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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 63. (Read 40042 times)

legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Germany may count themselves unlucky to get the own goal, but they had that penalty to convert anyway, so there's no excuse for falling 2-4 at home too, even if the Netherlands are really rising up. Good for us to bring back into positive!

Shall we get another underdog to win but this time with home advantage?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Serbia to WIN vs Portugal @ 3.49. Betcoin odds: 3.38

Odds advantage: 3.23%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 87 bets: +3,325.72 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +15,955.25
Running units after 86 bets (15W|71L): 161.32 (+282 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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So. I got the shock victory, 90th minute winning goal. The Indonesians were all tooth and nail but this is a precious away win!

But my Thai elephants underwhelmed. To be fair, the visitors were under real pressure, all those niggly fouls did the job though and neutralised Thai attacks almost every time.

Euro qualifications went by without too much happening to raise eyebrows. Shall we go for a simply Dutch win? They've got the best defender in the world, and are still the underdogs.

Let's do it and not parlay like we stupidly did last night haha.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Netherlands to WIN at Germany @3.82. Betcoin odds: 3.77

Odds advantage: 1.36%
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 86 bets: +3,314.72 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +15,944.25
Running units after 85 bets (14W|71L): -120.68 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Well. Bummer. Anyway, I'll quickly turn away and go look at our old friends in AFC.

Sentimental play on Malaysia to shock Indonesia at home is a rivalry I can't ignore. Parlay with Thais to continue their impressive form with a win against Vietnam. Grudge match?

Game 1: Indonesia vs Malaysia. Malaysia WIN @4.00. BCR odds: 3.98
Game 2: Thailand vs Vietnam. Thai WIN @2.11. BCR odds: 2.09
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.44. BCR parlay: 8.3182

Odds advantage: 1.46%
Units advantage: 12.18

Running advantage after 85 bets: +3,309.72 (+12.18)
All-time cumulative: +15,939.25
Running units after 84 bets (14W|70L): -20.68 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Well. Wow. England lost. USA couldn't score more than 3. Maybe they just didn't give it their all because it was a friendly. Or maybe my luck with women's football isn't happening anymore. Or maybe I really do suck when trying to be clever.

Anyway, still in positive for the season but 1 more loss and we're back in the red. Heh.

CAF World Cup qualifiers are here and I want to pick two home teams to parlay today. Mauritius to continue fine form against the odds?
Game 1: Ethiopia-Lesotho. Ethiopia WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.85
Game 2: Mauritius-Mozambique. Mauritius WIN @4.27. BCR odds: 4.21

100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.0276. Bitcoinrush parlay: 7.7885
Odds advantage: 3.07%
Units advantage: 23.91

Running advantage after 84 bets: +3,297.54 (+23.91)
All-time cumulative: +15,927.07
Running units after 83 bets (14W|69L): +79.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Another 3-0 thumping.

So let's count on that happening with tonight's friendly of USA against heavy underdogs Portugal (womens). Parlay that with a regular Lionesses win against Norway shall we?

Game 1: Norway vs England. England WIN @2.01. Betcoin: 1.97
Game 2: USA vs Portugal. Over [email protected]. Betcoin: No odds so even
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.02. Betcoin parlay: 3.94

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 8

Running advantage after 83 bets: +3,273.63 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +15,903.16
Running units after 82 bets (14W|68L): +179.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Yikes. It was still 0-0 all the way till 15 minutes left. And then the Serbians found a chink in the armour, exploited it 3 times and we lose 0-3. My consolation? I didn't bet on either Tottenham nor Arsenal as they both found a way to nullify each other 2-2.

Let's try another home game for another severe underdog.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Albania (women) to WIN vs Finland @11.44. Betcoin odds: 10.06

Odds advantage: 13.7%
Units advantage: 138

Running advantage after 82 bets: +3,265.63 (+138)
All-time cumulative: +15,895.16
Running units after 81 bets (14W|66L): +279.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Well, there weren't any upsets in the EPL last night after all, just draws for Chelsea and United (are those even really shocking results these days?).

We've not had a women's game in a long time, and with the boys doing so well in Kazakhstan's professional leagues in Europe, shall we bet on a Kazakh upset at the women's Euro qualifiers against Serbia?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Kazakhstan women to WIN vs Serbia @10.3. Betcoin odds: 9.10

Odds advantage: 10.33%
Units advantage: 120

Running advantage after 81 bets: +3,127.63 (+120)
All-time cumulative: +15,757.16
Running units after 80 bets (14W|65L): +379.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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That'll teach me. Another frustrating game where one pick did really well, and another got ahead only to let in a goal minutes later (Cardiff). After Fulham's red card they should really have just crowded off the midfield though.

Anyway, single games again in a tasty Premier League encounter. I'll update if I make another one tonight. Bitcoinrush has far better odds than anyone for all upsets I see.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Norwich City to WIN at West Ham United @3.92. Betcoin odds: 3.88

Odds advantage: 1.03%
Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 80 bets: +3,007.63 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +15,637.16
Running units after 79 bets (14W|64L): +379.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Last night was such a bummer! Booked two underdogs, and they both scored first, both went behind and both equalised, but eventually both failed. Really, really, hard to come down from that kind of high!

Wolves and Rangers are through, happy I got that bet (but didn't put it on this prediction as made it live).

Let's do a nice parlay between Cardiff and Leipzig today. I know I said singles...

Game 1: Cardiff City vs Fulham. Cardiff WIN @2.88. Betcoin odds: 2.85
Game 2: Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @2.12. Betcoin odds: 2.10
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.1056. Betcoin parlay: 5.99

Odds advantage: 1.84%
Units advantage: 11.56

Running advantage after 79 bets: +3,003.63 (+11.56)
All-time cumulative: +15,633.16
Running units after 78 bets (14W|64L): +479.32 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Yeah, I should definitely stick to single bets for a while haha. Sorry to see Cluj go after doing so well for so long but if you can't score in both legs of a round, and get a lot of yellow card in the process, you probably shouldn't be in the group stages.

But wow Burnley is really going to suffer in the EPL if they can't find their form. It does make them a contender for surprise package though when the goals start coming.

Lot of away tasty underdogs in Europa. Looking at the ones with scoreless draws last week, or the ones where the home team HAS to win.

So I'll put one pick now, and another or a couple more later.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Suduva to WIN vs Ferencvaros @9.45. Betcoin odds: 9.11

Odds advantage: 3.74%
Units advantage: 34

Edit: adding 1 more:
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Slovan Bratislava at PAOK @11.13. Betcoin odds: 10.56

Odds advantage: 5.4%
Units advantage: 57

Running advantage after 78 bets: +2,992.07 (+91)
All-time cumulative: +15,621.6
Running units after 76 bets (14W|62L): +679.32 (+534 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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I was 6 minutes from booking this win... Red Star performed but they conceded an 84th minute own goal, otherwise it would have been a beautiful parlay.

I feel like sticking with single bets for the next few days. Let's start with tonight's Champions League. I have had a good history with Cluj, shall we take on them again?

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Cluj to WIN vs Slavia Praha @6.48. Betcoin odds: 6.2

Odds advantage: 4.21%
Units advantage: 28

Let's also add in a late EFL cup bet to go, 100 units on Sunderland to WIN vs Burnley's incredibly poor form @7.34. Betcoin odds: 6.9
Odds advantage: 6.4%
Units advantage: 44

Running advantage after 75 bets: +2,853.07 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +15,486.6
Running units after 74 bets (13W|61L): +125.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Wow. What an idiot bet that turned out to be. And what an introduction to Serie A for Lecce. They probably will be so nervous meeting Juventus or Napoli -- no disrespect to Inter at all, or am I misjudging levels here?

Back to Champions League, where I must back Red Star again even though they have the away goal advantage they'll want to win this big in front of their fans. And parlay that with an upset at Krasnodar?

Game 1: Crvena Zvezda- Young Boys. Red Star WIN @2.56. BCR odds: 2.51
Game 2: FC Krasnodar-Olympiacos Piraeus. Olympiacos WIN @3.56. BCR odds: 3.51
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.1136. BCR parlay: 8.8101

Odds advantage: 3.44%
Units advantage: 30.35

Running advantage after 74 bets: +2,825.07 (+30.35)
All-time cumulative: +15,458.6
Running units after 73 bets (13W|59L): +225.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Wrong underdog to pick, but I should really have gone with the gut and bet on Newcastle! I really do play with sentiment it seems because as soon as Rafa Benitez was replaced I stopped banking on Newcastle. Damn but they know how to get their upsets.

Is this a sign for me to back Serie A newcomers Lecce to show Inter why they were such a force in Serie B? I think so!

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Lecce to WIN vs Inter Milan @14.49. Betcoin odds: 12.16.

Odds advantage: 19.16%
Units advantage: 233

Running advantage after 74 bets: +2,794.72 (+233)
All-time cumulative: +15,428.25
Running units after 73 bets (13W|59L): +325.32 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Some days, you just feel it in your bones and then the gods of football let you off and you think you're a genius all over again.

In this case, we get the gift goal from Lindelof, and it looks like it's 1-0. Then United fluff the penalty and you think destiny is on your side. Then with 1 minute left of normal time United level... you think crap, it's all gone. And then we get a howler from de Gea and we end up 2-1 and win. Football!

Tonight, let's sit back and just hope for a Wolves win and a Birmingham shock win at Swansea in the Championship.

Game 1: Wolves vs Burnley. Wolves WIN @1.83. BCR odds: 1.81
Game 2: Swansea vs Birmingham. Birmingham WIN @4.35. BCR odds: 4.31
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.9605. BCR odds: 7.8011

Odds advantage: 2.51%
Units advantage: 15.95

Running advantage after 73 bets: +2,561.72 (+15.95)
All-time cumulative: +15,395.25
Running units after 72 bets (13W|59L): +425.32 (+731 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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It wasn't the prettiest of wins but it finally got us over the line and prevented our losing streak from becoming the worst in my history of this thread haha.

Anyway, only one game that matters tonight and it's Liverpool but at the odds, I'm shocked if Arsenal fans aren't just dumping their money on 6/1 for the upset.

Shall we look for another team to finally get their win at home after Villa gave us joy? Sure! Go Watford;)

Game 1: Liverpool vs Arsenal. Liver WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.49
Game 2: Watford vs West Ham. Watford WIN @2.26. Betcoin odds: 2.24
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.419. Betcoin parlay: 3.3376

Odds advantage: 2.44%
Units advantage: 8.14

We're a bit late as well but I'm also going for a good old EPL upset. Wilfried Zaha, don't let me down?
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Crystal Palace to WIN vs Manchester United @9.31. Betcoin odds: 9.24

Odds advantage: 0.76%
Units advantage: 7

Total units advantage: 15.14

Running advantage after 72 bets: +2,545.77 (+15.14)
All-time cumulative: +15,379.3
Running units after 70 bets (12W|58L): -305.68 (+507.24 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Fantastic showing by Wolves but Rangers just couldn't get a goal in so we lost the parlay. Shame! Was scoreless too, we really should have stuck with Ararat!

No problems. We back Aston Villa to show EPL they're a good team today with an upset over Everton... and shall we back Sevilla to boss around new La Liga boys Granada?

Game 1: Aston Villa-Everton. Aston Villa WIN @3.22. BCR odds: 3.23
Game 2: Granada CF-FC Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @1.94. BCR odds: 1.88
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.2468. BCR parlay: 6.0724

Odds advantage: 2.87%
Units advantage: 17.44

Running advantage after 68 bets: +2,530.63 (+17.44)
All-time cumulative: +15,364.16
Running units after 69 bets (11W|58L): -811.92 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Man, we were almost there. ALMOST. But Red Star will take a lot of motivation from scoring two away goals. Should be a good bet on them on the return leg. Only problem is, the odds won't be as good, so we might have to seek a parlay.

But that's for next week. Tonight, Europa qualification.

We backed a good side Ararat to win last leg, but failed our parlay and today their odds have dropped as the bookies realise they're good plus playing at home.

Wolves and Rangers away parlay. It's not easy but I like the way both progressed.
Game 1: Torino-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.05. BCR odds: 3.03
Game 2: Legia Warszawa- Rangers. Rangers WIN @2.42. BCR odds: 2.38
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.381. Bitcoinrush parlay: 7.2114

Odds advantage: 2.35%
Units advantage: 16.96

Running advantage after 67 bets: +2,513.19 (+16.96)
All-time cumulative: +15,346.72
Running units after 68 bets (11W|57L): -711.92 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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We were right about Mignolet starring, but we couldn't see Cluj score even at home. But hey, all the more reason for an upset next leg right?

Tonight's Champions League qualification pick: Red Star Belgrade beat Liverpool last season and to me, that alone deserves to see them return to the group stage. So shall we back them for an away upset at their more fancied Swiss Young Boys? Not to forget they actually beat Juventus last season too!

100 units at Bitcoinrush on Crvena Zvezda to WIN vs Young Boys @4.65. Betcoin odds: 4.60

Odds advantage: 1.12%
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 66 bets: +2,496.23 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +15,329.76
Running units after 67 bets (11W|56L): -611.92 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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Well, Wolves almost did it, didn't they? But maybe I'm more glad Pogba missed the penalty. Only 2 games into the season and so many points dropped by everyone already save Arsenal and Liverpool. Weird season, I have to say.

Let's keep it interesting with an underdog parlay on Champions League qualification. I really fancy Cluj to progress, they've been really moving it well in the campaign so far, and can Mignolet keep a clean sheet against LASK?

Game 1: LASK-Club Brugge. Brugge WIN @2.92. BCR odds: 2.91
Game 2: FC Cfr 1907 Cluj-SK Slavia Prague. Cluj WIN @3.26. BCR odds: 3.19
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.5192. BCR parlay: 9.2829

Odds advantage: 2.55%
Units advantage: 23.63

Running advantage after 65 bets: +2,491.23 (+23.63)
All-time cumulative: +15,324.76
Running units after 66 bets (11W|55L): -511.92 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Wow Reading. The ex Premier League teams are seriously not killing it in the Championship, are they? Looks like they really were flattering to deceive in the end, huh?

Leicester could have won it too, with that one last attempt fizzing past, I would have been gutted if it actually did go in!

Anyway, I love my Wolves and I think their hammerings in Europa will give them a lot of motivation to get their first home win against Man Utd, who really were lucky to get 4 goals on their opener. Parlay that with a Turkish home win for Fenerbahce and I'm happy.

Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers-Manchester United. Wolves [email protected]. BCR odds: 3.28
Game 2: Fenerbahce-Gazisehir Gaziantep. Fenerbahce WIN @1.46. BCR odds: 1.41
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.7742. BCR parlay: 4.6248

Odds advantage: 3.23%
Units advantage: 14.94

Running advantage after 64 bets: +2,467.60 (+14.94)
All-time cumulative: +15,301.13
Running units after 65 bets (11W|54L): -411.92 (-100 units)
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