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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 56. (Read 38722 times)

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Been a while since we did a long parlay that won, I think, been banking on huge upsets to pad up our bankroll this season, so last night was really good. A Messi-inspired win was the only leg I considered but didn't add, but I would have sacrificed the Uruguay leg for that anyway. And that turned out to be the closest one, since all our other legs were won by 3 goal margins! Awesome stuff, isn't it?

Afcon selections too few today, so we go for simple Euro wins for the Scots and Polish.

Game 1: Israel vs Poland. Poland WIN @2.49. Betcoin odds: 2.41
Game 2: Cyprus vs Scotland. Scotland WIN @2.35. Betcoin odds: 2.37
100 units at Sportsbet.io @5.85. Betcoin parlay: 5.71
Bet ID: 5dcfbd202764f1b58e9af362

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 14

Running advantage after 163 bets: +8,088.15 (+14)
All-time cumulative: +21,087.68
Running units after 162 bets (30W|132L): +7,801.06 (+1,039.55 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Last night was a bummer for anyone hoping for upsets. Moldova led for the majority of the game, France got lucky with penalties. Serbia were on the ropes too, weren't they? We still lost but the Lux team aren't pushovers for sure.

Anyway, tonight, let's hope Italy still try to win, even though they've qualified. Parlay with a friendly and a couple of CONCACAF games.

Game 1: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy. Italy WIN @2.10. Sportsbet odds: 2.08
Game 2: USA vs Canada. USA WIN @1.64. Sportsbet odds: 1.60
Game 3: Panama vs Mexico. Mexico WIN @1.88. Sportsbet odds: 1.87
Game 4: Hungary vs Uruguay. Uruguay WIN @1.76. Sportsbet odds: 1.76
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.3955. Sportsbet parlay: 10.9531

Odds advantage: 4.04%
Units advantage: 44.24

Running advantage after 162 bets: +8,074.15 (+44.24)
All-time cumulative: +21,073.68
Running units after 161 bets (29W|132L): +6,761.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Christ none of my picks even scored a goal, but hey, they were tough picks. Uganda almost nicked it and Cameroon banged on the door really hard! Tough night with no upsets.

EURO qualifications kick off and it's tempting to see England stamp their mark on tonight's game but odds are shite as usual.

Anyway, I smell a nice upset with the perennial whipping boys Lux, who these days are actually capable of a surprise, especially after only losing 2-1 to Ukraine heh.

100 units at Sportsbet.io on Luxembourg to WIN vs Serbia @24.54. Fairlay odds: 19.44
Bet ID: 5dcd5808a012b9879a998af9

Odds advantage: 26.23%
Units advantage: 510

Running advantage after 161 bets: +8,029.91 (+510)
All-time cumulative: +21,029.44
Running units after 160 bets (29W|131L): +6,861.51 (-100 units)
[/b]
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Ended up no bets last night, which was probably good, I can't remember. Only England I think was the favourite I recall, but saw that they had to come from behind to win 3-2, perhaps overs was the smart move after all.

Anyway, Afcon is one of my favourite tourneys, especially with so many Liverpool boys playing. Senegal have a tough match today but the bookies disagree, so I'll avoid that for poor odds and go with a fancy parlay involving another Ugandan upset.

Game 1: Cameroon vs Cape Verde. Cameroon WIN @1.41. Betcoin odds: 1.42
Game 2: Burkina Faso vs Uganda. Uganda WIN @5.49. Betcoin odds: 5.17
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @7.74. Betcoin parlay: 7.34
Bet ID: 5dcbb6bb3e64f46663ceab70

Odds advantage: 5.45%
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 160 bets: +7,519.91 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +20,519.44
Running units after 159 bets (29W|130L): +6,961.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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We almost got it, I know Lamia eventually won 3-0 so it doesn't feel like almost. But at half time, it was 0-0 and Larissa had 8 shots to none. And then, they kept pushing, and in their eagerness left themselves exposed. 3 shots on target led to 3 goals for Lamia. What a way to lose the parlay!

Anyway, games are tough for me today, no idea how to bet on women's european football, so I might place a small parlay later here, but probably also no odds to compare with since it'll be friendlies.

Czech look like a good 7/1 to beat the Lionesses though!
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Sweet win last night! Gladbach are in incredible form, though their red card might mean a shaky team next week. Wolves also were in full control, even if they did let in a last min goal, so at 2-0 up I felt safe. Liverpool even at 3-0 I had the nerves but the Reds didn't and that was a fully deserved victory. That is how you play Citeh, everyone else, pay attention;)

Good day to savour, and let's put some money down on lower league football. Portsmouth meet a team 2 tiers below them, Larissa meet Lamia who can't win anymore, and Lens haven't lost for a stretch, while Rodez is on a losing streak. Let's play on form!

Game 1: Rodez Aveyron vs RC Lens. Lens WIN @2.32. Sportsbet odds: 2.30
Game 2: Larissa vs Lamia. Larissa WIN @1.70. Sportsbet odds: 1.67
Game 3: Harrogate Town vs Portsmouth. Portsmouth WIN @1.50. Sportsbet odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.916. Sportsbet parlay: 5.6846

Odds advantage: 4.07%
Units advantage: 23.14

Running advantage after 159 bets: +7,479.91 (+23.14)
All-time cumulative: +20,479.44
Running units after 158 bets (29W|129L): +7,061.51 (+1,008 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Watched the Foxes match and bloody hell, I know I backed them for the win but I expected some resistance from the Gunners. Never seen this particular tie being so one-sided in my memory. Credit to Vardy for rediscovering the form of his life! Shame about Everton winning though haha.

Long-shot parlay today but I don't mind any result so long as my beloved Liverpool pull through. Can you imagine they're still the underdog in this match? I love it! Gladbach to continue their amazing run? Yes! Jimenez to stamp his authority on Villa? Yes!

Game 1: Liverpool vs Man City. Pool WIN @2.93. Betcoin odds: 2.78
Game 2: Wolves vs Aston Villa. Wolves WIN @1.98. Betcoin odds: 2.00
Game 3: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen. Gladback WIN @1.91. Betcoin odds: 1.92
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @11.08. Betcoin parlay: 10.68

Odds advantage: 3.75%
Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 158 bets: +7,456.77 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +20,456.3
Running units after 157 bets (28W|129L): +6,053.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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I could have sworn I put a bet in yesterday but it appears my memory deceived me. Anyway, belated commentary but Rangers won it in the last and Braga were simply too good for Besiktas. Turks are always a bit weird for me, great attacking football but somehow really weak in holding structure.

Anyway. EPL returns today and let's pick on slight upset with the Saints to put behind their disappointment with Manchester City to bag a win to lift them out of relegation. Parlay it with who else but our man Jamie Vardy to put some distance between them and Arsenal?

Game 1: Leicester City vs Arsenal. Leicester WIN @2.03. Sportsbet odds: 2.02
Game 2: Southampton vs Everton. Southamption WIN @2.94. Sportsbet odds: 2.90
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.9682. Sportsbet parlay: 5.86

Odds advantage: 2.02%
Units advantage: 10.82

Running advantage after 157 bets: +7,416.77 (+10.82)
All-time cumulative: +20,416.3
Running units after 156 bets (28W|128L): +6,153.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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I guess our old boy even couldn't bring the Turks up for a game at the Bernabeu, too bad.

Europe League tonight and I'm in full support of Rangers, but on the off chance that Porto want to remember how they qualified for Champions League, let's put them in on a dangerous parlay with Besiktas, who meet the other Portuguese team in our parlay Braga. Both are crap at this stage in their campaign but I wonder if Besiktas is more dangerous now, because they had a winning streak just broken in the last game.

So come on, Porto, break my heart.

Game 1: Sporting Braga-Besiktas JK. Besiktas WIN @6.38. Sportsbet odds: 6.39
Game 2: Glasgow Rangers-FC Porto. Porto WIN @2.92. Sportsbet odds: 2.88
100 units parlay at Betcoin @18.6296. Sportsbet parlay: 18.4032

Odds advantage: 1.23%
Units advantage: 22.64

Running advantage after 156 bets: +7,405.95 (+22.64)
All-time cumulative: +20,405.48
Running units after 155 bets (28W|127L): +6,253.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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We've got a few potential upsets tonight for the away team. Real Madrid flopped against Brugge so could very well face trouble but Galatasaray seem to have problems scoring.

PSG was the source of our last win, and Brugge want their first win badly, they already have almost no hope, so I'm counting on them to give it everything but after the 5-0 hammering, is it wise?

So fine, let's see Galatasaray score their first goal of the tournament and win. Ramos, may you get a red card and fail to exit group stage =p

100 units at Fairlay for Galatasaray to WIN vs Real Madrid @14.1990. Betcoin odds: 13.85

Odds advantage: 2.52%
Units advantage: 34.9

Running advantage after 155 bets: +7,383.31 (+34.9)
All-time cumulative: +20,382.84
Running units after 154 bets (28W|126L): +6,353.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Hey JanpriX, yeah me too, one advantage of Sportsbet is cashout, and at half time it did look tempting, but the way Inter and Ajax were playing, who would have known they would lose composure in the 2nd half?

Football is so strange sometimes, in the way teams play after the break. Momentum swings and then it's all over. But yeah, my picks weren't so bad after all, were they? Even if we lost haha.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
There was a goal right at the death, but it came from Sampdoria instead of SPAL. Tough loss to swallow and Serie A relegation battle heats up.

Champions League tonight and hard to look for upsets as bookies are pretty even on almost all the teams except Barca and Liverpool, but a Genk and Slavia Prague upset seem really really unlikely.

How about we go for much-needed away wins for Ajax and Inter, who have so far played to deceive?

Game 1: Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan. Inter WIN @3.55. Betcoin odds: 3.60
Game 2: Chelsea vs Ajax. Ajax WIN @4.32. Betcoin odds: 4.17
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io: 15.34. Betcoin parlay:15.01
Bet ID: 5dc12cd20eccec4a1c548ae5

Odds advantage: 2.20%
Units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 154 bets: +7,348.41 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +20,347.94
Running units after 153 bets (28W|125L): +6,453.51 (-100 units)
Oh boy, both of these bets were so great on the first half but they let go on the later part of the game. I really thought we would hit again a big one today.  Grin I'm itching to cashout on the halftime but I just let it run because of the adrenaline that it brings to me while watching these games. Anyway, thanks again for the odds/units advantage brother. Really a very close call.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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There was a goal right at the death, but it came from Sampdoria instead of SPAL. Tough loss to swallow and Serie A relegation battle heats up.

Champions League tonight and hard to look for upsets as bookies are pretty even on almost all the teams except Barca and Liverpool, but a Genk and Slavia Prague upset seem really really unlikely.

How about we go for much-needed away wins for Ajax and Inter, who have so far played to deceive?

Game 1: Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan. Inter WIN @3.55. Betcoin odds: 3.60
Game 2: Chelsea vs Ajax. Ajax WIN @4.32. Betcoin odds: 4.17
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io: 15.34. Betcoin parlay:15.01
Bet ID: 5dc12cd20eccec4a1c548ae5

Odds advantage: 2.20%
Units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 154 bets: +7,348.41 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +20,347.94
Running units after 153 bets (28W|125L): +6,453.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Spurs should have won, that was truly bad luck, and no one wants to remember a game like that. The injury was hard to stomach, and for once I am not going to blame them for letting in that goal. Hard to play after that incident. But oh VAR, VAR...

Anyway, SPAL has a tough home game, but they will want daylight between them and rock bottom Sampdoria, so a gritty home win to do just that. Parlay with West Brom who's only lost once, they will condemn Stoke to yet more misery.

Game 1: SPAL vs Sampdoria. SPAL WIN @2.66. Betcoin odds: 2.55
Game 2: Stoke vs West Brom. West Brom WIN @2.39. Betcoin odds: 2.43
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.36. Betcoin parlay: 6.20
Bet ID: 5dbfcdb421e463622fba4247

Odds advantage: 2.58%
Units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 153 bets: +7,315.41 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +20,314.94
Running units after 152 bets (28W|124L): +6,553.51 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Exciting night last night, so much so I"m not even really sad I lost both picks.

Spurs play away today to an Everton somehow finding some form (?) and at almost 3/1 I have to say it's really good value, cause Spurs aren't THAT bad! Parlay with a Foxes win?

Game 1: Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs WIN @2.83. Sportsbet odds: 2.80
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Leicester City. Leicester WIN @2.04. Sportsbet odds: 2.02
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.7732. Sportsbet parlay: 5.656

Odds advantage: 2.07%
Units advantage: 11.72

Running advantage after 152 bets: +7,299.41 (+11.72)
All-time cumulative: +20,298.94
Running units after 151 bets (28W|123L): +6,653.51 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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@JanPriX and others, hope you guys didn't miss out my bet yesterday;)
Hell yeah brother! (can I call you brother?) LOL. A little bit late of reply due to holiday in our country but man, that pick was insane and I'm so glad that I started to follow your picks few days ago. This is the first time that I won so much money from a parlay because I didn't bet many parlays in the past. There a sense of fulfillment when I saw that your tips won BIG time. And because of that, I wanted to thank you and hoping that you still continue to do this in the coming months/years.  Grin

Haha no don't worry, I'm not asking for acknowledgement at all, just having a bit of fun, and yes I do enjoy my big wins a lot. This season is not even a third done and we've already booked perhaps 3 or 4 huge upsets already now? And you know, we missed out big upsets last night too: Barcelona and Munich both lost, though I guess their opponents weren't also tipped with such high odds, or it would have crept on my radar (basically anything more than 10/1 interests me haha).

Still, last night was so full of drama it was almost worth losing;) Almost!

Oh, yeah, call me anything you want. This is the internet =p
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
@JanPriX and others, hope you guys didn't miss out my bet yesterday;)
Hell yeah brother! (can I call you brother?) LOL. A little bit late of reply due to holiday in our country but man, that pick was insane and I'm so glad that I started to follow your picks few days ago. This is the first time that I won so much money from a parlay because I didn't bet many parlays in the past. There a sense of fulfillment when I saw that your tips won BIG time. And because of that, I wanted to thank you and hoping that you still continue to do this in the coming months/years.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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@JanPriX and others, hope you guys didn't miss out my bet yesterday;) Yes, you would have lost 5 in a row after following me, but like I said, I have an awful win ratio, as you can see, but I do tend to hit big;) Now up 6800 units or 68% of season bankroll after 148 bets=D

And picking Dijon was actually not as bad as it seemed on paper. They really outplayed PSG on the counter, were actually really unlucky to go behind as they had 4 shots on goal -- PSG only had 1. Credit to them for leveling, leading, and then defending for their lives!

Anyway, Liverpool parlay with Wolves is good value for me. Wolves did already win away at City, and they continue to play good football, just for some reason can't string together wins. Arsenal is perfect opponent, physically weak and easy to bother. And what's the point of winning if I can't parlay with the Reds?

Game 1: Aston Villa vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.39. BCR odds: 1.37
Game 2: Arsenal vs Wolves. Wolves WIN @4.65. BCR odds: 4.37
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.4635. BCR parlay: 5.9869
Odds advantage: 7.96%
Units advantage: 47.66

Also, Southampton! 100 units on Southampton vs Man City. SAINTS WIN @30.84. Betcoin odds: 28.14
Odds advantage: 9.59%
Units advantage: 270

Total units advantage: 317.66

Running advantage after 151 bets: +7,287.69 (+317.66)
All-time cumulative: +20,287.22
Running units after 149 bets (28W|121L): +6,853.51 (+1,837.46 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Boring! None of my upsets hit, but I would probably have been gutted if Granada came away with it and the other easier legs folded.

I'm a sucker for PSG defeats and they've got problems haven't they? Bottom Dijon win please? And because we're suckers for pain, Hoffenheim parlay.

Game 1: Dijon Fco vs PSG. Dijon WIN @13.18. Sportsbet odds: 9.80
Game 2: 1899 Hoffenheim-SC Paderborn 07. Hoffenheim WIN @1.47. Sportsbet odds: 1.45
100 units parlay at Betcoin @19.3746. Sportsbet parlay: 14.21

Odds advantage: 36.34%
Units advantage: 516.46

Running advantage after 149 bets: +6,970.03 (+516.46)
All-time cumulative: +19,969.56
Running units after 148 bets (27W|121L): +5,016.05 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Liverpool was always going to be a huge gamble, with most of the youth squad playing. I was almost sure they'd have played Adrian in goal though, at least, and he'd maybe not have let in SO many goals but all the same, we made it through, just now lost all outstanding bets.

Feeling good about away wins in La Liga, go Granada!

Game 1: Eibar vs Villarreal. Villareal WIN @2.67. Sportsbet odds: 2.63
Game 2: Getafe vs Granada. Granada WIN @4.62. Sportsbet odds: 4.55
Game 3: AC Milan-SPAL. Milan WIN @1.55. Sportsbet odds: 1.54
100 units parlay at Betcoin @19.1198. Sportsbet parlay: 18.4284

Odds advantage: 3.75%
Units advantage: 69.14

Running advantage after 148 bets: +6,453.57 (+69.14)
All-time cumulative: +19,453.1
Running units after 147 bets (27W|120L): +5,116.05 (-200 units)
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