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Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. - page 7. (Read 1748 times)

hero member
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We can't just conclude that making too many picks can make us to loses more when we bet. Things are different the way we bets is different also. Some persons belief that if they pick more games or matches, their possibility of winning would be low while others thing the opposite is the case. We don't need to affirm it to everyone pointing that if we choose more games we could lose more. Professional gamblers does not care about how many games we are selecting but only after the sure and predictable games. Any how we choose to bet is all left to us and we don't have to see other people as doing the wrong things.
Yes, we really can't just conclude because each person will be different in their choice of betting. But by choosing small bets and with small amounts of money, at least we have minimized the amount of money lost because we are cautious in placing bets. We don't want to experience many losses just because we want to win, even though we know that when placing bets on sports matches, we need to make an analysis that will give us which team has a chance of winning. Professional gamblers also won't take too big a risk by choosing a lot of matches, especially if they don't know much about each team that will compete. They are better off placing bets on teams they know because that can increase their chances of winning.
legendary
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That's true, especially in football bets, many people get too greedy, the higher the numbers of matches they can bet on the higher the odds, but they have forgotten that the higher the risks too, they simply just make winning to be extremely harder for them due to their own readiness.
If greed has a lot of knowledge about football sports betting, I think there is no problem either, after all, everyone has different courage, even in outlook, sometimes I admit that there are still people who often bet like that, betting on several matches to get the best opportunities. high and the risk is high too, it is true that the higher the odds the higher the risk of losing all the money, in fact sports betting does not only require knowledge and experience, it still all requires luck.

Gamblers who usually make bets like that usually don't have enough money so their small bets can make quite a lot of money from the high odds they play for several games. In fact, people like this will not feel a loss in the short term but will likely feel a loss in the long run. long term, for gamblers who have a lot of money they don't need to bet on several matches, just one or two matches, I think that's enough, and even then the bets they use are usually large amounts so that the winnings are felt.

It's different when we bet with less money but betting just one or two matches with very few opportunities, it's like a waste of time in my opinion. But still, coming back to each person's views, everyone always has a different way of gambling.  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 952
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That's true, especially in football bets, many people get too greedy, the higher the numbers of matches they can bet on the higher the odds, but they have forgotten that the higher the risks too, they simply just make winning to be extremely harder for them due to their own readiness.

The way gamblers bet is different, but it's common sense to see that more odds equals to more risks of losing money, there are options to take profit in gambling now while the matches is ongoing, this is good compare to before, but still its clear that higher risks in gambling means you hardly will win.

I don't want to be the one telling people to start betting on less numbers of matches at once, like someone in this thread already said, everyone are not the same, some will get lucky still even with higher numbers of odds but I can't compare myself to them, as reality is reality to me, I have many people that gambles this way for years are they never become a millionaire that they so much desire.
hero member
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

I got confused on what you were referring to, like betting multiple games. If yes, then probably it is true but this depends on the gambler because if you can analyze it per game, then there is no reason to not bet unless you decided hastily, which is a wrong move. Ive seen a lot of people betting after another game because they just want to bet and they know well that their team will win. What I would better say is that you should not bet hastily without analyzing the game.
legendary
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You are right everyone with his/her own view about betting. And just as you said, what will work for you may not work for me. Everyone has to go with what work best for him/her. But generally and mathematically, the probability of winning most times decreases as the number of game increases.

That's basic statistics, every time you add a new bet to the list the chances of winning decrease. Depending on the type of game, you would get something like this:

1 pick: 49% probability of winning.
2 picks: 49%*49% = 24.01% probability of winning.
3 picks: 49%*49%*49% = 11.8% probability of winning.

And so on... that's why prizes in that kind of games are very big, because your cumulative chances to win diminish dramatically with each pick.

Then, if we're not talking about parlay, we could talk about the ad nauseam mentioned martingale: unlucky strikes would be followed by lucky ones, but in the end you should face the fact that your bankroll is not infinite and that in the very long term you'd experience an unlucky strike strong enough to bankrupt you.
member
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Be Happy ☺️
It's true. If you are not expart you are taking dessision very quickly that is full loss. Because you are taking stape you reduce tye winning change at the playing fast strategy. That's the reason it's reduce the winning change.
full member
Activity: 588
Merit: 119
~snip~
Depends on the capability of the gambler but me i don't recommend this kind of strategy in playing slot games even though it's just pulling the lever or making an automated spin still its good if you enjoy a single game with the outcome, in two games or more played the same time there's no assurance with your money to win the game so why not enjoy the current game and if you not well played in the first one get into another, but if this game is related in sports and e-sports gambling that's the time make a multiple bet ideally, because its all about analyzing the winner of the game, first 10 scores higher chance, winners of the game and etc. I do multiple betting with the different games in this genre.
Indeed, no guarantee playing slots will result in winning, especially if they use more money. They could have the opportunity to experience more defeats if they cannot take care of themselves well. If they still try to play slots even by purchasing the Bonus feature, it will also not always guarantee they can get big wins. But that's what makes many gamblers play slots more often because of the temptation to get big multipliers, especially if those people often see videos of people who managed to get big multipliers. And if they play sports betting, they can choose many or few sports bets, but they must have analytical skills to determine their bets. It may take longer, especially if they don't have better analytical skills.
We can't just conclude that making too many picks can make us to loses more when we bet. Things are different the way we bets is different also. Some persons belief that if they pick more games or matches, their possibility of winning would be low while others thing the opposite is the case. We don't need to affirm it to everyone pointing that if we choose more games we could lose more. Professional gamblers does not care about how many games we are selecting but only after the sure and predictable games. Any how we choose to bet is all left to us and we don't have to see other people as doing the wrong things.

You are right everyone with his/her own view about betting. And just as you said, what will work for you may not work for me. Everyone has to go with what work best for him/her. But generally and mathematically, the probability of winning most times decreases as the number of game increases.
sr. member
Activity: 434
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

Op what you said is true, many gamblers are found wanting in this, you see people going as far as selecting more than 20 games in a slip, the question is how would one give a thorough analytical check in each of this matches to know if all he or she selected will come as it, though gambling can be tricky most times but as a gambler you must apply your own idea first, it is important for a gambler to resist greed because this multiple selection idea is as a result of greed, when a stake does not have much funds to stake or even have but decide to stake with a little amount and multiple selection and having in mind that he will win, this to me is greed, any gambler that does this, it will take time for such staker to win a bet.
full member
Activity: 784
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This is a common mistake made by people who don't know math. Lotteries are especially popular in poor countries that lack basic education. Even educated people can't comprehend large numbers, and I've seen a number of interviews on youtube showing this. We cannot imagine how a billion dollars would look like in the form of bills. If you told someone that they win a billion dollars if they can transport it by themselves, they'd agree. Many would ask if they can bring a car or something and feel smart about it, but in reality you can't fit a billion in a car. You'd need a truck for that.

Betting on more numbers increases your chances of winning, but it's such a small increase that even if you buy a thousand lottery tickets your chances are still 0

The lotteries was famous in many countries,but the important fact is lottery never based on math.Lottery based on purely gamblers luck,the probability of each players to win the game is like 0.00001 percentage of winning.But the gambler who made the win was the luckiest gambler by which he may increase his standard of living.He also start the business by using the money from the lottery to uplift their life permanently.Because the business alone help the gambler to win the real life with the money regularly arrives in the bank wallet.If the gambler only spend the money,the money will become zero none day.

Financial management is very necessary in gambling, both to handle losses and also when you win.
one of which is as you explained, when you win it is highly recommended to use the winning money as a means to do permanent business in the real world. not as a tool to buy consumer goods or even to use it again in gambling and hope to get even bigger.
hero member
Activity: 1498
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Sports betting isn't about taking chances and trying your luck on every single game you come across, it's not like gambling games where you make a guess, place your bet, and wait for the outcome. The essence of sports betting is that if you master a certain sport, you can be able to earn profit through it because you can win more matches than you may lose if you are only making bets that you are confident about and aren't just making random picks here and there.

This is why, it's important to have knowledge and experience about single or multiple sports to gain success in sports betting. People earn hundreds of thousands of dollars every year from sports betting and they don't do it by trying their luck on each game, but they analyse every match and pick their sides very carefully every time.
Sports betting is different from other types of gambling games that rely on luck because sports betting requires high skills to be able to get us closer to the chance of winning. If we can master the sports betting we play we can make a profit even though it is not consistent and we don't just rely on luck because we requires accurate analysis and not careless betting. And if we choose many options with the skills we have and have studied what options we will bet on, this will bring us a big chance of winning.

Yes, before we bet, we must first learn about the sports knowledge that we will learn so that it will further deepen your insight into sports betting so that you can be confident in risking your money. I'm not sure what you say about how many people can make thousands of dollars every year because I don't think it's that many, only a few people are really experts at sports betting and make thousands of dollars.
hero member
Activity: 1652
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OrangeFren.com

This is a common mistake made by people who don't know math. Lotteries are especially popular in poor countries that lack basic education. Even educated people can't comprehend large numbers, and I've seen a number of interviews on youtube showing this. We cannot imagine how a billion dollars would look like in the form of bills. If you told someone that they win a billion dollars if they can transport it by themselves, they'd agree. Many would ask if they can bring a car or something and feel smart about it, but in reality you can't fit a billion in a car. You'd need a truck for that.

Betting on more numbers increases your chances of winning, but it's such a small increase that even if you buy a thousand lottery tickets your chances are still 0

The lotteries was famous in many countries,but the important fact is lottery never based on math.Lottery based on purely gamblers luck,the probability of each players to win the game is like 0.00001 percentage of winning.But the gambler who made the win was the luckiest gambler by which he may increase his standard of living.He also start the business by using the money from the lottery to uplift their life permanently.Because the business alone help the gambler to win the real life with the money regularly arrives in the bank wallet.If the gambler only spend the money,the money will become zero none day.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 230
God is All
As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
Hmm that's quite interesting because at first taught if reading your message I can say it was parlay that came to mind as the point of reference but I later the bold note stating that it's actually not what I was thinking so I will keep it direct in respect to the point you are trying to portray.

Well if you are the type that don't watch soccer or the sport on a regular then thoroughly following that particular games for weeks of play to get an evaluation that will convince you to some certainty that the game is gonna play is not all that bad but when you are familiar with sports and the teams involved then playing games on steady won't be a problem because you already have an idea so what you will do is just stake on the experience team you are familiar and maybe other different one because for me the more you play the more chances you get at actually winning one.
legendary
Activity: 2632
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As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.
It's very true that when we make too many picks it reduces our accuracy but fewer picks aswell doesn't reduce your your risk or make accuracy get up 100% but it only increase your chances of winning and decrease your chances of getting too many losses, when you make fewer picks you get better analysis and spend lesser time because you have only a few games to analyze but with many game you have to spend hours analysing to get a good level of accuracy. Everything in gambling still falls under probability so just make sure to increase your winnings probability by few quality picks.

If you make only few quality picks, it's very possible you will be able to get wins consistently and if you are consistently winning you get a chance to win big easier than some one who keeps adding too many games at once on their bet slip.


This reminds me of an old saying from where I live, which says: "He who has a lot gets little" and it is true and it can easily be applied in this case, when a person is in a place and knows the possibilities of winning. They reduce because they make more selections, it's like when you do a parlay, if you're very well into the game, and after all, it's very difficult for you to win everything and that's how it is, because things tend to get complicated and even more so when you're different. ways to do it, personally I have always said something, those who make parlays are always making bets, so they are generally people who make their bets based on mere luck, but I don't see them making them because they really know, they are not fans Sometimes in sports and they only bet to bet, some even copy the results of others, so this seems like it is not such a good thing because basically why we do a type of game like that, it is because we want and will seek to win.

When we make sports bets, it is because we know that this can be the case, a practical result can be given, our prediction can be based on what we know as good luck and the knowledge of sports, it is something that we all do, or well that at least I Yes, I do because when I bet I like to do and review all my possibilities, but I usually do it for 1 or 2 games, and I think that is the way to go because if I can do a good investigation and I can determine according to the players, formations, and everything What has to do with the detailed information that you can find on the web, social networks of players, possible training that other predictors do, this can help a lot to make us decide which is the best option for these things, we are people who are always going to determining the best way to do things, that's why it's always important to specialize in a sport to obtain better results, it's my very personal opinion.
legendary
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Seems like playing Lottery in our country, everytime you buy a ticket, you've also add more amount on the top of winning prize, that's why many people here is eager to place so many picking numbers and lotto cards as long as they are capable to buy so. to be honest, people who have only one ticket in their possession are easily to win even if the prize is not that big,  than those who bet a lot of cards and in the end, only one will win the winning jackpot prize

This is a common mistake made by people who don't know math. Lotteries are especially popular in poor countries that lack basic education. Even educated people can't comprehend large numbers, and I've seen a number of interviews on youtube showing this. We cannot imagine how a billion dollars would look like in the form of bills. If you told someone that they win a billion dollars if they can transport it by themselves, they'd agree. Many would ask if they can bring a car or something and feel smart about it, but in reality you can't fit a billion in a car. You'd need a truck for that.

Betting on more numbers increases your chances of winning, but it's such a small increase that even if you buy a thousand lottery tickets your chances are still 0
hero member
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I definitely agree this. There will always be millions of variables that will change outcome/result of game. When you add one more game to your betting coupon, you add millions more on top of it. In my opinion its best to bet on lowest number of games gambling company will allow. For example gambling monopoly in my country, sometimes allow coupons to have 1 big game or 1 big/1 small game (big game means derby in general). So winning chance is greater.

Seems like playing Lottery in our country, everytime you buy a ticket, you've also add more amount on the top of winning prize, that's why many people here is eager to place so many picking numbers and lotto cards as long as they are capable to buy so. to be honest, people who have only one ticket in their possession are easily to win even if the prize is not that big,  than those who bet a lot of cards and in the end, only one will win the winning jackpot prize
This is they typical stuff on lotteries on which the jackpot prize would really be keeping on piling up until there's no one would be able to hit up the pot or jackpot on which this is the basic mechanics.
When it becomes that bigger then the tension and interest of people or those bettors would really be going up high too on which there are those people who do become hopefuls on which on the time
that they do see the jackpot prize is bigger, the higher they do really buy up tickets in higher numbers and this is where things turns out to be impulsive.
Literally and mathematically speaking which odds are really that getting higher but not on the sense that you could hit up jackpot. How many millions of odds
you would really be needing to hit up. Cheesy
sr. member
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I definitely agree this. There will always be millions of variables that will change outcome/result of game. When you add one more game to your betting coupon, you add millions more on top of it. In my opinion its best to bet on lowest number of games gambling company will allow. For example gambling monopoly in my country, sometimes allow coupons to have 1 big game or 1 big/1 small game (big game means derby in general). So winning chance is greater.

Seems like playing Lottery in our country, everytime you buy a ticket, you've also add more amount on the top of winning prize, that's why many people here is eager to place so many picking numbers and lotto cards as long as they are capable to buy so. to be honest, people who have only one ticket in their possession are easily to win even if the prize is not that big,  than those who bet a lot of cards and in the end, only one will win the winning jackpot prize
full member
Activity: 462
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Duelbits.com
As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.
It's very true that when we make too many picks it reduces our accuracy but fewer picks aswell doesn't reduce your your risk or make accuracy get up 100% but it only increase your chances of winning and decrease your chances of getting too many losses, when you make fewer picks you get better analysis and spend lesser time because you have only a few games to analyze but with many game you have to spend hours analysing to get a good level of accuracy. Everything in gambling still falls under probability so just make sure to increase your winnings probability by few quality picks.

If you make only few quality picks, it's very possible you will be able to get wins consistently and if you are consistently winning you get a chance to win big easier than some one who keeps adding too many games at once on their bet slip.
hero member
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~snip~
Depends on the capability of the gambler but me i don't recommend this kind of strategy in playing slot games even though it's just pulling the lever or making an automated spin still its good if you enjoy a single game with the outcome, in two games or more played the same time there's no assurance with your money to win the game so why not enjoy the current game and if you not well played in the first one get into another, but if this game is related in sports and e-sports gambling that's the time make a multiple bet ideally, because its all about analyzing the winner of the game, first 10 scores higher chance, winners of the game and etc. I do multiple betting with the different games in this genre.
Indeed, no guarantee playing slots will result in winning, especially if they use more money. They could have the opportunity to experience more defeats if they cannot take care of themselves well. If they still try to play slots even by purchasing the Bonus feature, it will also not always guarantee they can get big wins. But that's what makes many gamblers play slots more often because of the temptation to get big multipliers, especially if those people often see videos of people who managed to get big multipliers. And if they play sports betting, they can choose many or few sports bets, but they must have analytical skills to determine their bets. It may take longer, especially if they don't have better analytical skills.
We can't just conclude that making too many picks can make us to loses more when we bet. Things are different the way we bets is different also. Some persons belief that if they pick more games or matches, their possibility of winning would be low while others thing the opposite is the case. We don't need to affirm it to everyone pointing that if we choose more games we could lose more. Professional gamblers does not care about how many games we are selecting but only after the sure and predictable games. Any how we choose to bet is all left to us and we don't have to see other people as doing the wrong things.
hero member
Activity: 2912
Merit: 556
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~snip~
Depends on the capability of the gambler but me i don't recommend this kind of strategy in playing slot games even though it's just pulling the lever or making an automated spin still its good if you enjoy a single game with the outcome, in two games or more played the same time there's no assurance with your money to win the game so why not enjoy the current game and if you not well played in the first one get into another, but if this game is related in sports and e-sports gambling that's the time make a multiple bet ideally, because its all about analyzing the winner of the game, first 10 scores higher chance, winners of the game and etc. I do multiple betting with the different games in this genre.
Indeed, no guarantee playing slots will result in winning, especially if they use more money. They could have the opportunity to experience more defeats if they cannot take care of themselves well. If they still try to play slots even by purchasing the Bonus feature, it will also not always guarantee they can get big wins. But that's what makes many gamblers play slots more often because of the temptation to get big multipliers, especially if those people often see videos of people who managed to get big multipliers. And if they play sports betting, they can choose many or few sports bets, but they must have analytical skills to determine their bets. It may take longer, especially if they don't have better analytical skills.
sr. member
Activity: 2296
Merit: 360
Sports betting isn't about taking chances and trying your luck on every single game you come across, it's not like gambling games where you make a guess, place your bet, and wait for the outcome. The essence of sports betting is that if you master a certain sport, you can be able to earn profit through it because you can win more matches than you may lose if you are only making bets that you are confident about and aren't just making random picks here and there.

This is why, it's important to have knowledge and experience about single or multiple sports to gain success in sports betting. People earn hundreds of thousands of dollars every year from sports betting and they don't do it by trying their luck on each game, but they analyse every match and pick their sides very carefully every time.
Only noobs would really be having that kind of mindset or belief into their minds that they could really be actually be able to handle every bets that they could really be able to encounter even into those sports
that they arent aware off on which i've known someone of my friends who do really make out those kind of bets and sticking into those favorites, but its not shocking that the results or winning rate or profitability
is really that in negative even if he would really be sticking out into those heavily favorites on which it do really still ends up on negative. This is why it doesnt really matter on how many games
you would really be betting on as long you are really that knowledgeable then this what it counts.

Dont make yourself that believe that you could really be able to take advantage or being profitable with those kind of method. This is why it would be always best that
you should really be that making bets according into your own interest and knowledge. This is where gambling would really be that
worth on betting on.
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