. But again, the thought is there.

In gambling, more picks means higher risk. However it depends on the gambler. Some gamblers are betting 4/6 win rate in a single set or sitting, although not on a daily basis but still that is a good win-lose ratio. Focusing in a single bet won't guarantee winning outcome so same thing with multiple bets. Only difference is bigger loss if ever you'd lose but not related with chance of winning. It'll only be reduced in some instances depending on your analogy and this is evident with sports betting although no certainty still with the outcome but it does work often. Whether it is quality over quantity or vice versa, it'l be the gambler's pocket to decide which way should the bets go.

I use to advise that even if you make decision on playing only one game and that same as your pick on bet, stake it and you can ended up loosing and that's gambling for you, some can afford to make more than one and win big as well, it happens in many ways that we cannot just be accurate on how we predict what we see as a result of gambling, in everything we do, we should just apply a modest way of doing it, this will help us get more closer to being lucky to them by having the best experience in gambling because we are being intentional.

This should be obvious, very often on the altcoin board I see newbies thinking about investing in dozens of coins, and I wonder how do they plan to keep track of so many coins? Since a portfolio application is not enough, they need to keep themselves updated about everything that happens around all of those coins, and their lack of experience does not help either, so I know they are going to fail before they invest into any of those coins, and it is natural that the same principle applies to sport bets as well.

Them main key on here is that you should really be so sure on the bets you are making. Doesnt matter whether it would be multiple or single, as long you have applied analysis into it and not really just that picking up carelessly just because you do have those kind of guts telling you that you should be betting despite of having no knowledge on the games that you are tending to bet with.
Sometimes it cant really be just that avoided to have those kind of impulsive betting on where you would be betting up into those sports that you arent been aware on what it is.
There's no fun on betting into those lines on which you dont even have the idea on how the game works or even the teams behind it.

By choosing single bets and small bets, at least we are trying to prevent many losses because we are trying to limit ourselves from losing a lot of money. We will not be affected by loss or win because we are only trying to enjoy the gambling game and not to chase victory or recover from loss. And we will only try to gamble just to fill our free time.

We can adapt to what happens when we gamble. We also won't move to other gambling games too often because we only have a limited budget, so we try to prevent the desire to continue gambling. Whatever results we get from gambling, we will accept it and will not continue gambling because it can trigger our emotions to increase.

It makes sense, but someone who has been gambling is likely not able to stop gambling, I mean stopping completely is not easy. because gambling tends to hypnotize the mind of someone who is gambling, especially beginners who usually win at the start, they will be more confident in continuing to gamble because the initial win makes them believe that gambling can really give them an easy win.

In my opinion, the thing that makes it difficult for them to stop is the feeling of wanting to win, they can't get rid of it, so they continue to gamble even though they have experienced many detrimental losses, and indeed along with that they will also get used to ignoring the losses they have received. That. Sometimes having too many choices can make them take the wrong steps. especially when they win, gamblers tend not to consider what they will do so that it leads them to losses that eliminate the winnings they have obtained.

Once gambling addiction is something that have already shackled on you then its never been that simple on getting out on which it would really be just that normal getting out is never been that easy
and you would really be that most likely be ending up on a disaster on which this is why it would really be always been wise that you should really know on what you are doing and not really that
focusing too much on the way you do gamble. You shouldnt really be that making yourself that attaching up yourself on gambling because once things becomes messy then you would really
be ending up miserable.

You wont really be finding any ways or methods on making those kind of gambling strategies on which it would really be pushing up yourself on playing even more.
Having multiple or many picks? It wont really be a guaranteed thing for you to win up even more even if you do have those plans
on diversifying or scattering your picks on which we know that it would really be basing up with on how well your analysis is and of course on how lucky you are.

We can't deny the fact that quitting gambling is somehow difficult to a person most specially if that person is under severe type of addiction in gambling. with that, giving them an ordinary advice is not suitable with their current state.
If they really want to lessen or quit doing gambling, they should have force theirselves in having strong determination of doing it because it's really not that easy. Sometimes, The advice given by the professionals is also a big help if they come to them because those medical doctor knows what is the correct process to gradually eliminate gambling from our daily lives.

Those are the type of people that should stay away from gambling if they can, it would make a lot more sense. I understand that it may feel like it is not going to be all that easy, but it is fairly easy to stop.

You just don't gamble, and yes I know that it is going to feel horrible when it comes to that and people will have trouble stopping because they have this within deep desire to keep gambling but they just have to find enough will to stop gambling when they should. If they fail to do that then the yare going to keep gambling when they shouldn't and that will result with horrible losses, the ones that are bigger than they could afford. Seen a lot of people lose way too much money that way and I hope not many would repeat it.

Why many will advice that you chose only few bets preferably 1 single bet is because, by doing so you are limiting your chances of losing the bet on the long run, and also if you stake a small amount, you won't be affected by the outcome of the bet so much, since you are not expecting too much big winning in the first place.

So when the winning comes you celebrate it and when you lose, you need to just man up to the situations at all time, so same goes to the multiple games selections, once you chose to many games, you will likely gona lose at the end.

Do people buy more lottery tickets so that the jackpot amount increases? I don't think that is the reason behind it, but people try and buy as many tickets as they can so that they can increase their winning probability and possibly win the jackpot. However, the lottery is the type of gambling that requires the highest level of luck for a person to win the highest amount. So, it's not essential to have a lot of tickets to win in a lottery but to be extremely lucky for it.

To back the statement I made above, I have seen people buying almost 40 to 50% of the overall lottery tickets to win the main prize but they failed, and on the other hand, people with just a few tickets worth less than $5 or something managed to win the jackpot amount in the same lottery which proves that it's not about the amount of tickets you acquire but it's all about your luck.

In my opinion, I don't think making more picks lead you to more losses, only that you're able to avoid losses when you make picks one at a time that you would've otherwise experience when you make multiple bets at a time. Odds and chances don't change every time you make a bet as I believe that everything's pretty much as predetermined as it gets. You're going to get that particular win or loss regardless if you play it or not. It's your choice however if you'd take the risk and play it, and this is where you might see the heuristic of "losing more when you make more bets" which isn't really the case if you think about it.

Personally I wouldn't really place multiple bets as I'm more of a "simmer every bet" kind of guy. But if you're someone who's more comfortable taking many bets in one go by all means go for it. You should always go for what works best for you and for your bankroll.

Chance. Not change.
I do understand what you are trying to portray but this is obviously a shit post. Please, do try to make it better. Google Translate is always available, use it.
It's case to case scenario. Just like recently for me, I was playing Tome of Life at three liners, I know it's difficult to win that kind of game but I receive more and I was actually surprised. My 0.0004 satoshis became 0.001 satoshis and I was happy with the ending. It doesn't always happen to all of us, most of the time we are on a losing streak. But, what I did was withdraw when I received that amount and as far as I am concern, I don't really care what will happen next.
Discipline is all we need when it comes to gambling and when we can control our habits that way then we are all winners. I had enough, I don't want to risk it more and I am glad I did that. Now, I have money to spend for my family.