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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 62. (Read 38849 times)

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Right on, Derby! I would never wish anything bad to teams but Huddersfield were just so visibly poor that I wasn't surprised by this loss at all. In fact, opening matches of Championship have been quite full of upsets, too bad I haven't been keeping up!

Anyway, since we're doing so well with single bets, my prediction is the Ukrainians to get a surprise away win at Brugge... who seem to be strengthened by a certain new signing heh heh but here's our Champs League pick!:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Dinamo Kiev to WIN at Club Brugge @4.04. Betcoin odds: 3.98

Odds advantage: 1.51%
Units advantage: 6

Running advantage after 53 bets: +2,191.52 (+6)
All-time cumulative: +15,023.05
Running units after 52 bets (11W|41L): +888.08 (+256 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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This was a great match, and really we should have won. The last attack was magnificent. Salah somehow managed to head the ball after it was saved. Bloody Walker scissor kick it away before it crossed the line.

Some friendly.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Derby to win in the championship against a really poor Huddersfield @3.6. Betcoin odds: 3.56

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 52 bets: +2,185.52 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +15,017.05
Running units after 51 bets (10W|41L): +632.08 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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2 wins, 2 draws. We could have had 6/1 if we just chose the biggest odds, typical isn't it?

The day I've been waiting for for weeks is here, and yes it's nothing more than a fancy way to start the season but I've never really looked down on Charity Shield. We've won 15 already and City's got 5, let's make sure the gap gets bigger, yeah?

I actually got a bigger bet at fairlay earlier but I'll make the tip for today on today's odds. Fairlay's got a lot of action and odds could always jump so I'd keep my eye on there for good value.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Liverpool to WIN vs Manchester City @3.86. Betcoin odds: 3.85

Odds advantage: 0.33%
Units advantage: 1

Running advantage after 51 bets: +2,181.52 (+1)
All-time cumulative: +15,013.05
Running units after 50 bets (10W|40L): +732.08 (-100 units)

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, the games both ended in a draw, so I guess I should be happier for having backed the underdogs, but losing doesn't really give any comfort heh heh.

Oh and also, I made a mistake with yesterday's tally, it should have been +400 profit not +500, I'll just reflect it in today's adjustment. VERY ambitious parlay today on a whole slew of friendlies, picking the teams I think will unexpectedly perform next season.

Game 1. Manchester United vs AC Milan. Utd WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.87
Game 2. Hoffenheim vs Sevilla. Sevilla [email protected]. BCR odds: 2.34
Game 3. Borussia Monchengladbach-Chelsea. Chelsea [email protected]. BCR odds: 2.25
Game 4. Lille Losc-AS Roma. Roma WIN @2.54. BCR odds: 2.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @26.0152. BCR parlay: 25.1062

Odds advantage: 3.62%
Units advantage: 90.9

Running advantage after 50 bets: +2,180.52 (+90.9)
All-time cumulative: +15,012.05
Running units after 49 bets (10W|39L): +832.08 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, what do you know? I was right! Didn't watch the game at all but Utrecht actually took the lead and seems there was a lot of commotion near the end but the Bosnians got their winning goal and they're through. Dutch football. Silky but not tough at times.

I'm going to back 2 underdogs today in a parlay. Lebanon to take advantage of Syria's lapse in form and Middlesbrough to snatch an away win from Luton in the Championship.

Game 1: Luton Town-Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough WIN @2.95. BCR odds: 2.96
Game 2: Lebanon-Syria. Lebanon WIN @3.36. BCR odds: 3.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.912. BCR parlay: 9.5312

Odds advantage: 3.99%
Units advantage: 38.08

Running advantage after 49 bets: +2,089.62 (+38.08)
All-time cumulative: +14,921.15
Running units after 48 bets (10W|38L): +1,032.08 (+500 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Damn, another bummer and the team that so magnificently smacked Liverpool for 2 goals went down to an almost semi-professional team from Finland's capital. That's football for you!

Europa full of potential. I'm going to back the Bosnian mid table boys to beat Utrecht at home. The Dutch side are a clear favourite but they're usually not so physical, so I hope the Bosnians give a good brawl!

100 units on Zrinjski Mostar to WIN vs Utrecht @5.00. Betcoin odds: 4.83
Odds advantage: 3.4%
Units advantage: 17

Running advantage after 48 bets: +2,051.54 (+17)
All-time cumulative: +14,883.07
Running units after 47 bets (9W|38L): +532.08 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Basel pulled through, and so did our Europa pick from Armenia, but damn Israelis couldn't find the goal they needed to even bring the aggregate to even. Shame on the 10/1 parlay but gives me a bit of hope for my prediction skills heh heh.

Let's do another Europa pick with a couple of slight favourites in Champs League. I fancy the Serbs who beat Liverpool to bag a few goals.

Game 1: HJK Helsinki-FK Crvena Zvezda. Crvena Zvezda WIN @1.81. BCR odds: 1.78
Game 2: AIK-Maribor. AIK WIN @2.02. BCR odds: 2.01
Game 3: Cukaricki-Molde. Molde WIN @1.93. BCR odds: 1.92
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.0564 . BCR parlay: 6.8693

Odds advantage: 2.72%
Units advantage: 18.71

Running advantage after 47 bets: +2,034.54 (+18.71)
All-time cumulative: +14,866.07
Running units after 46 bets (9W|37L): +632.08 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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So nice to see 1-0 wins tick the parlay. Couldn't find much info on the Spanish friendly except the goal was scored in injury time of first half. And then Rubin Kazan clinched it with their own 74th min goal. Many yellows flew after!

I picked Basel last leg in Champs League and they did actually take a lead after falling to a goal... only to concede 2 more. I'll back them again, with tight games for Tel Aviv and Ararat.

Game 1: Basel 1893-PSV Eindhoven. Basel WIN @2.73. BCR odds: 2.73
Game 2: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC-FC Cfr 1907 Cluj. Tel Aviv WIN @1.99. BCR odds: 1.96
Game 3: Lincoln Red Imps FC-FC Ararat-Armenia. Ararat WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.85
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.2134. BCR parlay: 9.8989

Odds advantage: 3.18%
Units advantage: 31.45

Running advantage after 46 bets: +2,015.83 (+31.45)
All-time cumulative: +14,847.36
Running units after 45 bets (9W|36L): +732.08 (+426.85 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Really Liverpool? I know this is all meaningless friendlies and stuff, but surely a strong back 4 shouldn't let Napoli push 3 past you? Haven't had a clean sheet in any game. And all my other legs won! Argh!

Simplest of parlays for Russian and Segunda teams:

Game 1: Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny. Rubin Kazan WIN @2.57. BCR odds: 2.54
Game 2: Granada vs Almeria. Granada WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.02
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.2685. BCR parlay: 5.1308

Odds advantage: 2.68%
Units advantage: 13.77

Running advantage after 45 bets: +2,015.83 (+13.77)
All-time cumulative: +14,805.91
Running units after 44 bets (8W|36L): +305.23 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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A bit annoying that Inter would have won it almost if they converted, the eventually went through on penalties but our bet was lost at full time 1-1.

Anyway, Liverpool have got a last chance to win a game before their season starts, so I'll back that, as well as Villareal and Stevie G's Rangers!

Game 1: Liverpool vs Napoli. Liverpool WIN @2.04. BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Glasgow Rangers vs Derby County. Rangers WIN @2.06. BCR odds: 2.03
Game 3: Cologne vs Villarreal. Villareal WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.21
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.5394. BCR parlay: 9.0623

Odds advantage: 5.26%
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 44 bets: +2,002.06 (+47.71)
All-time cumulative: +14,792.14
Running units after 43 bets (8W|35L): +405.23 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Yikes, Real Madrid-Atletico 3-7, and a red card? The score fit the friendly, but the red card was silly. A portent of things to come for the former Giants struggling to retake a crown? Zidane will be sweating.

I don't really have time to do any match research today, and the games available aren't interesting at all either, so I'll go for a single today:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Inter Milan to WIN vs PSG @4.39. Betcoin odds: 4.11
Odds advantage: 6.76%
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 43 bets: +1,954.35 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +14,744.43
Running units after 42 bets (8W|34L): +505.23 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Turns out there were a few upsets last night, but I'd never have been able to guess really as didn't know the teams well at all.

Now a Real Madrid 2/1 vs Atletico seems good value, as Atleti are weakened but it's effectively a friendly so maybe that's why. Friendlies are so dangerous but let's see if we can't sneak in a long one.

Game 1: Real Madrid-Atletico Madrid. Real WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.13
Game 2: Nottingham Forest-Real Sociedad. Sociedad WIN @2.24. BCR odds: 2.2
Game 3: Augsburg-Villarreal. Villareal WIN @1.91. BCR odds: 1.89
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.1985. BCR parlay: 8.8565

Odds advantage: 3.86%
Units advantage: 34.2

Running advantage after 42 bets: +1,926.35 (+34.2)
All-time cumulative: +14,716.43
Running units after 41 bets (8W|33L): +605.23 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Yay parlay win. We keep things positive for a few more games. Let's hope we hit something big because I'd like to have gone 45 games with 10% profit to do another double in a season!

Liverpool have not been very good at all pre-season so am glad avoiding them past 2 games... I go for a simple home outright on a fresh Alashkert from Armenia to upstage their Romanian opponents.

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Alashkert to WIN vs Steaua Bucharest @6.27. Betcoin odds: 6.14
Odds advantage: 2.11%
Units advantage: 13

Running advantage after 41 bets: +1,892.15 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +14,682.23
Running units after 40 bets (8W|32L): +705.23 (+483.8 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Crash and burn, wow. The smallest underdog pick won but that was enough to turn a small profit. Santa Coloma fought for a scoreless draw, should have gone for a handicap would still have won 4/1!

Barca won, Real drew, so that was a shit parlay too;)

We'll do the single pick today and go for a home parlay:
Game 1: 1907 Cluj-Maccabi Tel Aviv. Cluj WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Maribor-AIK. Maribor WIN @2.36. BCR odds: 2.32
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.838. BCR parlay: 4.6864

Odds advantage: 3.23%
Units advantage: 151.6

Running advantage after 40 bets: +1,879.15 (+15.16)
All-time cumulative: +14,669.23
Running units after 39 bets (7W|32L): +221.43 (+168 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Both games were draws, makes me look back to the days we used to bet overs on women's. Bookies were at least right on the fine margins between Germany and Spain.

Champions League and Europa have some games and as usual a lot of underdog bets at this stage but I might not take on any, we'll see later. For now, friendlies.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @2.06 BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Real Madrid vs Arsenal. Real WIN @2.06 BCR odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.2436. BCR parlay: 4.1208

Odds advantage: 2.98%
Units advantage: 12.28

Underdog bets of 100 units each:
Betcoin: FK Shkendija-F91 Dudelange. Dudelange WIN @5.68. BCR odds: 5.23.
Units advantage: 45
BCR: FC Basel vs PSV Eindhoven. Basel WIN @6.42. Betcoin: 5.84
Units advantage:58
BCR: FC Astana vs FC Santa Coloma. Coloma [email protected]. Betcoin: 12.24
Units advantage: 335

Total units advantage: 438

Running advantage after 36 bets: +1,863.99 (+450.28)
All-time cumulative: +14,654.07
Running units after 35 bets (6W|29L): +53.43 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Can you imagine? All 3 of the picks yesterday lost. Rare even for me;) I should have hedged on all 3 winners, Kane got the 90th min win, and Rubin Kazan also scored the lone goal of the match in injury time. Amazing.

Nothing fancy from me today. U19 women's are almost a complete unknown to me, but at that age, I think physicality wins the game if the gulf is not too big, so I'll pick the Germans and the French. Also, no odds other than on Betcoin so no units advantage counted today oh well.

Game 1: France-Norway. France WIN @1.69
Game 2: Germany-Spain. Germany WIN @2.52
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.2588

Running advantage after 35 bets: +1,851.71 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +14,203.79
Running units after 34 bets (6W|27L): +153.43 (+137 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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As Bayern Munich, how do you lose to Arsenal and then go on to defeat Real Madrid? Play in a meaningless friendly, that's all;)

So what do we do? More friendlies!

Game 1: Juventus-Tottenham Hotspur. Juve WIN @2.14. BCR odds: 2.12
Game 2: Liverpool-Sevilla. Liverpool @1.91. BCR odds: 1.88
Game 3: Dinamo Moscow-Rubin Kazan. @1.88. BCR odds: 1.86
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.6843. BCR parlay: 7.4132

Odds advantage: 3.66%
Units advantage: 27.11

Hedging it out, let's put a single on Spurs, who'll have a healthy squad out. 100 units at Bitcoinrush @3.37 on Spurs vs Juve. Betcoin parlay 3.32.

Odds advantage: 1.64%
Units advantage: 5

Total units advantage: 32.11

Running advantage after 33 bets: +1,851.71 (+17.78)
All-time cumulative: +14,203.79
Running units after 32 bets (5W|26L): +16.43 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Wow. Lost on both parlays. Liverpool too, to Dortmund. Don't know if it had a Klopp sentiment all over it but he's of course a professional.

I'll go for a curious parlay, Manchester United look good in form but the bookies are giving them some doubt though so I'll take that. Inter's a good team but United still have all those talents surrounding them.

And new look Real Madrid should smack Bayern around a bit.

Game 1: Manchester United-Inter Milano. Utd WIN @1.92. BCR odds: 1.89
Game 2: Bayern Munich-Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.37. BCR odds: 2.34
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.5504. BCR parlay: 4.4226

Odds advantage: 2.89%
Units advantage: 12.78

Total odds advantage: 50.47

Running advantage after 32 bets: +1,838.93 (+12.78)
All-time cumulative: +14,186.01
Running units after 31 bets (5W|26L): +116.43 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Second legs didn't do too well for the underdogs unfortunately, and our pick of course got beaten soundly but hey, 3-0 actually isn't such a bad deal, though a 2.5 handicap for Legia Warsaw would have bagged a nice 3/1 if I recall. How beautiful for hindsight.

Senegal has a chance to make history for themselves tonight, and I'm going to back them to do just that and win in regular time (it's crazy that Algeria are the slight underdogs though, boo). And I've got good hopes for Tajikistan to get the better of North Korea in their little tourney. And why not round that off with a Basel win the Super League?

Game 1: Senegal vs Algeria. Senegal WIN @2.78. BCR odds: 2.8
Game 2: Sion vs Basel. Basel WIN @1.85. BCR odds: 1.80
Game 3: Tajikistan vs DPRK. Tajikistan WIN @2.20. BCR odds: 2.19
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.3146. BCR parlay: 11.0376

Odds advantage: 2.51%
Units advantage: 27.7

Senegal has now become the underdog and the odds have switched, so I'm doubling down on another parlay, this time with Liverpool to beat Dortmund!
Game 1: Senegal vs Algeria. Senegal WIN @2.93. Betcoin: 2.88
Game 2: Dortmund vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.25. Betcoin: 2.21
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.5925. Betcoin parlay: 6.3648

Odds advantage: 3.58%
Units advantage: 22.77

Total odds advantage: 50.47

Running advantage after 31 bets: +1,826.15 (+50.47)
All-time cumulative: +14,173.23
Running units after 29 bets (5W|24L): +316.43 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Ah hell, I knew Arsenal was a good bet against a weakened, much much weakened Bayern side, but went against my knowledge to side with the bookies and paid for it. Still, looks like the English teams are stamping their mark, friendly or not.

A lot of Europa League games tonight and I'll take my time to study but I'd like to place a bet on a huge minnow from Gibraltar, Europa FC. They actually held relative giants -- Legia Warsaw -- to a scoreless draw, of course, home in Poland, no one will expect them to win, but the pressure will be on the Poles so hey why not? This is a sucker bet, guys, so don't see it as a tip!

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Europa FC to WIN vs Legia Warsaw @41.99. Betcoin odds: 32.09

Odds advantage: 30.85%
Units advantage: 990

Running advantage after 29 bets: +1,798.45 (+990)
All-time cumulative: +14,122.76
Running units after 28 bets (5W|23L): +416.43 (-200 units)
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