Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 59.

buwaytress

legendary

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Zaha didn't score, but Ayew sure did! Yesterday was what I call a parlay well worth. Palace also didn't look like the 4/1 team the bookies had them at, they always looked like they had a goal in them and we saw two, add that to Milner's last gasp penalty and we booked our parlay!

I'm happy with just taking a Wolves upset today against Citeh. It has to happen, right? Wink

Newcastle also look tasty, but let's have a wait till the lineup!

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Wolves to WIN vs Man City @21.66. Sportsbet odds: 17.00

Odds advantage: 27.41%
Units advantage: 466

Running advantage after 118 bets: +4,975.97 (+466)
All-time cumulative: +17,875.5
Running units after 117 bets (22W|95L): +3,554.05 (+491 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Second time this week I was SO sure I posted a bet but it seems I should stop looking at this forum on mobile. Been accidentally putting people on ignore and deleting drafts instead of posting or deleting posts, I'm not sure now.

Anyway, we lost that game badly but we return to Premier League and Liverpool look to extend their perfect start to 8 games -- but Leicester and Brendan Rodgers are a tough match.

Nevertheless, I'll pad that parlay with a surprise win for Crystal Palace away at West Ham. Because Zaha needs to score!

Price boosted by Sportsbet, awesome parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool vs Leicester City. Liverpool WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Game 2: West Ham vs Crystal Palace. Palace WIN @3.94. Betcoin odds: 3.77
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.91. Betcoin parlay: 5.69
Bet ID: 5d9856872592e401b9ce2b1d

Odds advantage: 3.79%
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 117 bets: +4,509.97 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +17,409.5
Running units after 116 bets (21W|95L): +3,063.05 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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I like Leipzig a lot at times, the RB teams have a good youth policy but yeah, Lyon on their day can be really glitzy as we said before. Nice way to book profits and bring us to above 3000 units!

Liverpool got a nervy finish too, but they, along with Chelsea and Barca, really made me sweat on the parlay!

I've been getting a bit messy with the thread in the past few weeks I noticed, so going back to edit some wrong numbers that don't tally (the bet numbers themselves actually, not the total units). Bear with me.

Europa League, Dudelange always gets my juices flowing, and they won us an incredible 4-3 on the first game. As a result, their odds aren't so great now and Qarabag are tough so I'll choose an away parlay instead:

Game 1: Trabzonspor vs Basel. Basel WIN @2.81. Sportsbet odds: 2.75
Game 2: Feyenoord vs Porto. Porto WIN @2.08. Sportsbet odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.8448. BCR parlay: 5.61

Odds advantage: 4.19%
Units advantage: 23.48

Running advantage after 116 bets: +4,487.97 (+23.48)
All-time cumulative: +17,387.5
Running units after 115 bets (21W|94L): +3,163.05 (+1,196.92 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Sorry guys, I deleted I think yesterday's betslip. Doesn't matter as it was a losing bet on Galatasaray vs PSG. I was sure I posted it here but we'll chalk it off as a loss anyway.

Arsenal also didn't win the bet from the day before yesterday so I'll put this down as 2 losing bets.

Another underdog today. Leipzig are a good team but Lyon are either really shitty or really glitzy. Can we bet on the latter tonight?

100 units on Lyon to WIN vs RB Leipzig @5.18. Betcoin odds: 4.92

Odds advantage: 5.28%
Units advantage: 26

The giants are wobbling, but that means the odds are good, so why not parlay three favourites with a tough away win for Dortmund?
Game 1: Liverpool vs Salzburg. Liverpool WIN @1.36. Sportsbet odds: 1.32
Game 2: Slavia Prague vs Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @1.98. Sportsbet odds: 1.92
Game 3: Barcelona vs Inter Milan. Barca WIN @1.60. Sportsbet odds: 1.53
Game 4: Lille vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.04. Sportsbet odds: 1.95
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @8.7892. Sportsbet parlay: 7.56

Odds advantage: 16.26%
Units advantage: 122.92

Running advantage after 115 bets: +4,464.49 (+148.92)
All-time cumulative: +17,364.02
Running units after 113 bets (19W|94L): +1,966.13 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Worst underdog pick of my entire bitcointalk career so far, I have to say haha. Lost 5-0, but I suppose the red card really didn't help and Vardy has found a way to roll back the years or something.

Then of course we saw Milan take another beating. Can't get Piatek to score these days...

Never mind. We have Monday night and can we look to Arsenal getting some old loving and hating back into EPL? Odds are pretty good to me, Sportsbet price boost brings us to almost 3/1 so we'll parlay that with a Hannover win in Bundesliga.

Game 1: Man Utd vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @2.98. Sportsbet odds: 2.86
Game 2: Hannover 96 vs Nuremberg. Hannover WIN @2.22. Sportsbet odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @6.62. Sportsbet parlay: 6.3492

Again, no betslip but my bet ID: 5d91a01f3269a210c93afab5

Odds advantage: 4.27%
Units advantage: 27.08

Running advantage after 111 bets: +4,315.57 (+27.08)
All-time cumulative: +17,215.1
Running units after 111 bets (19W|92L): +2,166.13 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Now we look to Serie A and La Liga for some really tough matches as everyone fights to win. Milan are really down in the dumps after losing the derby and then have been really struggling for some joy so can we count on them to pull out a huge rabbit from their hat on a home game?

And can we expect Roma also to bounce back away as well as Sevilla at home?

Let's do it:
Game 1: Sevilla-Real Sociedad. Sevilla WIN @1.97. BCR odds: 1.94
Game 2: Lecce-AS Roma. Roma WIN @1.68. BCR odds: 1.64
Game 3: AC Milan-ACF Fiorentina. Milan WIN @2.49. BCR odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.2409. BCR parlay: 7.954

Odds advantage: 3.61%
Units advantage: 28.69

Running advantage after 111 bets: +4,288.49 (+28.69)
All-time cumulative: +17,188.02
Running units after 109 bets (19W|90L): +2,366.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Almost, but no cigar. Villains got to do better defending than this at home really. But maybe the draw was always the most likely result, since Burnley seems to also only want to hit back when behind.

We go for a simple Newcastle shock win at high-flying Leicester. Maybe Jonjo Shelvey plays today and commands the midfield?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Newcastle to WIN vs Leicester @7.12. BEtcoin odds: 6.82

Odds advantage: 4.23%
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 110 bets: +4,259.8 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +17,159.33
Running units after 109 bets (19W|90L): +2,366.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Well, we were almost right. Led for most of the game and then fell to a goal. Was still an upset, and a 0.5 handicap would have won us 4/1 but we hardly ever do that, do we?

Liverpool seek to continue their perfect run. I have never even seen them perfect at 6 games in my lifetime, so 21 points after meeting Chelsea and Arsenal already feels very very good!

Call me silly but I think Chelsea should also win today. Villa gave a nice win in EFL, so why can't they do the same home vs Burnley? Pad that with a Liverpool win because any other result is pointless!

Game 1: Sheffield Utd vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.42. BCR odds: 1.40
Game 2: Aston Villa vs Burnley. Villa WIN @2.25. BCR odds: 2.22
Game 3: Chelsea vs Brighton. Chelsea WIN @1.46. BCR odds: 1.44
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.6647. Bitcoinrush parlay: 4.4755

Odds advantage: 4.22%
Units advantage: 18.92

Running advantage after 109 bets: +4,229.8 (+18.92)
All-time cumulative: +17,129.33
Running units after 108 bets (19W|89L): +2,466.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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That's what I get for going on the away teams in Italy and Spain.

Sevilla led 2-0 though at HT and the same for Milan leading by a goal, but eventually both couldn't last, wilted under pressure in the final 3rd of the game. Pistol Piatek, when are you going to give me a good upset?

CAF Champions League is a rare foray but we're looking at a meetup between Angola's most decorated club... away at Ugandan heavyweights. Both are midtable these days but let's see if we're not wrong about a potential underestimation by the bookies!

Oh and this is a new bookie I'm adding for comparison. Their basic odds aren't too great, to be honest, but they offer you a daily price boost that, when added on can boost payouts significantly.

100 units at Sportsbet on Petro Luanda to WIN vs Kampala Capital City Authority @9.13. Now I just discovered they don't have a betslip option though! I already contacted support but for now my bet ID: 5d8da952169c1d1cd74dc6aa

Betcoin odds: 8.59

Odds advantage: 5.7%
Units advantage: 54

Running advantage after 108 bets: +4,210.88 (+16.17)
All-time cumulative: +17,110.41
Running units after 107 bets (19W|88L): +2,566.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Small joys for a small parlay, but Aston Villa had a thumping win, this is how the game looks like when their new team gets it right in terms of clicking together! And Liverpool, well, they won but had the opponents got better finishers, we'd have been at real risk!

Anyway, I'm going to bet on two very tricky away wins for Sevilla (who will want to get back on track after falling to Real) and Milan (who will want to recover from the derby loss).

Game 1: Eibar vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.31. BCR odds: 2.28
Game 2: Torino vs AC Milan. Milan WIN @3.11. BCR odds: 3.08
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.1841. BCR parlay @7.0224

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 16.17

Running advantage after 107 bets: +4,210.88 (+16.17)
All-time cumulative: +17,110.41
Running units after 106 bets (19W|87L): +2,666.13 (+326.81 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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No joy, but am glad I didn't bet on any upsets in the EFL Cup last night. The only upset was a Spurs away draw to Colchester... but I don't bet on draws. One wonders if it was all deliberate anyway, to focus mayhaps on Champs League?

We'll take an Aston Villa away upset and pair it with a Liverpool victory to take odds a bit higher. Maybe a chance to see youngsters all run out?

Game 1: Brighton & Hove Albion-Aston Villa. Villa WIN @3.47. BCR odds: 3.42
Game 2: Milton Keynes Dons-Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.23. BCR odds: 1.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.2681. BCR parlay: 4.1724

Odds advantage: 2.29%
Units advantage: 9.57

Running advantage after 106 bets: +4,194.71 (+9.57)
All-time cumulative: +17,094.24
Running units after 105 bets (18W|87L): +2,339.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Both ended up 1-1. Parlay magic leaving me it seems. One would have thought both home teams would have scored at least 2 goals given their recent form, but there's something about Monday night football I guess.

Anyway, lots of EFL action but I'm going to bet on Villareal to snatch another win at Barca, who has been abject in recent times and have cost me so much already this year haha.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Villareal to WIN vs Barcelona @9.11. Betcoin odds: 8.83

Odds advantage: 3.17%
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 106 bets: +4,185.14 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +17,084.67
Running units after 105 bets (18W|87L): +2,439.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Damn you Wolves! So disappointing, but at least you didn't lose. Got to worry about them losing points like these though. Last season at least they smashed the top 6 up, but now it looks like they've lose their verve.

And yes, stupid me for taking Parma;)

Simple parlay in Turkish and German leagues:
Game 1: Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim. Wolfsburg WIN @1.91. BCR odds: 1.89
Game 2: Besiktas JK-Istanbul Basaksehir. Besiktas WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.24
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.3357. BCR parlay: 4.2336

Odds advantage: 2.41%
Units advantage: 10.21

Running advantage after 105 bets: +4,157.14 (+10.21)
All-time cumulative: +17,056.67
Running units after 104 bets (18W|86L): +2,539.32 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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I was SURE I added 2 more picks last night! A parlay that lost because Fulham couldn't hold on to their lead! and a pick on a Sheffield upset... But never mind, the point was to put the picks and compare odds advantage, we'll move on!

Today, Liverpool must win and we'll parlay that with a minor upset for Wolves at Palace.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.04. BCR odds: 2.02
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.09. BCR odds: 3.06
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.3036. BCR parlay: 6.1812

Odds advantage: 1.98%
Units advantage: 12.24

Let's add another upset, what the hell:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Parma to WIN vs Lazio @9.89. Betcoin odds: 8.98
Odds advantage: 10.13%
Units advantage: 91

Total units advantage: 103.24

Running advantage after 104 bets: +4,146.93 (+103.24)
All-time cumulative: +17,046.46
Running units after 102 bets (18W|84L): +2,739.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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I'm really losing my touch in parlays aren't I? Haven't won a nice one, and when I try to pad winnings with a 4/1 or thereabouts underdog, it kicks me in the teeth haha.

So perhaps today we dip into the Championship, let's have a feel.

But why not bet on Watford to win their first every game, and City to do a double slip up? Hey, it happened last season;)

100 units on Bitcoinrush for Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @25.85. Betcoin odds: 20.95 (most bookies are straight around 20/1).

Odds advantage: 23.39%
Units advantage: 490

Running advantage after 102 bets: +4,201.69 (+490)
All-time cumulative: +16,943.22
Running units after 101 bets (18W|83L): +2,839.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Got to love a game like this.

Against the odds, 2 shots and 2 goals for the away underdogs from Luxembourg, when APOEL registered 5 shots with no goals. And then, in a crazy period of 4 minutes, APOEL score 3 goals. AND Dudelange had 1 goal disallowed in THAT same period. So when it was 3-2, I gave up hope. Then for some reason the visitors woke up, fired a rain of shots. 3-3. And then 3-4. And we won.

There aren't any big underdogs in the big leagues tonight, so I'm going to go for some very tight games in a 3-legged parlay.

Game 1: Ufa-Spartak Moscow. Spartak WIN @2.21. BCR odds: 2.18
Game 2: Southampton FC-AFC Bournemouth. Saints WIN @2.07. BCR odds: 2.08
Game 3: Osasuna-Real Betis Balompie. Osasuna WIN @2.44. BCR odds: 2.40
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.1622. BCR parlay: 10.8825

Odds advantage: 2.57%
Units advantage: 27.97

Running advantage after 101 bets: +3,711.69 (+27.97)
All-time cumulative: +16,453.22
Running units after 100 bets (18W|82L): +2,939.32 (+1106 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Another night of disappointment for the heavyweight in European football. All four of my parlay legs couldn't win! I put a Lokomotiv bet last night and that was 10/1, but it was a last-minute deal and not meant for the picks here (didn't even scout for odds), so it won't count;)

I seem to make more from single longshots, so I smell blood at tonight's opener. Dudelange were very good to me in the qualifiers, so why not give them a shout out at Apoel Nicosia? Luxembourg vs Cyprus. It's not impossible now, is it?

100 units at Betcoin on F91 dudelange to WIN vs Apoel Nicosia @12.06. BCR odds: 11.90

Odds advantage: 1.34%
Units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 100 bets: +3,683.72 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +16,415.25
Running units after 99 bets (17W|82L): +1,833.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Bookies had a field day last night. Teams who scored for fun couldn't, supposed underdogs won tough away games or at least drew, except for the one I picked haha.

But no worry, we back another pair of old giants tonight. Real and Juventus face really tough opponents, but can we count on Ronaldo and the Galacticos to inject some enthusiasm into their teams tonight, with underwhelming domestic campaigns so far?

Game 1: Paris Saint Germain-Real Madrid. Read WIN @3.11. BCR odds: 3.08
Game 2: Atletico Madrid-Juventus. Juve WIN @3.40. BCR odds: 3.26
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.574. BCR parlay: 10.0408

Odds advantage: 5.31%
Units advantage: 53.32

Running advantage after 99 bets: +3,667.72 (+53.32)
All-time cumulative: +16,399.25
Running units after 98 bets (17W|81L): +1,933.32 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Nope. Not good. If the Villains can't win against 10-men competitors at mid table, I don't know how they're going to fare the rest of the season with that wage bill, but good for me, means their odds will be notched down and when they win, it will be big.

Champions League. I smell at least 2 away upsets tonight, but for now, let's stick with an away win for last season's epic semi-finalists, shan't we? We'll add on an underdog bet or two a little later tonight.

Game 1: Napoli vs Liverpool. Liverpool to WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.26
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona. Barca to WIN @2.27. BCR odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.1983. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.0172

Odds advantage: 3.61%
Units advantage: 18.11

Underdog bet:

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Lille to beat Ajax @7.36. Betcoin odds: 6.89
Odds advantage: 6.82%
Units advantage: 45

Total units advantage: 63.11

Running advantage after 98 bets: +3,614.4 (+63.11)
All-time cumulative: +16,345.93
Running units after 96 bets (17W|79L): +2,133.32 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Everton weren't bad, but then if you can't get your attack together properly then you better be prepared to at least cover in midfield before your back gets exposed so badly.

And Watford, wow, that's how you make sure you stay in the EPL!

I like Aston Villa's chances, and a routine Torino win at home should keep us going:

Game 1: Aston Villa vs West Ham. Villa WIN @2.74. BCR odds: 2.72
Game 2: Torino vs Lecce. Torino WIN @1.50. BCR odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.11. Bitcoinrush parlay: 4.0256

Odds advantage: 2.1%
Units advantage: 8.44

Running advantage after 96 bets: +3,652.29 (+17.66)
All-time cumulative: +16,282.82
Running units after 95 bets (17W|78L): +2,233.32 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 59. (Read 38849 times)