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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 58. (Read 38849 times)

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Wow Leicester. Should have gone for a Jamie Vardy to score, he's really enjoying a renaissance under Brendan Rodgers, even if yes, they had to give him a penalty to get his hattrick still a massive victory and an easy leg of the parlay in the end.

And yes, nice pick to get Monaco to steal the away win. Nantes actually had more chances but maybe Monaco can finally drag themselves out of the past seasons of mediocrity. Lovely parlay to kickstart our weekend!

I got a few games on my mind today but shall we just go with an Aston Villa upset away at City? The villains aren't great but City could get cocky today, let's hope they do!

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Aston Villa to WIN vs Manchester City @31.0. Sportsbet odds: 29.0

Odds advantage: 6.9%
Units advantage: 200

Running advantage after 142 bets: +6,155.41 (+200)
All-time cumulative: +19,154.94
Running units after 141 bets (27W|114L): +5,716.05 (+509 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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We almost did it really! Such a shame we'll not get more wins because now the more bookies realise how good Rangers are getting under Stevie G, the better their odds will be in future. Hard to get ahead of the curve, keeps me thinking I should go for more handicaps.

In any case, a small parlay to kick off the weekend is in order.

Game 1: Nantes vs Monaco. Monaco WIN @2.66. Betcoin odds: 2.53
Game 2: Southampton vs Leicester. Leicester WIN @2.29. Betcoin odds: 2.26
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.09. Sportsbet parlay: 5.7178
BET ID: 5db2b32be0a57fce97603239

Odds advantage: 8.78%
Units advantage: 37.22

Running advantage after 141 bets: +5,955.41 (+37.22)
All-time cumulative: +18,954.94
Running units after 140 bets (26W|114L): +5,207.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Finally some joy. Should have gone ahead and gone with a long parlay the night before and picked all the favourites, but last night a few tricky surprises so we're happy Leipzig got their tough win... Barca also were lucky with an own goal to help them win, and Liverpool, I know the scoreline was 4-1 but we had a very nervous first half, and a disallowed goal that allowed us to keep cool.

Now I have an itch to bet a lot on tonight's games but let's start the day first with an upset by Rangers, who sit atop the league for the first time in so long. Put Porto to the sword!

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Rangers to WIN vs Porto @6.81. Betcoin odds: 6.28

Odds advantage: 8.78%
Units advantage: 53

Running advantage after 140 bets: +5,918.19 (+53)
All-time cumulative: +18,917.72
Running units after 139 bets (26W|113L): +5,307.05 (+208 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Ouchie in my tummy. Spurs wielded the might of Kane and Son, and smashed it down on us.

Champions League parlay. Liverpool must win, so we auto add it to a 2-leg parlay.

Game 1: Genk vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.29. Betcoin odds: 1.28
Game 2: Leipzig vs Zenit St Petersburg. Leipzig WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.63
Game 3: Slavia Prague vs Barcelona Barca WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @3.08. Betcoin parlay: 2.9627

Odds advantage: 3.96%
Units advantage: 11.73

Running advantage after 139 bets: +5,865.19 (+11.73)
All-time cumulative: +18,864.72
Running units after 138 bets (25W|113L): +5,099.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Thanks Arsenal. I was considering a simple Sheffield bet, but you guys fooled me with your recent form. Seems like you really haven't changed at all under Emery. And thanks Fiorentina, for compounding my parlay failure =p

Tonight it's Champs League! What do we do? Bet against Spurs:)

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Red Star Belgrade to WIN vs Tottenham Hotspur @11.92. Betcoin odds: 11.12

Odds advantage: 7.19%
Units advantage: 80

Running advantage after 138 bets: +5,853.46 (+80)
All-time cumulative: +18,852.99
Running units after 137 bets (25W|111L): +5,199.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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2 draws, and as we usually do, it's our toughest leg that makes it, and the easiest ones that don't. But it's fine for me. Liverpool keep their unbeaten streak, and we live to fight another day.

Arsenal, can they do it? With price boost, Sportsbet lets us have it at 2/1, parlay that with Fiorentina also at 2/1 and we have a doable 4/1.

Game 1: Sheffield Utd vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @2.01. Betcoin: 1.94
Game 2: Brescia vs Fiorentina. Fiorentina WIN @2.00. Betcoin: 2.00
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @4.02. Betcoin parlay @3.88

Bet ID: 5dadec60a71caa7a6ac8d304

Odds advantage: 3.51%
Units advantage: 14

Running advantage after 137 bets: +5,773.46 (+14)
All-time cumulative: +18,772.99
Running units after 136 bets (25W|111L): +5,299.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Damn it, damn it, damn it. How do you deal with Watford taking the lead, and then having VAR actually allow a goal for touching Dele Alli's hand (it said shoulder), when the Hornets totally should have taken the lead, doubled it, and booked their first win of the season. But man. Spurs.

Sigh. And Crystal Palace. Well. You had to wait til you were down 2-0 to get yourself in scoring chances?

Anyway. Parlay cross continent again!

Sampdoria vs Roma. Roma WIN @2.18. Betcoin: 2.20
Manchester Utd vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.71. Betcoin: 1.69
Espanyol vs Villareal. Vilalreal WIN @2.49. Betcoin: 2.39
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @9.28. Betcoin parlay: 8.8860
BET id: 5dab6f57a71caa3c4dc87ea5

Odds advantage: 4.43%
Units advantage: 39.4

Running advantage after 136 bets: +5,759.46 (+39.4)
All-time cumulative: +18,758.99
Running units after 135 bets (25W|110L): +5,399.05 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Ah great. 1 goal away from winning all legs of parlay. PSG were comfortable even by half time really, so that was no worry, and Granada got their sole goal but continued their amazing form. Cardiff didn't lose their home record but, it was only an equalising goal damn.

What do you think, can Crystal Palace pull a rabbit out of the hat today against City? At 12/1, hard to say no;)

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Crystal Palace to WIN vs Manchester City @12.02. Betcoin odds: 10.69

Odds advantage: 12.44%
Units advantage: 133

And what the hell, let's do a parlay on Watford to get their first win too eh?
Game 1: Eibar vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.55. Sportsbet odds: 1.49
Game 2: Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford. Watford WIN @7.31. Sportsbet: 7.00
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.3305. Sportsbet parlay: 10.43

Odds advantage: 8.63%
Units advantage: 90.05

Total units advantage: 223.05

Running advantage after 135 bets: +5,720.06 (+223.05)
All-time cumulative: +18,719.59
Running units after 133 bets (25W|108L): +5,599.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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No idea if I made that call right on the dot, or if I just got really really lucky.

The underdogs got ahead, were pegged back, before a crazy second half where they scored to make it 2-1, then got a red card, and yet still found a way to score and let in a goal.

3-2 shock away win. Football is life!

A return to club football deserves a cross-continent parlay! Cardiff hasn't lost at home, while Sheffield have lost half their away games.
PSG should stroll through Nice away, while Granada will continue to confound at home!

Game 1: Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday. Cardiff WIN @2.25. Betcoin odds: 2.29
Game 2: Nice vs PSG. PSG WIN @1.44. Betcoin odds: 1.40
Game 3: Granada vs Osasuna. Granada WIN @2.48. Betcoin odds: 2.40
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @8.04. Betcoin parlay: 7.91
BetID: 5da9518ce1232d8058df2628

Odds advantage: 1.64%
Units advantage: 13

Running advantage after 133 bets: +5,497.01 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +18,496.54
Running units after 132 bets (25W|107L): +5,699.05 (+440 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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I truly have no idea on today's picks. Can't believe it's the first time I'm saying this to be honest, normally, I even see a women's game I'd like to bet on opposite but club football has been notoriously predictable in terms of outcome.

So I'm going to go with an odd selection in the second league in Israel. They've lost or drawn every single game except their last, so let's count on them going on a purple patch!

100 units at Sportsbet.io on Beitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam to WIN vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion @5.40. Betcoin odds: 5.32
Bet ID: 5da8000ba71caa5e99c7ebea

Odds advantage: 1.52%
Units advantage: 8

Running advantage after 132 bets: +5,484.01 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +18,483.54
Running units after 131 bets (24W|107L): +5,259.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Funny why I still keep thinking that Eire are the same plucky guys that played in the era of Robbie Keane! The Swiss finally clicked into gear and got their deserved win.

Exotic leagues today, a simple parlay in La Liga 2 with a Copa Argentina match.

Game 1: Fuenlabrada vs Real Zaragoza. Zaragoza WIN @2.87. Betcoin odds: 2.76
Game 2: CA Central Cordoba SE vs Estudiantes de La Plata. Estudiantes WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.37
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.80. Betcoin odds: 6.54
Bet ID: 5da6aff14b9e3f127fdf4409

Odds advantage: 1.96%
Units advantage: 26

Running advantage after 131 bets: +5,476.01 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +18,475.54
Running units after 130 bets (24W|106L): +5,359.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Turkey eventually scraped to a draw, which is a crazy piece of credit to them really, being away and now topping that group ahead of France! The only problem was how lucky they were, 1 shot on goal and 1 goal, compared to France's 10!

But that's how you play football, choose the tactic that works for you!

Let's do a Euro qualifier unlikely parlay, with a huge Irish upset against the somewhat underperforming Swiss, and the Spanish to get a tricky away win!

Game 1: Switzerland-Ireland. Ireland WIN @7.21. Sportsbet odds: 7.00
Game 2: Sweden-Spain. Spain WIN @1.97. Sportsbet odds: 1.95
100 units parlay at Betcoin @14.2037. Sportsbet parlay: 13.65

Odds advantage: 4.06%
Units advantage: 55.37

Running advantage after 130 bets: +5,450.01 (+55.37)
All-time cumulative: +18,449.54
Running units after 129 bets (24W|105L): +5,459.05 (-100 units)

Note: cumulative numbers in previous post wrong, but updated to correct ones here.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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ALMOST there, but no banana in the end. Kenya almost seemed like they were giving this away as a host, I mean, that speech about how important the match was in relations. I thought they didn't look too upset losing...

Anyway, we loved Turkey the last time around, but this time France are at home with a loud crowd and we all know how that goes. But I still fancy Turkey, they've got good football, and the French won't have all of their guns. Another upset?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Turkey to WIN vs France @8.57. Betcoin odds: 7.84

Odds advantage: 3.46%
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 129 bets: +5,371.64 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +18,371.17
Running units after 128 bets (24W|104L): +5,559.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Well, it wasn't such a disaster after all. When it was 0-1 at halftime, and Armenia had all that shots and all that possession, thought it would be over. Credit to the boys for getting the goal, but why didn't they just win it haha.

We do a friendly parlay and avoid Euros ok?

Game 1: South Africa vs Mali. S. Africa WIN @2.02. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 2: Kenya vs Mozambique. Kenya WIN @1.99.
Game 3: Argentina vs Ecuador. Argentina WIN @1.71. Betcoind odds:
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.87. Betcoin parlay: 6.64
Bet ID: 5da30035a71caa14a3c73f6a

Odds advantage: 3.46%
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 128 bets: +5,371.64 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +18,371.17
Running units after 127 bets (24W|103L): +5,659.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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You know, Iceland almost did it. But we'll be happy and take 1/3 wins, thank you England and wow Henderson you played so horribly, I hope that's all out of your system now!

Tonight let's just go back to upsets.

100 units on Betcoin on Liechtenstein to WIN vs Armenia @9.72. Sportsbet: 9.20

Odds advantage: 5.65%
Units advantage: 52

Running advantage after 127 bets: +5,348.64 (+52)
All-time cumulative: +18,348.17
Running units after 126 bets (24W|102L): +5,759.05 (+339 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Idiot bet to add on in the end, even if Israel did score first and kept things even at half time, Austria was hammering on their door the entire match. Form goes out the window for national teams I guess!

Anyway, I'm taking a meek friendly here, only because the odds look like good value on the favourites:

Peru did pretty well in Copa but their coach left them and we've got Suarez on fire with the kind of form that carries teams.

Game 1: Uruguay vs Peru. Uruguay WIN @1.93. BCR: 1.91
Game 2: Morocco vs Libya. Morocco WIN @1.64. BCR: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.1652. BCR parlay: 3.056

Odds advantage: 3.57%
Units advantage: 10.92

Two upsets at equal odds, but we like them at home:
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Czech to WIN vs England @6.39. Betcoin odds: 5.98

Odds advantage: 6.86%
Units advantage: 41

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Iceland to WIN vs France @6.91. Betcoin odds: 6.34

Odds advantage: 8.99%
Units advantage: 57

Total units advantage: 108.92

Running advantage after 126 bets: +5,296.64 (+108.92)
All-time cumulative: +18,196.17
Running units after 123 bets (23W|100L): +5,420.05 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Well, we didn't do TOO badly in the end, I guess? After the quick Gnabry score and assist, Otamendi on a yellow and down 2-0 I thought Argentina were facing down a drubbing, but what do we know? Still, we didn't ask for a draw.

A LOT of interesting qualifiers tonight in AFC and Euro so we ARE rather spoilt for choice, but shall we dip our does first into a friendly or two?

Senegal are riding their form with a lot of good players playing at the height of their careers, so I'm going to go for a beautiful, physical and aggressive upset over the Brazilians at neutral ground.

100 units on Senegal to WIN vs Brazil @10.35. Betcoin odds: 9.31

Odds advantage: 11.17%
Units advantage: 104

Dammit Senegal equalised but couldn't grab the win! My bet now is on Euro, I'll pick an inform Israel to beat Austria
100 units at Betcoin on Israel to WIN vs Austria @7.95. BCR odds: 7.66

Odds advantage: 3.77%
Units advantage: 29

Total units: +133

Running advantage after 123 bets: +5,187.72 (+133)
All-time cumulative: +18,087.25
Running units after 121 bets (23W|98L): +5,420.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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I wouldn't say we were close. England still came away with the 1-0 win, but the Portuguese never really threatened to score either, so probably was a bad bet in the first place. Live and learn, no?

Another friendly today and you know what? Messi is not fully fit but he's hungry as ever, and it's a friendly so Germany will experiment. Upset?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Argentina to WIN vs Germany @4.13. Betcoin odds: 4.02.

Odds advantage: 2.78%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 121 bets: +5,054.72 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +17,954.25
Running units after 120 bets (23W|97L): +5,520.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Picked the wrong upset on the semi-professionals, but didn't matter as the underdog I picked in the Championship seemed content to settle for the point -- who blames them?

A lot of qualifiers going on but we had some mixed fortunes in the Women's in the last set of games, so I'll dip back into Women's friendlies. Maybe we'll return to qualifiers if the odds look good.

For now, we'll use a price boost to get nice odds on a Portugal home upset against the Lionesses.

100 units at Sportsbet.io on Portugal to WIN vs England @7.85. Sportsbet odds: 7.40.
Bet ID: 5d9c2f58b94a9149dee59f38

Odds advantage: 6.08%
Units advantage: 45

Running advantage after 120 bets: +5,043.72 (+45)
All-time cumulative: +17,943.25
Running units after 119 bets (23W|96L): +5,620.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
You know, on nights like these, you just feel so right!

Liverpool get the last-minute penalty, Palace get the late winner, and then Wolves the next day get the late goals. Totally worth it losing so many games earlier on (We even got into negative bankroll!). But now thans to glorious losses by the world's best football team (Arguably), we are up by over 50%!

And check out the 466 units gap between our bookie and the best of the rest! That's what you get for choosing the best odds! No brainer:)

Tonight, we go for simpler fare. A Bolton home win against in form Blackpool, parlayed with a cup victory for Gloucester against a team one league below them. Semi-pro football rocks sometimes haha.

Game 1: Bolton Wanderers vsBlackpool. Bolton WIN @4.83. Sportsbet odds: 4.70
Game 2: Gloucester City vs Whitby Town. 1.75. Sportsbet odds: 1.75
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.4525. Sportsbet parlay: 8.225

Odds advantage: 2.77%
Units advantage: 22.75

Running advantage after 119 bets: +4,998.72 (+22.75)
All-time cumulative: +17,898.25
Running units after 118 bets (23W|95L): +5,720.05 (+2,166 units)
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