Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 63.

buwaytress

legendary

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Didn't stay up to watch that Intercontinental game, but went to bet knowing the Welsh boys somehow made it through to the next round, and woke up to that nice result for Fiorentina. A pity our other underdog only managed to draw 2-2... Helsinki still went through on away goals.

We got a lot of good fare tonight though and it's tough to pick a good parlay, but let's pad up an upset in AFCON with a regular City win over West Ham at the ICC. I've also got an eye on a few underdogs in tonight's Champions League, but let's add those later if we decide.

Game 1: Tunisia-Nigeria. Tunisia WIN @3.13. BCR odds: 3.08
Game 2: Manchester City-West Ham United. City WIN @1.43. BCR odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.4759. BCR parlay: 4.3736

Odds advantage: 2.34%
Units advantage: 10.23

New parlay:
Game 1: Arsenal Bayern Munich. Bayern WIN @1.83. BCR odds: 1.82
Game 2: Newcastle United-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @1.93. BCR odds: 1.89
Game 3: Manchester City-West Ham United. City WIN @1.43. BCR odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0506. BCR parlay: 4.8845

Odds advantage: 3.4%
Units advantage: 16.61

Total odds advantage: 26.84

Running advantage after 28 bets: +808.45 (+26.84)
All-time cumulative: +13,132.76
Running units after 26 bets (5W|21L): +616.43 (+557.56 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Wow bad parlay. Results like this really make me want to reassess my perceived skill level haha. Now almost back at 0 again after 25 bets. I suppose I should be happy if I'm going for wagering totals too!

I'll put it on one bet for tonight's UEFA Champions League qualifiers. I'll have a look at friendlies too, the ICC and Intercontinental maybe, but will update bets if I do. For now:

100 units at Betcoin on HB Torshavn to WIN against HJK Helsinki @5.06. BCR odds: 4.93

Odds advantage: 2.64%
Units advantage: 13

We like our odds of a Welsh upset, so we're parlay that with the Intercontinental win for the old Italians:
Game 1: Fiorentina-Guadalajara Chivas. Fiorentina WIN @2.14. BCR odds: 2.08
Game 2: KF Feronikeli-THE New Saints. New Saints WIN @3.54. BCR odds: 3.5
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.5756. BCR parlay: 7.28

Odds advantage: 4.06%
Units advantage: 29.44

Total odds advantage: 42.44

Running advantage after 26 bets: +781.61 (+42.44)
All-time cumulative: +13,105.92
Running units after 24 bets (4W|20L): +58.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Some days you just got to take it on the chin. Our parlays won their games, but Senegal could only do it in extra time, so we fold. Bitcoinrush does seem to give better odds for ET conclusions so I should consider that for future but let's see.

Today, we back Tajikistan again in their match against DPRK (who will be on a high after the India win). Parlay it with the Norwegian U19s to beat Irish opposition, and how about a victory in Moscow in the Russian league?

Game 1: FC Lokomotiv Moscow-FC Rubin Kazan. Lokomotiv WIN @1.50. BCR odds: 1.44
Game 2: Norway-Republic of Ireland. Norway WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.28.
Game 3: DPRK-Tajikistan. Tajikistan WIN @1.90. BCR odds: 1.88
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.5265. BCR parlay: 6.1724

Odds advantage: 5.74%
Units advantage: 35.41

Running advantage after 24 bets: +739.17 (+35.41)
All-time cumulative: +13,063.48
Running units after 23 bets (4W|19L): +158.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn DPRK. You know, I always bet against South Asia teams when it comes to football, it's just something in my mind that tells me they're too much of a cricket population to really be good at competitive football, plus I've seen how they play. And then when DPRK lost big time to Syria (by the exact same 5-2 scoreline actually), I thought this must be it for them. Friendlies, what can you say?

Senegal are my pick for today, and Algeria, although it will be very tight for both teams and I fear a draw is on the cards, but let's hope all the teams want to be as fresh as possible for the final.

Game 1: Senegal vs Tunisia. Senegal WIN @2.03. BCR odds: 2.0
Game 2: Algeria vs Nigeria. Algeria WIN @2.55. BCR odds: 2.53
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.1765. BCR parlay: 5.06

Odds advantage: 2.31%
Units advantage: 11.65

Running advantage after 23 bets: +703.76 (+11.65)
All-time cumulative: +13,028.07
Running units after 22 bets (4W|18L): +258.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Fedex didn't let me down but Coventry sure did, then again this is what you get with lower league friendlies! A bet elsewhere won me some joy, 2/1 for the Swiss is always a taker against anyone and he's got to be the one for the title.

I'll take more friendlies, Young Boys to beat a toothless Palace at home and India to do the same against DPRK.

Game 1: Young Boys-Crystal Palace. Young Boys WIN @1.98. BCR odds: 1.99
Game 2: India-DPRK. India WIN @2.24. BCR odds: 2.20
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.4748. BCR parlay: 4.378

Odds advantage: 2.21%
Units advantage: 9.68

Running advantage after 22 bets: +692.11 (+9.68)
All-time cumulative: +13,016.42
Running units after 21 bets (4W|17L): +358.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ouchie. Them Irish did get their luck, securing a 2-2 away draw is really special, but it wasn't enough to win us the bet.

It's been a long time since we took on Tennis but I see a good parlay in the shape of Serena Williams and Fedex, who shockingly (heh) is the underdog to Nadal. Serena's game is tomorrow though, so this won't settle hopefully by then!

But because we're an ambitious lot, we'll do an odd parlay for a friendly win for League One Coventry against midtable finishers League Two's Northampton.

Game 1: Northampton Town-Coventry City. Coventry WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.11
Game 2: Nadal vs Federer. Fedex WIN @2.18. BCR odds: 2.23
Game 3: Williams vs Halep. Williams WIN @1.52. BCR odds: 1.50
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.1242. BCR parlay: 7.0579

Odds advantage: 0.94%
Units advantage: 6.63

Running advantage after 21 bets: +682.22 (+6.63)
All-time cumulative: +13,006.74
Running units after 20 bets (4W|16L): +458.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Nigeria broke me heart, but Senegal had such a tough time getting over the line, even Mane was frustrated towards the end. Good to see my boy in the Semis now though, and I suppose Nigeria always deserved a place after the improvements since the opening matches.

But boy did Tajikistan play, Syria's having a really poor run of form since WC qualifiers, and after them winning against DPRK, they'll feel really down about this. But glad we got on the right end of that upset!

We're doing well with upsets, and Europa League is here. I'm going to bet on the second-placed Irish Prem team to beat a 5th placed Norwegian Prem team.

100 units on Shamrock Rovers to WIN vs SK BRann @6.46. Betcoin odds: 6.03

Odds advantage: 8.93%
Units advantage: 43

Running advantage after 20 bets: +675.59 (+43)
All-time cumulative: +13,000.11
Running units after 19 bets (4W|15L): +558.87 (+554 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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I have to hate myself sometimes!

Got the first parlay totally wrong, backed the wrong upset. And the second parlay my Armenian underdog won (in all honesty courtesy a silly red card from the opponent made it easier) but Suduva held on for the draw amazingly.

I feel like taking a number of bets today, so I'll update this post if I see some good value but we'll kick off with a simple parlay in the AFCON. Can South Africa create another upset? They no longer have the physical advantage but this is the wobbly Nigeria who almost lost to Cameroon AND also lost to S Africa earlier in the group stage exactly a month ago:

Game 1: Senegal-Benin. Senegal WIN @1.44. BCR odds: 1.42
Game 2: Nigeria vs South Africa. S Africa WIN @4.53. BCR odds: 4.3
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.5232. BCR parlay: 6.106

Odds advantage: 6.83%
Units advantage: 41.72

Syria has another friendly, but I'm shocked Tajikistan is rated so lowly, especially when they put 4 past India. I'll back them again to win this one. 100 units at Betcoin for Tajikistan to WIN vs Syria @7.54. Other bookie odds: 6.88.

Odds advantage: 8.93%
Units advantage: 66

Running advantage after 19 bets: +632.59 (+107.72)
All-time cumulative: +12,957.11
Running units after 17 bets (3W|14L): +4.87 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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One game too far. Ghana ended the half looking like the shitty side but they upped the tempo and rained down hell on Tunisia in the 2nd half but conceded because of their eagerness. Nicked the own goal in injury time but condemned us anyway to a loss.

What can we do, parlays are cruel.

Champions League qualifications happening today, real exciting. Bound to be a few upsets, and my pick is for the Romanians to spring an upset over the Kazakh champs. Parlay that with Celtic to beat Sarajevo and we're on our way.

Game 1: FK Sarajevo-Celtic. Celtic WIN @1.63. BCR odds: 1.6
Game 2: FC Astana-FC Cfr 1907 Cluj. Cluj WIN @4.82. BCR odds: 4.3
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.8566. BCR parlay: 6.88

Odds advantage: 14.19%
Units advantage: 97.66

Lets also take another upset from Armenia and pair it with a favourite:
Game 1: Suduva Marijampole-FK Crvena Zvezda. Zvezda WIN @1.46. BCR odds: 1.44
Game 2: FC Ararat-Armenia vs AIK. Ararat WIN @5.86. BCR odds: 5.12
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.5556. BCR parlay: 7.3728

Odds advantage: 16.04%
Units advantage: 118.28

Running advantage after 17 bets: +524.87 (+215.94)
All-time cumulative: +12,849.39
Running units after 15 bets (3W|12L): +204.87 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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Wow. USA only won 2-0 but it was actually murder on the pitch last night. I knew the Dutch had nowhere the depth of the Americans, but still they're reigning European champions and they were just too far behind in quality.

On the other hand, our friendly pick won. India actually finished at HT 2-0... so I thought I'd lost that bet. Couldn't find any commentary but Tajiks found a way to score FOUR in second half, so we got ourselves a nice tidy win.

I'll take a parlay on the favourites today in AFCON along with a Syria win over DPRK (come on Syria, you haven't won in such a long time!).

Game 1: Mali vs Ivory Coast. Ivory Coast [email protected]. BCR odds: 2.34
Game 2: Ghana vs Tunisia. Ghana WIN @2.45. BCR odds: 2.41
Game 3: Syria vs DPRK. Syria [email protected]. BCR odds: n/a so assume 2.15
100 units parlay at Betcoin @12.4313. BCR parlay: 12.1247

Odds advantage: 2.53%
Units advantage: 30.66

Running advantage after 15 bets: +427.21 (+30.66)
All-time cumulative: +12,633.45
Running units after 14 bets (3W|11L): +304.87 (+312 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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It wasn't easy to see Salah and his team go down, they were a favourite to win, but we proved to be right about the physicality of the boys from the South, and they deservedly went thought, even though it needed an 85th lone goal to clinch it. This is how big upsets are won! And we're now almost back at original bankroll after 12 bets heh.

Now England were only given a 4/1 chance against the Americans in the semis, but I actually feel the Dutch are more capable of an upset, so at over 7/1, I like my odds. Someone needs to beat USA once!

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Netherlands to WIN vs USA @7.57. Betcoin odds: 6.93

Odds advantage: 9.24%
Units advantage: 64

And every time India play football, I expect them to lose. They're a cricket nation guys! So let's take a punt on Tajiks beating them in a friendly. 100 units at Betcoin for Tajikistan to WIN vs India @5.12. BCR odds: 4.98

Odds advantage: 2.8%
Units advantage: 14

Running advantage after 14 bets: +396.55 (+78)
All-time cumulative: +12,602.79
Running units after 12 bets (2W|10L): -7.13 (+628 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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This could have gone either way really, Wahda weren't going to lose, but then Twente also seemed like they were happy for the draw, which was the outcome we eventually got. Guess that's what we get for trying to play it on friendlies.

Now my heart's all the way for Salah tonight but I wonder if all the attention and pressure might get to them the way it did Morocco? I think so... so here's our single for today. I might hedge it later but we'll see.

100 units at Bitcoinrush on South Africa to WIN vs Egypt @7.28. Betcoin odds: 7.20

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 8

Running advantage after 12 bets: +318.55 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +12,524.79
Running units after 11 bets (1W|10L): -635.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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Damn Rooney got a yellow, had to be careful, and then DC got themselves a man down. Not that Dallas were easy, 10 shots to the 1. Bookies know their shit, after all.

I'm going for two friendlies today, and then maybe do a selection for AFCON later on, when I got my time together!

Game 1: FC Twente Enschede-AL Wahda FC (UAE). Al Wahda WIN @3.52. BCR odds: 3.49
Game 2: FC Viktoria Plzen-FC Ufa. Viktoria WIN @1.65. BCR odds: 1.64
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.808. BCR parlay: 5.7236

Odds advantage: 1.47%
Units advantage: 8.44

Running advantage after 11 bets: +310.55 (+8.44)
All-time cumulative: +12,516.79
Running units after 10 bets (1W|9L): -535.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Incredible game by Peru. I bet on Chile thinking their aging boys will get them through, but no one counted on the Peruvians smashing 3 home. And to think, I even made a hedge prediction of 0-0 in a betting pool. Well done Peru. I also bombed on Netherlands (they did win AET but full time was scoreless).

I'm going to go into a rare foray into American football (or soccer heh). DC Utd look good value for me at over 4/1 despite their form and standings (Rooney's incredible goal must surely give them confidence) and I'll parlay with what should be a standard LA Galaxy win over Toronto.

Game 1: FC Dallas-DC United. DC WIN @4.63. BCR odds: 4.65
Game 2: Los Angeles Galaxy-Toronto FC. LA @IN @1.84. BCR odds: 1.8
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.5192. BCR parlay: 8.370

Odds advantage: 1.78%
Units advantage: 14.92

Running advantage after 10 bets: +302.11 (+14.92)
All-time cumulative: +12,508.35
Running units after 9 bets (1W|8L): -435.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Mali got us our win, but USA still managed the slim victory despite not playing at their best. I suppose I shouldn't have taken my chances with the Lionesses, women's WC has been extremely dry for upsets.

Bearing that in mind, we pick the Dutch women to prove the bookies right, and parlay that with Chile's aging team to somehow crawl over the finish line against Peru, who really shouldn't provide any threat. Just please let this not be another penalty shootout.

Game 1: Netherlands vs Sweden. Netherlands WIN @2.07. BCR odds: 2.04
Game 2: Chile vs Peru. Chile WIN @1.92. BCR odds: 1.88
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.9744. BCR parlay: 3.8352

Odds advantage: 3.63%
Units advantage: 13.92

Running advantage after 9 bets: +287.19 (+13.92)
All-time cumulative: +12,493.43
Running units after 8 bets (1W|7L): -335.13 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ah, finally, the first win of our second season. Senegal and Algeria won easily. Mane had to miss a penalty and keep it to the second half, while Algeria did all the work in the first half, but the same 3-0 result put it all to bed. Morocco, our toughest leg, needed a last-minute goal for the win, but we'll take it.

I'm going to choose an England upset over the Americans tonight in the Women's World Cup, and let's parlay that with a Mali win at the Cup of Nations.
Game 1: England vs USA. England WIN @4.57. Betcoin: 4.01
Game 2: Angola vs Mali. Mali WIN @2.32. Betcoin: 2.29
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.6024. Betcoin parlay: 9.18

Odds advantage: 15.5%
Units advantage: 142.24

Running advantage after 8 bets: +287.19 (+142.24)
All-time cumulative: +12,479.51
Running units after 7 bets (1W|6L): -235.13 (+364.87 units)

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legendary

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Oh curses, how on earth did Nigeria manage to do that? Been a while since the islanders caused that kind of upset, though I probably should have paid attention to how the bookies did that one up. Old powerhouse fading, Nigeria maybe.

I'll go for all the favourites in today's Africa Cup of Nations. Algeria and Senegal are my picks for the tourney, and I think Morocco will be too tough for South Africa, even with their physical advantage.

Game 1: Kenya-Senegal. Senegal WIN @1.45. BCR odds: 1.44
Game 2: Tanzania-Algeria. Algeria WIN @1.40. BCR odds: 1.38
Game 3: South Africa-Morocco. Morocco WIN @2.29. BCR odds: 2.32
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.6487. BCR parlay: 4.602

Odds advantage: 1.01%
Units advantage: 4.67

Running advantage after 7 bets: +144.95 (+4.67)
All-time cumulative: +12,337.27
Running units after 6 bets (0W|6L): -600 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Typical. We won the toughest leg and then the other 2 just drew. In fact, every game in Copa and Cup of Nations DREW last night, so I'd have been losing every combination possible since I never bet on draws (come on guys, what's up?).

I'm going to go all Cup of Nations today, lots of exciting matches. I'll bet on Egypt and the Flying Eagles to win easily, but also on DR Congo to make up for their shock loss to Uganda.

Game 1: Uganda-Egypt. Egypt WIN @1.76. BCR odds: 1.73
Game 2: Zimbabwe-Congo DR. Congo WIN @2.48. BCR odds: 2.44
Game 3: Madagascar-Nigeria. Nigeria WIN @1.92. BCR odds: 1.93
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.3804. BCR parlay: 8.129

Odds advantage: 3.09%
Units advantage: 25.14

Running advantage after 6 bets: +140.28 (+25.14)
All-time cumulative: +12,332.6
Running units after 5 bets (0W|5L): -500 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Good timing for Argentina to turn up, and the holders Chile also managed to scrape through on penalties, Alexis Sanchez might just be the only Man Utd player to end up with a medal before the end of next season if Chile goes all the way!

3 games from 3 tourneys today, Concacaf, Copa and Womens WC.

Game 1: Uruguay vs Peru. Uruguay WIN @1.77. BCR odds: 1.74
Game 2: Italy vs Netherlands. Netherlands WIN @1.94. BCR odds: 1.92
Game 3: Mexico vs Costa Rica. Mexico WIN @1.43. BCR odds: 1.44
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.9103. BCR parlay: 4.8107

Odds advantage: 2.07%
Units advantage: 9.96

Running advantage after 5 bets: +115.14 (+9.96)
All-time cumulative: +12,307.46
Running units after 4 bets (0W|4L): -400 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Tough game the Senegalese had after all, I knew Algeria were a good team, but wasn't expecting the boys in green to run aground on their defences, especially not Mane who looked rather forlorn at times up there.

We'll revert back to the Copa tonight. Venezuela used to be the whipping boys but these days are pretty solid, so can we count on Messi and co to underwhelm again, while backing the Colombians to outmuscle Chile?

Game 1: Venezuela vs Argentina. Venezuela WIN @7.03. Betcoin odds: 6.78
Game 2: Colombia vs Chile. Colombia WIN @2.21. Betcoin odds: 2.21
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @15.5363. Betcoin parlay: 14.98

Odds advantage: 3.69%
Units advantage: 55.63

Running advantage after 4 bets: +105.18 (+55.63)
All-time cumulative: +12,297.5
Running units after 3 bets (0W|3L): -300 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 63. (Read 38849 times)