Sorry for suckering you in Trofo. I feel really bad.
I actually had the nagging feeling as soon as I saw the HT lineup. Milner wasn't so worrying but when Gomez had to play LB, and then Lovren had to come in, then I knew we simply weren't equipped to penetrate once Keita got off.
Oh well:)
Least I got the other parlay right, so it softens the blow and we're a step to freebets.
Tonight:
Game 1: Lecce vs Milan. Milan WIN @1.63. SB odds: 1.62
Game 2: City vs Burnley. Corners over 9.5 @1.43. SB odds: 1.39
Game 3: Bologna vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.65. SB odds: 1.64
Game 4: Leganes vs Granada. Granda WIN @3.55. SB odds: 3.55
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @13.84. SB parlay: 13.10
Bet ID: 04547565
Odds advantage: 5.64%
Units advantage: 74
Running advantage after 330 bets: +8,032.62 (+74)
All-time cumulative: +30,031.84
Running units after 329 bets (54W|275L): +10,237.15 (-600 for 2 settled bets including yesterday's 500unit bet, and +187 = -413)
Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 48. (Read 38849 times)
Anyway, I'm going to take some fairly inadvisable risks today so will probably keep updating this page. Because Liverpool have to be so motivated to win, I'm putting five times the normal bet (500 units) on a single on them at Sportsbet to WIN vs Everton @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.56.
Well, you sure suckered me into betting on Liverpool. I was thinking to skip it in the morning on grounds that they will want it way too much and if they don't score early there could be some mental block and a way for Everton to exploit that, especially since it is the first game after the break and local derby. Now i thought about the game a bit more and decided that Liverpool quality and their will to finally secure the title have to be enough to beat Everton.
In the end I also placed a big single on them so we can all be red tonight.
I'm so in love with that Brighton win. I thought it was over when Pepe got the lead tbh, even though Arsenal looked like they'd crumble before then. Maupay injury time winner bags us our biggest parlay win of post-covid and takes us back above 10,000 units!
Anyway, I'm going to take some fairly inadvisable risks today so will probably keep updating this page. Because Liverpool have to be so motivated to win, I'm putting five times the normal bet (500 units) on a single on them at Sportsbet to WIN vs Everton @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.56.
Bet ID: 5eef1742f725ea486d665b62
Odds advantage: 3.85%
Units advantage: 30
Also, FJ has a great 4+1 promo going on -- you can look up the terms here, but basically after 4 qualifying sports bets, they give you a free bet worth the average of the 4. I'll have an odds DISadvantage actually, but the freebet is a really good value for me, so I'll post some less-than-typical bets for myself, and calculate the disadvantage anyway if there is! Starting with:
Game 1: Valencia vs Osasuna. Valencia WIN @2.01. Betcoin odds: 2.04
Game 2: Inter vs Sampdoria. Inter WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.43
100 units parlay @2.87. Betcoin parlay: 2.92
Bet ID: 18091566
Odds advantage: -1.74%
Units advantage: -5
Anyway, I'm going to take some fairly inadvisable risks today so will probably keep updating this page. Because Liverpool have to be so motivated to win, I'm putting five times the normal bet (500 units) on a single on them at Sportsbet to WIN vs Everton @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.56.
Bet ID: 5eef1742f725ea486d665b62
Odds advantage: 3.85%
Units advantage: 30
Also, FJ has a great 4+1 promo going on -- you can look up the terms here, but basically after 4 qualifying sports bets, they give you a free bet worth the average of the 4. I'll have an odds DISadvantage actually, but the freebet is a really good value for me, so I'll post some less-than-typical bets for myself, and calculate the disadvantage anyway if there is! Starting with:
Game 1: Valencia vs Osasuna. Valencia WIN @2.01. Betcoin odds: 2.04
Game 2: Inter vs Sampdoria. Inter WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.43
100 units parlay @2.87. Betcoin parlay: 2.92
Bet ID: 18091566
Odds advantage: -1.74%
Units advantage: -5
Running advantage after 328 bets: +7,958.62 (+25)
All-time cumulative: +29,957.84
Running units after 325 bets (53W|273L): +10,650.15 (+854 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,957.84
Running units after 325 bets (53W|273L): +10,650.15 (+854 units)
Why did I go for that additional parlay? Even if Spurs made it, Barca didn't haha. Bloody éll.
Anyway, I got a really nice one for today, a 4-way favourite parlay from Sportsbet with boosted odds.
Game 1: Villa vs Chelsea. Chelsea win @1.54
Game 2: Everton vs Liverpool. Pool win @1.61
Game 3: Schalke vs Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg win @1.75
Game 4: Bayern vs Freiburg. Bayern win @1.14.
Boosted parlay at Sportsbet @6.0. Regular parlay: 4.95
Odds advantage: 21.2%
Units advantage: 105
Since I don't learn my lesson, let's go for a double-headed upset with Brighton and BVB (they're the underdog, shocker) to win:
Game 1: Leipzig vs BVB. BVB to win @3.15. SB odds: 3.10
Game 2: Brighton vs Arsenal. Brighton to win @3.03. SB odds: 2.99
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.54. SB parlay: 9.26
Edit, adding the betslip
Odds advantage: 3.02%
Units advantage: 28
Anyway, I got a really nice one for today, a 4-way favourite parlay from Sportsbet with boosted odds.
Game 1: Villa vs Chelsea. Chelsea win @1.54
Game 2: Everton vs Liverpool. Pool win @1.61
Game 3: Schalke vs Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg win @1.75
Game 4: Bayern vs Freiburg. Bayern win @1.14.
Boosted parlay at Sportsbet @6.0. Regular parlay: 4.95
Odds advantage: 21.2%
Units advantage: 105
Since I don't learn my lesson, let's go for a double-headed upset with Brighton and BVB (they're the underdog, shocker) to win:
Game 1: Leipzig vs BVB. BVB to win @3.15. SB odds: 3.10
Game 2: Brighton vs Arsenal. Brighton to win @3.03. SB odds: 2.99
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.54. SB parlay: 9.26
Edit, adding the betslip
Odds advantage: 3.02%
Units advantage: 28
Running advantage after 326 bets: +7,933.62 (+133)
All-time cumulative: +29,932.84
Running units after 325 bets (52W|273L): +9,796.15 (-200 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,932.84
Running units after 325 bets (52W|273L): +9,796.15 (-200 units)
Interesting. The math for me would go as follows:
HK to score 6.2 + MR to score 5.4
I would add those two and divide by 2 to get median odd
6.2+5.4=11.6
11.6/2=5.8
And then you basically have two chances to get it right instead of one so again I would again divide by 2
5.8 / 2 = 2,9
They give you odds @4.5 which seems like great value for me.
HK to score 6.2 + MR to score 5.4
I would add those two and divide by 2 to get median odd
6.2+5.4=11.6
11.6/2=5.8
And then you basically have two chances to get it right instead of one so again I would again divide by 2
5.8 / 2 = 2,9
They give you odds @4.5 which seems like great value for me.
I think you're right actually! If I were to have $1, I could put 50 cents on each outcome and only win either $3.1 or $2.7. (so an averaged profitability of $2.9.
But if I have $1 and put it all on the SB one, if any of them score, I get $4.5. And I'm not taking this only because they're both the likely scorers for each of their teams (all the bookies have them as the most likely to score), they are ALSO the first-choice penalty takers for both teams, so if that happens first, they're stepping up =)
That's over 50% boosted odds!
Would merit you if I had any heh heh.
I'm going to relax a bit today and just bet on one special at Sportsbet (at least, that's what I'm telling myself now). I don't know how to compare odds on there but as a sort of yardstick:
Harry Kane first to score at Betcoin: 62/10
Rashford first to score at Betcoin: 54/10
So for me, 100 units at Sportsbet on Kane/Rashford to score first @4.5 is good enough!
Harry Kane first to score at Betcoin: 62/10
Rashford first to score at Betcoin: 54/10
So for me, 100 units at Sportsbet on Kane/Rashford to score first @4.5 is good enough!
Interesting. The math for me would go as follows:
HK to score 6.2 + MR to score 5.4
I would add those two and divide by 2 to get median odd
6.2+5.4=11.6
11.6/2=5.8
And then you basically have two chances to get it right instead of one so again I would again divide by 2
5.8 / 2 = 2,9
They give you odds @4.5 which seems like great value for me.
Oops Valencia. And we dip below 10,000 units in profit. Oh well! Season almost ending so we're sure to be in profit heh.
I'm going to relax a bit today and just bet on one special at Sportsbet (at least, that's what I'm telling myself now). I don't know how to compare odds on there but as a sort of yardstick:
Harry Kane first to score at Betcoin: 62/10
Rashford first to score at Betcoin: 54/10
So for me, 100 units at Sportsbet on Kane/Rashford to score first @4.5 is good enough!
No odds advantage.
Edit: I couldn't resist it honestly. Saints inplay /Barca/Spurs parlay please at over 16/1. I'll update stats in a bit as soon as my sportsbook accepts... giving me problems.
I'm going to relax a bit today and just bet on one special at Sportsbet (at least, that's what I'm telling myself now). I don't know how to compare odds on there but as a sort of yardstick:
Harry Kane first to score at Betcoin: 62/10
Rashford first to score at Betcoin: 54/10
So for me, 100 units at Sportsbet on Kane/Rashford to score first @4.5 is good enough!
No odds advantage.
Edit: I couldn't resist it honestly. Saints inplay /Barca/Spurs parlay please at over 16/1. I'll update stats in a bit as soon as my sportsbook accepts... giving me problems.
Running advantage after 324 bets: +7,800.62 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +29,799.84
Running units after 323 bets (52W|271L): +9,996.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,799.84
Running units after 323 bets (52W|271L): +9,996.15 (-100 units)
Aresenal was awful yesterday, I had that game as both to score and Arsenal didn't even manage to put a single shot at the goal. They had one nice chance when somebody broke the right flank and gave a perfect ball to Auba and he didn't even manage to take the shot from few meters in front the goal. It was just one of those days.
I like your tip for today, Valencia usually plays good against Real. I again opted for much safer both to score in that match as well. Good luck, and may Valencia win 3:1, that suits us both and helps Barca to win the tittle
I like your tip for today, Valencia usually plays good against Real. I again opted for much safer both to score in that match as well. Good luck, and may Valencia win 3:1, that suits us both and helps Barca to win the tittle
I actually thought, ok not bad, we can end the half 0-0 and Arsenal will switch gears and the tides will turn but classic David Luiz, right?
I didn't seriously think they were going to be that bad. Arteta must have been easy on them or something.
But yes, Valencia's a dark horse and Ramos was Real's best player in the last game and he wasn't THAT good -- I think there's something a bit off about the team and we could see a small upset.
Oh and yes, not a big Barca fan but definitely them over Real plus, I do like Suarez and Messi =D
BVB sucked ass big time, but not as big as Arsenal. A bit shameful if I'm honest!
Zidane did not like Real's last performance and I'm wondering if they might fall to Valencia, so here's my daring bet.
100 units at Betcoin on Valencia to WIN vs Real Madrid @8.14. SB odds: 7.80
Zidane did not like Real's last performance and I'm wondering if they might fall to Valencia, so here's my daring bet.
100 units at Betcoin on Valencia to WIN vs Real Madrid @8.14. SB odds: 7.80
Aresenal was awful yesterday, I had that game as both to score and Arsenal didn't even manage to put a single shot at the goal. They had one nice chance when somebody broke the right flank and gave a perfect ball to Auba and he didn't even manage to take the shot from few meters in front the goal. It was just one of those days.
I like your tip for today, Valencia usually plays good against Real. I again opted for much safer both to score in that match as well. Good luck, and may Valencia win 3:1, that suits us both and helps Barca to win the tittle
BVB sucked ass big time, but not as big as Arsenal. A bit shameful if I'm honest!
Zidane did not like Real's last performance and I'm wondering if they might fall to Valencia, so here's my daring bet.
100 units at Betcoin on Valencia to WIN vs Real Madrid @8.14. SB odds: 7.80
Odds advantage: 4.36%
Units advantage: 34
Zidane did not like Real's last performance and I'm wondering if they might fall to Valencia, so here's my daring bet.
100 units at Betcoin on Valencia to WIN vs Real Madrid @8.14. SB odds: 7.80
Odds advantage: 4.36%
Units advantage: 34
Running advantage after 323 bets: +7,800.62 (+34)
All-time cumulative: +29,799.84
Running units after 322 bets (52W|270L): +10,096.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,799.84
Running units after 322 bets (52W|270L): +10,096.15 (-100 units)
It was going pretty well until the underserved red card. Was sure the review would overturn it but I guess you gotta take the bad luck with it. Still, 0-0 showed this should have been a high value bet!
Tonight we celebrate the return of EPL and I'm going for a huge Arsenal upset so that we can enjoy the league celebrations at Goodison park =D
Game 1: Borussia Dortmund-1. Fsv Mainz 05. BVB WIN @1.35. SB odds: same
Game 2: Manchester City-Arsenal FC. Arsenal WIN @8.40. SB odds: same
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.34
No odds advantage.
Tonight we celebrate the return of EPL and I'm going for a huge Arsenal upset so that we can enjoy the league celebrations at Goodison park =D
Game 1: Borussia Dortmund-1. Fsv Mainz 05. BVB WIN @1.35. SB odds: same
Game 2: Manchester City-Arsenal FC. Arsenal WIN @8.40. SB odds: same
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.34
No odds advantage.
Running advantage after 322 bets: +7,766.62 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +29,765.84
Running units after 321 bets (52W|269L): +10,196.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,765.84
Running units after 321 bets (52W|269L): +10,196.15 (-100 units)
Oh Granada. You deceived me. Leading 1-0, looked like they rediscovered their old selves. And then with 6 minutes to go, they even had to fight back in the 90th with Soldado's goal just snatching a point back.
Anyway. Backing Paderborn to go down miserably again, while I've got the hots for Espanyol.
Game 1: Union Berlin vs Paderborn. Berlin WIN @1.69. SB odds: 1.67
Game 2: Getafe vs Espanyol. Espanyol WIN @4.33. SB odds: 4.27
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.32. Sportsbet parlay: 7.13
Odds advantage: 2.66%
Units advantage: 19
Anyway. Backing Paderborn to go down miserably again, while I've got the hots for Espanyol.
Game 1: Union Berlin vs Paderborn. Berlin WIN @1.69. SB odds: 1.67
Game 2: Getafe vs Espanyol. Espanyol WIN @4.33. SB odds: 4.27
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.32. Sportsbet parlay: 7.13
Odds advantage: 2.66%
Units advantage: 19
Running advantage after 321 bets: +7,766.62 (+19)
All-time cumulative: +29,765.84
Running units after 320 bets (52W|268L): +10,296.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,765.84
Running units after 320 bets (52W|268L): +10,296.15 (-100 units)
Heartbreak. Basel actually went 2-0 up, and then contrived to give away 2 goals in less than 2 minutes, before heading to extra time to finally win it. We bet on FT results, though so lost the parlay.
And then Sociedad also failed to win after giving away a penalty, so we lost both remaining parlays on the last leg. Very disappointing!
A single today on our boys Granada. 100 units at Betcoin @4.32. SB odds: 4.28
Odds advantage: 0.9%
Units advantage: 4
And then Sociedad also failed to win after giving away a penalty, so we lost both remaining parlays on the last leg. Very disappointing!
A single today on our boys Granada. 100 units at Betcoin @4.32. SB odds: 4.28
Odds advantage: 0.9%
Units advantage: 4
Running advantage after 320 bets: +7,747.62 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +29,746.84
Running units after 319 bets (52W|267L): +10,396.15 (-200 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,746.84
Running units after 319 bets (52W|267L): +10,396.15 (-200 units)
Well, it's not like Inter didn't do it right, 17 shots to 6 but Napoli do what Italians are capable of. Wear out and frustrate, now they're through to the final. On the other hand, Barca won easy so we're ALMOST there on our 6/1 parlay, just need Real and Sociedad not to f it up.
It's ok, let's do another home parlay:
Game 1: Rapid Wein vs Wolfsberg. Wein WIN @2.19. SB odds: 2.16
Game 2: Salzburg vs LASK. Salzburg WIN @1.47. SB odds: 1.46
Game 3: Lausanne vs Basel. Basel WIN @1.86. SB odds: 1.86
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.99. SB parlay: 5.86
Odds advantage: 2.21%
Units advantage: 13
It's ok, let's do another home parlay:
Game 1: Rapid Wein vs Wolfsberg. Wein WIN @2.19. SB odds: 2.16
Game 2: Salzburg vs LASK. Salzburg WIN @1.47. SB odds: 1.46
Game 3: Lausanne vs Basel. Basel WIN @1.86. SB odds: 1.86
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.99. SB parlay: 5.86
Odds advantage: 2.21%
Units advantage: 13
Running advantage after 319 bets: +7,747.62 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +29,746.84
Running units after 317 bets (52W|265L): +10,596.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,746.84
Running units after 317 bets (52W|265L): +10,596.15 (-100 units)
Disastrous. Didn't watch the matches, had a lazy Friday catching up with stuff but 0-0 Juventus? Couldn't save me even if Hoffenheim won!
Bayern ought to win tonight to ensure they are 1 game away from winning the title, so I'll parlay that with a couple of selections later (maybe) but for now, it's Inter's boys to win, parlayed with Werder Bremen taking a step closer to relegation safety.
Game 1: Paderborn vs Bremen. Bremen WIN @2.24. SB odds: 2.22
Game 2: Napoli vs Inter Milan. Inter WIN @2.53. SB odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.67. SB parlay: 5.55
Odds advantage: 2.16%
Units advantage: 12
Bayern ought to win tonight to ensure they are 1 game away from winning the title, so I'll parlay that with a couple of selections later (maybe) but for now, it's Inter's boys to win, parlayed with Werder Bremen taking a step closer to relegation safety.
Game 1: Paderborn vs Bremen. Bremen WIN @2.24. SB odds: 2.22
Game 2: Napoli vs Inter Milan. Inter WIN @2.53. SB odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.67. SB parlay: 5.55
Odds advantage: 2.16%
Units advantage: 12
Running advantage after 318 bets: +7,734.62 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +29,733.84
Running units after 316 bets (52W|264L): +10,696.15 (-200 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,733.84
Running units after 316 bets (52W|264L): +10,696.15 (-200 units)
Lovely win, and all were quite comfortable too. Home "advantage" looked good for us, but let's switch back to the underdog today. Leipzig will lose Werner to Chelsea but they'll want to max him out and get UCL qualification, but you know what? I like Hoffenheim's chances against a distracted Werner =p
But since we like piling on the risk, Ronaldo to score first and give Juve the win!
Game 1: Hoffenheim-RB Leipzig. Hoffenheim WIN @6.46. SB odds: 6.40
Game 2: Juventus Turin-AC Milan. Juve WIN @1.56. SB odds: 1.53
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.08. SB parlay: 9.86
Odds advantage: 2.23%
Units advantage: 22
Ronaldo to score first at SB @4.5. Betcoin odds: 3.23
Bet ID: 5ee1db284d04dde38c2a16cd
Odds advantage: 39.3%
Units advantage: 127
Total units advantage: 149
But since we like piling on the risk, Ronaldo to score first and give Juve the win!
Game 1: Hoffenheim-RB Leipzig. Hoffenheim WIN @6.46. SB odds: 6.40
Game 2: Juventus Turin-AC Milan. Juve WIN @1.56. SB odds: 1.53
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.08. SB parlay: 9.86
Odds advantage: 2.23%
Units advantage: 22
Ronaldo to score first at SB @4.5. Betcoin odds: 3.23
Bet ID: 5ee1db284d04dde38c2a16cd
Odds advantage: 39.3%
Units advantage: 127
Total units advantage: 149
Running advantage after 317 bets: +7,722.62 (+149)
All-time cumulative: +29,721.84
Running units after 314 bets (52W|262L): +10,896.15 (+361 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,721.84
Running units after 314 bets (52W|262L): +10,896.15 (+361 units)
Frankfurt were the better team in a brief period after the restart and had they held on for a bit more after they equalised, this could have worn down Bayern. As it was, it's another Bayern final. We'll hope Havert's recovered by then!
I'm going to go really boring tonight and do home wins to celebrate La Liga's return!
Game 1: Tondela-CD Aves. Tondela WIN @1.80. SB odds: 1.78
Game 2: FC Sevilla-Real Betis Balompie. Sevilla WIN @1.90. SB odds: 1.87
Game 3: FC Ararat-Armenia-FC Ararat Yerevan. Armenia [email protected]. SB odds: 1.34
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.61. SB parlay: 4.46
Odds advantage: 3.36%
Units advantage: 15
Awesome parlay boost on Sportsbet: Sevilla/Real/Barca/Sociedad to win at 6.00. Betcoin parlay: 5.25
Odds advantage: 14.29%
Units advantage: 75
Total units advantage: 90
I'm going to go really boring tonight and do home wins to celebrate La Liga's return!
Game 1: Tondela-CD Aves. Tondela WIN @1.80. SB odds: 1.78
Game 2: FC Sevilla-Real Betis Balompie. Sevilla WIN @1.90. SB odds: 1.87
Game 3: FC Ararat-Armenia-FC Ararat Yerevan. Armenia [email protected]. SB odds: 1.34
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.61. SB parlay: 4.46
Odds advantage: 3.36%
Units advantage: 15
Awesome parlay boost on Sportsbet: Sevilla/Real/Barca/Sociedad to win at 6.00. Betcoin parlay: 5.25
Odds advantage: 14.29%
Units advantage: 75
Total units advantage: 90
Running advantage after 315 bets: +7,573.62 (+90)
All-time cumulative: +29,572.84
Running units after 313 bets (51W|262L): +10,535.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,572.84
Running units after 313 bets (51W|262L): +10,535.15 (-100 units)
It was an idiot bet after all, but to be fair, even at 0-2 down, Saarbrucken weren't completely hopeless. Already made history, nothing to lose, and everything to gain, I'd take that bet again any day. Odds should have been 25/1 at least, though!
Being an idiot, I will now bet on the other semi on Frankfurt, whom I know are horrendous away but hey, they did give Munich a scare didn't they?
100 units at Sportsbet on Eintracht Frankfurt to WIN vs Bayern Munich @21.33. Betcoin odds: 19.94
Bet ID: 5ee0d287a2dd3854360cd38e
Odds advantage: 6.97%
Units advantage: 139
Being an idiot, I will now bet on the other semi on Frankfurt, whom I know are horrendous away but hey, they did give Munich a scare didn't they?
100 units at Sportsbet on Eintracht Frankfurt to WIN vs Bayern Munich @21.33. Betcoin odds: 19.94
Bet ID: 5ee0d287a2dd3854360cd38e
Odds advantage: 6.97%
Units advantage: 139
Running advantage after 313 bets: +7,483.62 (+139)
All-time cumulative: +29,482.84
Running units after 312 bets (51W|261L): +10,635.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,482.84
Running units after 312 bets (51W|261L): +10,635.15 (-100 units)
I said it yesterday and it happened again. Both legs drew. Jerusalem I wasn't so upset about, they were the significant underdogs so a draw was a big upset but Hamburg to allow that kind of bombardment in the closing minutes? They're killing their return to the top tier of Bundesliga if they continue like this.
Anyway, let's keep it simple with an upset over a Kai Havert-less Leverkusen. I bet on them as the underdog in the last match but the coach showed just how weird he gets when the team he wants isn't available, so let's see if he helps his team out of Pokal too.
100 units at Sportsbet on Saarbrucken to WIN vs Leverkusen @15.98. Betcoin odds: 15.45
Bet ID: 5edf2f2e28479493e2def6de
Odds advantage: 3.43%
Units advantage: 53
Anyway, let's keep it simple with an upset over a Kai Havert-less Leverkusen. I bet on them as the underdog in the last match but the coach showed just how weird he gets when the team he wants isn't available, so let's see if he helps his team out of Pokal too.
100 units at Sportsbet on Saarbrucken to WIN vs Leverkusen @15.98. Betcoin odds: 15.45
Bet ID: 5edf2f2e28479493e2def6de
Odds advantage: 3.43%
Units advantage: 53
Running advantage after 312 bets: +7,344.62 (+53)
All-time cumulative: +29,343.84
Running units after 311 bets (51W|260L): +10,735.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,343.84
Running units after 311 bets (51W|260L): +10,735.15 (-100 units)
Draws. The bane of my betting, as I never bet on draws. Brain simply cannot accept that people will settle for it so wants a full points outcome.
Let's do another Israel league upset, and pair it with a home Hamburg win.
Game 1: Hamburger SV-Holstein Kiel. Hamburg WIN @1.64. SB odds: 1.60
Game 2: Beitar Jerusalem FC-Maccabi Tel Aviv. Jerusalem WIN @5.67. SB odds: 5.56
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.30. SB parlay: 8.89
Odds advantage: 4.61%
Units advantage: 41
Let's do another Israel league upset, and pair it with a home Hamburg win.
Game 1: Hamburger SV-Holstein Kiel. Hamburg WIN @1.64. SB odds: 1.60
Game 2: Beitar Jerusalem FC-Maccabi Tel Aviv. Jerusalem WIN @5.67. SB odds: 5.56
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.30. SB parlay: 8.89
Odds advantage: 4.61%
Units advantage: 41
Running advantage after 311 bets: +7,291.62 (+41)
All-time cumulative: +29,290.84
Running units after 310 bets (51W|259L): +10,835.15 (-100 units)
All-time cumulative: +29,290.84
Running units after 310 bets (51W|259L): +10,835.15 (-100 units)
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