Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. - page 10. (Read 1729 times)

You are correct making too many pick sometimes always goes off from the track of winning like I does I can select a maximum of 15 matches and minimum of 2 matches sometimes I do pick single bet. With this one can stand a big chances of winning the bet than going higher and mostly I have understood that whenever my games go above 10 matches would always finds it difficult to enter all rather I could be cut off on the last match and is something that has been regularly happening to me, when I select my matches I will find out that 1 matches among all would still cut.

We can't lie that we want money, everyone wants and needs money and therefore when someone is involved in gambling with the wrong understanding and perspective then usually as you said they tend to risk large amounts of money because the winnings are also sure to be large, but what they don't think about and consider is that gambling has absolutely no certainty about the final result being what you want, and what if at that time you lose? Obviously that is something that is very likely to happen, right? and this is the beginning of the cycle of addiction which begins where the wrong understanding makes them not have the ability to accept the real fact at the end of the session that they are losing and losing money which ultimately makes them emotional and continues gambling with larger bet amounts to return the money they have lost. already lost.

On the other hand, if you increase the number of bets then honestly I can't say that your goal is for entertainment, this is nothing more than your reason, in fact what they want is a big win. Experts have a lot of experience, they already know the various situations that exist there, so if there are indications that could make them lose control, usually they will be firm in their self-control by preferring to rest first.

I hope we can do that as a gambler. In reality, most of us tend to choose putting more bets as that brings more entertainment, we always value first the entertainment before the chances of winning, and when we do that, we are just treating sports betting as a game of luck.

Maybe that's what separates us from the experts, because they know how to control their emotion, they will only put a bet once they are 100% sure, no more messing around, it's a pure business for them.

Since I don't usually play sportsbetting this will also apply to lottery and this happened to me many times before. I placed bets on multiple combinations just to increase my chances of winning but what really happened was the opposite. I keep on doing that for a while and then realized that it gave me nothing but upset on the consecutive loss I suffered. I think it would be better if it is based only on our instincts though it also does not guarantee any winnings but it might help us lessen the loss.

It could be. Many single picks. We tend to exhausts our resources on the first game that we predicted so we have a high chance to win that. On our next bets we might get lazy at checking the statistics and history of the team we are betting and their opponents. Yes, we reduce the chance to win.
But, let's also consider those who only follow one sport. What if they really know what the result might be because they are following that certain game? That's also a fact because many gamblers are just focused on one favorite game and they might really have an idea who will win. I bet 3 to 4 games on one day in just one sport so I can say that there are gamblers who are successful at winning 75 - 80 percent of their bets.

Quality over quantity is a basic rule of sports betting. Betting on a lot of different games lets you do more in-depth study and analysis. Using this method enables you to make smart choices by analyzing things like odds, team success, and player statistics. It's better to make decisions by selecting carefully do some analyzation.

Although for some gamblers, making too many picks will increase their chances of winning it's the opposite because making a lot of picks means you are also increasing the risk and you could lose more than a single pick, I prefer to pick single choices one at a time because it will decrease the risk of losing such large amount of money and of course I have a limit to budget so I know when to make a choice or pick, think of this if you make too many picks means you will be more less focus and the level of anxiety waiting for the result will also increase, so its better to not let your greedy take over, its better to earn little than to lose huge amount in one go, that is the most mistakes of other gamblers, they becoming more greedy and taking things rush as if it will help them to win or to have a winnings.

Yes definitely, if you play more games by placing more bets, then it means that you are taking more risk to make more money. Now we know that with high risk the chances of loss also increases. Hence, it’s often seen that we make losses in this type of situation. We can easily counter this, if we set a daily budget and bet according to it. Don’t greed for more, and you won’t lose more.

I thought this was about parlay betting but it turns out it's about single bets, maybe if you make more parlay bets, make more choices, it will indeed reduce your chances of winning, it's better with fewer choices with really accurate analysis so the chance of winning is greater. Talking about betting actually, this depends on us, if you choose many bets, for example 20 matches and only lose 2 or 3 matches, then you will still get a profit, because in fact the more you have single choice, the greater the chance of winning, but you have to analyze it accurately and not carelessly so that it will bring you closer to profit, perhaps what the experts mean is that when making a parlay bet, the more we choose to bet, the chance of winning decreases, but if it is a single bet, in my opinion it will be more profitable if many of your bets win compared to the other ones if you lose. This can also minimize losses, for example placing 10 bets and losing 3, we still get a profit on 7 that bets.

More single picks will let us avoid losses. This is true, because with parlay gamblers used to pick in a random manner whereas with single bet they used to analyse, gather data and pick the odds. With most of the single bets we won't be able to make big money as profit, but winning three bets and losing two will somehow gives us with a profit than losing the entire bet going for parlay.

Most punters I gave seen only know a handful of teams really well.
Yes ofc there are people that will know every little detail about their country's top tier and perhaps even second tier leagues by heart.
But the vast majority if us sport fans will maybe know some stuff about our local team, their rivals, the top of the league etc. So tops 3 to 5 teams.

And ofc if on any particular week you want to get many bets in, naturally you will have to put stakes in more games than the ones you know enough things to make educated decisions about. So the advice in the OP Is valid in that regard. If someone wants to make many different bets on a regular basis I would at least recommend making them in categories and teams they are more certain about.

If without betting on the favorite team that both play or see a match that is quite exciting, it is difficult to just make one bet.
Making a double bet isn't necessarily bad, it won't reduce your chances of winning.
Because we have several active bets, so the possibility of winning will be more.

The number of bets used is also adjusted to how much and what we have, maybe it will be divided evenly with several other bets.

We should value quality over quantity? This is only workable on the grounds that our staking power is very high. You don't expect a gambler whose staking power at most is $10 to be picking a single game with an odd of 1.20, how much are you expecting him to win as profit from that bet. But if it's from a high staker 1.20 odd with $100-500 stake can bring out something meaningful for a gambler that's ain't greedy

Parlays betting may be very hard to avoid because many gamblers uses the parlay as a means to increase their potential winning due to their low staking power.

It's not parlay so just in general spreading your bets across various matches instead? I'd say that's common sense really. It's not even a matter of not being able to analyze all games, just the fact that your money is spread over various games already screams of reducing the profits you could possibly gain. Whoever thought of this probably mistook his gambling portfolio for his trading portfolio really.

Not to mention that winning a lot is a lot harder compared to winning it big once. In essence really it's rather similar to how parlay works, though I guess the former is still better than the latter.

It seems to me that even if some of our picks win, placing too many bets without a calculated plan could result in lower payouts. You might not be much affected by the number of picks because the odds are usually stacked in the house's favor. I believe that you can maintain mental clarity and sanity by making fewer decisions. Naturally, the key to increasing our chances of winning at gambling is to comprehend the odds, the game's mechanics, and to have a well-thought-out strategy.

I thought that you're talking about parlay. But I don't think that there is a difference whether you do single bets or do it on a parlay. The chances of winning will remain the same but it's just harder with parlay. So, avoiding the discussion about parlay and moving to the single bets and what you're describing here is about the consecutive bets and that's gonna reduce my chance of winning, but how? I think if I understand it right, it's about how many picks/bets not with many choices per bet. IMHO, if it's been said by an expert/s it's better to put that link or case study to solidify and back that claim about the reduced chance of winning when you pick a lot of bets daily. To see on how it reduces the chance of winning and that's another knowledge that we'll learn and gain.

My initial thought was, if I place a lot of bets, it means my chances of winning will be greater. And it turns out that was a wrong idea, because what is clear is that the more bets I place, the higher the level of loss I will experience. And it is true, that the less we place bets, the easier it is for us to control them. And vice versa. Because sometimes when I place too many bets, it encourages me to behave carelessly, by placing bets carelessly without any calculation, analysis or a definite and mature prediction. And the more we place bets, the closer we get to feeling addicted to betting or gambling itself. So it would be better if we placed bets in reasonable amounts, apart from minimizing the occurrence of significant losses, this also needs to be done so that we can be more focused and mature in carrying out calculations, analysis and predictions. .

There are some similarities between picking bets and buying into shares on the stock market, however you're actually up against a much harder contender when choosing to place a bet. They have a lot more useful statistics that are heavily analyzed, but still there is room for the bookmakers to make errors when pricing up the odds they give to people placing bets. Ultimately though, you need a long term strategy and you're right - it is better to pick quality over quantity. However the extent to which you can analyse better than a bookmaker is limited, it may actually be worth looking into artificial intelligence to see whether it can identify any weaknesses or trends in data sets you can provide to it on previous bets.

There are really those moment or situations on which there are really some exemptions for you to not on making some bets basing up on what you do observed or basing up on what you havent seen or something like that.
Its not necessary for you to fill up a number of bets on a particular day, it would be pointless or useless if you do rush up on making multiple bets on a single day even if you arent that sure if its gonna win or not.
There are gamblers who are really that just too desperate on trying to catch up with multiple bets because  they are really that eager on making profits in a short time basis without even trying out to
mind off about on the risks factor thing which we know that it is really that important. Speaking about on having many picks then it doesnt automatically means that you do have that reduced
chances of winning but rather the opposite but it would be always be that depending on how well you do pick those bets basing up into your analysis.

There's no valid formula in betting, some people have win really long coupons, white some have won short and few selections. I'll put it to him that he's saying what possibly works for  him, he needs to remember that peoples gates are different and his magic might not probably be another person's magic.

The most important thing in gambling is finding out what works for you and follow put, follow your heart and have fun.